Ryan_Gorman

Assessing the Silver Market: Opportunitie and Risk as Q4 Begins

COMEX_DL:SIZ2023   Silver Futures (Dec 2023)
The Silver market is a mixed bag, and there are several ways traders are looking at this market. The precious metals complex has been under recent pressure with the rising dollar and rising treasury yields, and Silver is nearing the make it or break it point with some of the weakness we have seen this week.

Good News:
With the negative price action the market has seen, there is still some good news for the bulls. For one, Silver is an industrial metal, unlike Gold. This offers more opportunity for the market outside of what is happening with the dollar and yields. Along with that, even when we have seen the market break below the 23.06 retracement level, the trendline support going back to the lows from August of 2022 have held strong.

Bad News:
Even if you are bullish, it is essential to assess the downside risk before entering a market. The trendline support is going to be the key support level that needs to hold for the market to have any chance of a sustained rally. A break and a close below this level could spark additional selling pressure, and there is a lot of room to the downside for the market to try and find support.

As we are looing to head into Q4 and have end of month and end of quarter today, there should be expected volatility in Silver and the other macro markets as well, but keep an eye on this trendline support as we head into what hopes to be a strong Q4!


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