XBT/USD Analysis: Bitcoin Short Scenario

• Bitcoin loses ground above $8,000 following the rejection at $8,400.
  The bulls are banking on the support at $7,800 to push for a return into the $8,000 range.
  

Bitcoin’s recent upsurge hit a daily supply zone slightly above $8,400. A reversal quickly ensued pushing BTC close to $8,000. However, the bulls rallied in support at $8,150 during the trading session on Wednesday. Another recovery attempt stepped above $8,300 but failed to sustain gains towards $8,400.

At the time of writing, XBT/USD is teetering at $7,964 amid a building bearish momentum. Besides, the rejection from the key descending channel, resistance appears to have significantly increased the bears’ confidence.

Bitcoin is currently banking on a couple of support areas; $7,900 (immediate support) and $7,800 (crucial support). In the event declines penetrate these two zones, Bitcoin could easily spiral to levels close to $7,000.
On the other hand, the failure to break $8,500 could also mean that Bitcoin is not fundamentally ready for a reversal above $9,000. In this case, a return to $7,000 is likely to see increased buying activity, volume and momentum to launch a credible assault on $8,500 and $9,000 resistance.

From a technical perspective, the current bearish momentum will continue in the short term. The signals from the Relative Strength Index (RSI) hint a growing bearish grip.

The downtrend is also reminiscent of the $1.169 million shorts liquidated on BitMEX in comparison to $590k longs liquidated on the same platform. This scenario suggests that traders and investors are exercising their skepticism regarding Bitcoin’s hike to $8,400.

Bitcoin Key Technical Levels
BitMEX index price: $7,953

24-hour volume: $3.9 billion

Open interest: $716 million

Trend: Bearish

Volatility: High

Support: $7,800 and $7,400

Resistance: $8,000 $8,200 and $8,400