snowsilence

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About me [Theoretical Physicist ∥ Bitcoin Enthusiast]
Joined USA
Retrocausality explains everything.
Markets Allocation
80 % cryptocurrency 20 % other
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BTCUSD 100% | 6
snowsilence snowsilence BTCUSD-BTCUSD, 3D,
BTCUSD-BTCUSD: Bitstamp–BTC-e Spread Exhibits Deep Structure
435 2 10
BTCUSD-BTCUSD, 3D
Bitstamp–BTC-e Spread Exhibits Deep Structure

There is a recurrent and long-standing pattern within the spread between these two exchanges. A few months before every "bubble" begins, the spread funnels itself into a tidy channel, which it essentially remains in until the price peaks, though displays no other internal order. There are also clearly other structural self-similarities. As you look back in time ...

snowsilence snowsilence BTCUSD, W, Long ,
BTCUSD: EPOCH 3: A 60-Week–Long Bubblecast
4432 7 22
BTCUSD, W Long
EPOCH 3: A 60-Week–Long Bubblecast

This exponential model was carefully rendered from historical trade action data. Lower support trend breaches at this point do not alter the indicated price targets; ranges are still to be considered accurate. •The regions detailed in my post "INTRA-BUBBLE LOWS PERIOD … " are represented above using pairs of RED|VERTICALS with an interior span of ├5 WEEKS┤, ...

snowsilence snowsilence BTCUSD, W, Long ,
BTCUSD: BITCOIN: INTRA-BUBBLE LOWS PERIOD = 36(+/-2.5) WEEKS
511 6 10
BTCUSD, W Long
BITCOIN: INTRA-BUBBLE LOWS PERIOD = 36(+/-2.5) WEEKS

This expanded version of a my prior published idea "GENERIC POST-BUBBLE STRONG REVERSAL INDICATOR" helps illustrate its point more clearly. I've linked it to the aforementioned related one, which you should consult to obtain the original details/description. ※ Since indicators do not refresh, you may view an active version of the chart here — ...

snowsilence snowsilence BTCUSD, W, Long ,
BTCUSD: GENERIC POST-BUBBLE STRONG REVERSAL INDICATOR
1113 5 16
BTCUSD, W Long
GENERIC POST-BUBBLE STRONG REVERSAL INDICATOR

See update ⊜ at bottom after reading the description. When binned over 1-week intervals, we easily see the RSI (Relative Strength Index) fall dramatically, indeed nearly vertically, at the burst of each 'bubble', as expected when viewed in this way. I suggest that one should make a note of the first significant recovery segment after these drops —as indicated by ...

snowsilence snowsilence BTCUSD, 240, Long ,
BTCUSD: BTCUSD: Global Support Holds; Local Trend Reverses (by May 22nd)
819 0 8
BTCUSD, 240 Long
BTCUSD: Global Support Holds; Local Trend Reverses (by May 22nd)

As everyone knows, except for in the most cataclysmic of circumstances, long-term trend signal always trumps short-term fluctuations, in a stochastic dynamical system. If that rule is being violated, the reasons are likely psychosomatic. •Empirically, there has been an exponential, global, lower bound of support buffeting Bitcoin's long-term uptrend against ...

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