Bitcoin - Warning! Flash crash soon (BEAR FLAG)Bitcoin recently formed a symmetrical triangle, but the bulls made a false breakout above it, which is a huge problem because this symmetrical triangle pretty much transformed into a bearish flag, and that's a very bearish pattern! The price has been consolidating for many weeks within this pattern, and soon we are going to see a significant move, most likely to the downside!
This can be your last warning - otherwise, you can get liquidated in the upcoming days. You can still open a short position on futures if you want to make money on this move. What is the target of this bearish flag? To answer this question, we have to use a Fibonacci extension tool and look for the 1:1 FIB extension (92,200 USD). But what we cannot miss is this descending parallel channel projection and its support trendlines. There are pretty much 2 trendlines that act as a dynamic support (support changes with time). Support levels of these trendlines are currently around 95k and 90k. So this gives us an idea that Bitcoin should react to this zone (should be a great buying opportunity). There is also a minor support of 101,444 (0.618 FIB extension), this is indeed a weak support in this particular case, and I expect only a small bounce from this level.
What will happen after this upcoming flash crash? I think we may see a rise back to 107k to retest the previous symmetrical triangle / bear flag. Altcoins are bleeding again. If you want to know more information about your altcoin, then write a comment with your altcoin + hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
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Lingrid | GOLD Trend Continuation Pattern FormedOANDA:XAUUSD continues consolidating inside a broad descending channel after a failed attempt to break above 4050 resistance. Price action shows multiple rejections from the upper boundary while forming lower highs — a signal that sellers remain active. The focus now shifts toward the 3900 level as the next downside test, with a possible rebound near this zone before further direction develops. Momentum remains neutral-to-bearish unless bulls reclaim the 4060–4080 range.
⚠️ Risks:
Strong U.S. employment data this week could boost USD strength and extend downside pressure.
Rising Treasury yields may suppress gold’s short-term recovery potential.
Unexpected geopolitical tensions could trigger safe-haven inflows, distorting the bearish setup.
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
BTC: Bullish vs Bearish Scenarios - Key Levels to Watch BTC: Bullish vs Bearish Scenarios - Key Levels to Watch
Bitcoin is in a very complex development and it is not so easy to have a clear idea. At the moment, BTC is still growing as long as it stays above the current support area of 1035000.
Bitcoin is approaching a key support zone around $103,500, where price action could decide the next major move.
📈 Bullish Scenario:
If the support holds, BTC could bounce strongly toward $110,200, with extended targets at $115,400, $120,700, and $125,000. A strong rejection wick or volume confirmation would support this upside move.
📉 Bearish Scenario:
If BTC breaks below $103,500, a bearish continuation could unfold, targeting $99,400, $94,300, and potentially $88,600.
The next few candles will be crucial — watch how BTC reacts to the $103,500 zone for direction confirmation.
💡Bias: Neutral — waiting for breakout confirmation before taking sides.
You Can Share Your Opinion Below 👇
Thank You😊
URUSD Faces Pressure Near 1.15100 as DXY Holds Strong Above 100!Hey Traders,
In today’s trading session we are monitoring EURUSD for a selling opportunity around the 1.15100 zone. The pair is trading within a broader downtrend and is currently in a correction phase, approaching the trend resistance at 1.15100.
Structure:
EURUSD continues to form lower highs and lower lows, suggesting that sellers remain in control. The 1.15100 zone stands as a key resistance where bearish momentum could resume.
Fundamentals:
This setup aligns with the recent DXY analysis, where the Dollar Index is holding firm around 100.000 after hawkish Fed remarks downplayed the likelihood of a December rate cut. A resilient Dollar backdrop strengthens the bearish case for EURUSD as policy divergence continues to favor the greenback.
Next move:
We’ll be watching price action at 1.15100 for potential rejection and continuation lower.
Trade safe,
Joe.
EUR/USD: Bearish Setup Confirmed After Head and Shoulders BreaksHi guys!
The chart shows a Three Drives pattern followed by a Head and Shoulders formation, both signaling potential bearish continuation.
The Three Drives Pattern:
The price completed three consecutive bullish drives, each showing signs of exhaustion. This structure often indicates a weakening uptrend and prepares the ground for a larger reversal.
The Head and Shoulders Pattern:
After the third drive, the market formed a clear head and shoulders structure, confirming distribution at the top. The neckline has already been broken, suggesting a shift from bullish to bearish sentiment.
Current Structure and Expectation:
Price is now retesting the neckline area after the breakdown. A rejection from this level would likely trigger a deeper decline toward the highlighted target zone, which aligns with previous demand and the flip area.
Target:
The projected target of the head and shoulders pattern falls near 1.12500, matching the lower pink zone on the chart.
In summary, unless the market decisively reclaims the neckline and trendline support, EUR/USD remains biased to the downside, with the 1.1250 area as the next key level to watch.
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
XAU/USD | Gold’s Sharp Breakdown – Bears Still in Control!By analyzing the Gold (XAUUSD) chart on the 2-hour timeframe, we can see that after several days of consolidation, price finally broke down sharply, hitting all our targets at $3,999, $3,985, and $3,947, and extending to $3,928 — delivering over 700 pips in profit.
After reaching the marked demand zone, gold bounced slightly and is now trading around $3,940. However, unless we see strong bullish momentum soon, a deeper decline remains likely. The next potential downside targets are $3,930, $3,915, and $3,905.
Further targets and updates will be shared in the next analysis.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Gold Forms Higher Low — Potential Upside Toward Resistance LineHello traders, here’s my current outlook on Gold (XAUUSD). Gold has recently transitioned out of a strong bearish phase, where the price moved inside a descending channel and found significant support near the $3,930–$3,950 Buyer Zone. This support zone has proven to be a key reaction level multiple times, with several fake breakouts followed by strong bullish recoveries — confirming the presence of active buyers. After breaking out of the descending channel, the price began forming a higher-low structure, aligning along the Support Line, suggesting that bullish momentum is gradually returning. However, the market remains capped by the Resistance Line, where several strong rejections occurred, indicating that sellers are still defending higher levels. At the moment, Gold is trading between the Buyer Zone and the $4,020–$4,140 Resistance Zone (Seller Zone). If buyers manage to hold support and form another bullish push from the current levels, we could see an upward move targeting the $4,020 area first, and if momentum continues — a potential retest of the key resistance at $4,140. For now, the structure shows accumulation above strong support, suggesting that buyers still have the advantage. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Bitcoin Drops Below 100K, Reversal Signal EmergingAfter breaking below the 107K support level, Bitcoin retested the area and then extended its decline.
As the downtrend intensified, the price broke through 102K, which was the low recorded during the large-scale liquidation event on October 11, and subsequently lost the psychological support level at 100K.
During the eight-hour period of this decline, approximately 1.1 billion USD worth of long positions were liquidated, accompanied by both a liquidity sweep and a fakeout pattern.
The simultaneous occurrence of large-scale liquidations, increased trading volume, a fakeout pattern, and the process of filling the CME gap indicates that multiple short-term reversal signals emerged in this zone.
From a technical standpoint, there is an increasing likelihood of two consecutive bullish candles with long lower wicks forming on the 4-hour chart, while the 12-hour chart also shows a high probability of developing a bullish candle with a long lower shadow.
This suggests a growing possibility of a short-term rebound, with the potential upside target near the upper boundary of the descending parallel channel.
Liquidity Zones Explained: Where Smart Money GoesMarkets don’t move randomly. Every candle, spike, or reversal happens for a reason and that reason is liquidity.
Liquidity is what fuels price movement. It’s where buy and sell orders are concentrated, and where large players execute positions without showing their hand.
Understanding where liquidity lies gives traders a major advantage, because price doesn’t move to levels by accident. It moves there to fill orders.
Liquidity represents the pool of resting orders waiting to be filled — stop losses, pending buys, or sells.
When price reaches these areas, volume spikes, and the market finds enough counterparties for large players to enter or exit positions.
Liquidity isn’t just numbers on the book. It’s the invisible map of trader behavior:
– Stops above highs (where breakout traders get trapped)
– Stops below lows (where panic selling occurs)
– Consolidation zones (where both sides accumulate orders)
These areas become magnets for price movement.
When you see sharp wicks above or below key levels, it’s often not manipulation — it’s collection.
Smart money drives price into these zones to trigger stop losses and capture liquidity before reversing in the true direction.
The move looks random, but it’s calculated.
The goal is to fill large positions efficiently, using retail orders as exit liquidity.
Instead of chasing price, learn to wait for liquidity grabs.
The simplest method is to mark obvious highs and lows and observe how price reacts when those levels are taken.
If price breaks a key high but fails to continue — and momentum shifts back down — it’s often a sign of a liquidity sweep, not a breakout.
These moments reveal where the real players are positioning themselves.
Trading liquidity is about reaction, not prediction.
Liquidity zones reveal where traders are trapped and where professionals engage.
If you stop focusing on where price is and start paying attention to why it moves there, you’ll see the market with far more clarity.
Bears Have Entered Gold Market – Not Just KnockingHello everyone,
Gold opened the week in a heavy, hovering state around 3,930–3,940 USD/ounce following a nearly 70 USD plunge — one of the steepest drops in the past two weeks. It was not technical factors but Fed Chairman Jerome Powell’s hawkish remarks that triggered the sell-off: the Fed made no mention of rate cuts, the USD jumped to a three-month high, the 10-year yield climbed near 4.1%, and gold was instantly removed from investors’ preferred assets.
Meanwhile, China — the world’s largest gold consumer — abolished VAT incentives for gold businesses, weakening already sluggish physical demand. All eyes are now on the ISM Services PMI: strong data could further support the USD and push gold lower, while weak figures might trigger a short-term technical rebound.
On the 2H chart, bears dominate. FVG zones at 3,965 and 3,995 continually reject price advances. Support at 3,925–3,910 is the final barrier before gold could slide to 3,875–3,850 USD/ounce, areas that historically acted as market “rebound points.” Rising selling volume confirms capital outflow, though long lower wicks hint at localized buying interest.
In my view, as long as the USD remains strong and rates are not cut, any rallies are temporary. Without a significant catalyst, gold retesting 3,900 — or even lower — is just a matter of time.
Do you think gold will find support soon, or is further weakness inevitable?
BTCUSD: Falling Wedge Reversal in Play Toward 106KHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Bitcoin setup.
Market Analysis
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has recently shown signs of recovering bullish momentum after rebounding from the 100,600–101,000 Support Zone, which has acted as a key demand region during previous tests. The market experienced a fake breakout below the wedge support line, but buyers quickly stepped back in, pushing the price back inside the structure — a classic indication of seller exhaustion and accumulation interest.
Currently, BTC is trading inside a falling wedge pattern, which is typically considered a bullish reversal formation. The recent bounce from the lower boundary suggests that buyers are attempting to regain control, especially after the sharp decline from the 113,700 Resistance Zone. The price is now gradually approaching the mid-range of the wedge, signaling a potential continuation toward the upper resistance line.
My Scenario & Strategy
If Bitcoin holds above the 100,600–101,000 support, the bullish scenario remains valid. I expect the price to gradually move toward the 104,000–106,000 area as the next short-term target, aligned with the wedge resistance line. A breakout and confirmed hold above the wedge resistance would likely signal a trend reversal, opening the door for a larger continuation toward the 113,700 resistance zone, and possibly beyond.
However, if BTC loses the 100,600 support again and closes below the wedge, this would invalidate the bullish setup and could trigger a deeper move toward 98,000 before a new structure forms.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
EURCAD – Buyers Gaining ControlPrice has formed what looks like an inverse head and shoulders pattern after an extended bearish leg, a strong sign of potential reversal.
The left shoulder, head, and right shoulder structure all show selling pressure fading and buyers gradually stepping in.
We’ve now seen a clean breakout above the neckline, confirming the shift in momentum.
I’m watching for a short-term pullback toward the neckline for a possible retest before continuation.
As long as price holds above that level, the bullish bias remains intact.
Next upside target sits around 1.6318, aligning with the next resistance zone and measured move projection from the pattern.
EURUSD – The Undercurrent Pulling the Euro Even Deeper!As the USD continues to shine across global markets, the euro finds itself on the defensive. On November 5 , a wave of risk-off sentiment swept through the markets, driving investors toward safe-haven assets such as the USD and JPY, pushing EURUSD down to around 1.1473 — its lowest level in weeks.
The dollar’s strength stems from expectations that the Federal Reserve is unlikely to cut rates anytime soon, while the Eurozone lacks supportive signals — inflation is cooling rapidly, but growth remains sluggish. As a result, the pair is caught in a clear position of weakness, squeezed between defensive capital flows and policy pressure.
On the 4-hour chart , a descending channel structure is clearly visible. Each rebound near the 1.1510 zone has been firmly rejected, forming a series of lower highs. The 1.1440 level now acts as key support — if it breaks, the decline could deepen toward 1.1380.
In the short term, the outlook remains firmly bearish. As long as the USD maintains its dominance, EURUSD is likely to continue weakening , marking another downward leg in its medium-term trend.
Gold Bull Market Update and Outlook Q4 2025 / Q1 2026📌 Executive Summary
• Base case (60%): The current pullback is a normal retracement within the primary bull trend. We expect consolidation through late Q4-2025 and potentially into January 2026, followed by a resumption of the uptrend in Q1/Q2-2026.
• Drivers remain intact: Persistent central-bank accumulation, reserve-diversification dynamics, and episodic macro/geopolitical risk keep the structural bid under gold.
• Positioning stance: Maintain core long exposure, add tactically on weakness into the $3.8k–$4.0k zone spot equivalent with tight risk controls, and ladder call spreads into Q2-2026.
• Risk skew: Near-term pullback risk persists position shakeouts, macro data surprises. Structural bearish risks are low unless central-bank demand materially softens.
________________________________________
🧭 Market Context & Recent Price Action
• Gold printed successive record highs into mid-October; front-month futures traded above $4,170/oz before easing. Headlines framed the rally as policy and safe-haven led, with year-to-date gains exceptionally strong.
• Central-bank demand continues to underpin the move: WGC and sell-side coverage highlight accelerating official-sector buying and diversification away from FX reserves; banks forecast higher prices into 2026.
• The current setback aligns with prior bull-market pauses (e.g., Apr–Jul 2025 and Sep 2024–Dec 2024 pullbacks), consistent with the user-stated pattern of multi-month consolidations before trend resumption.
What’s new in headlines late Oct–Nov 2025:
• Pullback is “technical and temporary,” with buy-the-dip framing from UBS; next tactical target cited around $4,200.
• Official-sector flows: Korea & Madagascar exploring reserve increases; PBoC extended buying streak into September.
• WSJ coverage stresses gold’s role in erosion of trust in fiat/central banks and the reserve-diversification theme.
________________________________________
🔑 Structural Bull Case 2025-2026
1. Official-Sector Accumulation:
o Multi-year build in central-bank gold holdings (EM-led) as a sanctions-resilient reserve asset; this remains the single most important marginal buyer narrative.
2. Reserve Diversification & Financial Geopolitics:
o Evidence that gold’s share of global reserves has risen while some institutions reassess currency composition.
3. Macro Volatility & Policy Trajectory:
o Periodic growth scares, policy pivots, and real-rate uncertainty sustain hedging demand. Street targets for late-2026 (e.g., ~$4,900 GS) anchor upside convexity.
4. Market Microstructure:
o Thin above prior highs and crowded shorts on pullbacks can fuel sharp upside re-accelerations when macro catalysts hit data, geopolitics, policy hints.
________________________________________
📊 Technical Map Top-Down
• Primary trend: Up. The sequence of higher highs/higher lows since 2024 remains intact; current move is a trend-within-trend consolidation.
• Pullback anatomy: Prior bull pauses (Apr–Jul 2025; Sep–Dec 2024) lasted 2–4 months, with troughs forming on volatility compression and momentum washouts—a template for now.
• Key tactical zones spot-equiv.:
o $3,800–$4,000: First reload area prior breakout shelf / 50–61.8% of the last leg.
o $4,200–$4,250: First resistance / re-acceleration trigger retests of breakdown pivots.
o $4,350–$4,400: High congestion; decisive weekly close above here re-opens ATH extension.
________________________________________
🗓️ Scenario Pathing Q4-2025 → Q2-2026
• Base Case 60% — “Consolidate then resume”:
o Sideways-to-lower into late Q4/Jan 2026 as positioning resets; range $3.8k–$4.2k.
o Breakout resumption in Q1/Q2-2026 as macro and official flows re-assert.
• Bullish Extension 25% — “Shallow dip, quick reclaim”:
o Softer real yields / risk flare trigger swift recapture of $4.2k–$4.4k and new highs earlier in Q1-2026.
o Catalysts: heavier central-bank prints, geopolitical shock, or earlier policy-easing rhetoric.
• Bear-Risk 15% — “Deeper flush, trend intact”:
o Hawkish macro surprise or forced deleveraging drives $3.6k–$3.7k probes; structure holds unless official-sector demand meaningfully fades
________________________________________
🧪 What to Watch High-Signal Indicators
• Official-Sector Data: Monthly updates from WGC, IMF COFER clues, and PBoC reserve disclosures. Continuation of EM purchases = green light for the bull.
• Rates & Liquidity: Real-rate direction and dollar liquidity conditions around data and policy communications.
• Microstructure: CFTC positioning inflections, ETF out/in-flows a lagging but useful confirmation when they finally turn.
• Asia Physical/Policy: China/Japan retail and wholesale dynamics; policy/tax headlines can create short-term volatility.
________________________________________
🎯 Strategy & Implementation
1) Core:
• Maintain strategic long allocation consistent with mandate e.g., 3–5% risk budget; avoid pro-cyclical reductions during orderly pullbacks.
2) Tactical Adds
• Scale-in buy program within $3.8k–$4.0k
• Optionality: Buy Q2-2026 call spreads (e.g., 4.2/4.8) on dips; fund via selling Q1-2026 downside put spreads around $3.6k–$3.7k where comfortable with assignment.
3) Risk Controls 🛡️:
• Hard-stop any tactical adds on weekly close < ~$3.6k or if credible evidence emerges of official-sector demand reversal.
XAUUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on GOLD?
Gold has entered a range-bound phase after making a new high followed by a sharp correction.
The price is currently moving sideways between key support and resistance levels, and as long as these zones remain intact, choppy and indecisive movements are expected to continue.
We expect gold to first form a short-term upward correction toward the identified resistance zone, which would also act as a pullback to the previously broken structure.
Once this pullback is complete, the price may resume its downward move toward the lower support targets.
If gold breaks the support zone before completing the upward correction, the bearish scenario will be confirmed without any significant retracement, leading to a deeper decline.
Overall, the market remains range-bound and volatile, and it’s best to wait for a breakout from key levels before taking new positions.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Another Volatile Day for Gold: Is the Next Leg Down Loading?Yesterday was just another volatile session for Gold...
After testing the waters above $4,000, price reversed sharply during the New York session, dropping to around $3,930.
A brief consolidation followed, and by the time of writing, Gold already rebounded toward $3,970, reclaiming the $3,960 support area.
Despite this recovery, the overall structure remains bearish — as long as price fails to stabilize above $4,000, sellers maintain control.
📉 Outlook:
I continue to expect another leg down, with $3,915 as my next focus, followed by the recent low around $3,885.
BTC formed a head and shoulders in consolidation!Hi!
Bitcoin recently completed a Head and Shoulders pattern, leading to a rejection from the “first hunt” area near the previous high. After that rejection, price has been moving lower and is now approaching a key S&D (Supply & Demand) zone highlighted on the chart.
This lower zone represents the “second possible hunt”, an area where liquidity may be collected before a potential strong bullish reversal. The structure shows consolidation forming above this zone, suggesting that sellers may soon exhaust as buyers prepare to step in.
If price sweeps the lows into the S&D zone and finds strong support, we could see a sharp reversal move toward the $118K–$120K region, aligning with the previous highs and major liquidity level.
However, if Bitcoin fails to hold the S&D zone, the bullish recovery scenario would be invalidated, and deeper correction could follow.
the target of this head and shoulders pattern is near $100250
A Bearish XAUUSD Setup You Can’t Afford to MissOANDA:XAUUSD has dropped sharply, reflecting the complete dominance of sellers who continue to push the market lower with strong bearish momentum.
After the decline, the price paused and then began to rise slowly, forming a familiar wedge pattern, a classic signal of trend continuation. Buyers attempted to regain control, but the buying pressure was weak, and every rally was quickly met with renewed selling.
Eventually, the price broke below the pattern with significant pressure and is now retesting the breakout area. This confirms that the market remains bearish, with limited chances of a meaningful reversal. If the price continues to break below this zone, further declines are likely to follow.
I anticipate the next bearish wave could reach around 3,885, aligning with the broader downtrend.
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute trading advice or financial recommendation.
EUR/CAD: Bullish Outlook📈EURCAD formed a significant inverted head and shoulders pattern on a 4-hour timeframe.
The neckline for this pattern is identified between 1.6226 and 1.6210.
Should the price successfully break and close above this neckline, it would indicate a strong bullish signal.
In such a scenario, the market could potentially advance towards the 1.6560 level.
Please note that the neckline currently acts as a robust demand area. Shorting opportunities should only be considered after a confirmed breakout of this level.
EURUSD Long: Rebound Setup Targeting 1.1560 Pivot ResistanceHello traders! EURUSD continues to trade within a clearly defined descending channel, maintaining a consistent bearish structure characterized by lower highs and lower lows. The recent rejection from the 1.1660 Supply Zone once again confirmed strong seller presence at that level. Additionally, the fake breakout above the channel resistance further highlighted the inability of buyers to shift the market structure.
Currently, price continued moving lower and is now testing the 1.1475–1.1500 Demand Zone, which aligns with the lower boundary of the descending channel. This area has previously acted as a reaction zone, meaning buyers have shown interest here before. The recent candle structure suggests that bears are slowing down near the demand area, indicating potential for a corrective pullback rather than immediate continuation downward.
In my opinion, If buyers manage to defend the 1.1475 Demand Zone, we could see a short-term bullish rebound toward the 1.1560 Pivot Resistance. This creates a favorable area for short-term long positions aiming for corrective upside movement. However, if sellers break below 1.1475 and price closes beneath the demand line, this would signal continuation of the primary bearish trend, opening the path toward lower levels around 1.1420–1.1380. For now, as long as price holds above the demand zone, a corrective rebound remains the more probable scenario. Manage your risk!
Hellena | Oil (4H): LONG to resistance area 64.8.Colleagues, in fact, I have not changed the wave markup, but I have a slightly different view on the near-term price movement plan.
In the last forecast I emphasized that the target is the area of 58.9, but now it looks more likely that the completion of wave “C” in a complex correction (resistance area 64.8). Then I will consider the long-awaited downward movement again.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
ETHUSDT is testing major Fibonacci support level now As the chart illustrates, ETHUSDT has completed a significant correction and is now testing a crucial technical level: the 50% retracement level of the Fibonacci sequence. This level often acts as a dynamic support zone in a strong trend.
A confirmed bullish rejection at this 0.5 Fibonacci support, evidenced by a strong reversal candlestick pattern, would signal that the correction may be complete. This would establish a high-probability setup for a resumption of the primary bullish trend.
In such a scenario, we would anticipate a strong bullish impulse, with an initial technical target projected toward the $5,500 level. This target is derived from the magnitude of the prior uptrend and represents a key resistance zone on the higher timeframes.
DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision))
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