zevgma

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About me Professional investor | Founder of "Wealth"
Joined Russia zevgma_richman
Markets Allocation
78 % forex 22 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
USDCAD 14% | 4 AUDUSD 11% | 3 GBPJPY 11% | 3 XAUUSD 11% | 3
zevgma zevgma EURJPY, 60, Short ,
EURJPY: Possible short
42 0 6
EURJPY, 60 Short
Possible short

The chart says it all: previous PA at the current level & divergence with MACD. What the chart doesn't say however is that the overall trend is still bearish and has a lot of room to the downside. So this may be a good mid-term short position, if the level holds. -- Everything I write about - I buy and sell for myself and my Investors. Please hit LIKE button if ...

zevgma zevgma USOIL, D, Short ,
USOIL: Hello sweet 16?
242 0 2
USOIL, D Short
Hello sweet 16?

There you go. The long-awaited top is finally here, it seems. If 30 doesn't hold (and it likely does not), prices may head all the way down to around 16 and probably even 10. The latter would likely bring a more substantial recovery though and mark the end of "crisis", so... good news? -- Everything I write about - I buy and sell for myself and my ...

zevgma zevgma GBPUSD, D, Short ,
GBPUSD: Is this finally a turning point?
78 0 4
GBPUSD, D Short
Is this finally a turning point?

Cable's downtrend has weakened lately. Nonetheless, it's still on. Prices have now arrived to the resistance area they fell from last time, in the middle of February. If this really is a turning point, we may see the downtrend continue to the potentially final target of the whole move at 1.33. We may be there as soon as in the end of April. -- Everything I write ...

zevgma zevgma AUDUSD, D, Short ,
AUDUSD: Dear passengers...
156 0 5
AUDUSD, D Short
Dear passengers...

...the doors are closing now. Please make yourself comfortable. Our journey will last for four months. P.S. Wait for a confirmation first! -- Everything I write about - I buy and sell for myself and my Investors. Please hit LIKE button if you find this analysis useful, so as I know you do. Please FOLLOW ME here on TradingView to see what I see, when I see ...

zevgma zevgma USDCHF, M, Short ,
USDCHF: With today's powerful break on daily charts...
26 0 4
USDCHF, M Short
With today's powerful break on daily charts...

...is this divergence finally starting to come into action? If so, we may see a continuation of a larger downtrend towards 0.70 in the months to come. -- Everything I write about - I buy and sell for myself and my Investors. Please hit LIKE button if you find this analysis useful, so as I know you do. Please FOLLOW ME here on TradingView to see what I see, when ...

zevgma zevgma GBPJPY, 60, Short ,
GBPJPY: Looks like a short
56 0 4
GBPJPY, 60 Short
Looks like a short

We've put so much energy into this recent up-move - still running out of steam. Got to wait until MACD starts going down, completing the "hill". -- Everything I write about - I buy and sell for myself and my Investors. Please hit LIKE button if you find this analysis useful, so as I know you do. Please FOLLOW ME here on TradingView to see what I see, when I see ...

zevgma zevgma USDCAD, M,
USDCAD: Is this the shocking truth?
121 2 5
USDCAD, M
Is this the shocking truth?

Seems like all those recession talks are "kinda true". Although, why care if you are a trader? ;) Just sell it... -- Everything I write about - I buy and sell for myself and my Investors. Please hit LIKE button if you find this analysis useful, so as I know you do. Please FOLLOW ME here on TradingView to see what I see, when I see it. You can also JOIN ME on ...

zevgma zevgma EURGBP, D, Long ,
EURGBP: Seems we're still long on this
37 0 3
EURGBP, D Long
Seems we're still long on this

Prices are reluctant to go lower. And this divergence might be an explanation. I'll wait for a break of 0.78 before going long. -- Everything I write about - I buy and sell for myself and my Investors. Please hit LIKE button if you find this analysis useful, so as I know you do. Please FOLLOW ME here on TradingView to see what I see, when I see it. You can also ...

zevgma zevgma AUDUSD, 60, Long ,
AUDUSD: zTheory: Hidden divergence with MACD. A real-time example.
287 5 8
AUDUSD, 60 Long
zTheory: Hidden divergence with MACD. A real-time example.

Here's a real-time example of a "hidden divergence" between MACD and price. I'd like to share the way I translate it into a human language. You are aware of the "effort versus result" rule, right? Such as, you expect your car's engine to start when you turn the key or to feel warmer when you put on a sweater. I guess you are. So think of MACD as of an effort ...

zevgma zevgma NZDUSD, 60, Long ,
NZDUSD: NZDUSD long is coming soon
31 0 3
NZDUSD, 60 Long
NZDUSD long is coming soon

With an overall bullish picture on daily chart we have a divergence with MACD and an oversold Stoch RSI. The plain RSI, however, has just crossed 50 from above, so we've got a little problem here. But this may be due to the short-term overbought condition (better observed on 4h charts) and a formation of a temporary top as a consequence. I'll be waiting for 1h ...

zevgma zevgma GBPNZD, D, Short ,
GBPNZD: Isn't this beautiful?
61 0 5
GBPNZD, D Short
Isn't this beautiful?

At first, it may seem to be a little bit too late to short this market already. But prices are still in the upper half of the channel. What's more, we have a bearish-friendly development on monthly charts, in case you prefer to hold your positions open for months. -- Everything I write about - I buy and sell for myself and my Investors. Please hit LIKE button if ...

zevgma zevgma GBPJPY, D, Short ,
GBPJPY: Don't give it up on a short!
97 2 4
GBPJPY, D Short
Don't give it up on a short!

Unfortunately, the 160 psychological level couldn't hold bulls' attack. But bears are still clearly in control of the market. Since Stoch RSI is already overbought and RSI is firmly below 50, I'll be waiting for MACD to start showing negative dynamics to enter my short trade towards 150 next. -- Everything I write about - I buy and sell for myself and my ...

zevgma zevgma AUDUSD, D, Short ,
AUDUSD: Beware of a possible "bulls trap" ahead!
215 0 3
AUDUSD, D Short
Beware of a possible "bulls trap" ahead!

Suddenly we're now above the major resistance of 0.7385. At least to me this was quite unexpected, since I somehow fixed my mind on a possible move to the downside. But I should have been more careful and should have noticed these two things: 1. Momentum indicators were clearly pointing higher. 2. Gold price made a new high, which is important for Australian ...

zevgma zevgma USDRUB, D,
USDRUB: Is ruble's rally slowing down?
416 3 3
USDRUB, D
Is ruble's rally slowing down?

This case is very similar to the one with the European currency versus the one of Russia. The latter have been showing strength since the late January and, from technical perspective, this is about to end quite soon. I expect prices to hold and consolidate around 70 rub. for a while before finally bouncing up towards 100 psychological level, which, if everything ...

zevgma zevgma EURRUB, D,
EURRUB: Is Ruble's rally about to end?
280 0 3
EURRUB, D
Is Ruble's rally about to end?

Despite a prolonged period of strengthening of the Russian currency versus the one of European Union, the decline shows signs of deceleration and possible reversal in tune with a larger uptrend towards psychological level of 100 and beyond. The latter is unlikely however, since it looks like the major uptrend itself is getting tired already. If everything goes as ...

zevgma zevgma EURUSD, 240, Short ,
EURUSD: Keeps going down?
106 0 6
EURUSD, 240 Short
Keeps going down?

Technically, as of now, it's more neutral than bearish. I see some downside potential nonetheless. Please see chart for more details.

zevgma zevgma USOIL, D, Short ,
USOIL: US Oil price starts to decline
112 0 0
USOIL, D Short
US Oil price starts to decline

Despite rising prices and the fact that a fresh high was made recently, US Oil price still fails to close above 34.79 for the second day in a row and, in fact, holds below this level as I write this note. The major downtrend is still on and the rise looks corrective from a technical perspective. A divergence with MACD can be clearly seen. And MACD starts to ...

zevgma zevgma USDCAD, D, Long ,
USDCAD: A Bullish Divergence with MACD
73 0 3
USDCAD, D Long
A Bullish Divergence with MACD

A divergence with MACD after such a fall is taken as a sign of a slowdown and a loss of a downside momentum. Fits perfectly in overall long-term bullish trend conditions. Ahrr, if only MACD determined prices' direction... I'd trade it a-all day!

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