The 2019 bottom was in with a break to the upside of falling wedge, there was a basing period after capitulation, a weekly bullish closing candle to the upside breaking the wedge with volume, history may be repeating, currently I am seeing a falling wedge and minimal bullish volume, I also consider war in Ukraine escalating, US Fed, Saylor maybe taking a bath and getting liquidated, also the amount of scam platforms going bust and most retail burnt bag holders leaving and never returning, I still think we have not had real capitulation yet....how ever like everyone else I'm just taking a guess based on probability, I have just chucked my idea for entertainment only.