paulwoll

paulwoll

Number of touches on this line show a consolidation or bounce may be time to leg into some VIX plays. Volatility should pick up soon. $UVXY is not a good swing but a good day trade if picks up.

paulwoll

Earnings August 5th though target could be 40 b4. Little risky for new longs here IMHO.

paulwoll

15 year trendline support hit. Last time it hit this it ran for many years.. Obviously this is a long term view as may have another retest or open near 2.47 at beginning of August b4 going.

paulwoll

Gap ups are not bad. So after filling gap and retesting up trendline support it can bounce but has lots of work to even get to 208.75... which is high end of target without Greece resolution. Needs to hold the green up trendline going forward. Retaking the up trendline is bullish as long as it holds up today.

paulwoll

Compare with 2014 October this has a very similar look. Measured Move if executes is near 197.70 zone but could overshoot a tad. Note MM ilower n October 2014 all happened in 1 week or 5 trading days.

paulwoll

Note losing any form of log trendline support here. So SPY in danger zone with financials weak. So risk is high below 205.25. Close below this is bearish short term. If so would target 201.75 area gap fill or more likely 197 zone below that gets real dicey (and unlikely IMHO) - Not expecting much out of FOMC except verbage that Europe will likely extend time...

paulwoll

Next 2 days are key as you can see from these red boxes.

paulwoll

If this is an H&S pattern with right shoulder developing. This could be the head in a larger H&S pattern with nec near 83. For now target is 104-105 zone... possibly 100. Though Mid BBs is at 111.70 may bounce short term.

paulwoll

Believe fast track trade approval this week and/or #FOMC minutes could catalyze dollar higher. Near a down channel breakout here. Decent support at green line. May be range bound short term though within 93.10-95.48 range. Long term believe EUR/USD will reach parity by end of year and dollar may surpass Euro given ECB QE measures. Watch for channel break for...

paulwoll

Nice bottoming play setup to breakout here... keep an eye on this one.

paulwoll

We are range bound with some bearish action Friday at resistance. Can play over Friday open for long swing but wouldn't hold it if can't close over.. Bearish stochs cross may signal lower Monday or start of next leg down to the green dot and TL test again.

paulwoll

Seems many are bullish on $TRIP.... but this inverted view shows risk is down use stops below support and watch earnings date coming up.2/11. Is a sketchy technical support bounce long play... though.

paulwoll

We can certainly pullback below trendline. but there are more similarities in this chart to 1980s. IMHO. Monthly chart is not over so this week will be very telling if we do pullback. Extended QE in Europe is Dollar bullish and Euro bearish.. Is this factored in? Will see. But this chart shows can certainly go higher. Also note Dollar is well above all MAs...

paulwoll

BBs now expanding... Other technicals look very different IMHO.. But to each their own... Could ride lower BBs down for a bit. Gap fill gets interesting or 200MA for long play.

paulwoll

Nice setup to play here... thru 77.50 this one can get smoking... built a nice handle here too.

paulwoll

If trend is your friend this sucker thru Friday high doesn't need much to make a strong move to 80 - Closed over 50MA on regular candlestick chart as well.

paulwoll

Keep an eye next week. Breaking out over Decembers highs... with above average expanding volume.

paulwoll

Over 8.43 could get juice.... to complete gap fill... targetting 10