Ryan_Gorman

Silver on the verge of a breakout?

COMEX:SIZ2023   Silver Futures (Dec 2023)
The precious metals complex received a nice boost off the weaker than expected Jolts and consumer confidence on Tuesday, and we have ADP coming on Wednesday that is expected to come in at 195,000. We are expecting this number will be a strong catalyst for the market, and if we can see a number higher than expected, we could see the market take a big hit to the downside for the precious metals and specifically the silver market.

On the technical side, silver carved out a nice bottom in the middle of august, and we are now trading out above a key pivot level of resistance of 24.70-24.77. Price action out above here keeps the bulls in control, and they need to defend that level which will now act as strong support moving forward.

Looking at the chart, there is strong trendline resistance from the highs back in May of this year. If we can see a good ADP number, Silver could take out this trendline and look to take out the 25.28 level, and then the next level would be 25.80-25.82.

We are getting close to overbought territory on this December contract for silver, and we typically see some selling pressure when the RSI gets near that 70 level, so there is great volatility to be expected this week with the strong technical points and the fundamental backdrop.

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