Gold - The bullrun top happens now!✂️Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) is heading for a major reversal:
🔎Analysis summary:
After the all time high breakout back in 2024, Gold has been rallying about +115% until today. During this entire move, Gold did not create any real correction. Considering that Gold is currently retesting a major resistance trendline, the bullrun top happens now.
📝Levels to watch:
$4,000
SwingTraderPhil
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GOLD MARKET UPDATEHey Everyone,
As we close out the week, price action on the 1 hour chart continues to consolidate within the defined Goldturn range between 4193 and 4233. The 4193 weighted Goldturn has held as a structural support level, generating the rebound that carried price back into 4233.
Earlier in the week, we observed a cross and lock above 4233, which leaves the 4275 gap unfilled. This upside inefficiency will remain on our radar as long as price holds above the mid range structure.
We will return Sunday with a full multi-timeframe breakdown and detailed trade tracking plan for the upcoming week.
Mr Gold
Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) – Intraday Trend & Pattern AnalysisHi!
Bitcoin continues to trade within a broader ascending structure, supported by an established rising trendline that has guided price higher over the past weeks. After forming a double bottom near the lower boundary of this channel, BTC initiated a strong rally toward the major resistance zone around 95,000 USDT, where a clear head-and-shoulders reversal pattern appeared. The neckline later broke, and its measured target has already been fully achieved, confirming the pattern’s validity.
Following the completion of this decline, the price stabilized inside the previous consolidation zone and began forming a triangle pattern, signaling compression and potential trend continuation. BTC is now testing the upper boundary of this triangle. A confirmed breakout above the pattern could trigger a bullish continuation toward 90,500–91,200 USDT, aligning with the dashed trendline and short-term resistance levels.
Failure to break upward may lead to a retest of the triangle’s lower boundary or even the broader demand area around 88,000–88,500 USDT, which previously acted as a reaction zone.
Overall, as long as the price remains above the ascending channel’s main support, the medium-term structure favors buyers. A breakout from the triangle will be the key signal for renewed bullish momentum.
Bitcoin Roadmap | Short-termBitcoin( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) began to decline from the resistance zone($95,020-$94,840) exactly as expected in my previous idea , successfully reaching all targets.
At the moment, Bitcoin was able to break the support zone($90,650-$90,000). It seems that the pullback to the broken support zone($90,650-$90,000) could be completed with a symmetrical triangle pattern, although given the low trading volume on Saturday and Sunday, this triangle may not function properly.
In terms of Elliott Wave theory, Bitcoin appears to be completing the microwave C of the main wave B, and I expect at least one more impulsive 5-wave move to the upside.
I expect Bitcoin to start rising from the support zone($89,230-$88,000) or the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) maximum. A break of the resistance lines could be a good sign for Bitcoin to rise again.
What do you think? Do you believe Bitcoin will dip below $75,000, or will it bounce back?
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $98,260-$96,690
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $90,560-$89,990
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $87,820-$87,290
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $83,900-$82,400
First Target: $89,911
Second Target: $92,119
Stop Loss(SL): $86,120(Worst)
Points may shift as the market evolves
💡 Please respect each other's opinions and express agreement or disagreement politely.
📌Bitcoin Analysis (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
🛑 Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open.
✅ This is just my idea; I’d love to see your thoughts too!
🔥 If you find it helpful, please BOOST this post and share it with your friends.
Brainiak | Gold forming short term Pull-Back?After price managed to break above 4240 yesterday, which had been acting as a cap for a while, it still failed to break 4264. That leaves price stuck within the 4163–4264 range, and this type of behavior is basically sideway in nature.
From a wave-theory perspective, this kind of structure is usually a formation phase that prepares the market to continue its previous trend (unless it turns into a Late Confirmation, which I’m honestly tired of because it takes forever to verify the ending).
If on Monday price reacts around 4194 and holds (forms a HL), the upside is still valid. Whether it can break 4264 is something we’ll need to judge again from the structure. But one thing is clear: if it holds, we can trade it. I’ll be waiting for setups around this zone as well.
If price drops below the area I’m watching, it should ideally find support near 4164 and not much lower, to maintain a clean continuation setup.
PIPPIN/USDT — Massive Accumulation Base Breaking After 10 MonthsNovember 29, 2025
PIPPIN has spent almost the entire year trapped inside one of the most extended accumulation ranges in its chart history.
Now, for the first time since early 2025, it is breaking above the key resistance zone that capped every rally attempt.
This is the cleanest, strongest bullish shift the chart has shown all year.
🔍 Technical Overview
Current price: ~$0.095
4EMA cluster: ~$0.05 – $0.03 – $0.02
→ Price is well above all EMAs, indicating strong trend momentum.
Volume has exploded during the breakout phase → clear sign of real demand entering the market.
📊 Market Structure Breakdown
1. Long-term accumulation (March → November)
For nearly nine months, PIPPIN consolidated inside the same horizontal structure:
Support: ~$0.055–0.056
Resistance: ~$0.085–0.095
This range acted as a multi-month compression where volatility became extremely tight and liquidity dried out — the classic precursor to expansion.
2. First serious breakout attempt (mid–November)
Price tested the upper boundary multiple times before finally breaking above it:
Strong impulsive candles
Rising volume
No sharp rejection wicks
This indicates the breakout is driven by genuine buyers rather than a simple liquidity grab.
3. Retest + continuation setup
After touching the breakout zone, PIPPIN pulled back slightly but:
Held perfectly above the blue range
Maintained higher lows
Stayed above the 4EMA stack
This confirms a bullish market structure flip.
Above $0.089–0.095, the chart remains in a full expansion phase.
🧱 Key Levels
Major Support Zones
$0.089–0.095 → breakout zone (must hold)
$0.055–0.056 → bottom of the long-term accumulation
EMAs rising below price → dynamic support on any retrace
As long as PIPPIN stays above $0.089, the trend remains strongly bullish.
Upside Targets / Resistance Ahead
$0.1156 → minor resistance (current area)
$0.1809 → next major structural level
$0.30–0.32 → large historical supply zone (final target of this cycle)
This upper zone has been untouched since January — it’s the ultimate magnet if momentum continues.
🎯 Outlook
PIPPIN has officially transitioned from accumulation → breakout → expansion.
Bullish if:
Price holds above $0.089–0.095
EMAs continue to slope upward
Volume remains elevated on green candles
In this case, the next target is $0.115 → $0.18, with a possible push toward $0.30 later.
Bearish only if:
Price falls back under $0.089
Re-enters the blue range
Loses EMAs support
This would delay the breakout, not invalidate the entire structure.
good trading to all :-)
Why Bitcoin Endures While 90% of Altcoins Are Born to… Die Over more than five years of observing the crypto market, one clear pattern stands out: Bitcoin survives every cycle, while most altcoins only last a few storms before vanishing. This is not a subjective impression but a reality that any serious investor must understand. Bitcoin and altcoins differ in origin, value, and market strength, and these differences are what allow BTC to endure while most altcoins fade away early.
Bitcoin was created with the mission of becoming “digital gold.” It has a fixed supply of 21 million, operates in a decentralized manner, is not controlled by any single organization, and is widely accepted as a global asset. In contrast, around 90% of altcoins are launched primarily to raise capital, for marketing purposes, or to chase technological trends. Bitcoin exists because of real value; altcoins exist on temporary expectations. When these expectations fade, altcoins die, while trust in BTC grows, allowing Bitcoin to continue evolving and remain a cornerstone of the market.
Another distinction lies in cycles. Bitcoin follows a four-year halving cycle, moving through stages of accumulation, boom, correction, and re-accumulation. BTC consistently surpasses previous highs thanks to its stable cycle and long-term capital, which ensures enduring vitality. Altcoins, however, often experience a short life cycle: launch, hype, pump, dump, and eventual oblivion. Most altcoins stop at the final stage and never return to previous peaks, while Bitcoin always finds a way to reach new highs, demonstrating superior resilience.
Capital backing is also a decisive factor. Bitcoin is accumulated by ETFs, major banks, financial institutions, certain countries like El Salvador, and large corporations such as MicroStrategy. This represents long-term, sustainable capital capable of withstanding market fluctuations. Altcoins, on the other hand, rely mainly on short-term traders, retail FOMO, or social media marketing, making their prices highly volatile when capital exits. Thanks to stable institutional flows, Bitcoin is continuously accumulated and is rarely at risk of “dying” in any cycle.
Token structure creates another clear difference. Altcoins often undermine their own value through tokenomics: early unlocks, large team allocations, high inflation, and weak real demand. Bitcoin is entirely different: fixed supply, no one can mint more, and halving reduces supply over time. This increasing scarcity acts as a shield for its value, explaining why Bitcoin endures over time.
The biggest distinction also lies in the role of each type of currency. Bitcoin serves as the standard and backbone of the market; altcoins are merely “experimental products.” When BTC rises, altcoins revive; when BTC moves sideways, altcoins pump along with the flow; when BTC drops sharply, altcoins crash the hardest. This is a crucial reason for investors to understand that Bitcoin is a real asset, whereas altcoins are interchangeable products that can fail at any time.
Smart investing starts with understanding this difference. Bitcoin survives because of trust, economic structure, and real value, while altcoins exist on expectations, marketing, and short-term capital. To thrive long-term in the crypto market, you should treat Bitcoin as a foundational, enduring pillar and view altcoins as short-term, high-risk opportunities. Once you grasp this rule, you will avoid being swept into “moonshot” projects or holding altcoins that never return to previous highs, and instead invest with strategic vision rather than emotion.
SOLUSDT – Gains Limited, Price Faces a Key Decision ZoneHello everyone, SOL experienced an impressive upward move over the past weekend, but the current momentum has noticeably weakened as the price hits the EMA 89 (blue), an area that has previously created strong selling pressure last month.
After bouncing around the 145 USD mark, SOL retraced to test both EMA 34 (red) and EMA 89, forming a critical convergence zone to determine the next direction. Recent candles show long upper wicks accompanied by decreasing volume, indicating that buyers are losing strength compared to the previous breakout while profit-taking pressure is rising. The market structure has yet to confirm an uptrend, as SOL has only slightly broken local highs without forming a clear higher-high, explaining why the price was rejected at EMA 89.
From a macro and capital flow perspective, over the past 48 hours, the Solana ecosystem has shown a positive recovery, with several DeFi projects and memecoins rallying. However, capital inflows into altcoins have paused as investors await updates from the Fed and US economic data. Bitcoin is currently moving sideways, meaning the primary market momentum supporting altcoins, including SOL, is insufficient to drive a breakout. Therefore, even positive news is not yet strong enough to establish a new trend.
Wishing everyone successful trading!
GOLD → Consolidation above 4220. Bullish structureFX:XAUUSD is trading in a narrow range around $4,200, maintaining sideways momentum ahead of US inflation data. The market confirms a bullish structure...
The probability of a Fed rate cut in December remains at ≈90%.
Mixed US employment data:
– Jobless claims fell to their lowest level since September 2022.
– Layoffs in November reached a two-year high.
The key benchmark today is the PCE index for September (data delayed due to the government shutdown).
Gold is awaiting new signals on inflation. Range trading is likely until the release of PCE data, which may set the direction of movement ahead of the Fed's decision.
Resistance levels: 4238, 4262
Support levels: 4220, 4183
If the bulls hold their ground above local support at 4220, we will have a chance to break through 4238 and retest 4262. However, a breakout of the trading range resistance could trigger a continuation of the rally towards the ATH.
Best regards, R. Linda!
XAUUSD Long: The 4,160 Support Holds – Path to 4,260 is OpenHello, traders! The price action for XAUUSD is currently developing within a well-defined ascending trend structure, supported by a rising major Trend Line from the lows. The market previously showed multiple rejections from the Triangle Supply Line, each marked by clear breakout attempts followed by corrective pullbacks. These reactions formed a sequence of higher lows, confirming that buyers remain in control of the broader structure.
Currently, after the last strong impulsive move upward, Gold reacted from the Supply Zone around 4,260, forming a short-term corrective phase while respecting the rising Triangle Demand Line near the 4,160 demand level. Price is now compressing between the descending supply line and the ascending demand line, creating a tightening triangle structure that signals growing pressure for a directional expansion. This compression reflects a balance between profit-taking sellers at resistance and aggressive dip-buyers along demand.
My scenario for the further development is bullish continuation as long as price holds above the Triangle Demand Line and the 4,160 demand zone. I expect a rebound from current levels, followed by a renewed attack on the 4,260 Supply Zone. If buyers manage to produce a clean breakout above this resistance, Gold may accelerate toward higher targets with strong momentum continuation. However, if the supply zone holds and price breaks below the demand line, a deeper corrective pullback toward the main rising Trend Line could develop. For now, the structure favors buyers, with the key focus on a breakout attempt toward 4,260. Manage your risk!
EURUSD – Upswing Slows at Key Resistance 1.1680Hello everyone, EURUSD is clearly slowing on the H4 chart as it touches the resistance zone 1.1670–1.1680 – overlapping with previous highs, a bearish FVG, and the upper edge of the Ichimoku cloud. Sellers reacted strongly, reflected in the H4 candle closing below the FVG, indicating weakening bullish momentum. Below, the market left empty FVG zones around 1.1620 – 1.1590 – 1.1560, potential support areas where buyers may step in.
On the news side, the USD is slightly stronger as investors await PCE data, causing a minor DXY rebound and pressure on the EUR. Eurozone growth remains weak with PMI below 50, while the ECB cannot ease. The Fed is expected to cut 0.25% in December, but confidence is not yet strong enough to weaken the USD immediately.
Overall, EURUSD is likely to adjust toward the lower FVG zones, initially 1.1620. Only a lower-than-expected PCE or stronger Fed easing expectations would provide enough momentum to break 1.1680 and target 1.1725–1.1740. For now, 1.1680 remains a significant barrier without a news-driven catalyst.
Bitcoin Setting Up For New Low.Bitcoin short term trend is STILL bearish. The 95K resistance defines the structure which implies a lower low is likely to follow in the near future. There is also a failed high off the 93,500 area which suggests further weakness as well (see arrow). IF the 88K area breaks again (trend line break), a test of the 78K low area becomes a higher probability. IF the 95K resistance is broken instead, it cancels out this scenario. It is not about which way I think the market is going to move, it is about what the MARKET chooses. Our job is to look for confirmations, manage risk and adjust to NEW information.
This week we have the FOMC meeting and press conference. This event carries a LOT of weight especially because the Fed is expected to provide guidance on how they plan to shape monetary policy in the near future. The market has priced in another 25 basis point cut, which means what will move the market dramatically is what is said as the press conference. This event has the potential to change the Bitcoin price structure and short term expectation as well. Going into this with opinions is a sub optimal way to mange risk around such an event.
While the major index markets like S&P and Nasdaq are also testing potential resistance levels, IF the Fed unveils and dovish outlook prices will likely grind higher. Also it is important to keep in mind in the coming year (May) Chairman Powell will be out and a new appointee will take over. WHOEVER this person is (still not officially known), WHATEVER they say in interviews, etc., before he is officially the chairman will carry MORE weight than Powell. Important to KEEP in mind for the coming year.
When markets are coming up to an event such as this FOMC, it is better to keep expectations low and take whatever you can get. For example, if you play the bullish trend line on a 4 hour chart for a swing trade, do not look for more than 1:1 trades even for brief swing trades. It is the same if the resistance levels are tested: wait f or confirmations, whether it is a day or swing trade, and keep profit objectives tighter than usual. Markets are likely to become more and more indecisive going into the day of the meeting.
If 78K to 80K support is tested again, watch for a lower low. 73K is a major support. These levels are attractive for investing in my opinion.
Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
I don't own enough!I don't own enough of NYSE:ZETA even with my massive 15-20% holding across my investment portfolios and leaps galore.
The fundamentals scream buy anything under $25-$30, while the stock sits at sub-$20.
P/S less than 3, DCF model spitting out massive Margin of Safety based on conservative projections, and they are about to report their first GAAP profitable quarter.
Never mind the chart that looks ready to have a blow-off top moment, friends absolutely.
Cup and Handle is ready to send us to new ATHs in 2026, from the looks of it.
This is a top-2 position for me, and I've personally met and interviewed the CEO, but I have no ties to the business beyond being a retail shareholder.
So take what I say as you may, and always DYOR, friends.
Not Financial Advice.
God bless!
When Alt Season. Is it even happening ever again?This will be very short. Forget Alts season, it's not happening again here is why. No Lambo.
Social media Crypto gurus calling and hypes random coins every day. People are still hoping their precious alt coin will pump and make them a fortune. this is how looks all influencers accounts.
They are Calling Alt seasons every day since 2023. Did they even held some BTC ?
Back in the days in the bull run you could buy any Alt, next day it was 30% up than 100% and 300% and more in few weeks. You could literally buy anything and it went up.
But these times are gone. Game has changed and played changed.
📌 Number of coins
2017: ~1,300 coins → altseason
2021: ~9,800 coins → altseason
2025: 25,000+ coins + thousands of memes → NO ALTSEASON, only isolated pumps
When there are 25x more coins than in 2017, the same amount of liquidity gets diluted.
Altseason today = micro-seasons inside specific narratives, not a giant synchronized run.
Which is difficult to predict and you will not make it just by making technical analysis, you must pick the right one in the sea of coins. It's literally like buying a lottery ticket.
📌 The players has changed
Altseason used to be simple: money flowed into Bitcoin → profits rotated into large caps → then mid caps → then low caps → and everything exploded together. That era is gone.
📌 No more big money Rotations
Bitcoin buyers are now institutional- Blackrock , Fidelity, Vanguard and other ETFs...
Their clients are not here to sell at some point to rotate to some other Sh...coin.
Saylor is not gonna rotate in to some Sh...coins.
Yes, many people will run this playbook and influencers calling for this even every day since 2023. While it was one bitcoin show. Nothing else. Some promises of the future technology, new financial systems, faster than BTC... Its all BS...It's all small money spread to the sea of thousands and thousands of new coins created daily on Solana. It will not be enough to create such a parabolic moves as Alt season used to be.
📌 Individual pumps
It will be some individual coins pumping out of nowhere which you dont have a chance to predict Like ZEC recently. Of course some of you could argue that you been in this trade. I congratulate you if you did. But you will nor repeat this consistently on next 10 coins and most of people didn't catch this rather they did FOMO buy on the top and they are now 60% down, their investment will not turn in to hope and pray, While this was clean pump and dump and it will slowly die.
📌 Whats gonna happen next?
Lets have a look to the history top 10 coins in 2017. As you can see most of coins are not here anymore or they are simply not performing. They been just used for pump and dump and then slowly died. This is how most of the coins will end. and we can see it already here.Most coins never went above 2021 highs. Imagine holding Cardano
It has never seen ATH since 2021. Whats the chances it will pump when there is new better coins narratives again? This is basically how all alt coins looks like and they will end like most of them in 2017.
📌 Are we in bear markets?
is the BTC top in ? I think so and we will might see 45K as I predicted if you are in the alts is bad news for you, they will go much deeper and most of them will never recover after this shock. If you are Bitcoiner this is godsend. You can accumulate more sats. Because at some point BTC will see a new ATH again and again.
📌 Purpose of the Alts
VC are creating the coins, keeping the 70% of the supply. Makes a story around the coin launch it, advertise via big X influencers to pump by naive investors and then they are dumping it to them. It still repeats over and over.
Dont play this game anymore. New alts, narratives comes every-time, they come and disappear. I got you , your plan is to buy BTC, but first you want to make more money on Alts or meme so you got more BTC , but NO it's not gonna happen. You will only loose money and have less BTC in the end.
Wouldn't you be doing better if you just buying BTC and hold?
I wish you all success in the Crypto investing.
David Perk
EURUSD: Buying the Dip on Central Bank Divergence⚡ Macro Thesis: Monetary Divergence underway.
Fed (Dovish): Market convinced of a rate cut in December.
ECB (Neutral/Hawkish): Lagarde signals there is no rush to cut further given that service inflation remains sticky. This narrowing of the interest rate spread favors the euro against the dollar in the medium term.
📊 Technical Setup (D1/H4): The pair has broken the psychological resistance of 1.1600. We are looking for a retest of this zone (now support) to enter the trend.
Entry Zone: 1.1620 - 1.1630 (Pullback on former resistance)
Trigger: Level held on H4 with bullish price action.
Stop Loss: 1.1575 (Invalidation of the bullish structure).
Target: 1.1750 (Bullish projection).
⚖️ Risk/Reward: ~1:2.2
Happy trading!
Sic Parvis Magna
#AVAXUSDT: Targeting $60 Long Term View! Swing TradeThis crypto pair has a big potential of going back to its previous all time high, in our opinion price should reverse from $9 to $10 that area looks more appealing. We expect a swing volume to kick in the market.
Use accurate risk management while trading cryptocurrency. Like and comment for more.
Team Setupsfx_
BTCUSD Next Selling Move Analysis
The chart points to a Target Level (purple zone).
Below that sits a Strong Support Level (blue zone).
Short Idea (Based on the chart’s logic)
This is an interpretation — not a recommendation:
1. Weak High = Liquidity Zone
A weak high often suggests price may reverse after grabbing liquidity — which seems to be what the chart implies.
2. Market Structure Shift
The drawn line shows a lower high forming, suggesting bearish structure.
3. Short Bias Trigger
A short bias may be considered after confirmation, such as:
Break of minor support beneath the weak high
Retest of that broken level
Bearish rejection (wick rejections, bearish candle close)
4. Possible Target Areas
First target: Purple “Target Level” zone — likely a demand area or imbalance.
Final target: Blue Strong Support Level — major liquidity zone.
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BTC Pullback: Buying 50-78.6% Discount LevelsAfter the aggressive internal liquidity grab on December 1st, which subsequently manifested as a Daily Bullish Order Block , Bitcoin continued its local bullish structure from the global 78.6% level, which I analyzed in my global overview: Bitcoin: The ATH Was a Trap. Here's the Real Roadmap.
Currently, the asset is correcting on the 4H structure and has reached the top of the Order Block. However, to obtain a better Risk/Reward (RR) in the trade and for general entry feasibility, I always wait for a more favorable price in the Discount Zone , which is located below the 50% Fib level.
No one can know exactly how deep Smart Money needs to return the asset into the manipulation zone to close losing positions used to execute this aggressive liquidity grab. Therefore, I will consider a reversal reaction from each level: 50%, 61.8%, and 78.6% .
✅ Entry Conditions:
The condition for entry will be reaching one of these levels, price finding acceptance above it, and the initiation of bullish order flow on a lower timeframe (1m-5m).
❌ Invalidation:
The invalidation of the long scenario will be a break of the local 78.6% level . In that case, the Bitcoin reversal from the global 78.6% level in continuation of the global uptrend will be in question, though still possible, as this is a level from the highest timeframe, and the second monthly candle could also close with its body above this level.
🎯 Target:
The minimum target in case of a long setup formation from the Discount Zone will be the SUPPLY zone . To confirm that the bull cycle is not over and the asset can potentially form a new ATH, it will first have to overcome this resistance zone.
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The principles and conditions for forming the manipulation zones I show in this trade idea are detailed in my educational publication, which was chosen by TradingView for the "Editor's Picks" category and received a huge amount of positive feedback from this insightful trading community. To better understand the logic I've used here and the general principles of price movement in most markets from the perspective of institutional capital, I highly recommend checking out this guide if you haven't already. 👇
P.S. This is not a prediction of the exact price direction. It is a description of high-probability setups that become valid only if specific conditions are met when the price reaches the marked POI. If the conditions are not met, the setups are invalid. No setup has a 100% success rate, so if you decide to use this trade idea, always apply a stop-loss and proper risk management. Trade smart.
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ZECUSDT Forming Falling WedgeZECUSDT is forming a clear falling wedge pattern, a classic bullish reversal signal that often indicates an upcoming breakout. The price has been consolidating within a narrowing range, suggesting that selling pressure is weakening while buyers are beginning to regain control. With consistent volume confirming accumulation at lower levels, the setup hints at a potential bullish breakout soon. The projected move could lead to an impressive gain of around 90% to 100% once the price breaks above the wedge resistance.
This falling wedge pattern is typically seen at the end of downtrends or corrective phases, and it represents a potential shift in market sentiment from bearish to bullish. Traders closely watching ZECUSDT are noting the strengthening momentum as it nears a breakout zone. The good trading volume adds confidence to this pattern, showing that market participants are positioning early in anticipation of a reversal.
Investors’ growing interest in ZECUSDT reflects rising confidence in the project’s long-term fundamentals and current technical strength. If the breakout confirms with sustained volume, this could mark the start of a fresh bullish leg. Traders might find this a valuable setup for medium-term gains, especially as the wedge pattern completes and buying momentum accelerates.
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XAUUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on GOLD?
Gold continues to trade within a short-term ascending channel and is now approaching the upper boundary of this structure. This region also aligns with a major resistance zone formed by the previous swing high, creating a strong confluence area.
As price enters this resistance cluster, we expect selling pressure and a potential rejection. Based on the current momentum, it does not appear likely that gold will easily break above this zone in the short term.
Therefore, the more probable scenario is:
1-A pullback toward the lower boundary of the ascending channel
2- If the channel breaks to the downside, an extended decline toward the next key support level becomes likely
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
“BTC Bounce From Demand Zone – Targeting 94K Next📊 BTCUSDT Analysis (Based on Your Chart)
1️⃣ Price is Still Respecting the Range
Bitcoin is trading inside a wide consolidation box (around 91,000 – 93,000).
The recent drop tapped the bottom of the range, showing a clean liquidity sweep.
That wick below the box = fake breakdown → bullish signal.
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2️⃣ Strong Reaction at Demand Zone
The chart shows BTC touching the demand/support zone, followed by a small bullish reaction (the black arrow).
This suggests:
Sellers failed to break lower
Buyers are stepping in exactly where expected
Market preparing for a reversal bounce
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3️⃣ Expected Move (Your W Pattern Idea)
The drawn “W-shape” indicates a double bottom setup.
If the bottom holds around 91,000, BTC can push back toward:
🎯 Target: 93,500 – 94,000
This matches the upper boundary of the consolidation.
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4️⃣ Bullish Scenario
If BTC holds above 91,000–91,300:
Reclaim mid-range
Break through resistance
Continue toward 94,000+
This aligns with the “BUY” tag you added.
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5️⃣ Bearish Invalidations
Bullish idea is invalid if: ❌ Price closes below 90,800 on 30-minute
= fresh breakdown → deeper correction
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🧠 Summary
BTC swept liquidity at the support → formed a bounce → still inside range → bullish reversal expected toward 94K
BITCOIN vs S&P500 Is the Bear Cycle correlation a myth?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has entered a new Bear Cycle while the stock markets remain near their All Time Highs (ATH). The general notion is that when BTC starts a Cycle (either Bull or Bear), the stock market, which on this particular analysis is the S&P500 (blue trend-line) follows suit. But how much truth is in it?
Here we see those Bear Cycles since 2011. As you can see in 2011 and 2022 both BTC and the S&P500 dropped around the same time. In 2018 even though both started falling, the S&P500 recovered shortly after, even made new ATH but dropped again remaining volatile. On the other hand in 2014, the S&P500 kept rising, even though BTC was in a Bear Cycle.
As a result, the above notion isn't 100% accurate, not entirely a 'myth' but for sure not a certainty. We even plotted all previous S&P500 sequences during BTC's Bear Cycle, on today's Cycle and as you can see the worst case scenario based on that is a 2022 type correction (grey fractal), which would bring the index back to the April 2025 lows. Bitcoin will most likely have a typical Bear Cycle, especially with the last two (2022 and 2018) being almost identical.
So do you think the Bear Cycle correlation is a myth or not? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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