tmsbauer

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Joined
Markets Allocation
44 % forex 56 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
USDOLLAR 50% | 9 EURUSD 16% | 3 AUDUSD 5% | 1 NZDJPY 5% | 1
tmsbauer tmsbauer EURGBP, D, Short ,
EURGBP: EUR/GBP Short Below Key 5-Year Price Resistance Level at 0.85056
37 0 4
EURGBP, D Short
EUR/GBP Short Below Key 5-Year Price Resistance Level at 0.85056

Short below multi-year key resistance level on Daily bearish price action. Potential Long-Term carry trade opportunity.

tmsbauer tmsbauer NZDJPY, D, Long ,
NZDJPY: NZD/JPY - Long Above Key Support Levels
30 1 1
NZDJPY, D Long
NZD/JPY - Long Above Key Support Levels

Long above multi-year key price action support level 74.235. High confluence with very long-term key Fib level as well. Excellent long-term carry trade potential.

tmsbauer tmsbauer EURUSD, D, Long ,
EURUSD: Waiting for a EUR/USD Long Trigger
46 0 1
EURUSD, D Long
Waiting for a EUR/USD Long Trigger

With the USDollar continuing the downtrend, I am still looking to buy the Euro. In order to enter a new long position, I need to wait for price to pull back to support at 1.12. Then, I need to see proof in price action that the sellers can't take over, and buyers are willing to move price back up. Looking for wicks below 1.12 with daily closes above that ...

tmsbauer tmsbauer USDOLLAR, D, Short ,
USDOLLAR: Market Offers the USDollar - Looking to Sell at Resistance
12 0 1
USDOLLAR, D Short
Market Offers the USDollar - Looking to Sell at Resistance

A huge miss today in Non-Farm Payrolls. The USDollar theme has moved back to the soft-side. The odds are now heavily against the Fed raising interest rates this month, and as such, the market has offered the dollar. Trading Bias: Looking for opportunities to sell the dollar from a key resistance level unless we get big news along with a big shift in trader ...

tmsbauer tmsbauer EURUSD, D, Short ,
EURUSD: EURUSD Downside Risk Still Favored Until This Changes
66 0 0
EURUSD, D Short
EURUSD Downside Risk Still Favored Until This Changes

EURUSD momentum is still firmly to the downside at the moment. We are looking for opportunities to short unless we see momentum shift to the upside. If price crosses back into the range of the previous Renko bar based on the daily ATR(52) 92 PIP box, we will close any open short positions. Our bias will shift to long if we see a bullish Renko bar close on this ...

tmsbauer tmsbauer USDOLLAR, 30, Short ,
USDOLLAR: USDollar Uptrend Stalls, Breaks Lower
9 0 0
USDOLLAR, 30 Short
USDollar Uptrend Stalls, Breaks Lower

The USDollar Index broke bullish price structure, triggering our short entry orders on the USD major pairs. Retail traders have reduced their long USD positions slightly, but net positioning is still heavily long. This indicates the downside continuation risk outweighs long risk at the moment. We will hold our short USD positions until price structure breaks ...

tmsbauer tmsbauer USDOLLAR, 60, Short ,
USDOLLAR: Retail Trader Positioning and Market Structure Favor USD Shorts
20 0 0
USDOLLAR, 60 Short
Retail Trader Positioning and Market Structure Favor USD Shorts

The USDollar is currently moving up in a bullish wave on the 1-hour timeframe, corrective of the last downward wave that started on April 28. Overall, retail traders continue to stack long USD positions. These two factors, current bullish market price structure, and aggregate USDollar retail trader bullish positioning, indicate downside risk is favored to upside ...

tmsbauer tmsbauer USDOLLAR, 30, Short ,
USDOLLAR: USDollar Still Correcting Up But Waiting for Short Break
26 0 0
USDOLLAR, 30 Short
USDollar Still Correcting Up But Waiting for Short Break

Market structure and retail trader positioning have stacked the odds in favor of a continuation of the intermediate term downtrend in place since April this year. Retail traders are still heavily long the USDollar. Currently, the market is still correcting up from that last impulsive downward move. Regardless of the outcome of the NFP report this morning, we ...

tmsbauer tmsbauer AUDUSD, 30, Long ,
AUDUSD: AUD/USD Pending Long Breakout
47 0 3
AUDUSD, 30 Long
AUD/USD Pending Long Breakout

AUDUSD Price Action Trend is Slightly Bullish. Retail Trader sentiment is net short at -1.6982. Buy Stop set above daily Cam Pivot R4 level 0.7757. Confluent channel resistance breakout level also at 0.7757.

tmsbauer tmsbauer USDOLLAR, 15, Long ,
USDOLLAR: USDOLLAR Reverses Again Back to the Upside
21 0 0
USDOLLAR, 15 Long
USDOLLAR Reverses Again Back to the Upside

Confirmed short reversal yesterday turned again today. USDollar turned bullish again. Closed short positions and opened longs this morning across the key majors - USDJPY, NZDUSD, GBPUSD,EURUSD,AUDUSD.

tmsbauer tmsbauer USDOLLAR, 15, Short ,
USDOLLAR: US Dollar Short Reversal Confirmed on 15 Minute Index
17 0 0
USDOLLAR, 15 Short
US Dollar Short Reversal Confirmed on 15 Minute Index

The USDollar broke lower this morning, confirmed by an Ichimoku turn on the 15 Minute index chart. Entered and holding short dollar positions across the key majors until and unless an Ichimoku bullish reversal is confirmed on 15m USDollar Index chart.

tmsbauer tmsbauer USDOLLAR, 15, Short ,
USDOLLAR: US Dollar - Daily Trend Still Down - Short Risk Favored
18 0 0
USDOLLAR, 15 Short
US Dollar - Daily Trend Still Down - Short Risk Favored

US Dollar - Long-Term Trend Still Down - Short Risk Favored Currently, USDollar is still rising in a short-term uptrend, a correction to the longer-term downtrend which is still in place on the Daily/240min time frames. Price is nearing the 50% retracement level of that longer-term downtrend. So at this very moment (10:50 AM ET on 3/23), there is absolutely no ...

tmsbauer tmsbauer USDOLLAR, 240, Long ,
USDOLLAR: US Dollar Strength Continues
10 0 1
USDOLLAR, 240 Long
US Dollar Strength Continues

Long dollar opportunities sub 4HR.

tmsbauer tmsbauer GBPUSD, D, Short ,
GBPUSD: GBP/USD - Any Short In A Storm
54 0 0
GBPUSD, D Short
GBP/USD - Any Short In A Storm

GBP/USD - Short Bias. Even with relative dollar weakness at the moment, Cable risk is still favored to the downside. Trend is down, lower swing high confirmed, and price closed on Daily below 1.45 support handle, now new resistance. EMAs are flat, not indicating any bullish momentum at the moment. Price closed below the EMAs as well. Retail traders have added ...

tmsbauer tmsbauer EURUSD, D, Long ,
EURUSD: EURUSD - Long Bias For This Week Unless This Changes
60 0 0
EURUSD, D Long
EURUSD - Long Bias For This Week Unless This Changes

EURUSD - Bullish market sentiment is evidenced by the daily breakout and close above the key price and confluent long-term Fib resistance level at 1.1043 on 2/3. Adding further weight to a long-side bias for this week, retail net open interest stands at -1.6927, indicating continued long risk exposure is more favorable than taking-on short risk. At least until ...

tmsbauer tmsbauer SPX500, W, Short ,
SPX500: Equity Risk Trends Still Tilted to the Downside
64 0 1
SPX500, W Short
Equity Risk Trends Still Tilted to the Downside

SPX500 - Bias short below 2137 handle. Retail traders still holding long positions at 1.7:1 ratio, indicating downside continuation risk still outweighs upside risk. This week looking to short risk if market bounces to any resistance level up to 2137 as long as retail trader sentiment still remains to long side along with 8/21 EMAs below upper trend line ...

tmsbauer tmsbauer USDOLLAR, D, Short ,
USDOLLAR: US Dollar - Market Still Bearish USD
21 0 0
USDOLLAR, D Short
US Dollar - Market Still Bearish USD

US Dollar - Overall USD market sentiment still bearish as long as price closes below 12306 level on Daily chart and 8/21 Daily EMAs are crossed down.

tmsbauer tmsbauer USDJPY, D, Short ,
USDJPY: Trade Setup for This Week - USD/JPY Short
51 0 0
USDJPY, D Short
Trade Setup for This Week - USD/JPY Short

USD/JPY - Bear Market. Retail traders are net long 2.8:1. This confirms further downside continuation risk outweighs upside risk at the moment. Negated if price closes on Daily Chart above 1.1832 handle and 9/21 EMAs have crossed up. Bearish bias also negated if retail trader positioning drastically falls or reverses. Trade Options Option 1: Wait for price ...

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