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Editors' picks

Visualizing Business and Market Cycles Through Momentum: 2In part one, we discussed using a market momentum matrix to anticipate the business cycle, the potential inflection in the macro environment and shared the final distillation of the current momentum matrix. In part 2 we discuss how the MACD oscillator is used to build the matrix. Methodology: Individual markets and ratios are plotted in the quadrant that best describes their combination of momentum and price action. The precise point where the individual plots fall in the matrix is not nearly as important as the overall pattern of multiple plot points and the general weight of the evidence. It is important to realize that the momentum state is not always obvious. Accept that its messy and use your best judgement in deciding on quadrants. The idea is build a general view of the market and economic cycle. What defines the momentum quadrant? The monthly perspective moving average convergence divergence oscillator (MACD). The individual quadrants reflect the relationship between the 13 and 26 month exponentially smoothed averages. Quadrant One: Waning Bear: In this quadrant momentum is bearish with the shorter average below the longer average, but the difference between the two is becoming less. Momentum is still lower, but at a decreasing rate. Quadrant Two: Strong Advance: In this quadrant momentum is bullish with the shorter average above the longer average and the difference between the two is becoming greater. Momentum is higher at an increasing rate. Quadrant Three: Waning Bull: In this quadrant momentum is bullish with the shorter average above the longer average, but the difference between the two is becoming less. Momentum is still higher, but at a decreasing rate. Quadrant Four: Strong Decline: In this quadrant momentum is bearish with the shorter average below the longer average and the difference between the two is becoming greater. Momentum is lower at an increasing rate. Trading Ranges: A market in a trading range is removed from the matrix until it breaks from the range even if MACD momentum has been falling/rising for months. Recycling: It is not unusual for auctions to become overbought or oversold, lose momentum, move into a neighboring quadrant for a few months and then cycle back. When this happens, use your judgment as to which quadrant to place the auction in. This pattern most typically occurs in an market that has reached a momentum extreme in the perspective of one lower degree and typically appears only once. I think this is currently happening in equities. Bearish momentum is waning as weekly momentum became deeply oversold, but monthly price charts, in my estimation, don't support a change in trend. In part 3 we will place individual auctions into the matrix and begin to outline market relationships to the business cycle. And finally, many of the topics and techniques discussed in this post are part of the CMT Associations Chartered Market Technician’s curriculum. Good Trading: Stewart Taylor, CMT Chartered Market Technician Taylor Financial Communications Shared content and posted charts are intended to be used for informational and educational purposes only. The CMT Association does not offer, and this information shall not be understood or construed as, financial advice or investment recommendations. The information provided is not a substitute for advice from an investment professional. The CMT Association does not accept liability for any financial loss or damage our audience may incur.
Editors' picks
15
As we approach the last Fed/ECB meetings of the year.Last week, while the Federal Reserve changed its rhetoric from ‘hiking to fight inflation at all cost’ to ‘slow the pace of rate hike’, seismic waves rolled over the markets. As we approach the last central bank meetings of the year, the ECB meets on (15th Dec), Fed on the (14th Dec). A temperature check on the expected path of rates for the 2 major central banks would give us a good sense to position ourselves. The Fed After Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s speech last Wednesday at the Brookings Institution in Washington, one line in particular (“The time for moderating the pace of rate increases may come as soon as the December meeting.”) shifted the market’s perspective. With the USD weakening further and terminal rates repricing slower and lower than expected, markets seem to have priced in a 50-basis point hike by the Fed in its December meeting. A slowdown from the back-to-back 75 basis point hikes we have come accustomed to. As noted in the chart above the EURUSD pair has generally moved alongside the dollar direction, should the dollar continue its tumble downwards, the EURUSD is likely to trade higher. The ECB After raising rates by 75 basis points in the last meeting to 1.5%, the ECB still faces mounting inflation. Market expectations still swing between a 50 to 75 bps hike for the upcoming ECB meeting as the Eurozone still struggles with high inflation. The ECB may also have more headroom to maneuver as current rates remain below the expected terminal rate and the 200 basis points hike still pales in comparison to the Fed’s 375 basis points move. However, we do have to caveat that intricacies matter here, for example, the inflationary effects in the US are largely driven by the demand side, while in the Eurozone are driven by supply-side effects. Regardless, the next few days will remain key for any policymaker comments to guide the markets as the meeting date nears. Policy timing and direction uncertainty put the EURUSD pair on our watchlist. The last time the 2 central banking policy timelines diverged, we called it out on one of our previous ideas. You can check out here . Additionally, we spot an ascending triangle pattern on the chart which generally signifies a bullish continuation. With the previous ascending triangle breaking out in a textbook manner, we will watch if the current setup trades the same. Prices have also broken a previous support-turn-resistance level, which could prove as further conviction of the upward move. With a clear technical setup and the potential for the ECB to surprise hikes to the upside, we lean bullish on the EURUSD pair. We set our stop at the 1.0440 level, and take profit level at 1.0900, with each 0.00005 increment per EUR in the EURUSD futures contract equal to 6.25$. The charts above were generated using CME’s Real-Time data available on TradingView. Inspirante Trading Solutions is subscribed to both TradingView Premium and CME Real-time Market Data which allows us to identify trading set-ups in real-time and express our market opinions. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com Disclaimer: The contents in this Idea are intended for information purpose only and do not constitute investment recommendation or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products or services. They serve as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate fundamental concepts in risk management under given market scenarios. A full version of the disclaimer is available in our profile description. Sources: www.cmegroup.com www.ecb.europa.eu www.federalreserve.gov
Editors' picks
Long
2
ARK Worth investing into this long-term Bullish DivergenceThe ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK) has been holding the 33.30 Support since the October 10 1W candle. As shown on this 1W time-frame, this is the Support that was formed on the March 16 2020 low during the COVID crash. Perhaps the most important development here is that, while the price has been on Lower Lows since June 13, the 1W RSI has been on Higher Lows, flashing a huge Bullish Divergence. Holding the 30.30 Support is a strong signal that the market may have bottomed and a strong rebound is about to begin. The first Resistance is the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and the Q1 target for us is the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), which had the last major rejection on ARK (March 28). It is interesting to observe how strong Resistance (and Support) levels the Fibonacci lines have formed during this 2 year correction, especially in the upper bands. They can be used as targets later on after the 1W MA50 and MA200 break. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, SUBSCRIBE ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support me, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- You may also TELL ME 🙋‍♀️🙋‍♂️ in the comments section which symbol you want me to analyze next and on which time-frame. The one with the most posts will be published tomorrow! 👏🎁 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Editors' picks
Long
24
Decade long structure emerging on the Silver chartIt is interesting to study the Production/Accumulation/Distribution/Industrial Demand as well. Silver seems to hit a breaching point where physical prices have a premium about +45% for buying it and +20% for selling pure silver bullion coins. Troy oz./oz. is about 1.10, which should reflect a recomended trading price of 25.4$ per troy oune. Anybody able to buy at these prices? Another interesting peak that was reached lately is the Gold/Silver Ratio reaching +104 lvl's, an increadable bias for gold if you look at the ratio that existed about 100 years ago, which is 10. . In less then 6 months time this ratio is today +70. This is a technical indicator for a strong bear legg starting a decade long correction for the multi decade long bull market in favour of Gold. This is the first leg down, and there is a lot of space for continued correction, bringing the price to a 'recommended equilibrium'. Platinum as wel is comming back from an all time low Platinum to gold ratio 0.39 to the 0.6. Interestingly the platinum price is not having a ticker as far as I now that goes back for 100 years, which is the scale that the trend is carrying apparently for multiple precious metals. Chemistry table books presenting value of the pure element refer to a rule of tumb for pricing, that refered to the relative abundance of those elements before the 80's, here the Platinum over Gold ratio is documented to be 2x over multiple years, presumingly a good rule of tumb ratio of price to handle as historical mean. It's becoming clear that there is some mechanism (or a superposition of multiple mechanisms) enables the overrepresentation of 'exchangeble silver tickets'. And it is difficult to find trustworthy data on the abundance of each element to date. Especially yearly mining reports giving estimeates that are discripant over 10 years, look at a mining report in 1992,2002;2012,2022 and the quality of these estimates seem to be worthless for what the physical reality could represent. Still in search for a good dataset, one could do a basic maximum physical element estimate by taking the continental crust elementary abundance calculation on the earth being a perfect sphere, having about 40% continental crust on it's surface, the maximal depth of a mine is one in south-africa, reaching 4km deep, however the mean depth of a mine will like be less than a km deep. you could go further and eliminate regions that are definetly not minable or mined (sahara, himalaya mountains, ..) but this is in my opinion the best approach to find the global maxima for the elements that are available on our beatiful planet.
Editors' picks
Long
27
Ethereum Analysis 03.12.2022Hello Traders, welcome to this free and educational analysis. I am going to explain where I think this asset is going to go over the next few days and weeks and where I would look for trading opportunities. If you have any questions or suggestions which asset I should analyse tomorrow, please leave a comment below. I will personally reply to every single comment! If you enjoyed this analysis, I would definitely appreciate it, if you smash that like button and maybe consider following my channel. Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
Editors' picks
37
Trends could allow some further upward movementI'm really mixed going into today. I'm going to be a bit bullish, only because I think there is a lot of upward trend movement. However, we are maxed out on trends yet again here, so I am not sure we make it much higher, and I think this rally may be coming to a close, at least briefly. The trends for today are; Last Macro Trend Signal Spots 30m - 4060 Downtrend (12/01/2022) Higher Low 1Hr - 4005 Uptrend (11/30/2022) Higher High 2Hr - 4041 Uptrend (11/30/2022) Higher High 3Hr - 4082 Uptrend (11/30/2022) Higher High 4Hr - 4093 Uptrend (11/30/2022) Higher High 6Hr - 4091 Uptrend (11/30/2022) Higher High 12Hr - 4091 Uptrend (11/30/2022) Higher High Daily - 3923 Uptrend (10/28/2022) Lower High Weekly - 4366 Downtrend (2/14/2022) Higher Low Overall, as I say in the video, I'd like to see us shoot up to that 4hr uptrending line, and I would short the market again, especially as it meets a downtrending line of all price action for the year. If we go lower from here, I'll have to decide where I want to enter at if things show significant weakness. Economic Data - We have Unemployment here shortly and payroll numbers. Both should cause some market shock, so sit back and enjoy the ride. My overall sentiment; Shorter Term - Slightly Bullish Short Term - Neutral Medium Term - Bearish Long Term - Bearish/Neutral
Editors' picks
24
GBP USD - FUNDAMENTAL DRIVERSGBP FUNDAMENTAL OUTLOOK: WEAK BEARISH BASELINE A looming recession has been a key source of Pound weakness and has kept pressure on Sterling despite ongoing BoE hikes. At their NOV policy decision, the BoE’s updated projections showed a deeper and longer recession than previously thought, as well as a stern push back against current market pricing for the high implied rate path. However, rate markets did not respond to this with only marginal downside in terminal rate expectations. With the new budget now out of the way, the markets should turn their attention to what this means for the economic outlook and means economic data & BoE policy should start to matter a bit more again. Unfortunately, the week ahead is extremely light so the main driver will probably be overall risk sentiment. POSSIBLE BULLISH SURPRISES With recession the base assumption, any incoming data that surprises meaningfully higher could trigger relief for the GBP. With focus on stagflation, any downside surprises in CPI or factors that decrease inflation pressures are expected to support the GBP and not pressure it. Any overly positive takes from BoE speak regarding the budget could be taken as a positive for Sterling. POSSIBLE BEARISH SURPRISES With recession the base assumption, any material downside surprises in growth data can still trigger short-term pressure. With focus on stagflation, any upside surprises in CPI or factors that increase more inflation pressures are expected to weigh on the GBP and not support it. Any overly negative takes from BoE speak regarding the budget could be taken as a negative for Sterling. BIGGER PICTURE The fundamentals for Sterling remain bearish with the UK already in a recession based on recent data. At least the new PM has provided some calm to the fiscal situation and political uncertainty though. Expectations are for a lot of pain ahead for the UK economy which means the fundamental outlook remains bearish . But with a lot of bad news priced, we’re looking for shortterm upside opportunities. USD FUNDAMENTAL OUTLOOK: BULLISH BASELINE The Fed is on a data-dependent (meeting-by-meeting) policy stance, meaning incoming growth, inflation and jobs data remains a key driver for short-term USD volatility where we expect a cyclical reaction for both the USD and US10Y (good data expected to be supportive for the USD and US yields while bad data is expected to pressure the USD and US yields). The Fed is still under pressure to continue hiking rates and ramping up QT, but last week’s decent deceleration in the OCT CPI report has given markets some solace from inflation angst. Money markets shed about 30bsp off the implied terminal rate. As a result of this the USD saw intense selling but has largely stabilized this week. Like we’ve said many times, right now is all about the data. The data will lead the Fed, which means the data is what we should follow for high probability short-term directional flows for the USD. In the week ahead, we have a few of important data points such as ISM Manufacturing PMI and NFP on Friday. However, also pay close attention to the scheduled speech from Fed Chair Powell on Wednesday. POSSIBLE BULLISH SURPRISES With the Fed signalling a data dependent policy stance, we expect a cyclical reaction from the USD with incoming US data. Thus, extremely good growth, inflation or jobs data is expected to trigger short-term bullish reactions in the USD. If the cyclical outlook continues to weaken, the USD’s safe haven status still matters. Any incoming catalysts that increase deep recession fears and triggers strong moves lower in risk assets & bonds can trigger safe haven flows into the USD. With a lot priced for the Fed and USD, the bar is high for hawkish Fed surprises, but any aggressive Fed speak talking up a >5.5% terminal rate can trigger further USD upside. The speech from Fed Chair Powell will be important. If he delivers the same stern hawkish tone that accompanied the prior FOMC presser, it can provide upside for the USD. POSSIBLE BEARISH SURPRISES With the Fed signalling a data dependent policy stance, we expect a cyclical reaction from the USD with incoming US data. Thus, extremely bad growth, inflation or jobs data is expected to trigger short-term bearish reactions in the USD. If the cyclical outlook starts to improve, the USD’s safe haven status still matters. Any incoming catalysts that decrease deep recession fears and triggers strong moves higher in risk assets & bonds can trigger safe haven outflows out of the USD. With a lot priced in for the Fed and the USD, it won’t take much to disappoint on the dovish side. Any big concerns about growth from Fed speakers could trigger outflows. BIGGER PICTURE The fundamental outlook for the USD remains bullish as long as the Fed stays aggressively hawkish and cyclical concerns put pressure on risk sentiment. However, it’s also important to remember that the data leads the Fed. That means, even though the USD remains fundamentally bullish in the currency negative cyclical environment, it’s short-term direction will largely be determined by the incoming data. Thus, in the current context, we prefer trading the USD in the short-term with scalps out of key US economic data points.
Editors' picks
22
The ECB's strong message, dovish FED, and a high alertYesterday, Bitcoin broke above the 17 000$ price tag in spite of a strong message coming out of the European Central Bank (ECB). The official Twitter account of the ECB tweeted that the price of Bitcoin is artificially held up (at the moment) and that soon it will embark on a journey to irrelevance. This is an unusual statement from the European officials, leaving us only to speculate about the workings behind the veil. Therefore, this message puts us on high alert. The actual message from the official Twitter account of ECB: "The apparent stabilisation of bitcoin’s value is likely to be an artificially induced last gasp before the crypto-asset embarks on a road to irrelevance. #TheECBblog looks at where bitcoin stands amid widespread volatility in the crypto markets." Meanwhile, on the other side of the world, Jerome Powell said during his speech that as soon as in December 2022, the pace of rate hikes might slow down. Despite this being nothing new, the market sought a pivot in Powell’s statements and rose across the board. However, the market discounts the fact that interest rates are here to stay for much longer than initially thought. Additionally, the market participants seem to ignore that rate hikes will continue to increase, putting more pressure on debt servicing and the overall economy. As a result, we expect the bear market to continue to unravel and drag prices of cryptocurrencies and stocks much lower over time. Accordingly, we maintain our price targets at 15 000$ and 13 000$. Illustration 1.01 Illustration 1.01 displays the daily chart of BTCUSD and two simple moving averages in a bearish constellation. The yellow arrow indicates the price retracement above the 20-day SMA, which often coincides with corrections and is bullish for the short term. Now, the 20-day SMA acts as a support level; meanwhile, the 50-day SMA acts as a resistance level. Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
Editors' picks
95
#BTC is getting ready for the Big move!!Hi guys, This is CryptoMojo, One of the most active trading view authors and fastest-growing communities. Consider following me for the latest updates and Long /Short calls on almost every exchange. I post short mid and long-term trade setups too. Let’s get to the chart! I have tried my best to bring the best possible outcome to this chart, Do not consider financial advice. #BTC UPDATE BTC is forming this big falling wedge pattern what is falling wedge pattern The falling wedge is a bullish pattern. Together with the rising wedge formation, these two create a powerful pattern that signals a change in the trend direction. In general, a falling wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal pattern, although there are examples when it facilitates a continuation of the same trend. *BTC Need to Clear the 18,500 Resistance to Confirm the Falling Wedge Breakout * RSI is also sowing some bullish divergences move *If it conform this pattern then according to the pattern we will see good bounce Stay tuned I will keep updating This chart is likely to help you make better trade decisions if it does consider upvoting it. I would also love to know your charts and views in the comment section. Thank you
Editors' picks
89

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Snaps

06 Dec

The natural ebb and flow

If we can take any lesson from the fact that Crocs are somehow back in fashion (thanks J-Biebs) it’s that trends change quickly and constantly. The ebb and flow of fashion will always continue, and the very same can be said for the markets – something that pandemic darlings like Peloton will attest to. As metaverse-related tokens get investors’ attention, remember that while the tide may be high right now – the water could be shallow.

Explore all daysExplore all days
AXSUSD
Putting the fun in non-fungible

Metaverse and NFT-focused cryptos took center stage on Monday with Axie Infinity giving major main character energy.

TSLA
Just trucking along

Tesla finally releases its loooooooong-anticipated electric truck, but should the brand be focusing on demand problems instead?

USDCUSD
Stablecoin SPAC sadness

Another victim has fallen prey to what everyone keeps calling “unprecedented market turmoil”, which tbf seems like a fair assessment of the situation.

USDINR
Rupee runs down the chart

The Indian rupee is traveling further into the red this week, but how is it holding up compared to other emerging markets?

VFC
It’s going timber(land)

Investors are tired of winter and go hunting for the sun after North Face and Timberland owner VF. Corp sends an H2 storm warning and loses its tour leader.

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Boeing Company (The)BA
Tilray Brands, Inc. - Class 2TLRY
Block, IncSQ
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Trade ideas

XAUUSD D1: BEARS SHORT HIGH TP 1600 USD (SL/TP/SWING)Why get subbed to me on Tradingview? -TOP author on TradingView -2000+ ideas published -15+ years experience in markets -Professional chart break downs -Supply/Demand Zones -TD9 counts / combo review -Key S/R levels -No junk on my charts -Frequent updates -Covering FX/crypto/US stocks -before/after analysis -24/7 uptime so constant updates 🎁Please hit the like button and 🎁Leave a comment to support our team! XAUUSD D1: BEARS SHORT HIGH TP 1600 USD (SL/TP/SWING) IMPORTANT NOTE: speculative setup. do your own due dill. use STOP LOSS. don't overleverage. Tagged as SHORT as I expect LOSSES OFF THE HIGHS read entire idea DO NOT MARKET SHORT IT! 🔸 Summary and potential trade setup ::: XAUUSD daily/candle chart review ::: previously recommended ::: TO BUY DIPS near 1750 USD TP 1850 USD ::: bullish impulse still in progress ::: but BEARS get ready to SHORT HIGH ::: updated/revised outlook ::: getting overextended but ::: more short-term gains possible/likely ::: BULLS coming strong off triple bottom ::: BUT already overbought / nearly maxed out ::: selling HIGH is a great reload BEARS ::: 0.62 will likely terminate the bull run ::: get ready to SHORT HIGH and get paid ::: currently stay out / wait for FINAL PUMP ::: BEST RELOAD ZONE for BEARS 1865/75 ::: short-term expect more gains ::: HIGHER RISK strategy: BUY DIPS/PULLBACKS ::: FINAL TP BULLS 1865 USD / higher risk ::: mid-term BEARS will target 1600 USD ::: LOWER risk strategy BEARS: SHORT HIGH 1860/70 USD ::: TP BEARS is 1600 USD final EXIT ::: BEST/recommended strategy: see above SHORT HIGH ::: slow market so you have to be patient ::: SWING trade setup do not expect ::: fast/miracle overnights gains here ::: good luck traders 🔸 Supply/Demand Zones ::: 1600 USD fresh demand zone ::: 1860 USD fresh supply zone 🔸 Other noteworthy technicals/fundies ::: TD9 /Combo update: N/A ::: Sentiment short-term: BULLS/1860USD ::: Sentiment mid-term: BEARS/1600 USD RISK DISCLAIMER: Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss. Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
33
RLinda ! GOLD-> False breakdown of key resistance Gold reached the important level of 1807.96 and drew a doji bar on the 1-hour timeframe. If the price decides to continue rising, I assume it will happen after a local consolidation above the 1807.96 level. The price is in a strong uptrend. The whole previous week was developing in the format of distributive movement, the price reached a strong resistance and consolidation of energy is needed for further growth, so I believe that the price can go down to important liquidity levels in the near future My guess is that if price can consolidate below the 1807.96 level, there is a chance of a decline to 1786, and with lesser probability to 1765. But if the bulls can consolidate above the level of 1807.96 after the retest, then the potential for growth to 1822.47 will open. Regards to R.Linda!
27
Bitcoin| Is Bitcoin About To Rise Again?Bitcoin| Is Bitcoin About To Rise Again? Today bitcoin is rising and it seems that market optimism is very high. Incremental volume and optimism can be addressed to this new week. So traders start trading again and the market is still waiting for a dovish FOMC this time again. Overall, this is creating a strange volume that is pushing the price higher. However, as I see it, the first and strongest area of resistance is just around the corner. Reversal zone 17600 - 18500. Inside the resistance zone, we can see the price fall again. Thanks and good luck!
19
Gold can continue to fall and break support levelHello my friends, today I want to talk to you about XAUUSD. I made a few conclusions about Gold. Not time ago price made strong upward impulse and exited from flat. Then Gold start to fall and broke old support line. Also, price made retest of new resistance line and now continue to move down. I expect that Gold can continue to fall and break support line. That's why I set up my target at $1770 level. I expect such a scenario. This is an article not financial advice, always do your own research. If you still have questions, you can write it in the comments below and I will answer them. And please don't forget to support this idea with your like and comment, thanks.
20
Ethereum price hints at possible growthIn November, when the BTCUSDT price updated the 2022 low, ETH buyers did not allow the price to update the annual low. In November, the fall of the ETHUSDT price stopped in the liquidity zone of $1000-1250. This zone has played an important role in supporting buyers since 2021. In the near future, Ethereum buyers have an important task to fix the Ether price above the liquidity zone, that is, above $1250 So, in the event of a "positive" in the cryptocurrency market, we have the following assumption of the possible movement of the ETHUSD price: Growth to $1540 - correction to $1200-1250 - growth to $1900 _____________________ Did you like our analysis? Leave a comment, like, and follow to get more
Long
32
Euro can start to rise and break resistance lineHello to the TradingView community and my followers, please, if you like ideas, don't forget to support them with likes and comments, thank you so much and we'll get started. Today, I want to talk to you about the Euro chart. Price trades inside of rising channel. Recently, Euro bounced from support zone to resistance line, but then fell back. At the moment price trades inside of support zone at rising channel. I expect that price can start to rise and break resistance line. Next, I think Euro can make retest of new support line and continue move up. That's why I set up my target at $1.0725 level. I expect this scenario. This is my opinion, I really hope it will be useful for you. Be prepared and save your money. Make big profits!
Long
17
EURUSD - Regression Channel points 1.17Hi Traders, Investors and Speculators 📈📉 Ev here. Been trading crypto since 2017 and later got into stocks. I have 3 board exams on financial markets and studied economics from a top tier university for a year. Daytime job - Math Teacher. 👩🏫 In today's analysis, here's a Forex update on the popular trading pair EURUSD. It's the last month of the year 2022; could we expect a Christmas rally? 📈 From a candlestick analysis , the Euro is looking to gain some ground against the Dollar with Three White Soldiers forming on the monthly chart. 📈 From a chart analysis / trend analysis , the regression trend that started in 2008 is still valid and the top of the regression parallel channel points towards 1.15 - 1.20 📈 From a technical indicator analysis, the RSI seems to be losing strength on it's way to the 50 mark and we'll need to see price action CLOSE over 1.08 to consider 1.15 resistance zone Sideways trading immediate term seems likely If you're interested in cryptocurrencies, check out this idea on ADAUSDT: _______________________ 📢Follow us here on TradingView for daily updates and trade ideas on crypto , stocks and commodities 💎Hit like & Follow 👍 We thank you for your support ! CryptoCheck
Long
21
Lingrid | GOLD outlook on 4H timeframeThe market broke out of the small range zone and it tested the major resistance and upper border of the ascending channel . The price show a losing momentum after creating divergence and double top at the resistance like EUR. The market failed to update its highs and price fix below 1800 price level. I think it might go down to test support or even lower border of the channel from resistance. My goal is the support level at 1762. Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩‍💻
13

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Pine scripts

Smart Money Concepts [LUX]This all-in-one indicator displays real-time market structure (internal & swing BOS / CHoCH), order blocks, premium & discount zones, equal highs & lows, and much more...allowing traders to automatically mark up their charts with widely used price action methodologies. Following the release of our Fair Value Gap script, we received numerous requests from our community to release more features in the same category. "Smart Money Concepts" (SMC) is a fairly new yet widely used term amongst price action traders looking to more accurately navigate liquidity & find more optimal points of interest in the market. Trying to determine where institutional market participants have orders placed (buy or sell side liquidity) can be a very reasonable approach to finding more practical entries & exits based on price action. The indicator includes alerts for the presence of swing structures and many other relevant conditions. Features This indicator includes many features relevant to SMC, these are highlighted below: Full internal & swing market structure labeling in real-time Break of Structure (BOS) Change of Character (CHoCH) Order Blocks (bullish & bearish) Equal Highs & Lows Fair Value Gap Detection Previous Highs & Lows Premium & Discount Zones as a range Options to style the indicator to more easily display these concepts Settings Mode: Allows the user to select Historical (default) or Present, which displays only recent data on the chart. Style: Allows the user to select different styling for the entire indicator between Colored (default) and Monochrome. Color Candles: Plots candles based on the internal & swing structures from within the indicator on the chart. Internal Structure: Displays the internal structure labels & dashed lines to represent them. (BOS & CHoCH). Confluence Filter: Filter non-significant internal structure breakouts. Swing Structure: Displays the swing structure labels & solid lines on the chart (larger BOS & CHoCH labels). Swing Points: Displays swing points labels on chart such as HH, HL, LH, LL. Internal Order Blocks: Enables Internal Order Blocks & allows the user to select how many most recent Internal Order Blocks appear on the chart. Swing Order Blocks: Enables Swing Order Blocks & allows the user to select how many most recent Swing Order Blocks appear on the chart. Equal Highs & Lows: Displays EQH/EQL labels on chart for detecting equal highs & lows. Bars Confirmation: Allows the user to select how many bars are needed to confirm an EQH/EQL symbol on chart. Fair Value Gaps: Displays boxes to highlight imbalance areas on the chart. Auto Threshold: Filter out non-significant fair value gaps. Timeframe: Allows the user to select the timeframe for the Fair Value Gap detection. Extend FVG: Allows the user to choose how many bars to extend the Fair Value Gap boxes on the chart. Highs & Lows MTF: Allows the user to display previous highs & lows from daily, weekly, & monthly timeframes as significant levels. Premium/Discount Zones: Allows the user to display Premium, Discount, and Equilibrium zones on the chart Usage Users can see automatic CHoCH and BOS labels to highlight breakouts of market structure, which allows to determine the market trend. In the chart below we can see the internal structure which displays more frequent labels within larger structures. We can also see equal highs & lows (EQH/EQL) labels plotted alongside the internal structure to frequently give indications of potential reversals. In the chart below we can see the swing market structure labels. These are also labeled as BOS and CHoCH but with a solid line & larger text to show larger market structure breakouts & trend reversals. Users can be mindful of these larger structure labels while trading internal structures as displayed in the previous chart. Order blocks highlight areas where institutional market participants open positions, one can use order blocks to determine confirmation entries or potential targets as we can expect there is a large amount of liquidity at these order blocks. In the chart below we can see 2 potential trade setups with confirmation entries. The path outlined in red would be a potential short entry targeting the blue order block below, and the path outlined in green would be a potential long entry, targeting the red order blocks above. As we can see in the chart below, the bullish confirmation entry played out in this scenario with the green path outlined in hindsight. As price breaks though the order blocks above, the indicator will consider them mitigated causing them to disappear, and as per the logic of these order blocks they will always display 5 (by default) on the chart so we can now see more actionable levels. The Smart Money Concepts indicator has many other features and here we can see how they can also help a user find potential levels for price action trading. In the screenshot below we can see a trade setup using the Previous Monthly High, Strong High, and a Swing Order Block as a stop loss. Accompanied by the Premium from the Discount/Premium zones feature being used as a potential entry. A potential take profit level for this trade setup that a user could easily identify would be the 50% mark labeled with the Fair Value Gap & the Equilibrium all displayed automatically by the indicator. Conclusion This indicator highlights all relevant components of Smart Money Concepts which can be a very useful interpretation of market structure, liquidity, & more simply put, price action. The term was coined & popularized primarily within the forex community & by ICT while making its way to become a part of many traders' analysis. These concepts, with or without this indicator do not guarantee a trader to be trading within the presence of institutional or "bank-level" liquidity, there is no supporting data regarding the validity of these teachings.
Pine Script™ indicator
281
Volume Profile Volume Delta OI Delta [Kioseff Trading]Hello! This script serves to distinguish volume delta for any asset and open interest delta for Binance perpetual futures. The image above provides further explanation of functionality and color correspondence. The image above shows the indicator calculating volume at each tick level and displaying the metric. The label color outline (neon effect) is configurable; the image above is absent the feature. The image above shows Open Interest (OI) Delta calculated - similar to how the script calculates volume delta - for a Binance Perpetual Future pair. This feature only works for Binance Futures pairs; the script will not load when trying to calculate OI Delta on other assets. Additionally, a heatmap is displayable should you configure the indicator to calculate it. The image above shows a heatmap using volume delta calculations. The image above shows a heatmap using OI delta calculations. Of course, these calculations - when absent requisite data - require some assumptions to better replicate calculations with access to requisite data. The indicator assumes a 60/40 split when a tick level is traded at and only one metric - "buy volume" or "sell volume" is recorded. This means there shouldn't be any levels recorded where "buy volume" is greater than 0 and "sell volume" equals 0 and vice versa. While this assumption was performed arbitrarily, it may help better replicate volume delta and OI delta calculations seen on other charting platforms. This option is configurable; you can select to have the script not assume a 60/40 split and instead record volume "as is" at the corresponding tick level. The script also divides volume and open interest if a one-minute bar violates multiple tick levels. The volume or open interest generated on the one-minute bar will be divided by the number of tick levels it exceeds. The results are, subsequently, appended to the violated tick levels. Further, the script can be set to recalculate after a user-defined time threshold is exceeded. You can also define the percentage or tick distance between levels. Also, it'd be great if this indicator can nicely replicate volume delta indicators on other charting platforms. If you've any ideas on how price action can be used to better assume volume at the corresponding price area please let me know! Thank you (:
Editors' picks
Pine Script™ indicator
54
Market sessions and Volume profile - By LeviathanThis script allows you to keep track of Forex market sessions (Tokyo, London and New York), as well as Daily, Weekly and Monthly sessions. All of them are accompanied by Volume Profile options where you can view VP Histogram, Point of Control, Value Area High and Value Area Low. Colors, lines and other design preferences are fully customizable. * Volume Profile of shorter sessions (eg. Tokyo, London, New York) works better when using lower timeframes such as 15min, 5min, etc. ** Use timeframe higher than 15min when viewing Monthly sessions Indicator settings overview: SESSION TYPE - Tokyo session (1:00 - 9:00 UTC/ GMT ) - London session (7:00 - 16:00 UTC/ GMT ) - New York session (13:00 - 22:00 UTC/ GMT ) - Daily session - Weekly session - Monthly session DISPLAY - Show Volume Profile (Show or hide Volume Profile histogram) - Show POC (Show or hide Point Of Control line) - Show VAL (Show or hide Value Area Low line) - Show VAH (Show or hide Value Area High line) - Show Live Zone (Show or hide the ongoing session) VOLUME PROFILE SETTINGS - Resolution (The higher the value, the more refined of a profile, but less profiles are shown on the chart) - Smooth Volume Data (Useful for assets that have very large spikes in volume over large bars, helps create better profiles) APPEARANCE - Up Volume color (Pick a custom color for up/ bullish volume profile nodes) - Down Volume color (Pick a custom color for down/ bearish volume profile nodes) - POC color and thickness (Pick a custom color and thickness for Point Of Control line) - VAH color and thickness (Pick a custom color and thickness for Value Area High line) - VAL color and thickness (Pick a custom color and thickness for Value Area Low line) - Session box thickness (Pick a custom thickness for the session box. Color is provided automatically with optimal contrast) ** Some VP elements are inspired by @LonesomeTheBlue's volume profile script
Editors' picks
Pine Script™ indicator
40
Next Pivot Projection [Trendoscope]Still experimental. Extending further on the divergence backtest results - in this script we try to project next 2 pivots (including one unconfirmed pivot) 🎲 Previous experiments 1. Divergence-Backtester 2. Divergence-Backtester-V2 🎲 Additions Apart from collecting the stats on number of occurrences of HH, HL, LH, LL - this script also keeps track of average ratio for each levels and average bars. Based on these data, we try to calculate the next pivot projections including possible bar and price. Cloud covering the candles indicate historical levels of average HH, HL, LH, LL projections. Hover on projection labels to find more details in tooltips. 🎲 Overall method in a nutshell 🎲 Going bit deeper 🎯 Unconfirmed Pivot and its projection - Last pivot of the zigzag is always unconfirmed. Meaning, it can potentially repaint based on further price movements. But, projection of the unconfirmed pivot will not change as it will be based on previous two pivots - both of which are confirmed. 🎯 Next Pivot Projection - Next pivot is projected based on last two pivots - which include last unconfirmed pivot. Hence, these projections can potentially repaint based on the last pivot repaint. 🎯 Historical projections displayed as cloud - Historical projection values are displayed as cloud around pivots. A cloud above represents area from average lower high range to average higher high range. Cloud color is green if average ratio of pivot high is more than 1. Red Otherwise. A cloud below represents area from average higher low range to average lower low range. Cloud color is red if average ratio of pivot high is more than 1. Green otherwise
Editors' picks
Pine Script™ indicator
66
Intrabar Efficiency Ratio█   OVERVIEW This indicator displays a directional variant of Perry​ Kaufman's​ Efficiency​ Ratio​, designed to gauge the "efficiency" of intrabar price movement by comparing the sum of movements of the lower timeframe bars composing a chart bar with the respective bar's movement on an average basis. █   CONCEPTS Efficiency Ratio (ER) Efficiency Ratio ​ was first introduced by Perry Kaufman in his 1995 book, titled "Smarter Trading". It is the ratio of absolute price change to the sum of absolute changes on each bar over a period. This tells us how strong the period's trend is relative to the underlying noise. Simply put, it's a measure of price movement efficiency. This ratio is the modulator utilized in Kaufman's​ Adaptive​ Moving​ Average​ (KAMA​), which is essentially an Exponential​ Moving​ Average​ (EMA​) that adapts its responsiveness to movement efficiency. ER's output is bounded between 0 and 1. A value of 0 indicates that the starting price equals the ending price for the period, which suggests that price movement was maximally inefficient. A value of 1 indicates that price had travelled no more than the distance between the starting price and the ending price for the period, which suggests that price movement was maximally efficient. A value between 0 and 1 indicates that price had travelled a distance greater than the distance between the starting price and the ending price for the period. In other words, some degree of noise was present which resulted in reduced efficiency over the period. As an example, let's say that the price of an asset had moved from $15 to $14 by the end of a period, but the sum of absolute changes for each bar of data was $4. ER would be calculated like so: ER = abs(14 - 15)/4 = 0.25 This suggests that the trend was only 25% efficient over the period, as the total distanced travelled by price was four times what was required to achieve the change over the period. Intrabars Intrabars are chart bars at a lower timeframe than the chart's. Each 1H chart bar of a 24x7 market will, for example, usually contain 60 intrabars at the ​LTF of 1min, provided there was market activity during each minute of the hour. Mining information from intrabars can be useful in that it offers traders visibility on the activity inside a chart bar. Lower timeframes (LTFs) A lower timeframe is a timeframe that is smaller than the chart's timeframe. This script determines which ​LTF to use by examining the chart's timeframe. The ​LTF determines how many intrabars are examined for each chart bar; the lower the timeframe, the more intrabars are analyzed, but fewer chart bars can display indicator information because there is a limit to the total number of intrabars that can be analyzed. Intrabar precision The precision of calculations increases with the number of intrabars analyzed for each chart bar. As there is a 100K limit to the number of intrabars that can be analyzed by a script, a trade-off occurs between the number of intrabars analyzed per chart bar and the chart bars for which calculations are possible. Intrabar Efficiency Ratio (IER) Intrabar Efficiency Ratio applies the concept of ER on an intrabar level. Rather than comparing the overall change to the sum of bar changes for the current chart's timeframe over a period, IER compares single bar changes for the current chart's timeframe to the sum of absolute intrabar changes, then applies smoothing to the result. This gives an indication of how efficient changes are on the current chart's timeframe for each bar of data relative to LTF​ bar changes on an average basis. Unlike the standard ER calculation, we've opted to preserve directional information by not taking the absolute value of overall change, thus allowing it to be utilized as a momentum oscillator. However, by taking the absolute value of this oscillator, it could potentially serve as a replacement for ER in the design of adaptive moving averages. Since this indicator preserves directional information, IER can be regarded as similar to the Chande​ Momentum​ Oscillator​ (CMO​) , which was presented in 1994 by Tushar​ Chande​ in "The New Technical Trader". Both CMO​ and ER​ essentially measure the same relationship between trend and noise. CMO simply differs in scale, and considers the direction of overall changes. █   FEATURES Display Three different display types are included within the script:  • Line : Displays the middle length MA of the IER as a line .   Color for this display can be customized via the "Line" portion of the "Visuals" section in the script settings.  • Candles : Displays the non-smooth IER and two moving averages of different lengths as candles .   The `open` and `close` of the candle are the longest and shortest length MAs of the IER respectively.   The `high` and `low` of the candle are the max and min of the IER, longest length MA of the IER, and shortest length MA of the IER respectively.   Colors for this display can be customized via the "Candles" portion of the "Visuals" section in the script settings.  • Circles : Displays three MAs of the IER as circles .   The color of each plot depends on the percent rank of the respective MA over the previous 100 bars.   Different colors are triggered when ranks are below 10%, between 10% and 50%, between 50% and 90%, and above 90%.   Colors for this display can be customized via the "Circles" portion of the "Visuals" section in the script settings. With either display type, an optional information box can be displayed. This box shows the LTF​ that the script is using, the average number of lower timeframe bars per chart bar, and the number of chart bars that contain LTF​ data. Specifying intrabar precision Ten options are included in the script to control the number of intrabars used per chart bar for calculations. The greater the number of intrabars per chart bar, the fewer chart bars can be analyzed. The first five options allow users to specify the approximate amount of chart bars to be covered:  • Least Precise (Most chart bars) : Covers all chart bars by dividing the current timeframe by four.   This ensures the highest level of intrabar precision while achieving complete coverage for the dataset.  • Less Precise (Some chart bars) & More Precise (Less chart bars) : These options calculate a stepped ​LTF in relation to the current chart's timeframe.  • Very precise (2min intrabars) : Uses the second highest quantity of intrabars possible with the 2min ​LTF.  • Most precise (1min intrabars) : Uses the maximum quantity of intrabars possible with the 1min ​LTF. The stepped lower timeframe for "Less Precise" and "More Precise" options is calculated from the current chart's timeframe as follows: Chart Timeframe Lower Timeframe Less Precise More Precise < 1hr 1min 1min < 1D 15min 1min < 1W ​2hr​ 30min > 1W 1D 60min The last five options allow users to specify an approximate fixed number of intrabars to analyze per chart bar. The available choices are 12, 24, 50, 100, and 250. The script will calculate the LTF​ which most closely approximates the specified number of intrabars per chart bar. Keep in mind that due to factors such as the length of a ticker's sessions and rounding of the LTF​, it is not always possible to produce the exact number specified. However, the script will do its best to get as close to the value as possible. Specifying MA type Seven MA types are included in the script for different averaging effects:  • Simple  • Exponential  • Wilder (RMA)  • Weighted  • Volume-Weighted  • Arnaud Legoux with `offset` and `sigma` set to 0.85 and 6 respectively.  • Hull Weighting This script includes the option to weight IER values based on the percent rank of absolute price changes on the current chart's timeframe over a specified period, which can be enabled by checking the "Weigh using relative close changes" option in the script settings. This places reduced emphasis on IER values from smaller changes, which may help to reduce noise in the output. █   FOR Pine Script™ CODERS  • This script imports the recently published lower_ltf library for calculating intrabar statistics and the optimal lower timeframe in relation to the current chart's timeframe.  • This script uses the recently released request.security_lower_tf() Pine Script™ function discussed in this blog post .   It works differently from the usual request.security() in that it can only be used on LTFs, and it returns an array containing one value per intrabar.   This makes it much easier for programmers to access intrabar information.  • This script implements a new recommended best practice for tables which works faster and reduces memory consumption.   Using this new method, tables are declared only once with var , as usual. Then, on the first bar only, we use table.cell() to populate the table.   Finally, table.set_*() functions are used to update attributes of table cells on the last bar of the dataset.   This greatly reduces the resources required to render tables. Look first. Then leap.
Pine Script™ indicator
4
WaveTrend 3D█  OVERVIEW WaveTrend 3D (WT3D) is a novel implementation of the famous WaveTrend (WT) indicator and has been completely redesigned from the ground up to address some of the inherent shortcomings associated with the traditional WT algorithm. █  BACKGROUND The WaveTrend (WT) indicator has become a widely popular tool for traders in recent years. WT was first ported to PineScript in 2014 by the user @LazyBear, and since then, it has ascended to become one of the Top 5 most popular scripts on TradingView. The WT algorithm appears to have origins in a lesser-known proprietary algorithm called Trading Channel Index (TCI), created by AIQ Systems in 1986 as an integral part of their commercial software suite, TradingExpert Pro. The software’s reference manual states that “TCI identifies changes in price direction” and is “an adaptation of Donald R. Lambert’s Commodity Channel Index (CCI)”, which was introduced to the world six years earlier in 1980. Interestingly, a vestige of this early beginning can still be seen in the source code of LazyBear’s script, where the final EMA calculation is stored in an intermediate variable called “tci” in the code. █  IMPLEMENTATION DETAILS WaveTrend 3D is an alternative implementation of WaveTrend that directly addresses some of the known shortcomings of the indicator, including its unbounded extremes, susceptibility to whipsaw, and lack of insight into other timeframes. In the canonical WT approach, an exponential moving average (EMA) for a given lookback window is used to assess the variability between price and two other EMAs relative to a second lookback window. Since the difference between the average price and its associated EMA is essentially unbounded, an arbitrary scaling factor of 0.015 is typically applied as a crude form of rescaling but still fails to capture 20-30% of values between the range of -100 to 100. Additionally, the trigger signal for the final EMA (i.e., TCI) crossover-based oscillator is a four-bar simple moving average (SMA), which further contributes to the net lag accumulated by the consecutive EMA calculations in the previous steps. The core idea behind WT3D is to replace the EMA-based crossover system with modern Digital Signal Processing techniques. By assuming that price action adheres approximately to a Gaussian distribution, it is possible to sidestep the scaling nightmare associated with unbounded price differentials of the original WaveTrend method by focusing instead on the alteration of the underlying Probability Distribution Function (PDF) of the input series. Furthermore, using a signal processing filter such as a Butterworth Filter, we can eliminate the need for consecutive exponential moving averages along with the associated lag they bring. Ideally, it is convenient to have the resulting probability distribution oscillate between the values of -1 and 1, with the zero line serving as a median. With this objective in mind, it is possible to borrow a common technique from the field of Machine Learning that uses a sigmoid-like activation function to transform our data set of interest. One such function is the hyperbolic tangent function (tanh), which is often used as an activation function in the hidden layers of neural networks due to its unique property of ensuring the values stay between -1 and 1. By taking the first-order derivative of our input series and normalizing it using the quadratic mean, the tanh function performs a high-quality redistribution of the input signal into the desired range of -1 to 1. Finally, using a dual-pole filter such as the Butterworth Filter popularized by John Ehlers, excessive market noise can be filtered out, leaving behind a crisp moving average with minimal lag. Furthermore, WT3D expands upon the original functionality of WT by providing: First-class support for multi-timeframe (MTF) analysis Kernel-based regression for trend reversal confirmation Various options for signal smoothing and transformation A unique mode for visualizing an input series as a symmetrical, three-dimensional waveform useful for pattern identification and cycle-related analysis █  SETTINGS This is a summary of the settings used in the script listed in roughly the order in which they appear. By default, all default colors are from Google's TensorFlow framework and are considered to be colorblind safe. Source: The input series. Usually, it is the close or average price, but it can be any series. Use Mirror: Whether to display a mirror image of the source series; for visualizing the series as a 3D waveform similar to a soundwave. Use EMA: Whether to use an exponential moving average of the input series. EMA Length: The length of the exponential moving average. Use COG: Whether to use the center of gravity of the input series. COG Length: The length of the center of gravity. Speed to Emphasize: The target speed to emphasize. Width: The width of the emphasized line. Display Kernel Moving Average: Whether to display the kernel moving average of the signal. Like PCA, an unsupervised Machine Learning technique whereby neighboring vectors are projected onto the Principal Component. Display Kernel Signal: Whether to display the kernel estimator for the emphasized line. Like the Kernel MA, it can show underlying shifts in bias within a more significant trend by the colors reflected on the ribbon itself. Show Oscillator Lines: Whether to show the oscillator lines. Offset: The offset of the emphasized oscillator plots. Fast Length: The length scale factor for the fast oscillator. Fast Smoothing: The smoothing scale factor for the fast oscillator. Normal Length: The length scale factor for the normal oscillator. Normal Smoothing: The smoothing scale factor for the normal frequency. Slow Length: The length scale factor for the slow oscillator. Slow Smoothing: The smoothing scale factor for the slow frequency. Divergence Threshold: The number of bars for the divergence to be considered significant. Trigger Wave Percent Size: How big the current wave should be relative to the previous wave. Background Area Transparency Factor: Transparency factor for the background area. Foreground Area Transparency Factor: Transparency factor for the foreground area. Background Line Transparency Factor: Transparency factor for the background line. Foreground Line Transparency Factor: Transparency factor for the foreground line. Custom Transparency: Transparency of the custom colors. Total Gradient Steps: The maximum amount of steps supported for a gradient calculation is 256. Fast Bullish Color: The color of the fast bullish line. Normal Bullish Color: The color of the normal bullish line. Slow Bullish Color: The color of the slow bullish line. Fast Bearish Color: The color of the fast bearish line. Normal Bearish Color: The color of the normal bearish line. Slow Bearish Color: The color of the slow bearish line. Bullish Divergence Signals: The color of the bullish divergence signals. Bearish Divergence Signals: The color of the bearish divergence signals. █  ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS @LazyBear - For authoring the original WaveTrend port on TradingView @PineCoders - For the beautiful color gradient framework used in this indicator @veryfid - For the inspiration of using mirrored signals for cycle analysis and using multiple lookback windows as proxies for other timeframes
Editors' picks
Pine Script™ indicator
57
Time & volume point of control (TPOC & VPOC)What are TPOC & VPOC? TPOC (time point of control) and VPOC (volume point of control) are points in price where highest amount of time/volume was traded. This is considered key information in a market profile, as it shows where market participant interest was highest. Unlike full fledged market profile that shows total time/volume distribution, this script shows the points of control for each candle, plotted with a line (time) and a dot (volume). The script hides your candles/bars by default and forms a line in the middle representing candle range. In case of candles, borders will still be visible. This feature can be turned off in the settings. Volume and time data are fetched from a lower timeframe that is automatically adjusted to fit the timeframe you're using. By default, the following settings are applied: Charts <= 30 min: 1 minute timeframe Charts > 30 min & <= 3 hours : 5 minute timeframe Charts > 3 hours & <= 8 hours : 15 minute timeframe Charts > 8 hours & <= 1D: 1 hour timeframe Charts > 1D & <= 3D : 2 hour timeframe Charts > 3D: 4 hour timeframe Timeframe settings can be changed via input menu. The lower the timeframe, the more precision you get but with the cost of less historical data and slower loading time. Users can also choose which source to use for determining price for points of control, e.g. using close as source, the point of control is set to match the value of lower timeframe candle close. This could be replaced with OHLC4 for example, resulting in a point of control based on OHLC average. To identify more profound points of market participant interest, TPOC & VPOC as percentage of total time/volume thresholds can be set via input menu. When a point of control is equal to or greater than the set percentage threshold, visual elements will be highlighted in a different color, e.g. 50% VPOC threshold will activate a highlight whenever volume traded at VPOC is equal to or greater than 50% of total volume. All colors are customizable. VPOC is defined by fetching lower timeframe candle with the most amount of volume traded and using its close (by default) as a mark for point of control. For TPOC, each candle is divided into 10 lots which are used for calculating amount of closes taking place within the bracket values. The lot with highest amount of closes will be considered a point of control. This mark is displayed in the middle point of a lot: How to utilize TPOC & VPOC Example #1: Trapped market participants One or both points of control at one end of candle range (wick tail) and candle close at the other end serves as an indication of market participants trapped in an awkward position. When price runs away further from these trapped participants, they are eventually forced to cover and drive price even further to the opposite direction: Example #2: Trend initiation A large move that leaves TPOC behind while VPOC is supportive serves as an indication of a trend initiation. Essentially, this is one way to identify an event where price traded sideways most of the time and suddenly moved away with volume: Example #3: POC supported trend A trend is healthy when it's supported by a point of control. Ideally you want to see either time or volume supporting a trend:
Editors' picks
Pine Script™ indicator
24
Day Trading Booster by DGTTiming when day trading can be everything In Stock markets typically more volatility (or price activity) occurs at market opening and closings When it comes to Forex (foreign exchange market), the world’s most traded market, unlike other financial markets, there is no centralized marketplace, currencies trade over the counter in whatever market is open at that time, where time becomes of more importance and key to get better trading opportunities. There are four major forex trading sessions, which are Sydney , Tokyo , London and New York sessions Forex market is traded 24 hours a day, 5 days a week across by banks, institutions and individual traders worldwide, but that doesn’t mean it’s always active the entire day. It may be very difficult time trying to make money when the market doesn’t move at all. The busiest times with highest trading volume occurs during the overlap of the London and New York trading sessions, because U.S. dollar (USD) and the Euro (EUR) are the two most popular currencies traded. Typically most of the trading activity for a specific currency pair will occur when the trading sessions of the individual currencies overlap. For example, Australian Dollar (AUD) and Japanese Yen (JPY) will experience a higher trading volume when both Sydney and Tokyo sessions are open There is one influence that impacts Forex matkets and should not be forgotten : the release of the significant news and reports. When a major announcement is made regarding economic data, currency can lose or gain value within a matter of seconds Cryptocurrency markets on the other hand remain open 24/7, even during public holidays Until 2021, the Asian impact was so significant in Cryptocurrency markets but recent reasearch reports shows that those patterns have changed and the correlation with the U.S. trading hours is becoming a clear evolving trend. Unlike any other market Crypto doesn’t rest on weekends, there’s a drop-off in participation and yet algorithmic trading bots and market makers (or liquidity providers) can create a high volume of activity. Never trust the weekend’ is a good thing to remind yourself One more factor that needs to be taken into accout is Blockchain transaction fees, which are responsive to network congestion and can change dramatically from one hour to the next In general, Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile, which means that the price of a coin can change dramatically over a short time period in either direction The Bottom Line The more traders trading, the higher the trading volume, and the more active the market. The more active the market, the higher the liquidity (availability of counterparties at any given time to exit or enter a trade), hence the tighter the spreads (the difference between ask and bid price) and the less slippage (the difference between the expected fill price and the actual fill price) - in a nutshell, yield to many good trading opportunities and better order execution (a process of filling the requested buy or sell order) The best time to trade is when the market is the most active and therefore has the largest trading volume, trading all day long will not only deplete a trader's reserves quickly, but it can burn out even the most persistent trader. Knowing when the markets are more active will give traders peace of mind, that opportunities are not slipping away when they take their eyes off the markets or need to get a few hours of sleep What does the Day Trading Booster do? Day Trading Booster is designed ;   - to assist in determining market peak times, the times where better trading opportunities may arise   - to assist in determining the probable trading opportunities   - to help traders create their own strategies. An example strategy of when to trade or not is presented below For Forex markets specifically includes   - Opening channel of Asian session, Europien session or both   - Opening price, opening range (5m or 15m) and day (session) range of the major trading center sessions, including Frankfurt   - A tabular view of the major forex markets oppening/closing hours, with a countdown timer   - A graphical presentation of typically traded volume and various forext markets oppening/clossing events (not only the major markets but many other around the world) For All type of markets Day Trading Booster plots   - Day (Session) Open, 5m, 15m or 1h Opening Range   - Day (Session) Referance Levels, based on Average True Range (ATR) or Previous Day (Session) Range (PH - PL)   - Week and Month Open Day Trading Booster also includes some of the day trader's preffered indicaotrs, such as ;   - VWAP - A custom interpretaion of VWAP is presented here with Auto, Interactive and Manual anchoring options.   - Pivot High/Low detection - Another custom interpretation of Pivot Points High Low indicator.   - A Moving Average with option to choose among SMA, EMA, WMA and HMA An example strategy - Channel Bearkout Strategy When day trading a trader usually monitors/analyzes lower timeframe charts and from time to time may loose insight of what really happens on the market from higher time porspective. Do not to forget to look at the larger time frame (than the one chosen to trade with) which gives the bigger picture of market price movements and thus helps to clearly define the trend Disclaimer : Trading success is all about following your trading strategy and the indicators should fit within your trading strategy, and not to be traded upon solely The script is for informational and educational purposes only. Use of the script does not constitutes professional and/or financial advice. You alone the sole responsibility of evaluating the script output and risks associated with the use of the script. In exchange for using the script, you agree not to hold dgtrd TradingView user liable for any possible claim for damages arising from any decision you make based on use of the script
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Pine Script™ indicator
55
Equity Bond Currency DashboardDepicts demand-flow between Equities, Bonds and Currencies of 6 countries. Useful in tracking the flow of smart money and checking the dynamics of inter-connected markets. Principle: DXY lies at the heart of the diagram with usd-currency pairs of 5 countries connected to it. When demand for a currency increases it strengthens against Dollar. This is depicted by a line from DXY to the currency indicating demand flow from Dollar to the currency (DXY is only an indicative symbol for Dollar, the currency may not be part of the dollar index). Similarly when Dollar strengthens against the currency, demand flow is depicted by a line from the currency to DXY. Currency blocks are connected to Equity and Bond Yields of the respective countries. Equities and Bonds, when bought, takes the demand from the respective currencies and vice versa. Overall, the demand flows in the direction of arrows. The flow is incomplete without commodities, import/export, interest/inflation rates of countries, however, the diagram most of the times explains why an asset class is performing the way it is. Left side bar of each block is very similar to OHLC candles except for the following - Instead of wicks, top and bottom of the bar represents high and low for the selected time-frame Open and close are normalised for high and low Bar border is red if close < prev.close, green if close >= prev.close Other notes: The diagram requires at least 200 bars in the chart to render. Please select the symbol and time-frame that contain at least 200 bars. The diagram requires a live market to render the flow. To check flows on historical bars, set the option from settings. Desired indices could be selected for countries of choice. Default settings point to futures wherever possible to have the markets live simultaneously across the countries.
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Pine Script™ indicator
10
Minervini QualifierThe Minervini Qualifier indicator calculates the qualifying conditions from Mark Minervini’s book “Trade like a Stock Market Wizard”. The condition matching is been shown as fill color inside an SMA 20day envelope curve. If the envelope color is red, current close price is below the SMA20 and when blue, current close price is above the SMA20. The fill color can be transparent (not matching qualifying conditions), yellow (matching all conditions except close is still below SMA50), green (all conditions match, SMA200 trending for at least one month up) or blue (all conditions match, SMA200 trending up for at least 5 months) As I wanted also to see which of the qualifying conditions match over time, I’ve added add. lines, each representing one conditions. If it matches, line color is blue, or red if not. Use the data windows (right side), so you know what line represents which condition. Can be turned on/off (default:on) In addition, a relative strength is been calculated, to compare the stock to a reference index. It is just one possible way to calculate it, might be different to what Mark Minervini is using. If the shown value (top right) is above 100, stock performs better compared to reference index (can be set in settings), when below 100, stock performs worse compared to reference index. Can be turned on/off (default:on) How to use it: For more details, read Mark’s book and watch his videos. Limitations: It gives only useful information on daily timeframe (No financial advise, for testing purposes only)
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Pine Script™ indicator
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👻5 INDICATORS FOR BEGINNERS👻 🍉Moving Average A moving average helps cut down the amount of noise on a price chart. Look at the direction of the moving average to get a basic idea of which way the price is moving. If it is angled up, the price is moving up (or was recently) overall; angled down, and the price is moving down overall; moving sideways, and the price is likely in a range. A moving average can also act as support or resistance 🍉Bollinger Bands Bollinger Bands are a form of technical analysis that traders use to plot trend lines that are two standard deviations away from the simple moving average price of a security. The goal is to help a trader know when to enter or exit a position by identifying when an asset has been overbought or oversold. Bollinger Bands were designed by John Bollinger. Bollinger Bands help by signaling changes in volatility. For generally steady ranges of a security, such as many currency pairs, Bollinger Bands act as relatively clear signals for buying and selling 🍉Relative Strength Index (RSI) The relative strength index (RSI) is a momentum indicator used in technical analysis. RSI measures the speed and magnitude of the pair’s recent price changes to evaluate overvalued or undervalued conditions in the price of that pair. It can also indicate pairs that may be primed for a trend reversal or corrective pullback in price. It can signal when to buy and sell. The RSI is displayed as an oscillator (a line graph) on a scale of zero to 100Traditionally, an RSI reading of 70 or above indicates an overbought situation. A reading of 30 or below indicates an oversold condition. 🍉MACD(Moving Average Convergence Divergence) The concept behind the MACD is fairly straightforward. Essentially, it calculates the difference between an instrument's 26-day and 12-day exponential moving averages (EMA). In calculating their values, both moving averages use the closing prices of whatever period is measured. On the MACD chart, a nine-period EMA of the MACD itself is also plotted. This line is called the signal line, which acts as a trigger for buy and sell decisions. The MACD is considered the "faster" line because the points plotted move more than the signal line, which is regarded as the "slower" line. 🍉On-Balance Volume (OBV) On-balance volume (OBV) is a technical trading momentum indicator that uses volume flow to predict changes in the price. The theory behind OBV is based on the distinction between smart money – namely, institutional investors – and less sophisticated retail investors. As mutual funds and pension funds begin to buy into an issue that retail investors are selling, volume may increase even as the price remains relatively level. Eventually, volume drives the price upward. At that point, larger investors begin to sell, and smaller investors begin buying. 🌺Hope u like my article. Please tell me what is YOUR favortie indicator? Love, Anabel❤️ Please, support my work with like and comment! Love you, my dear followers!👩‍💻🌸
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GOLD | Elliot Wave | A Text Book Example?GOLD | Elliot Wave | A Text Book Example? It is extremely rare that in reality, we find patterns in textbook examples. Gold is currently presenting such an opportunity which I will explain in detail. According to Elliot's Wave theory, an impulsive wave is created by 5 waves. 3 of these waves are impulsive (1,3 and 5) 2 waves are corrective (2 and 4) According to the books, each impulsive wave is composed of 5 waves of the lower degree that can be seen in the lower chart time frames. In our real-time example, the price has created the 3rd wave of a daily chart (in red). So it should be ready for the 4th wave correction. If we look at the 4-hour chart, we can see that the 3rd wave can be broken down into 5 other waves (in blue) And the 5th wave of the third wave (in blue) seems to be completed by 5 other waves (in black) Maybe this is the moment we can see an ABC correction before the price goes up again for the 5th wave (in red). The price correction zone is expected to be 1748 - 1730 in order for the price to rise again. Thank you and Good Luck! Daily Chart! 4-Hour chart:
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The 3 Kinds of Trading Pains You Need to KnowHello everyone, I identified early 3 kind of pains when trading/investing Pain of missing out How disheartening to get out of a trade and see it progressing way further leaving us with only a fraction of what we could have made. Took me some time to make peace with the fact that banking a piece of a whole move is OKAY. Capturing 20, 30, 50% of a trade is OKAY. You know why? It's still more than any loss and obviously more than 0. Pain of losing money Basically, it's when we're either wrong on the trade direction or trade timing (= when the candles will go in the expected direction). I feel it's more painful to lose gains aka some $$ we earned than losing some of our initial capital. Our brains are wired that way. It's pretty challenging psychologically to gain something and then losing it. Think about your past romantic breakups, when you lost your sport trophy because the adversary team outcompeted you, when you give a candy to a child and then take it back... (don't do it, it's mean ^^) Recovering from a catastrophic loss took me multiple months - I was disgusted of trading - I didn't want to open my trading terminal anymore. I ended up blaming everyone (the market, the broker, ...), then decided to crawl my way back up trading demo and with small position sizes again.... same as a beginner should do. If you lost money due to that FTX scam, I can relate to how you must be feeling..... Assessing counter-party risk is complicated, especially when we see institutions, senators investing into our broker.... The only hedge for that is paying ourselves often... I do it every week... my gains (if any ^^) are safer on my bank account rather than on any broker. Pain of being "inexperienced" Being inexperienced is the psychological state of not thinking in a rational way anymore and letting our emotions leading our actions. Typical scenario: we receive "easy" signals and we didn't take them because we were fatigued or furious because we lost taking previous signals with the same system. Assuming an overall profitable strategy, not respecting the signals from your trading system leads to missing out on gainers and losing money (ending the day/week with a net negative P&L) Respecting your signals WILL NEVER be easy .... but.... it's the less painful choice as the alternative is wasting your money, your time and your energy. Conclusion The pain of losing money is greater than the pain of missing out.... by far.... That's why, most profitable traders burnt 1 or more trading accounts, of course involuntary, and learned that essential lesson the hard way. Once we feel that pain, we don't want to feel it anymore ever..... and we take a lot of actions such as journaling, meditating, sleeping/eating well, working out to shut down our "monkey brain" acting based on emotions
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1
Phoenix Ascending and Bad Ass B Bands Setup VideoHi Everyone! I had a request for a new setup video that included instruction on adding the Stochastic RSI to the charts. I've also chosen to hide specific levels within Phoenix Ascending lately to clean up my charts a little more so they do not look quite as busy as they do already. Adding these indicators to your chart is very easy. You got to start somewhere before you get somewhere. So, START doing this. You got this! You can do it... Just start! Hope this was helpful. Stay Awesome! David
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Learn How to Trade Descending Triangle Pattern Descending triangle formation is a classic reversal pattern. It signifies the weakness of buyers in a bullish trend and bearish accumulation. ⭐️The pattern has a very peculiar price action structure: Trading in a bullish trend the price sets a higher high and retraces setting a higher low. Then the market starts growing again but does not manage to set a new high, setting a lower high instead. Then the price drops again perfectly respecting the level of the last higher low setting an equal low. After that one more bullish movement and one more consequent lower high, bearish move, and equal low. Based on the last three highs a trend line can be drawn. Based on the equal lows a horizontal neckline is spotted. ❗What is peculiar about such price action is the fact that a set of lower highs signifies a weakening bullish momentum: fewer and fewer buyers are willing to buy from horizontal support based on equal lows. 🔔 Such price action is called a bearish accumulation. Once the pattern is formed it is still not a trend reversal predictor though. Remember that the price may set many lower highs and equal lows within the pattern. The trigger that is applied to confirm a trend reversal is a bearish breakout of the neckline of the pattern. 📉Then a short position can be opened. For conservative trading, a retest entry is suggested. Safest stop is lying at least above the level of the last lower high. However, in case the levels of the lower highs are almost equal it is highly recommendable to set a stop loss above them all. 🎯For targets look for the closest strong structure support. ❤️If you have any questions, please, ask me in the comment section. Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
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Interest Rate Futures and the First Cash Settled ContractCME: Eurodollar Futures ( CME:GE1! ), CBOT: Treasury Bond Futures ( CBOT:ZB1! ) This is the second installment of the Holidays series “Celebrating 50 Years of Financial Futures.” Before 1970, commercial banks did business by accepting short-term deposits at low regulated rates and offering longer-term business and personal loans at higher rates. Double-digit inflation changed all that. Federal Reserve eliminated interest rate ceilings on time deposits under 3 months in 1970, and on those over 3 months in 1973. Banks incurred huge loss from a negative spread with deposit rate higher than loan rate. Fast forward to 2022, we find ourselves in a high inflation and an inverted yield-curve environment again. The overnight Fed Funds rate (4.00%) is nearly 500 basis points higher than the 10-Year Treasury Note (T-Note) yield (3.51%) as of December 4th. Rising interest rates increase the financing cost from businesses to households alike. The Fed’s six consecutive rate hikes from March to November 2022 contributed to significant drawdown in the value of stocks, bonds, and commodities. If you bought $100,000 of Treasury bonds (T-bonds) in January, its market value could drop as much as 30% with bond yield jumping to 3.5% from 1.5%. If you owe $10,000 in credit card debt, monthly interest rate charge could run up to 25% a year from 15%. Like foreign exchange, interest rate is not a physical commodity. It is a right to holders of an interest-bearing product, and a liability to its issuer. The above examples show that both buyer and seller could have large financial exposure to changes in interest rates. To hedge interest rate risks, futures contracts were invented in Chicago futures markets, namely, Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) and Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME). CBOT Ginnie Mae Futures Government National Mortgage Association is a US government supported entity within the Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD). The nickname “Ginnie Mae” come from its acronym GNMA. GNMA issues Ginnie Mae certificates, a type of mortgage-backed passthrough securities. Investors receive interest and principal payments from a large pool of mortgage loans. Since timely payments are backed by the full faith and credit of the US government, Ginnie Mae bonds are considered default risk free and have an AAA credit rating. Although they are free from default risk, holders of Ginnie Mae bonds are exposed to interest rate risk, as bond price moves inversely with bond yield. Sensing the need from savings and loans, mortgage bankers, and dealers of mortgage-backed securities, CBOT launched Ginnie Mae Bond Futures in October 1975. This was the first time a futures contract was based on an interest-bearing instrument. At contract expiration, futures buyers would receive actual Ginnie Mae bonds from futures sellers. While the Ginnie Mae contract has since delisted, it paved the way for the successful launches of other interest rate futures contracts in the 1970s and 1980s. CME Treasury Bill Futures Treasury bills (T-bills) are short-term securities issued by the US Treasury to help finance the spending of the federal government. New T-bills with maturities of thirteen, twenty-six, and fifty-two weeks are issued on a regular basis. The secondary market for T-bills is active, making them among the most liquid of money market instruments. In May 1972, the International Monetary Market (IMM) division of the CME launched foreign exchange futures, the first financial futures contract. In January 1976, the IMM listed futures contract on 90-day (13-week) T-bills. It was the first futures contract for a money market instrument. Nobel laureate Milton Friedman rang the opening bell on T-Bill Futures launch day. Upon maturity, seller is required to deliver T-bills with a $1 million face value and thirteen weeks left to maturity. Contracts for delivery in March, June, September, and December are listed. At any one time, contracts for eight different delivery dates are traded. T-bills do not pay explicit interest. Instead, they are sold at a discount to redemption value. The difference between the two prices determines the interest earned by a buyer. T-bill yields are quoted on a discount basis. Futures contracts are quoted on an index devised by the IMM, by subtracting the discount yield from 100. Index values move in the same direction as T-bill price. A rise in the index means that the price of a future delivered T-bill has risen. The formula for calculating the discount yield is: Discount Yield = ((Face Value - Purchase Price) / Face Value) X (360 / Days to Maturity) CBOT Treasury Bond Futures In August 1977, CBOT launched futures contracts on the T-Bonds. At the time, the birth of T-bond futures hardly seemed like a breakthrough. Financial futures were still in their infancy. Soybeans and corn were king in the CBOT trading pit. But all that changed in October 1979 when the Fed moved to strangle runaway inflation with a revised credit policy. The Saturday night massacre, as it was dubbed, ended decades of interest-rate stability. Interest rates bounced like a Ping Pong, affected by money supply, world events and inflation. Trading of T-Bond futures took off like a rocket. In addition to the traditional T-Bond futures (ZB) with 15-year maturity, CBOT also lists a 20-Yr T-Bond futures (TWE) and an Ultra T-Bond (UB) with 30-year maturity. In the Mid-curve, the T-Note suite includes 2-Yr Note (ZT), 3-Yr Note (Z3), 5-Yr Note (ZF), 10-Yr Note (ZN), and Ultra 10-Yr T-Note (TN). On December 2, 2022, daily volume of the first T-Bond futures was 388,370 contracts, while open interest reached 1,170,800 contracts. Daily volume of all CME Group interest rates futures and options contracts (IR) reached 13,786,454 lots, contributing to 54.1% of Exchange total. IR open interest was 78,244,297 lots, representing 70.4% of Exchange total. Cash Settlement Comes to Futures Market Up until now, futures contracts were settled by physical delivery of the underlying commodities. • Buyer of 1 CME Live Cattle may pick up 35 cows (40,000 pounds) from Union Stockyard in Chicago southside or take delivery at a cattle auction in Wyoming. • Seller of 1 CBOT Soybean contract would ship 5,000 bushels of the grain to a licensed grain elevator in Illinois, Iowa, or Kansas. • For CME Pork Bellies, settlement may involve title changes of warehouse receipt from seller to buyer for 40,000 pounds of the frozen meat in a cold storage. Even financial futures required physical delivery at that time. • For British Pound/USD contract, it is £62,500 in pound sterling. • For Ginnie Mae contract, it is $10 million worth of Ginnie Mae certificate. • T-Bond futures calls for delivery of treasury bonds with face value of $100,000 and maturity of no less than 15 years. As we discussed in “The Bogeyman in Financial Contracts”, there is inherent risk in the physical delivery mechanism. No matter how robust its original design is, industry evolution could outgrow capacity, rendering delivery failure under extreme market conditions. In December 1981, CME launched Eurodollar futures, the first contract with cash settlement feature. Cash settlement alone can be viewed as a financial revolution. Why? • It significantly reduces transaction cost, which in turn enhances the risk transfer or hedging function in futures. • It allows non-commercial users to participate in futures. Broader participation improves liquidity, and the price discovery as well as risk management functions. CME Eurodollar Futures Eurodollars are dollar-deposits held with banks outside of the US. There are two types of Eurodollar deposits: nontransferable time deposits and certificates of deposit (CDs). Time deposits have maturities ranging from 1 day to 5 years, with 3 months being the most common. Eurodollar CDs are also commonly issued with maturities under a year. Technically, buyer of Eurodollar future contract is required to place $1,000,000 in a 3-month Eurodollar time deposit paying the contracted interest rate on maturity date. However, this exists only in principle and is called a “Notional Value”. Cash settlement means that actual physical delivery never takes place; instead, any net changes in the value of the contract at maturity are settled in cash on the basis of spot market Eurodollar rates. Unlike T-bills, Eurodollar deposits, the underlying of Eurodollar futures, pay explicit interest. The interest paid on such deposit is termed an add-on yield because the depositor receives the face amount plus an explicit interest payment when the deposit matures. In the case of Eurodollar, the add-on yield is the London Interbank Offered Rate (LIBOR), which is the interest rate at which major international banks offer to place Eurodollar deposits with one another. Like other money market rates, LIBOR is an annualized rate based on a 360-day year. Price quotations for Eurodollar futures are based on the IMM Eurodollar futures price index, which is is 100 minus the LIBOR. In the following four decades, all financial futures are designed with cash settlement. Eurodollar futures paves the way for equity index futures, which were launched in February 1982 at Kansas City Board of Trade (KCBT) and April 1982 at CME. Without cash settlement, can you imagine how to deliver 500 different stocks on a market-weighted basis for the S&P 500 futures? Or 2,000 stocks for the Russell 2000? Happy Trading. Disclaimers *Trade ideas cited above are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management under the market scenarios being discussed. They shall not be construed as investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trade set-ups and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, check out on CME Group data plans in TradingView that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
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The Power of PRICE ACTIONHello traders and future traders!! I know there is a point in the trading journey where you have so much information that it gets confusing, and you try to apply everything that you have read, but price action strategies shows us how simple are the markets and how easily we can interpret one without using tons of indicators, but just the price movement. Here are the 3 main advantages when it comes to price action trading and the reasons why this type of analysis is so powerful in many trading strategies. If you see any other advantages, but also disadvantages, leave a comment and let's discuss!
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DEMONS OF TRADING | Don't Think Like This Have you ever wondered what helped all those professionals of Wall Street become successful? You will be surprised, but the key to their reached heights is hidden in their mistakes. Yes, that is right. Most professional and successful traders made many mistakes before they got to the top. Making mistakes is ordinary and sometimes even necessary because you learn when you make them. The crucial point of this idea is never to repeat those mistakes because some errors may cost us a fortune. That is why we gathered 10 most common trading mistakes to prevent you from faults and losses. Little preparation Entry to the Forex market is relatively easy, so people have a light-minded attitude towards trading knowledge. Beginner traders, especially, think that theory is not a big deal, and they will be able to build it up without a peep. However, it does not work this way. Miscalculating the risk/reward ratio For some reason, many traders believe that higher win trades are more profitable than lower ones. Sometimes, this idea even gets paid off, and due to blind luck, trades, where the potential risk exceeds the reward, benefit. However, in most cases, such trades are a sure way to lose money in the longer term. Avoiding risk management Risk management should be the core of your trading because it helps cut down losses. Trading without risk management is like skydiving without a parachute. Neglecting market events Relevant market news is essential as economic events influence the direction of trading during the day. So, if you are not aware of the financial reports or earnings, you might skip the volatility. To win the game, you need to develop your thinking and how you participate in the game. You are in a market trading against professional traders. Your goal is to think like a professional. That is the only way to survive in this game. Please, like this post and subscribe to our tradingview page!👍
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'RESUME' the trend journey via 'PAUSE' candleWe all have experienced the 'TRAIN' journey and similar to that in the stock market we have the 'TREND' journey. In the 'TRAIN' journey we have stoppages in between our destination called stations and like in the 'TREND' journey we have stoppages called levels. And then, among the levels, the most frustrating one is 'pause' where stock price show opposite candles that is against the trend and where most traders are hunted. This post is all about the 'pause' and how to use it to enter the trend and finally reach our destination through the 'TREND' journey. Definition:- As the name suggests pause candle is the candle formed in between the trend, the change is usually opposite the trend i.e. if the underlined script is moving in an uptrend then the pause candle will be of negative change and the color will be red and vice-versa. The pause candle indicates a pause in fresh positions by market participants and an entry chance for players expecting reversals. Also, it's an opportunity for new players to enter the trend i.e. for those who have missed the initial trend. Rules or Characteristics of a pause candle:- 1. Prior candles should be aggressive i.e. large candles of the opposite color. 2. It is generally of very small size as compared to the previous one and of the opposite color. 3. Volume is considerably low as compared to previous candles. 4. The RSI level of the spot where this candle originates is usually between the band of 35-75 which confirms that trend has not come to exhaustion. The psychology behind the pause candle:- In the market everything has a cause and a reason similar pause candle also conveys its message to the market players. The generation of the pause candle signifies that there is fatigue among the participants who were driving the stock or are taking some break. Also, it alerts that new hands have entered into the trend and are trying to offer resistance. Those who are looking for reversals spot this candle and enter into trade with the hope of reversals, they are generally weaker hands. Bigger hands those who were the driving force of the trend also want the new player to enter the trend so that they hunt them down and resume the rally at a lower price. How to trade pause candle:- Now, as small players, we don't know what goes inside but try to predict the message through the candle. If a pause candle is formed it doesn't mean the exhaustion of trend or reversal rather indicates a pause in fresh market position. But, here the aggressive trader enters with trades opposite to the trend. At this stage, two cases arise, note talking for an uptrend:- -> The next candle's high crosses above the high of the pause candle: Maximum times this is the case that arises, here the candle after the pause candle crosses the high of the pause candle now what does this indicate? The indication is that the trend drivers or bigger hands are active again and those who have taken a position against the trend are trapped and will try to escape hence, the move will be much sharper as compared to the initial trend. How to benefit in this case? When you spot such a pause candle that is formed after a continuous trend set it to alert candle and wait for the next candle to form. If the next candle crosses the high of the pause candle take the position along the trend and your stop would be the low of the pause candle which is generally too small and ride the sharper trend which is usually equal to the initial one. -> The next candle's low crosses below the low of the pause candle: Though not arises usually sometimes it does occur, here the candle after the pause candle crosses the high of the pause candle now what does this indicate? The indication is that the trend drivers or bigger hands are in the backseat and are not seeing further upside also there is a chance that they can book profits at this level. How to benefit in this case? When you spot such a pause candle that is formed after a continuous trend set it to alert candle and wait for the next candle to form. If the next candle crosses below the low of the pause candle take the position against the trend and your stop would be the high of the pause candle which is generally too small and ride the reversal trend which is usually half of the initial one. This case comes under the reversal candlestick patterns on which earlier an article was published by me but here we are concerned about a pause candle after which rally resumes. Note: The only constraint is to identify the correct pause candle for which you can refer to the above-said rules. Sometimes the candle after the pause candle crosses both the high and low of the pause candle in that circumstance you have to check the color of the candle, for uptrend it should be green then you can take the position else if it's red then wait for the next candle, and vice-versa for the downtrend.
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How many Crypto Currencies are there?You’d probably think there are around 100, 200 maybe 1,000 crypto currencies. And that’s because the news only covers a handful, but I think you would be surprised at the actual number. Right now, there are over 12,000 different crypto currency coins out there. And they are increasing by 1,000 new crypto currencies every month. The amazing thing is, unlike shares, these coins are very easy to create and regulate - YOURSELF. You can even hire someone from Fiverr to make you a crypto-currency for less than $20. I could even get a MATI Trader coin made if I wanted to. But this isn’t good news in my opinion. You see, most crypto currencies have very little purpose other than making money for their developers through investors buying and selling the coin. So which cryptos do I trade? For me it’s only down to two crypto currencies. Bitcoin and Ethereum. The Father and the mother of the crypto market. They are the biggest, most recognized and understood than any other crypto in circulation. But the crypto winter is not over and the bottoms are not set yet. There still needs to be a lot of fixing and regeneration of confidence before we see any upside with crypto… I’m sitting on my hands right now, until we see a change in the trend.
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EURUSD - Regression Channel points 1.17Hi Traders, Investors and Speculators 📈📉 Ev here. Been trading crypto since 2017 and later got into stocks. I have 3 board exams on financial markets and studied economics from a top tier university for a year. Daytime job - Math Teacher. 👩🏫 In today's analysis, here's a Forex update on the popular trading pair EURUSD. It's the last month of the year 2022; could we expect a Christmas rally? 📈 From a candlestick analysis , the Euro is looking to gain some ground against the Dollar with Three White Soldiers forming on the monthly chart. 📈 From a chart analysis / trend analysis , the regression trend that started in 2008 is still valid and the top of the regression parallel channel points towards 1.15 - 1.20 📈 From a technical indicator analysis, the RSI seems to be losing strength on it's way to the 50 mark and we'll need to see price action CLOSE over 1.08 to consider 1.15 resistance zone Sideways trading immediate term seems likely If you're interested in cryptocurrencies, check out this idea on ADAUSDT: _______________________ 📢Follow us here on TradingView for daily updates and trade ideas on crypto , stocks and commodities 💎Hit like & Follow 👍 We thank you for your support ! CryptoCheck
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BTC: What is A Death TriangleHi Everyone! I appreciate all the "Boosts" (Likes) everyone provided yesterday. Was definitely motivating to see the overwhelming support! Thank you! So, I thought I would make this video PUBLIC to show my APPRECIATTION. I had a question from a premium sub asking, 'What is the definition of 'Death Triangle' Dave is referring to in the BTC publication posted Dec 5th ?" So, I touch upon that subject in this video publication. Enjoy! ; ) Stay Awesome! David
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NEARUSDT is testing the resistance The price is testing the dynamic resistance inside a bear flag. IF the price is going to have a breakout from the structure and retest as new support, According to Plancton's strategy , we can set a nice order ––––– Keep in mind. 🟣 Purple structure -> Monthly structure. 🔴 Red structure -> Weekly structure. 🔵 Blue structure -> Daily structure. 🟡 Yellow structure -> 4h structure. ⚫️ black structure -> <= 1h structure. ––––– Follow the Shrimp 🦐
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@carlosvalenciafx1_

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TradingView Chart on Instagram Investing with Mike @michael_b_wang

Investing with Mike @michael_b_wang

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TradingView Chart on Instagram @tradertristan

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TradingView Chart on Instagram @jimnakmtl

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TradingView Chart on Instagram @mytradingsetup

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TradingView Chart on Instagram @bradfairbridge

@bradfairbridge

TradingView Chart on Instagram @mytradingsetup

@mytradingsetup

TradingView Chart on Instagram @fx.today

@fx.today

TradingView Chart on Instagram @trade_simple_fx

@trade_simple_fx

TradingView Chart on Instagram @olka_gadzieva

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TradingView Chart on Instagram @quantfurian

@quantfurian

TradingView Chart on Instagram @mytradingsetup

@mytradingsetup

TradingView Chart on Instagram @tradingfrance

@tradingfrance

TradingView Chart on Instagram @the_sniper_trader

@the_sniper_trader

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