rivchris

rivchris Pro

Reverse repo market cooling off. Let's see how this affects the Fed's positioning, considering the liquidity implications. Expecting a 6-8 month lead time for the liquidity to make it's way to the market. 1. Banks pulling liquidity to backstop any liquidity crunch 2. Banks expecting the fed to pivot, so they can get better returns lending that money out...

rivchris Pro

If the dollar keeps rolling over, keep an eye on emerging markets. They will likely outperform US equities, due to the currency appreciation.

rivchris Pro

Regression channel. Ongoing trend. Getting rejected at the top of the channel would be a lower high. Continuing down would send it <0.06

rivchris Pro

Matic looks like it wants to revisit .60 in the next few days. Let's see how this plays out. Things are starting to heat up in the crypto markets just going the wrong way. Matic was one of the best plays over the last few months, for a stagnant crypto market. A lot of price zones that need to be retested. Things get interesting at 0.698ish, then I see it gaps...

rivchris Pro

Publishing this chart to track the Chines A50 futures along with all my other tracks. In my opinion we are headed to the 9800-10700 range before this is all over. If the chinese housing implosion is as bad as many expect, this goes back to 7500 in the next 6-10 months. For reference, look at these charts: NASDAQ China Real Estate index China Mainland...

rivchris Pro

Publishing the USDT dominance chart to track through the end of 2022. This looks like it is breaking out while all of crypto has been floundering. This trades closely to the DXY and inversely to Bitcoin and the rest of crypto . Previous bitcoin idea: USD looks to continue...

rivchris Pro

Publishing a follow up to the FAANG index. Expecting it to continue having a few traps on its way to the 3100-3200 range Unfortunately, the previous idea tracking a collection of FAANG + other major stocks was ruined due to stock splits and what not, but general idea remains the same. Until the fed reigns in the reverse repo operations, that's > $2 trillion...

rivchris Pro

Tracking the Manhattan Associates price action with this idea. Expecting it to revisit the 108-120 range over the next few months.

rivchris Pro Updated 

Idea on FTM . I think we are in the process of bulltrapping some market participants and expect this to retest the recent low set in June. I do expect the current move to go higher before falling off, but after the run by fantom, this will need some serious consolidation before it can go on a serious next leg up. That's just my opinion though. The drawing are an...

rivchris Pro

Been keeping an eye on the YEN along with the Nikkei . Seems like the dollar is topping out after the yen brushed 145. With USD cooling off, this could be the opportunity for a major bounce for the yen and the nikkei. Tracking the DXY here: Previous Nikkei idea: ...

rivchris Pro

DXY approaching the red box. If it breaks out→ risk-off, equities go down If it breaks down → things get real interesting All eyes on the dollar.

rivchris Pro

NVDA looking hideous. Publishing this to keep track of the price action. Double top on a dead cat, send this to the doldrums.

rivchris Pro

This idea came to mind not based on TA or anything, just from the general price action. Copying the general action we saw back in May 2021. This is using the original idea I published back in May 2021 Wouldn't this drive all market participants mad. Bull trap, bear trap, squeeze, then...

rivchris Pro

Sharing the chart for the US 10 year bond yields. Looks like yields are about to roll over. With the way WTI and BRENT are looking, it looks like a major cool down is coming and everyone is fleeing to bonds for safety. Let's see how far down this goes.

rivchris Pro

Following up on the SOL idea from a few weeks ago, which played out as we expected: Idea : Today's chart: Let's see if history repeatsand solana pumps like it did back in February-March when it went from a $77.607 bottom to a 143.566 top....

rivchris Pro

The Macy's stock has been surprisingly steady over the last few months, but I think it's topped for the short term. If I had to guess, there's a high chance we see single digits or close-to single digits before 2023, hence I am publishing this to keep an eye on it.

rivchris Pro

Solana looking interesting at these levels. Keeping up with the current crypto carnage and it's been holding up well as of late, but looks like it wants to roll over soon. It was showing some good volume over the last two days, but looks to be forming the right shoulder of an h&s (pink/purple zone) → This could follow either the green or the blue drawings. It...

rivchris Pro

Publishing my outlook on Ethereum for the next month or two. If I had to guess, this does another fake out short-term before both equities + crypto go through their capitulation stage. Expecting ETH to reach the 440-530 range before it's starts a true accumulation range. Note : all lines drawn on the 3d, but want to publish in the 1d chart for daily...