rockvuecap

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Markets Allocation
56 % stocks 36 % commodities 8 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
GILD 8% | 2 TGD 4% | 1 YM1! 4% | 1 W1! 4% | 1
rockvuecap rockvuecap LPL, W, Long ,
LPL: Long LPL on Bullish Price Action
26 0 2
LPL, W Long
Long LPL on Bullish Price Action

It's been a while since I've published an idea, but that hasn't worried me. I'm not in the game of trading just to trade. I'm in the game of making as much money as possible. If a move isn't attractive to me, I won't bother making it just for the sake of trading. Most of my recent research has been in foreign markets such as Russia, South Korea, and Vietnam, and a ...

rockvuecap rockvuecap SWKH, W, Long ,
SWKH: A Low Beta Way to Play Biopharma Industry
8 0 5
SWKH, W Long
A Low Beta Way to Play Biopharma Industry

Attached is a piece about SWKH in which I discuss the value within the company, and I suggest it as a way of exposure to the healthcare technology sector without the risk. How is that possible? SWKH uses debt investments when making acquisitions in companies. Debt investments are usually the first investments to be paid back in full when a company undergoes ...

rockvuecap rockvuecap NSPR, D, Long ,
NSPR: NSPR Could Be Deep Value Comeback Story
44 2 6
NSPR, D Long
NSPR Could Be Deep Value Comeback Story

I wrote an extensive piece on NSPR in which I go into depth on the company and the potential turnaround story, you can find it here: https://rockvuecapital.wordpress.com/2017/05/11/insipremd-nspr-a-medical-cigar-butt/ Trading at a 77% discount to book value, an 81% discount to sales, an 81% discount to NCAV, and a 43% discount to net cash, NSPR is roadkill in the ...

rockvuecap rockvuecap HLTH, W, Long ,
HLTH: Potential MicroCap Deep Value Play (HLTH)
46 0 4
HLTH, W Long
Potential MicroCap Deep Value Play (HLTH)

($ in Thousands) Its been a while since I've written an idea about an equity play. Recently its been mostly futures or commodities, and I believe most of that is due to the difficulties I am running into when trying to find value. Luckily, I don't have any set parameters to search for value, which means I can look in the Micro Cap space, a space that I believe ...

rockvuecap rockvuecap USOIL, D, Short ,
USOIL: Short on USOIL WTI Crude
102 2 7
USOIL, D Short
Short on USOIL WTI Crude

After taking a look at the daily and weekly charts for Crude Oil, I decided to take a small short position, risking 0.50% of my portfolio on it mainly because I am not familiar with crude oil, nor have I traded it before, so I want to tread lightly into uncharted waters. There isn't much of a long analysis on crude oil, this one is purely price action. It fell ...

rockvuecap rockvuecap W1!, W, Long ,
W1!: Cup and Handle Formation on Wheat Futures
48 0 6
W1!, W Long
Cup and Handle Formation on Wheat Futures

In my continuing quest of using price action and TA to find opportunities in the futures markets, I search through each futures product each day to see what the weekly charts look like. When I stumbled upon Wheat Futures, I realized that Wheat was forming a perfect cup and handle pattern on the chart. This was honestly pretty sweet because it was the first time ...

rockvuecap rockvuecap TGD, W, Long ,
TGD: A Virtual Long Call Option on Gold with TGD
13 0 4
TGD, W Long
A Virtual Long Call Option on Gold with TGD

TGD came up in my Deep Value screeners as one of the highest ranked companies in the screener, so I took a look to see what they were about. Timmins Gold Corp is obviously a gold mining company, so right away I knew their success or demise was closely tied to whatever the price of gold did. Before going into the fundamentals, let's take a look at the charts. ...

rockvuecap rockvuecap RSX, W, Long ,
RSX: Long Russian Stock Market
30 0 4
RSX, W Long
Long Russian Stock Market

Deep in my heart I am a contrarian. Whether its investing or anything else, usually I like to take the opposite side of the consensus. For this reason, I have been attracted to the Russian stock market for a couple of years. I'm a big reader of Jim Rogers, and I listen to any new YouTube video he appears, and he initially got me started in Russia in 2015. With ...

rockvuecap rockvuecap GILD, W, Long ,
GILD: Long Position in GILD After Bullish Bounce
32 0 5
GILD, W Long
Long Position in GILD After Bullish Bounce

About a week or so ago, I published an idea about GILD hitting some serious support levels going back to mid to late 2014 - 2015. What I thought back then was that if GILD were able to hold on to that support level, even bounce around it without falling below it, I would enter a position in my paper account at that support level, and place my stop below the ...

rockvuecap rockvuecap HOG, W, Short ,
HOG: Short Position in HOG
12 0 5
HOG, W Short
Short Position in HOG

This morning as I was running through my trend following screener, I found Harley Davidson. What I saw was not good. After reporting an extremely disappointing earnings seasons, HOG started its downfall yesterday. It's interesting because for the first time I'm shorting a company that emotionally I like. This is a good learning lesson. It is helping me remove ...

rockvuecap rockvuecap SILVER, D, Short ,
SILVER: Reversal in Bullish Thesis on Silver
31 0 4
SILVER, D Short
Reversal in Bullish Thesis on Silver

A couple weeks ago I expressed a bullish thesis on silver given the chart patterns, and if the charts acted the way I thought they would've if the underlying asset was truly bullish, we would've gone past the 18.50 level. However, at that level it appears to have created a double top over the course of two months. If it closes below it's 50 and 200 MA I will look ...

rockvuecap rockvuecap CB1!, D,
CB1!: Thoughts on Crude Oil Brent
80 0 7
CB1!, D
Thoughts on Crude Oil Brent

I haven't been too involved with Crude Oil, mainly because as I saw the trend moving up, I didn't enter when I wanted, and the last thing I wanted to do was chase a rally. So, I stood on the sidelines observing, see what my hypothetical entries and stops would've done. Looking at it now, I see a longer term wedge pattern forming in the weekly charts. Now, when I ...

rockvuecap rockvuecap NFLX, W, Short ,
NFLX: Short Position in NFLX After Earnings Miss
53 0 2
NFLX, W Short
Short Position in NFLX After Earnings Miss

I'll be the first to admit that I've been bearish on NFLX for a long time. Long enough to see my short opinion be ripped to shreds as NFLX share price climbed higher and higher. For those that have followed my ideas on US Equities, you know that I am not a fan of highly leveraged balance sheets. Well, NFLX is no exception. NFLX Cash to Debt Ratio is 0.52, and ...

rockvuecap rockvuecap GILD, W, Long ,
GILD: GILD hitting Major Support Line
38 0 4
GILD, W Long
GILD hitting Major Support Line

Gilead Sciences is a deep value play, along the likes of a Joel Greenblatt "Magic Formula" stock. Around September I expressed a bullish interest in GILD given its fundamentals and its valuation. During that time, GILD traded at $73. Since I expressed a long interest, the stock has done nothing but decline. Looking back on my initial bullish opinion, I didn't take ...

rockvuecap rockvuecap BIDU, W,
BIDU: Wedge Pattern Forming in BIDU
37 0 2
BIDU, W
Wedge Pattern Forming in BIDU

Baidu is forming a wedge pattern on its weekly chart, and with earnings coming out on April 27th, right now seems to be an inflection point in the change of the price of BIDU. If earnings come out great, beating expectations, one may see BIDU's stock surge out of its wedge resistance price of $187, during that point, I would put in a long position with a stop ...

rockvuecap rockvuecap ZBRA, W, Short ,
ZBRA: Short Opp: ZBRA Potential Double Top Setup
22 0 2
ZBRA, W Short
Short Opp: ZBRA Potential Double Top Setup

In my quest to better understand trend following and TA, I am embarking on publishing more ideas with strict regard to TA first, followed by fundamentals. I am doing this because I usually do the reverse. Normally I will look at a company that I believe is undervalued or overvalued, and then I will look to the charts to see when a setup could be had. This time is ...

rockvuecap rockvuecap QBC1!, D, Long ,
QBC1!: Corn Futures Breaking Year Long Resistance Level
16 0 5
QBC1!, D Long
Corn Futures Breaking Year Long Resistance Level

I believe this is my first post about Corn Futures, so let's see how this goes! Daily charts so that corn futures are trading within a channel, with resistance being the 50 MA and the support line being the 200 MA and the price support level of 356. Corn Futures shot up today above both the 50 MA and the resistance portion of the channel in which they were ...

rockvuecap rockvuecap FDX, D, Short ,
FDX: Potential Short in FDX
16 0 4
FDX, D Short
Potential Short in FDX

Still trying to find my way through TA and trend following, I chose to scrutinize a company that I picked to be in my portfolio at my internship. Back in October, I looked at FDX for a long position to fill out a portfolio of blue chip dividend paying stocks for a model client portfolio. As luck would have it, the stock then rose from $170 to $200. I was happy ...

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