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BITSTAMP:BTCUSD 31% | 6 COINBASE:BTCUSD 26% | 5 QTUMBTC 10% | 2 PTOYBTC 5% | 1
tchat tchat BTCUSD, 240,
BTCUSD: BTC is a beast
145 1 2
BTCUSD, 240
BTC is a beast

Surprisingly, once again, BTC appears to be attempting to consolidate a new price floor above the previous (Coinbase) ATH of 7988.5. If it's able to do so, it could be looking at a blue sky breakout at a time when a 60% retracement to the downside would seem to be the normally-expected course of events. Hang on kids, it's going to be a bumpy ride!

tchat tchat BTCUSD, 240,
BTCUSD: BTC's last descent ahead of a new Elliott Wave set?
299 3 7
BTCUSD, 240
BTC's last descent ahead of a new Elliott Wave set?

Having read lots of other analyses, both bullish (straight to 8K!) and bearish, I'm coming out right now as the latter. I'm all about BTC hitting $8K by year's end, but I don't really see it happening. I see it ending the year not far off of where it is right now, and that after a rest. This chart shows a correction within the next seven to nine days as deep at ...

tchat tchat LTCUSD, 240,
LTCUSD: LTC heading a bit lower before possible breakout attempt
310 0 4
LTCUSD, 240
LTC heading a bit lower before possible breakout attempt

LTC appears to be headed for supports below $61, the lower of which might be regarded as $58.87. Plausible entry points are noted in chart. The pattern has been establishing itself for some time now, but if it should break down for some reason, you'd know it by $57.01.

tchat tchat BTCUSD, D, Short ,
BTCUSD: BTC corrective wave from Elliott impulse wave 5
186 1 3
BTCUSD, D Short
BTC corrective wave from Elliott impulse wave 5

Corrective wave A 5480

tchat tchat BTCUSD, W, Short ,
BTCUSD: BTC, the long view: 10/2011 to present
221 1 5
BTCUSD, W Short
BTC, the long view: 10/2011 to present

Sometimes it help to take a step back. I'm not sure the long-term rising wedge concept would hold water since lower highs and higher lows are only implied at disparate points as opposed to throughout the wedge, but it's hard not to notice the shape from a wide angle view. I'm also not sure you can use the ideas of the cup and handle or round bottom concept based ...

tchat tchat BTCUSD, D, Short ,
BTCUSD: Watching the BTC bubble collapse in slo-mo
154 2 4
BTCUSD, D Short
Watching the BTC bubble collapse in slo-mo

I know the presentation of this chart is ugly and color mottled, but I think it characterizes the messiness of the current situation. I've read several analyses and looked at other people's projected support levels, and still cannot figure how BTC is anywhere above $4415 today. I don't think the sub-$3600 level would be an outlandish call for sometime tomorrow. I ...

tchat tchat BTCUSD, 240,
BTCUSD: 4 Hr chart indicators resembling those of 10/25
71 0 5
BTCUSD, 240
4 Hr chart indicators resembling those of 10/25

Has anyone else noticed indicators on charts -- 4 hour or otherwise -- resembling those of Oct. 25? If so, it might kill some of the immediate impending deep-correction theories. This is not a "go long" alert, just a question for analysts using various methods.

tchat tchat PARTBTC, 240,
PARTBTC: Odd time for an upturn in PART. More to come?
166 0 5
PARTBTC, 240
Odd time for an upturn in PART. More to come?

I don't know much about Particl, but I've been doing some CoinMarketCap filters to find low circulating supply tokens at lower price levels. Particl stands out not only as one of these, but is doing well enough for the moment to: a) have broken out of a descending channel into a descending triangle that has been showing higher lows (possible bear flag?), and b) to ...

tchat tchat BTCUSD, D, Short ,
BTCUSD: Bearish Ichimoku indication on BTC daily chart
416 2 11
BTCUSD, D Short
Bearish Ichimoku indication on BTC daily chart

See embedded chart notes

tchat tchat SYNXBTC, D, Long ,
SYNXBTC: Upcoming wave projection for Syndicate (SYNX)
112 0 7
SYNXBTC, D Long
Upcoming wave projection for Syndicate (SYNX)

I produced a wave model a week or so ago, but chose not to publish it. Although I jumped the gun by easily a week or so, I'm going to go ahead and publish unamended, as I think there's about to be a very solid entry point of 3573 approaching by Thursday at latest -- unless something changes drastically (unlikely, SYNX is basically on the floor) -- whereupon I ...

tchat tchat BTCUSD, D, Short ,
BTCUSD: Possible peak level reached before necessity of correction
157 0 3
BTCUSD, D Short
Possible peak level reached before necessity of correction

According to this model, peak levels have been reached for this wave and price will descend to a level around 5219 rather then that noted on the chart's callout. The price may continue to rise due to FOMO or any number of other effects, but the model does not extend for those contingencies, in spite of the fact that RSI is down around the 20s and Aroon indicates ...

tchat tchat BTCUSD, 60,
BTCUSD: Continuation of the trend
237 1 7
BTCUSD, 60
Continuation of the trend

I think we are on the cusp, over the course of the next 5-6 hours, of the thrust that will break the foreshortened H&S theory. I believe the following wave peak exceeds that of the last by several hundred USD, in accordance with the pattern and supported by the supporting Ichimoku cloud accumulation. I do not argue with the need for correction -- that appears to ...

tchat tchat BTCUSD, 240,
BTCUSD: An alternative to the H&S perspective -- similar outcome
294 4 3
BTCUSD, 240
An alternative to the H&S perspective -- similar outcome

I can't quite buy into the skewed H&S breakdown, but see old-man BTC's need for a breather. A pitstop low enough to allow for a repeat of the last pattern would allow for a steady path to 7200 with some reliable volatility for short-term traders. I don't want to jinx hodlers, but I can't help but hope for the return to the 4600 neighborhood.

tchat tchat QTUMBTC, D, Long ,
QTUMBTC: Pitchfork scaffolded Fib extension
194 0 5
QTUMBTC, D Long
Pitchfork scaffolded Fib extension

Earlier I posted a QTUM model fully exptapolating a cloned repro of an Elliott correction extended by a leading 3-drives pattern. I don't think it's going to happen that way again, but I was curious how much earlier wave anomalies affect subsequent wave patterns. This one has a somewhat more conventional correction phase, so I'll let them play out just to see what ...

tchat tchat QTUMBTC, D, Long ,
QTUMBTC: Pfork scaffolded Fib extension w/ 3-drives in ABCD
157 0 7
QTUMBTC, D Long
Pfork scaffolded Fib extension w/ 3-drives in ABCD

For this chart to be valid, I think we'd have to see another BTG-driven debacle after QTUM's next peak. This one simply cloned the evident 3-drives pattern flowing in to Elliott Correction wave off of the previous peak onto the next pitchfork/Fib-extrapolated Elliott wave peak and tacking the corrective waves on the end of the 2nd 3-drives pattern to yield an ABCD ...

tchat tchat PTOYBTC, 240, Long ,
PTOYBTC: Price action possibilities for PTOY through year's end
133 0 3
PTOYBTC, 240 Long
Price action possibilities for PTOY through year's end

Like so many other oversold altcoins, Patientory appears ready for a possible 238% run-up over the course of the next two weeks. I think it really all depends upon what BTC holders decide to do with their post-25th proceeds -- coming up on the holiday season, after all. People may be more interested in buying real toys than PTOYs. All my altcoin charts are ...

tchat tchat BTCUSD, D, Long ,
BTCUSD: My two cents on near future BTC price action
332 2 7
BTCUSD, D Long
My two cents on near future BTC price action

I'm always reticent to call a top -- particularly a new ATH on something as emo-driven as BTC -- so I erred on the side of caution and interjected an "opinion" of $6400. I know this isn't valid TA, but as many arbitrary squiggles as I see hand-drawn on many charts, I figured I'd throw it into the pot. I'm pretty comfortable with the $3600 end of the correction ...

tchat tchat NXSBTC, D,
NXSBTC: Practice on NXS: multiple Fib methods to scaffold Elliott
275 2 2
NXSBTC, D
Practice on NXS: multiple Fib methods to scaffold Elliott

Publishing "notes to self" on a what-if? scenario to test a combination of pitchfork & Fib SR Fan (removed for visual clarity) to determine Elliott impulse wave 5 -- callouts are not recommendations but notes to see how the model performs into early December... Why NXS? Cause Nexus is an interesting project that gets no love.

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Quantum Resistant Ledger / Bitcoin
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Litecoin / Dollar
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Qtum / Bitcoin
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NAVCoin / Bitcoin
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Syndicate / Bitcoin
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Pivx / Bitcoin
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Ubiq / Bitcoin
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Patientory / Bitcoin
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Ethereum / Bitcoin
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