McDonald's: Is the Feast Over?

Mar 15

For McDonald's Corporation, we continue to believe that we are in a long-term downward correction on the daily chart. We completed the first 5-wave cycle with Wave (5), nearly at the all-time high of around $300. Since then, we've developed the subordinate Wave A and potentially also completed Wave B or at least its initial parts. We expect to see Wave C and the overarching Wave (A) at the level of the subordinate Wave A, i.e., at $245.88. However, if Wave B extends beyond 138%, or $319, and we break above this $319 level, our scenario would be invalidated, and we would need to reconsider our analysis. Until then, we anticipate a subordinate Wave ((c)) moving towards subordinate Wave B in a zigzag pattern, as the structure from Wave A to subordinate Wave ((a)) is a five-wave impulse, indicating a zigzag movement is the only possibility. Therefore, we expect a decline to between $267 and $258, followed by a reversal to develop Wave B, potentially at 138% or 127.2%.