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Among major currencies, the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) is often viewed as peripheral in global capital flows. Yet it consistently ranks among the world’s top 10 most traded currencies. Its relevance stems from New Zealand’s strong exposure to international trade, especially with China and Australia, and an economy heavily reliant on commodity exports. As a result,...

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As we approach the end of June, a well-known phenomenon among FX traders is once again coming into focus: when currencies have diverged significantly over the course of a month or quarter, we often see a technical correction into the final trading session, with partial pullbacks in the pairs that had previously moved the most. This end-of-month or quarter pattern...

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The CME FedWatch Tool is a free and widely used resource offered by CME Group. It has become a key reference in the financial industry for tracking, in real time, market expectations about upcoming interest rate decisions by the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed). Frequently cited in financial media, this tool allows traders and analysts to assess the likelihood of a rate...

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The Japanese yen has experienced significant swings in recent weeks, both higher and lower, reflecting a fragile balance between diverging monetary policies and ongoing geopolitical uncertainty. That said, its status as a safe-haven currency continues to offer it defensive appeal among global investors, independent of technical flows, such as the major USD/JPY...

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This morning, Euro FX futures (June contract 6EM5) are trading around 1.14300, still contained within the upper end of a well-established range between 1.1350 and 1.1450. The volume profile continues to show a heavy concentration of activity around 1.1380, reflecting a neutral stance from market participants as they await the ECB’s policy decision later...

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The Canadian Dollar (CAD) is trading around 0.725, caught in a rare balance where clear conviction is elusive and volatility appears to be compressing, beneath the surface, the stage is set for a potentially explosive move. With the Bank of Canada set to announce its policy decision next week and trade issues with the US still simmering, the market feels poised...

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As the Australian Dollar, a currency traditionally correlated with risk, has been trading in a range since mid-April, fading rallies near the top of that range appears to offer the best odds in the current environment. Here’s the breakdown. Fundamental Analysis The Australian Dollar continues to move without clear direction as the Reserve Bank of Australia...

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The tariff agreement that seemingly fell from the Geneva sky earlier this month convinced investors to pivot toward risk-linked assets, allowing the Swiss currency to retreat temporarily. However, the Franc’s safe-haven status, combined with the fragile balance currently settling over the markets, leads us to view this pullback as a tactical opportunity to buy at...