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Markets Allocation
68 % forex 2 % cryptocurrency 2 % indices 27 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
USDJPY 15% | 7 AUDUSD 9% | 4 GBPUSD 9% | 4 EURAUD 6% | 3
rolledup rolledup USDCHF, 240, Short ,
USDCHF: I am a dollar bull. But I am worried.
68 0 1
USDCHF, 240 Short
I am a dollar bull. But I am worried.

I don't trade any CHF for well known reasons. But USDCHF has been a very good indication of overall USD strength meter for the past couple years. USDCHF has traded into a cluster of resistances, despite the fact that we just broken above a seemingly neckline of a double bottom pattern. There is a potential three drives completion right around where we trade right ...

rolledup rolledup AUDJPY, 120, Short ,
AUDJPY: Cautiously short but have a plan B.
27 0 1
AUDJPY, 120 Short
Cautiously short but have a plan B.

I am expecting two equal leg down from the June high. We accomplished the first leg thanks to the Greek drama. The commodity-yen carry trade crosses has been under perform lately as a risk on trade. They have been react heavily to risk off but not so much to risk on. Speaking of technical, We could have finished the current correction last week as a primary ...

rolledup rolledup EURAUD, 60,
EURAUD: EURAUD staying short for now but watch out for potential bounce
67 0 2
EURAUD, 60
EURAUD staying short for now but watch out for potential bounce

Be careful about the possible bounce from a cluster of fib and basic trend line support. We are only 100pips away from it.

rolledup rolledup AUDJPY, 60, Long ,
AUDJPY: Updated AUDJPY Chart
41 1 1
AUDJPY, 60 Long
Updated AUDJPY Chart

So, the 5th wave end up lower than I thought it would be. But AUDJPY had broke above the bearish trend line and a upward correction is underway. The first leg we saw is a very clean 5 wave structure. I like this and look to buy at current level, stop below 5th wave low. targeting fib extension at 91.82 and 92.96.

rolledup rolledup USDCAD, 30, Long ,
USDCAD: Very attractive long play but volatile and uncertain near term
37 0 1
USDCAD, 30 Long
Very attractive long play but volatile and uncertain near term

USDCAD failed to break above the correction wedge (bull flag) today and register the (X) leg. the current (Z) leg could be very steep. Canadian employment data is due on Friday, which make this set up more dangerous. Aggressive play is to buy dip into April High at 1.2664 and manual stop 15 pip below the trend channel. Safer play is to wait for a break above the ...

rolledup rolledup AUDUSD, 15, Short ,
AUDUSD: AUDUSD bear flag 4th wave correction
44 0 1
AUDUSD, 15 Short
AUDUSD bear flag 4th wave correction

Similar story for AUDUSD. The difference is that on a bigger scale, we are in a impulsive down trend, and this pair is less sensitive to Greece drama compared to EURUSD. I thought the bear trend would resume in US session but the intraday triangle got broken and I switch to bull. If the coming leg up is the final one, it could potentially be very stretchy. The ...

rolledup rolledup EURUSD, 15, Short ,
EURUSD: EURUSD, Look for sell.
140 0 1
EURUSD, 15 Short
EURUSD, Look for sell.

EURUSD is trading in a downward wedge. We turn today at (D) point and broke the trend line. Both european and us session contribute one leg down, and we now have completed the first three waves down. We are currently in a relief rally mode. Looking to sell around fib level 1.10571-1.10728 and or trend line resistance.

rolledup rolledup SPX500, 480, Short ,
SPX500: It might finally come.
314 0 2
SPX500, 480 Short
It might finally come.

Pretty big technical event today. S&P close below 200SMA for the first time since last Oct. It could face a big correction finally. The exact path and target is hard to project for a correction like this. Since this correction is higher in degree compared to the nikkei is in. I expect this one to be deeper and/or longer. Check the big RED pitchfork I draw. The ...

rolledup rolledup JPN225, D,
JPN225: Nikkei expanded the correction pattern.
671 0 4
JPN225, D
Nikkei expanded the correction pattern.

Nikkei was under huge pressure today. Regardless the reason behind the move, I identify it as the 4th wave correction(Purple). I expect the price action of this 4th wave to be confined by the black pitchfork. It could possibly spike lower and test May 2007 high at 18306. I think buy dip into that area and sell the first rally into the medium line is good play here.

rolledup rolledup AUDJPY, 240, Short ,
AUDJPY: AUDJPY If you miss the past one, there is a bigger ahead.
96 0 2
AUDJPY, 240 Short
AUDJPY If you miss the past one, there is a bigger ahead.

Greece drama trigger a risk off environment recently. However, today the S&P500 made a remarkable V shape reversal off a key support. I personally see the index have room to rally to a new high or close to the previous one. This possible risk-on period could potentially offer us a bigger risk off play going forward. Look around the JPY-cross, all the commodity-JPY ...

rolledup rolledup GBPUSD, 480, Long ,
GBPUSD: Bull count of GBPUSD
25 0 1
GBPUSD, 480 Long
Bull count of GBPUSD

So, this one is less bullish for the mid-term compared to the previous one.

rolledup rolledup GBPUSD, 480, Long ,
GBPUSD: Bull Bull Count of GBPUSD
27 0 0
GBPUSD, 480 Long
Bull Bull Count of GBPUSD

I see two major count of GBPUSD. Both of them are bullish. This one is more bullish than the other one.

rolledup rolledup SPX500, D, Long ,
SPX500: S&P500 could rally from here
93 1 1
SPX500, D Long
S&P500 could rally from here

S&P gap down below 200 days SMA. Watch out for a rally from here, as wave count hint a completion of wave (4) and we could rally to a new high or a possible 5th wave truncation.

rolledup rolledup EURGBP, 30,
EURGBP: EURGBP Only if we don't have Mon gap
19 0 0
EURGBP, 30
EURGBP Only if we don't have Mon gap

Nothing could be done here. If we don't have a huge Monday gap potential, I would pull the trigger.

rolledup rolledup AUDNZD, 240, Short ,
AUDNZD: My AUDNZD scenario chart
19 0 1
AUDNZD, 240 Short
My AUDNZD scenario chart

A safe cross to hold over the weekend. It is pretty much immune to Greece drama. Exit the first stop attempt. Looking to sell it again.

rolledup rolledup USDJPY, 60, Long ,
USDJPY: There is a risk of one more correction for USDJPY
58 0 2
USDJPY, 60 Long
There is a risk of one more correction for USDJPY

It is encouraging to touch 122.00 and hold it. But there is a risk of two more waves (D) (E) before entering the impulsive phase. Wait and see how the current rally plays out, and go from there. As long as we hold above major trendlines, buy dip is the better play.

rolledup rolledup AUDUSD, 15, Short ,
AUDUSD: AUDUSD leading diagonal play
34 0 1
AUDUSD, 15 Short
AUDUSD leading diagonal play

Update2,So, It was a overthrowing wave B, Just took the long side. Update, It looks like a slap on my face. If this rally is sustainable. It looks like a ongoing 5 wave up. Nonetheless, I view this rally as the last correction before the downtrend is resumed. But this rally could be very strong depends on the NFP, and it could very well over throw. Very near ...

rolledup rolledup AUDNZD, 720, Short ,
AUDNZD: Pair like AUDNZD give you so many clean levels.
43 0 1
AUDNZD, 720 Short
Pair like AUDNZD give you so many clean levels.

Everything amazingly lined up.

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