xtrader1

xtrader1

Volume Profile shows imbalance above 1.25 Also Weekly Supply-zone

xtrader1

- RSA W1: GBP strong, CHF weakening - COT: GBP buying longs AND selling shorts, CHF only selling shorts - LVL: PMH & PWH at 1.1540, CQH at 1.1570, levels approached but not yet purged - PP: MPP predicts MR2 = 1.1810 - TA: Price makes HH > HL since mid NOV - PTRN: W + 1st push completed - VOL: Volume preceeds price on H4, Price above QVWAP but BELOW MVWAP & WVWAP -...

xtrader1 Updated 

Looking for EURCHF to move higher to 1.00 and above Technically we see a Break of Market Structure (BMS) on the Daily Volume Delta is building positively

xtrader1

- Seasonally AUD is strong in DOC - Seasonally USD is weak in DEC - Institutions bought below 0.6250, looking for 1000 Pip Mark Up - Seasonal target is 0.7250 before USD gets strong again (in JAN) - Correlation: NZD is leading, AUD is lagging - COT confirms the move higher

xtrader1 Updated 

- RUSSEL back to 2000 - Seasonally Russel is strong in DEC - Seasonally Dollar is weak in DEC - W-pattern + 1st Push unfolded - Looking for stophunt high and low, then 2nd Push - 2nd Push is run from 1850 to 2000 = MPP to MR2 - Also Demand-zone and 2 Deviation of Channel - COT supportive of move higher, Dealers more short and less long

xtrader1

- After Climax Low GBPCHF is now in a Higher Timeframe Accumulation - Initial buying below 1.10 - Looking for a 1000 pip mark up to 1.20 to offset longs - Inermediate selling longs along the way - 200Fib Extension of recent drop is Previous Year Open = 1.20+ - COT favors GBP abovce CHF COT VISUAL: images2.imgbox.com

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- Seasonally spoken NZD is supposed to be the strongest amongst the Majors - USD is supposed to weak in DEC - Seems like Institutions bought below 0.5750 - Looking for an offset 1000 pips higher above 0.6750 - 0.6250 = Previous Year Middle = Imbalance = GAP = Support - Volume preceeds price on the Daily - COT shows Asset Managers accumulationg longs and...

xtrader1

- Seasonally spoken NZD is supposed to be the strongest amongst the Majors - USD is supposed to weak in DEC - Seems like Institutions bought below 0.5750 - Looking for an offset 1000 pips higher above 0.6750 - 0.6250 = Previous Year Middle = Imbalance = GAP = Support - Volume preceeds price on the Daily - COT shows Asset Managers accumulationg longs and...

xtrader1

- Seasonal: S&P is supposed to be strong in DEC - Seasonal: USD is supposed to be weak in DEC - Pattern: Q4 created a W + 1st push, 2nd push is to be expected after stophunt - Technical: Bullish break of Market Structure on the Daily in OCT - Efficiency: D1 overlapping Gaps + Imbalances offer support around 3900 and 4000 - S&D: Weekly Supply-zone at 4500 with...

xtrader1

- Seasonally CNH is strong in DEC + JAN - Seasonally USD is weak in DEC - Technically a Wyckoff distribution seems to unfold - A last upthrust / stophunt could happen but not likely - Looking for a 1 deviation drop = sellside liquidity-zone

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Looking for higher prices in Crude Price cap talk, Diesel shortage and OPEC+ cuts all hint on higer prices

xtrader1

- Seasonally MXN is strong in NOC/DEC - Seasonally USD is weak in DEC - COT supports this outlook - Asset Managers + Leveraged Money accumulating Longs - Leveraged Money also distributing Shorts - Looking for a drop from DEC Pivot to DEC S2 - Higher Timeframe objective is Weekly Bullish Orderblock at 18.80 COT: images2.imgbox.com

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- Seasonally EUR is strong in DEC - Seasonally USD is weak in DEC - COT-data supports higher prices - Looking for a run from DEC Pivot to DEC R1 = 1.0750

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Seasonally Gold is strong in DEC Seasonally USD is weak in DEC GOLD Speculators COT-data supports this outlook Speculators accumulating longs while distributing shorts Looking for a run from DEC PP to DEC R1 = 2022 Yearly Open COT: images2.imgbox.com

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Looking for a weakening Dollar in DEC Seasoanlly Dollar is weaker end of year Run from Monthly Pivot to Monthly S2

xtrader1

- Looking for US5Y-Yield to move above DEC Monthly Pivot - Followed by a drop to DEC S1 = GAP - Dollar-Index should follow Yield and weaken after 1st week of DEC

xtrader1

Looking for EURUSD to weaken while Dollar retraces up in NOV Begin DEC Dollar should roll over and become weak again Higher Timeframe outlook for EURUSD is bullish 1.0750 is (first?) target COT shows Asset Managers buying EUR COT CHART: www.awesomescreenshot.com

xtrader1

- Price is back above 2022 Mid-level - 2022 Open = 2022 High = 2023 Yearly R1 = Imbalance - If Dollar-weakness continues in DEC a rally higher is likely - Wyckoff accumulation-pattern completed - Look to buy the retrace begin DEC