According to FedWatch Tool www.cmegroup.com/tra...untdown-to-fomc.html there will be 2 or even 3 interest rate CUTS in late 2020.
It means the difference between US10-US02Y spread will move up - arrow on the plot. We can already see that values jumped to 1.63 and that will continue!
The vertical dashed lines indicate the official beginning of recessions from fred.stlouisfed.org/series/T10Y2Y
While the horizontal line (red/green) indicate 250 days moving average; Every time US10Y-US02Y crossed the 250d average the recession occurred but was not announced until a few months later!
It means interest cuts will follow during Presidential elections in the US and recession will not be announced until 2021!!!
It means the difference between US10-US02Y spread will move up - arrow on the plot. We can already see that values jumped to 1.63 and that will continue!
The vertical dashed lines indicate the official beginning of recessions from fred.stlouisfed.org/series/T10Y2Y
While the horizontal line (red/green) indicate 250 days moving average; Every time US10Y-US02Y crossed the 250d average the recession occurred but was not announced until a few months later!
It means interest cuts will follow during Presidential elections in the US and recession will not be announced until 2021!!!
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Here we go again: Bank of America calls for 50 basis point cut at Fed's March meeting
www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ud1ZaiFi...
www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ud1ZaiFi...
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Two weeks before Official FOMC meeting, Fed cuts rates by half a percentage point to combat Coronavirus slowdown - that escalated very quickly!
www.cnbc.com/2020/03...avirus-slowdown.html
www.cnbc.com/2020/03...avirus-slowdown.html
Comment:
Market Massacre: Oil Crashes 30%, Dow Down 1,000, VIX Explodes As Spoos Crater
www.zerohedge.com/ma...-explodes-es-craters
www.zerohedge.com/ma...-explodes-es-craters
Comment:
Stocks Suffer Worst Week Since Lehman Despite Biggest Fed Bailout Ever
www.zerohedge.com/ma...est-fed-bailout-ever
www.zerohedge.com/ma...est-fed-bailout-ever
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Very nice video, please watch: Will the Coronavirus TRIGGER a Global Recession?
www.youtube.com/watch?v=uc38v9yh...
These Updating Charts Show How Many People Are Losing Their Jobs Amid The Coronavirus Pandemic
www.buzzfeednews.com...claims-laid-off-jobs
www.youtube.com/watch?v=uc38v9yh...
These Updating Charts Show How Many People Are Losing Their Jobs Amid The Coronavirus Pandemic
www.buzzfeednews.com...claims-laid-off-jobs
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The US will have negative interest rates in 2020/21, FED just needs another wave of nCov19 as an excuse!
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Bloomberg urges users to get set for negative US rates
www.ft.com/content/4...2f-b490-d4e76360a470
The stock market didn't plunge due to gigantic stimulus i.e. money-printing!
Please check out this very nice visualisation of $10+ Trillion 2020 Economic Stimulus in Cash
www.youtube.com/watch?v=YPHEM4gE...
www.ft.com/content/4...2f-b490-d4e76360a470
The stock market didn't plunge due to gigantic stimulus i.e. money-printing!
Please check out this very nice visualisation of $10+ Trillion 2020 Economic Stimulus in Cash
www.youtube.com/watch?v=YPHEM4gE...
Trade active:
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Comment:
'Recovery' Hopes Fade As US Wholesale Inventories Unexpectedly Plunge In June
www.zerohedge.com/ma...pectedly-plunge-june
www.zerohedge.com/ma...pectedly-plunge-june
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Gold And Crypto: Is This How Charts Look Before A Monetary Collapse?
www.zerohedge.com/ma...ok-monetary-collapse
www.zerohedge.com/ma...ok-monetary-collapse
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Trade active:
JPM: "Bond Yields Are Likely To Move Higher From Here" But The Real Question Is "What's Behind The Move"
www.zerohedge.com/ma...on-whats-behind-move
You've got to Pump it up,
Don't you know Pump it up!!
Danzel - Pump It Up
www.youtube.com/watch?v=0HtyF0ju...
www.zerohedge.com/ma...on-whats-behind-move
You've got to Pump it up,
Don't you know Pump it up!!
Danzel - Pump It Up
www.youtube.com/watch?v=0HtyF0ju...
Comment:
We are already in a crisis that nobody wants to announce:
fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FEDFUNDS
Obviously healthcare crisis related to nCov19 is more important :-/
fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FEDFUNDS
Obviously healthcare crisis related to nCov19 is more important :-/
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"Treasury Secretary Yellen says rates may have to rise somewhat to keep economy from overheating" - that will be the last nail to the coffin and will inevitably cause the yield curve to move higher and flip the market.
www.cnbc.com/2021/05...rom-overheating.html
www.cnbc.com/2021/05...rom-overheating.html
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www.youtube.com/watch?v=t3ygJbJj... #CNBCTV
"Inflation could be 20% in the next three years: Wharton's Jeremy Siegel"
"Inflation could be 20% in the next three years: Wharton's Jeremy Siegel"
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A Major BEARISH Signal Not Seen for 14 Years (Market and Crypto Analysis)
www.youtube.com/watch?v=x5CmpLGa...
www.youtube.com/watch?v=x5CmpLGa...
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Alarm bells over a possible recession from raising interest rates too quickly
www.youtube.com/watch?v=DB_KriDI...
www.youtube.com/watch?v=DB_KriDI...
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www.newyorkfed.org/m...markets/Prob_Rec.pdf
The Most Scary and Important Chart You NEED to See Right Now:
youtu.be/Bs1_8r4oS_E