DOGEUSD daily guidance is cautiously bullish. Recommended ratio: 65% DOGE, 35% Cash.
*CRITICAL RESISTANCE WATCH/PCE INDEX WATCH. All Risk-On assets are rallying off of "dovish" remarks made by Fed Chair Jerome Powell in his speech at the Brookings Institute earlier today. To condense it, he: reiterated the same narrative that inflation has a long way to go before coming down; expects October Core PCE to fall to 5% from 5.1%; said that decreases in rate hikes can start as soon as December; the terminal FFR for 2023 will likely be higher than projected in September's meeting (5%++); and that housing-services inflation should begin to fall in 2023.
SBF was interview by Andrew Ross Sorkin who did a rather good job of asking hard questions, and to condense it, SBF denied fraudulent intentions and instead said: lawyers didn't want him to talk; it was failure of risk management; there wasn't enough oversight; he unknowingly comingled user funds; FTX US should be solvent and can process withdrawals immediately; regulations are BS; he takes prescribed "focus" drugs; he donated to both Liberals and Conservatives equally; VOX DM's were a mistake; and that he supports good journalism. Interestingly, he admitted that most journalists are Liberals, so whether he donated equally to both parties is up to debate; though most of his Conservative donations were "dark contributions".
The last Beige Book of 2022 was released today and to condense it: most (if not all) districts expect an economic slowdown in 2023 marked by slowing demand and a tightening labor market. November US Consumer Confidence reported yesterday (11/29) and came in at 100.2, lower than 102.2 in October; with inflation and interest rate hikes expected to continue weighing on markets in 2023. The second US Q3 GDP estimate was reported today and came in at 2.9% vs 2.6% in the first estimate, this is mainly due to upward revisions in consumer spending and non-residential fixed investments.
In lighter news, Tim Cook gave Elon Musk a tour of Apple Headquarters and clarified that Apple had no intentions of removing Twitter from the App Store.
Cryptos, US Equities, US Equity Futures, N100, NI225, HSI, CNYUSD, JPYUSD, GBPUSD, EURUSD, Metals, Natural Gas and Short-Term US Treasurys are up. DXY, VIX, Oil and Agriculture are down.
Key Upcoming Dates: October PCE Index at 830am EST 12/01; November Employment Situation at 830am EST 12/02; Last FOMC Rate Hike Announcement of 2022 at 2pm EST 12/14.*
Price is currently trending up at $0.106 as it tests $0.112 minor resistance. Volume finished today's session Moderate (high) and is on track to favor buyers for a third consecutive session if it can close tomorrow's session in the green. Parabolic SAR flips bearish at $0.079, this margin is bearish at the moment. RSI is currently trending down and testing the uptrend line from December 2021 at ~61 as support after peaking at 64; if it can bounce here it would imply that the uptrend is still intact. Stochastic remains bullish and is currently trending up at 99 as it approaches a retest of max top (it's currently trending in the 'bullish autobahn'). MACD remains bullish and is currently trending up at 0.0036, the next resistance is at 0.01. ADX is currently trending up at 30 as Price pushes higher, this is bullish at the moment.
If Price is able to break above $0.112 minor resistance then it will likely aim to formally retest $0.162 resistance. However, if Price is rejected here, it will likely retest the 50MA at $0.087 as support. Mental Stop Loss: (one close below) $0.095.
*CRITICAL RESISTANCE WATCH/PCE INDEX WATCH. All Risk-On assets are rallying off of "dovish" remarks made by Fed Chair Jerome Powell in his speech at the Brookings Institute earlier today. To condense it, he: reiterated the same narrative that inflation has a long way to go before coming down; expects October Core PCE to fall to 5% from 5.1%; said that decreases in rate hikes can start as soon as December; the terminal FFR for 2023 will likely be higher than projected in September's meeting (5%++); and that housing-services inflation should begin to fall in 2023.
SBF was interview by Andrew Ross Sorkin who did a rather good job of asking hard questions, and to condense it, SBF denied fraudulent intentions and instead said: lawyers didn't want him to talk; it was failure of risk management; there wasn't enough oversight; he unknowingly comingled user funds; FTX US should be solvent and can process withdrawals immediately; regulations are BS; he takes prescribed "focus" drugs; he donated to both Liberals and Conservatives equally; VOX DM's were a mistake; and that he supports good journalism. Interestingly, he admitted that most journalists are Liberals, so whether he donated equally to both parties is up to debate; though most of his Conservative donations were "dark contributions".
The last Beige Book of 2022 was released today and to condense it: most (if not all) districts expect an economic slowdown in 2023 marked by slowing demand and a tightening labor market. November US Consumer Confidence reported yesterday (11/29) and came in at 100.2, lower than 102.2 in October; with inflation and interest rate hikes expected to continue weighing on markets in 2023. The second US Q3 GDP estimate was reported today and came in at 2.9% vs 2.6% in the first estimate, this is mainly due to upward revisions in consumer spending and non-residential fixed investments.
In lighter news, Tim Cook gave Elon Musk a tour of Apple Headquarters and clarified that Apple had no intentions of removing Twitter from the App Store.
Cryptos, US Equities, US Equity Futures, N100, NI225, HSI, CNYUSD, JPYUSD, GBPUSD, EURUSD, Metals, Natural Gas and Short-Term US Treasurys are up. DXY, VIX, Oil and Agriculture are down.
Key Upcoming Dates: October PCE Index at 830am EST 12/01; November Employment Situation at 830am EST 12/02; Last FOMC Rate Hike Announcement of 2022 at 2pm EST 12/14.*
Price is currently trending up at $0.106 as it tests $0.112 minor resistance. Volume finished today's session Moderate (high) and is on track to favor buyers for a third consecutive session if it can close tomorrow's session in the green. Parabolic SAR flips bearish at $0.079, this margin is bearish at the moment. RSI is currently trending down and testing the uptrend line from December 2021 at ~61 as support after peaking at 64; if it can bounce here it would imply that the uptrend is still intact. Stochastic remains bullish and is currently trending up at 99 as it approaches a retest of max top (it's currently trending in the 'bullish autobahn'). MACD remains bullish and is currently trending up at 0.0036, the next resistance is at 0.01. ADX is currently trending up at 30 as Price pushes higher, this is bullish at the moment.
If Price is able to break above $0.112 minor resistance then it will likely aim to formally retest $0.162 resistance. However, if Price is rejected here, it will likely retest the 50MA at $0.087 as support. Mental Stop Loss: (one close below) $0.095.