paulwoll

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Joined paulwoll
Markets Allocation
95 % stocks 3 % indices 1 % cryptocurrency 2 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
SPY 7% | 11 SLV 6% | 10 AAPL 4% | 7 ZNGA 4% | 6
paulwoll paulwoll VIX, D, Long ,
VIX: Trendline support reached today on $VIX?
83 0 2
VIX, D Long
Trendline support reached today on $VIX?

Number of touches on this line show a consolidation or bounce may be time to leg into some VIX plays. Volatility should pick up soon. $UVXY is not a good swing but a good day trade if picks up.

paulwoll paulwoll FIT, D, Short ,
FIT: $FIT appears to be losing up log channel
12 0 0
FIT, D Short
$FIT appears to be losing up log channel

Earnings August 5th though target could be 40 b4. Little risky for new longs here IMHO.

paulwoll paulwoll HG1!, M, Long ,
HG1!: 15 year monthly up trendline bounce Long Term View
39 0 0
HG1!, M Long
15 year monthly up trendline bounce Long Term View

15 year trendline support hit. Last time it hit this it ran for many years.. Obviously this is a long term view as may have another retest or open near 2.47 at beginning of August b4 going.

paulwoll paulwoll SPY, D,
SPY: Retakes up log trendline support.  Gap up may close. w/Comments
97 0 0
SPY, D
Retakes up log trendline support. Gap up may close. w/Comments

Gap ups are not bad. So after filling gap and retesting up trendline support it can bounce but has lots of work to even get to 208.75... which is high end of target without Greece resolution. Needs to hold the green up trendline going forward. Retaking the up trendline is bullish as long as it holds up today.

paulwoll paulwoll SPY, D, Short ,
SPY: Same chart posted last night  - Now with updated candle.
14 0 0
SPY, D Short
Same chart posted last night - Now with updated candle.

Compare with 2014 October this has a very similar look. Measured Move if executes is near 197.70 zone but could overshoot a tad. Note MM ilower n October 2014 all happened in 1 week or 5 trading days.

paulwoll paulwoll SPY, D, Short ,
SPY: $SPY bear flag here w/similarities here to 2014 October
110 0 0
SPY, D Short
$SPY bear flag here w/similarities here to 2014 October

Note losing any form of log trendline support here. So SPY in danger zone with financials weak. So risk is high below 205.25. Close below this is bearish short term. If so would target 201.75 area gap fill or more likely 197 zone below that gets real dicey (and unlikely IMHO) - Not expecting much out of FOMC except verbage that Europe will likely extend time ...

paulwoll paulwoll INDU, D, Short ,
INDU: Why I think we are not out of the woods yet...
101 0 0
INDU, D Short
Why I think we are not out of the woods yet...

Next 2 days are key as you can see from these red boxes.

paulwoll paulwoll ALNY, D, Short ,
ALNY: H&S setup mentioned to look for this setup couple days ago.
10 0 0
ALNY, D Short
H&S setup mentioned to look for this setup couple days ago.

If this is an H&S pattern with right shoulder developing. This could be the head in a larger H&S pattern with nec near 83. For now target is 104-105 zone... possibly 100. Though Mid BBs is at 111.70 may bounce short term.

paulwoll paulwoll DXY, D, Long ,
DXY: Down Channel breakout setup in US Dollar Index
108 1 0
DXY, D Long
Down Channel breakout setup in US Dollar Index

Believe fast track trade approval this week and/or #FOMC minutes could catalyze dollar higher. Near a down channel breakout here. Decent support at green line. May be range bound short term though within 93.10-95.48 range. Long term believe EUR/USD will reach parity by end of year and dollar may surpass Euro given ECB QE measures. Watch for channel break for ...

paulwoll paulwoll XIN, D, Long ,
XIN: $XIN long setup beauty
47 1 0
XIN, D Long
$XIN long setup beauty

Nice bottoming play setup to breakout here... keep an eye on this one.

paulwoll paulwoll SPY, D,
SPY: $SPY w/comments.  Note this Superball pattern hit top of arc Fri
154 0 0
SPY, D
$SPY w/comments. Note this Superball pattern hit top of arc Fri

We are range bound with some bearish action Friday at resistance. Can play over Friday open for long swing but wouldn't hold it if can't close over.. Bearish stochs cross may signal lower Monday or start of next leg down to the green dot and TL test again.

paulwoll paulwoll 1/TRIP, W,
1/TRIP: Here is an inverted $TRIP view
9 0 0
1/TRIP, W
Here is an inverted $TRIP view

Seems many are bullish on $TRIP.... but this inverted view shows risk is down use stops below support and watch earnings date coming up.2/11. Is a sketchy technical support bounce long play... though.

paulwoll paulwoll DXY, M,
DXY: DXY actually crossed 1985 trendline -Syriza news may push higher
186 2 3
DXY, M
DXY actually crossed 1985 trendline -Syriza news may push higher

We can certainly pullback below trendline. but there are more similarities in this chart to 1980s. IMHO. Monthly chart is not over so this week will be very telling if we do pullback. Extended QE in Europe is Dollar bullish and Euro bearish.. Is this factored in? Will see. But this chart shows can certainly go higher. Also note Dollar is well above all MAs ...

paulwoll paulwoll GNRC, D,
GNRC: $GNRC 30 RSI touch is very different in signature than October.
58 0 0
GNRC, D
$GNRC 30 RSI touch is very different in signature than October.

BBs now expanding... Other technicals look very different IMHO.. But to each their own... Could ride lower BBs down for a bit. Gap fill gets interesting or 200MA for long play.

paulwoll paulwoll GMCR, D, Long ,
GMCR: Expanding volume heavily shorted beauty of breakout play.
61 0 0
GMCR, D Long
Expanding volume heavily shorted beauty of breakout play.

Nice setup to play here... thru 77.50 this one can get smoking... built a nice handle here too.

paulwoll paulwoll AEGR, D,
AEGR: Technically in Bull Heiken Ashi trend
66 0 0
AEGR, D
Technically in Bull Heiken Ashi trend

If trend is your friend this sucker thru Friday high doesn't need much to make a strong move to 80 - Closed over 50MA on regular candlestick chart as well.

paulwoll paulwoll AEGR, D, Long ,
AEGR: Breaking thru 50MA w/expanding volume.
51 0 0
AEGR, D Long
Breaking thru 50MA w/expanding volume.

Keep an eye next week. Breaking out over Decembers highs... with above average expanding volume.

paulwoll paulwoll LITB, D, Long ,
LITB: Poised bottoming play past primary down trendline resistance
164 0 1
LITB, D Long
Poised bottoming play past primary down trendline resistance

Over 8.43 could get juice.... to complete gap fill... targetting 10

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