LazyBear

Indicator: Forecast Oscillator & a BB extrapolation experiment

688
FOSC (Forecast Oscillator, %F) is implemented as explained by Kaufman (there are lot of representations out there, using linregs, this one is not.).

This indicator plots a 3-period smoothing of %F. When %F = 0, the trend line and prices are moving parallel to one another; when %F is above 0 the market is accelerating away from the trend line; when %F is below 0 prices are slowing down and the two series are converging.

Now on to the BB extrapolation: As you can see above, a 21-period BB on 1W shows 2 volatile areas of same length. Simple projection using the same time periods gives us a similar volatile area in another 105d. FOSC is forming a similar pattern now as of the first area. More information in the chart markings.

Interesting thing for me was how my other chart (www.tradingview.com/v/HeSyTev8/) aligned with this. Lets see how far these timelines are respected.

In the mean time, feel free to "Make mine" this and use FOSC in your charts. Appreciate any feedback / comments.

List of my free indicators: bit.ly/1LQaPK8
List of my indicators at Appstore: blog.tradingview.com/?p=970
Open-source script

In true TradingView spirit, the author of this script has published it open-source, so traders can understand and verify it. Cheers to the author! You may use it for free, but reuse of this code in a publication is governed by House Rules. You can favorite it to use it on a chart.

Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.

Want to use this script on a chart?
//
// @author LazyBear
// 
study(title = "Forecast Oscillator [LazyBear]", shorttitle="ForecastOsc_LB")
pf=100*((close[0]-close[1])/close[0])
//plot(pf, color=green)
plot(sma(pf,3), color=orange)
hline(0)