sophia830

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First they ignore you, then they laugh at you, then they fight you, then you win. - Mahatma Gandhi
Markets Allocation
20 % forex 20 % stocks 0 % commodities 59 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
SPX 39% | 396 TLT 9% | 100 NAS 9% | 98 EURUSD 9% | 91
sophia830 sophia830 USDJPY, 15, Short ,
USDJPY: Short on Div and Channel Return
32 0 1
USDJPY, 15 Short
Short on Div and Channel Return

Short on Channel Return only (rectangle)

sophia830 sophia830 TLT, 15, Long ,
TLT: Risk - One Week Trend
55 0 4
TLT, 15 Long
Risk - One Week Trend

Divergence at Low? Price is at ML now. Fails if below 119 (major pivot)

sophia830 sophia830 SPX500, 15, Short ,
SPX500: Super RIsk - DVG Bear
152 0 8
SPX500, 15 Short
Super RIsk - DVG Bear

Deltas: -don't short on what appears to be a trend day (opened, tested pivot, straight up, price already moved past typical reversion to mean levels (see blue box). 2nd Scenario, price returns to the blue box and bounces up to continue trend

sophia830 sophia830 TLT, 30, Long ,
TLT: Divergence + Gap
65 0 7
TLT, 30 Long
Divergence + Gap

Deltas: -median line must hold

sophia830 sophia830 SPX500, 15, Short ,
SPX500: Up on low volume - Test Opening Range
152 0 12
SPX500, 15 Short
Up on low volume - Test Opening Range

Looking for a test of the first hour high "opening range". Deltas: Sitting Above last week's pivot.

sophia830 sophia830 VIX, 60, Long ,
VIX: Long on Channel Hold/Test
75 0 11
VIX, 60 Long
Long on Channel Hold/Test

10% move, long only on snapback test 14.8 to 1500

sophia830 sophia830 SPX500, 30, Long ,
SPX500: DVG Channel
131 0 7
SPX500, 30 Long
DVG Channel

trendline must support

sophia830 sophia830 SPX500, 15, Short ,
SPX500: Flat DVG + Mid Channel
169 0 14
SPX500, 15 Short
Flat DVG + Mid Channel

-contrarian play within a trend day is the big delta here - watch middle line channel if it turns to support

sophia830 sophia830 USDJPY, 15, Long ,
USDJPY: Flat DVG + Channel
145 0 13
USDJPY, 15 Long
Flat DVG + Channel

Breakout over blue arrow only, otherwise trend day and no trade.

sophia830 sophia830 XAUUSD, 60, Short ,
XAUUSD: Flat DVG within Channel
96 0 13
XAUUSD, 60 Short
Flat DVG within Channel

-Holding pivot line like a champ. -Huge DVG building on the 1Hr (i know that doesn't matter on pure trend) -Short on break of Today PIVOT

sophia830 sophia830 USDJPY, 30, Long ,
USDJPY: Channel Breakout? Many Deltas.
66 0 9
USDJPY, 30 Long
Channel Breakout? Many Deltas.

Inflection area. At resistance, no trade currently, looking for a breakout but must clear arrow and channel (see example to the left, where there was strong resistance no breakout above. The Delta on this idea: gold.

sophia830 sophia830 NAS100, 30, Long ,
NAS100: Breakout
51 0 9
NAS100, 30 Long
Breakout

-breakout from one channel to higher -must confirm bull flag or no trade (circle)

sophia830 sophia830 SPX500, 15, Long ,
SPX500: Breakout Channel
174 0 11
SPX500, 15 Long
Breakout Channel

-

sophia830 sophia830 XAUUSD, 30, Short ,
XAUUSD: Regular Bear DVG + 14 Day Channel
134 1 9
XAUUSD, 30 Short
Regular Bear DVG + 14 Day Channel

-finally hit 55-56 area for larger swing play? (see morning idea notes) -channel goes back 14 days and worked very well -strong trends always caution against -54 is mean reversion so above 54 is trend build

sophia830 sophia830 XAUUSD, 30, Short ,
XAUUSD: Gold Trending - Potential Channel
84 0 9
XAUUSD, 30 Short
Gold Trending - Potential Channel

Momentum is good for bulls. Much caution on digging in short. 56-52 is channel top , it is 49 now. Scalp?

sophia830 sophia830 USDJPY, 30, Long ,
USDJPY: DVG+Channel?
47 1 9
USDJPY, 30 Long
DVG+Channel?

that rectangle is broken support for the day, sitting below is bearish. IF can break above, will try a contrarian play.

sophia830 sophia830 XAUUSD, 30, Short ,
XAUUSD: Flat DVG
91 0 9
XAUUSD, 30 Short
Flat DVG

-wider channel upslope 1230 to 1242? -only will short a break of the red dash line 36

sophia830 sophia830 SPX500USD, 30, Long ,
SPX500USD: 30M Channel + 2nd Triangle - No DVG
60 0 7
SPX500USD, 30 Long
30M Channel + 2nd Triangle - No DVG

more triangles than usual today on lower TFs, coils for a large move? All day in the opening range (gray box) In case that large move is down: 2360 - 58 is the channel and an old fib, both would have to hold to keep this idea

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