The EURUSD is locked up in a small channel between two previous gaps. I expected a breaktrough today to the southside. But it bounced back fiercely!
Market harmonics, False breaks, Fibonacci levels and an idea where your stops might be placed.
I was very bullish @ the start of 2014. It looks like we go back to the same price level a year ago. 11-04-2014 update: It's going fast now. Although we hit some support. I think I gonna buy some more @ $10 soon! ;-)
Before we gonna go South we test the 200 SMA one ore two times to form a nice head and shoulders pattern. Why not going South big yet..? I see no confirmation. The candlestick patterns on the Weekly and Monthly are still very bullish. There is some RSI divergence, but if you look back to the period 2011 - Q1 2012 on the weekly this divergence doesn't play...
A possible scenario for 2014! Triple bottom forming on the weekly.
Simple anatomy of the AUDUSD. Major S/R levels in confluence with fib levels. Waiting for a second or more pinbars to spike through the 0.93 (61.8 fib) level and bearish divergence on the hourly chart as confirmation to go short.