BTCUSDT – Correction Pressure ReturnsHello traders,
After a weak rebound earlier this week, Bitcoin is showing signs of losing momentum as it continues to face rejection around the 110,000 USD zone. On the 4-hour chart, price action remains clearly within a descending channel, indicating that the short-term trend still favors the bearish side.
From a technical perspective, BTC is currently being capped by the EMA 34 and EMA 89, both acting as dynamic resistance levels. The recent bounce appears to be merely a technical pullback following the previous strong sell-off, but lacks the strength to establish new upward momentum. The price structure is forming a tight consolidation zone near the upper boundary of the channel — typically a signal of “a pause before continuation of the prior trend.”
On the news side – Policy and sentiment headwinds
This week, the FSB (G20) warned of “major gaps” in global crypto regulation — a negative sign for market confidence, especially after a massive mid-month liquidation shook investor sentiment.
At the same time, China’s tighter stance on stablecoins is raising concerns about slower Asian inflows, while institutional demand remains weak.
Together, these factors create a market environment of low buying pressure and rising risk , giving bears the upper hand in the short term.
Possible Scenario
At the moment, BTCUSDT is trading within the 106,000 – 110,000 USD range.
If the price fails to make a decisive breakout above 110,000 USD, a continuation of the correction toward the 100,000 USD area remains highly possible — aligning with the lower boundary of the descending channel and a key psychological support zone.
Bitcointrading
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Oct 17, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
In the most recent trading session, the Bitcoin market experienced a significant decline, falling below critical support levels of 108000 and 105700, as the price is currently actively fluctuating between these two points.
The current market analysis indicates an initial potential rebound towards the Mean Resistance level of 109500, with further extension possibilities up to the Mean Resistance level of 115500. It is essential to recognize and be aware that an Auxiliary Inner Rebound occurrence following the Outer Coin Dip, marked as a 97000, in conjunction with the Mean Support level of 99000. This scenario is particularly significant at the Progressive In-Force retracement extension, identified as the Key Support level of 94000.
Bitcoin Under Fire: Bears Take Full Control Below $110KHello traders,
Today, let’s take a look at the overall picture of BTCUSD – where the market is gradually losing its recovery momentum and shifting into a defensive phase. After a series of negative headlines recently, Bitcoin remains under strong selling pressure, and the downtrend is now clearer than ever.
📰 Key News Highlights
Over the past week, several macro factors have weighed heavily on investor sentiment:
- U.S.–China trade tensions have escalated after the U.S. announced expanded tariffs on Chinese tech products, triggering capital outflows from risk assets — including crypto.
- The G20 and FSB issued warnings about “significant gaps” in global crypto regulations, sparking fears of tighter oversight ahead.
- The Federal Reserve struck a more hawkish tone as Vice Chair Michael Barr warned of financial stability risks posed by stablecoins, adding further psychological pressure to the crypto market.
➡️ Combined, these factors have pushed Bitcoin down nearly 15% since the start of the month, reaching around $109,000 with no clear signs of reversal yet.
📉 Technical Analysis
The chart shows that BTC continues to move within a downward-sloping channel, with the EMA34 and EMA89 acting as dynamic resistances — a clear reflection of short-term weakness.
The $110,000 level is a key resistance zone, aligning with both the descending trendline and EMA34. Failure to break above this area could send BTC lower toward $103,000, or even $100,000 if selling pressure expands.
Only a confirmed H4 close above $112,500 would signal a temporary technical rebound.
💡 Trading Advice
The market is weak — don’t try to catch the bottom. Prioritize capital preservation and wait for clear signals before taking action.
Short-term traders: Look to sell on rallies around $110,000–$111,000.
Long-term investors: Watch for price action in the $103,000–$105,000 range, where a potential mid-term technical bottom could form.
BTC/USD: Potential Bearish Continuation After Support BreakKey Technical Observations
Prior Consolidation and Support: The price appears to have been trading within a range, with a significant support level identified around $109,000 to $110,000 (marked by the lowest horizontal black line). This level had been tested and held multiple times, particularly throughout late August and September.
Support Break: A large bearish candlestick (red) recently broke decisively below this key support level. This is a strong technical signal indicating that the bears have taken control and that the prior consolidation range is over.
Setup for a Short Trade (Short Entry): The chart illustrates a classic "break and retest" strategy, often used in technical analysis:
Entry/Re-entry Zone: The suggested trade entry (indicated by the blue box and the curved arrow) is a retest of the broken support level, which now acts as new resistance around the $109,000 mark.
Stop Loss: The Stop Loss is strategically placed above the most recent cluster of resistance, specifically above $112,682, to limit potential losses if the price moves against the trade and re-enters the previous high-value area.
Target: The Target price is set significantly lower at $104,001, suggesting the expectation of a strong downward momentum move, possibly towards the next significant support area not explicitly marked on the visible chart.
Risk/Reward Ratio: The setup shows a favorable risk/reward ratio, as the potential gain (Target to Entry) is visibly larger than the potential loss (Stop Loss to Entry).
Conclusion
The current chart structure strongly favors a short position on BTC/USD, anticipating a bearish continuation. The breakout below a critical support zone suggests the path of least resistance is now to the downside, with traders looking to enter a short position on a pullback to the broken support-turned-resistance area.
Bitcoin Now on Last reserve of Support. it MUST bounce hereThe right cirxle is where i expected BTC PA to reach before it bounced, as it did on the left circle.
But It Fell out of Range and has reached this line Early.
the BIG question is now, Will it bounce ? And if it does, the previous line of support....wi that now be resistance ?
It needs to & maintain any semblance of Bullishness....Or we will likely see 94K and truly Test the Bulls.
I do have a BUY order down there. Why Not, I will be surprised if we get there but I relish the idea of buying there again
The weekly RSI certainly shows the ability to rise as it drop lower
The Daily RSI is also in a Good shape.
So we can bounce from here but we have heavy resistance overhead now around 109K
I mentioned this date range ( 12 - 15 Oct ) at the begining of th emonth...and it has played out but, now, we need that bounce higher and up and out of Range OR we could see a drop below and possible enter a mini Bear for the rest of the month.
Maybe longer.
As always, TIME WILL TELL>
SOLUSDT – Weak rebound, bears back in controlAfter a sharp drop on October 14, Solana made a slight recovery but quickly hit resistance at the downtrend line — where sellers stepped back in strongly. The $208 zone continues to act as a tight lid on price action, signaling that current buying pressure isn’t strong enough for a reversal.
With U.S.–China trade tensions still simmering, the overall crypto market — including SOL — remains under pressure. If the price fails to break above this descending trendline, SOL could likely fall back toward the $188 support zone, or even $175 in the next move.
In short, the main trend remains bearish, and current rebounds look more like opportunities for sellers to reload for the next push downward.
ETH/USDT – Ethereum’s Downtrend May ContinueAlthough Ethereum saw a slight recovery on October 14th, it remains under significant pressure from US-China trade tensions, negatively impacting the financial markets and Ethereum’s value. The US imposing 100% tariffs on Chinese goods, along with retaliatory measures from China, has raised concerns about global economic stability. These factors have pushed ETH/USDT down to a low of $3,893.
The chart shows that Ethereum is trading within a clear downtrend channel, with $4,130 acting as a strong resistance level. After hitting this resistance, Ethereum may continue to decline towards $3,530 in the coming days if there is no positive shift in the fundamental factors.
With the market still uncertain and US-China trade tensions unresolved, Ethereum is likely to remain under downward pressure in the short term.
BTC/USDT – Downtrend ContinuesBitcoin is facing downward pressure after the escalation of US-China trade tensions. Although President Trump made more conciliatory remarks, which helped ease short-term concerns, the global economic uncertainty remains a major factor driving BTC/USDT into a downtrend.
On the chart, BTC/USDT is moving within a clear downtrend channel. Despite a slight recovery, the price is currently fluctuating around $113,129 and could continue to adjust towards the 106,500 USD and 101,800 USD targets in the near term.
With ongoing macroeconomic instability and no strong signs of recovery, Bitcoin may continue to decline in the short term.
Bitcoin Faces Rejection — Bearish Continuation SetupKey Observations:
Price Action & Rejection Zone:
The highlighted green area represents a short-term supply zone, where previous buying momentum weakened and sellers re-entered the market. Price briefly retested this zone and faced rejection, confirming bearish intent.
Stop Loss Placement:
The red zone above, around $114,300, marks the stop-loss level, strategically set just above the rejection wick to protect against a false breakout.
Bearish Confirmation:
A clear lower high structure has formed, signaling weakening bullish momentum and potential continuation of the downward move.
Target Zone:
The blue dotted line near $111,070 identifies the target level, aligning with a prior support zone and liquidity area — a likely destination for bearish momentum to complete its next leg.
Projected Path:
The curved black and white arrows indicate the expected retracement and continuation pattern, showing price potentially retesting the supply zone before dropping toward the target.
BTCUSD Plunges: USD Intensifies Downward Pressure!BTCUSD is currently in a downtrend, with the chart showing Bitcoin's price moving below a clear downward trendline. The resistance level at 116,100 USD remains a key point to watch. If the price fails to break this level, BTCUSD is likely to continue its decline towards the next support levels at 104,500 USD.
A strong increase in USD buying by hedge funds and asset managers, combined with rising trade tensions between the US and China, is driving the strength of the US dollar. As the USD strengthens, BTCUSD faces downward pressure, as risk assets like Bitcoin tend to decrease in value.
With fundamental factors supporting the USD and the chart showing a bearish adjustment, BTCUSD is likely to continue its downward trajectory in the short term, targeting the support zone at 104,500 USD.
Bitcoin BTC price analysis after crash📈 OKX:BTCUSDT held above the key psychological level of $100,000, remaining within the long-term uptrend 💪
💀 Altcoins suffered heavy losses — liquidity vanished across the board.
This highlights the importance of balance:
🔸 20% in low-cap alts
🔸 80% in resilient assets
💰 The official $19–20B liquidation figure seems understated —
data suggests the cascade started on CEX platforms after algorithmic issues and liquidity gaps.
📊 Fear & Greed Index: 38 — still fear, volatility ahead ⚠️
🇺🇸 The U.S. market open could set the tone for the week 🎢
💭 Do you expect CRYPTOCAP:BTC to retest lower levels before the next leg up?
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🧠 DYOR | This is not financial advice, just thinking out loud
Continuously making HH HLBTC Analysis
CMP 112510.14 (12-10-2025 02:58AM PST)
Continuously making HH HL & is Still Bullish in the
longer run.
as shared on 02-06-2025, Cup & Handle Target hit
around 115000 - 120000 & then dropped.
3 Important Support levels are :
S1 around 108000 - 108450
S2 around 95000 - 95200
S3 around 86000 - 86500
S2 seems to be a Stronger Support as this range is
also around Channel Bottom.
Upside Targets seems to be around 132000 - 132300
initially.
BTC seem safe as long as it stays above 74000; if it
breaks this level, we may witness trend reversal.
Bearish Divergence on Bigger tf
CMP 105228.47 (02-06-2025)
Bearish Divergence on Bigger tf (Cautious
approach should be taken).
However, if 109350 is Crossed, we may
witness 115000 & then 120000 - 121000.
and if 112000 is crossed & sustained, be ready
to get New Highs :-)
Lets be more cautious & dig out 3 Important
Support Levels.
S1 around 103000 - 102500
S2 around 97800
S3 around 93400 - 93500.
TRUTH / USDT : Showing strength after huge market dumpTRUTH / USDT is showing strength after yesterday’s pullback. If the next candle takes support from the trend line resistance, it could confirm continuation and offer a good profit opportunity.
Keep a close watch and trade with proper risk management.
Solana and Bitcoin Update ! Whats Next Quick update covering BTC and Solana .
I had done videos previously anticipating this move to the downside and wanted to cover the current price action and add a little clarity to the situation .
We have had a great reaction off of BTC so far and thus some alts have also followed suit .
Bitcoin holds the fate for the alts so we want to see btc hold the current range 113K .
Take it level by level and dont panic . This is a great opportunity but we want to see a sign of strength in SOL before taking positions .
BTCUSD 30m – Bullish Continuation ExpectedBITSTAMP:BTCUSD
Structure | Trend | Key Reaction Zones
Price formed a strong base at 120,800, bouncing from the demand zone.
Accumulation structure confirmed, with multiple liquidity grabs before breaking the descending trendline.
Currently retesting breakout — bullish continuation likely if price holds above 123,200.
Market Overview
BTC has successfully broken out from a short-term bearish channel after sweeping liquidity from the lower side. The demand zone between 120,800–121,200 provided a solid foundation for buyers, signaling fresh momentum. Now retesting the broken trendline, and if held, we could see a continuation toward the upper supply zone.
Key Scenarios
✅ Bullish Case 🚀 → Bounce from 123,200 → 🎯 Target 124,500 → 🎯 Target 125,700 → 🎯 Target 126,200
❌ Bearish Case 📉 → Break below 122,000 → 🎯 Target 121,000 → 🎯 Target 120,000
Current Levels to Watch
Resistance 🔴: 124,500 / 125,700
Support 🟢: 123,200 / 121,800
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice.
BTCUSD – 4H Volume-Structure Analysis
Indicators
Smart Money Support/Resistance (Lite) & ATAI Volume Analysis with Price Action V1.03
Analytical Setup
• LTF: 10 seconds
• LTF Coverage Bars: 70
• Global Volume Period: 52
• Market Type: Range
• Active Zones:
- Support Zone: 121,557 – 123,941 USD (current active range shown in panel)
The analysis timeframe ensures valid volume coverage, as the period (52) is smaller than total LTF bars (70).
Resistance Area & Bull Trap Risk
In the upper range (≈123,900 USD), a Bull Trap Risk has formed immediately after an OverBought 6/7 condition — confirmed by RSI, Stoch, %R, CCI, MFI, and DeM modules in ATAI. At this point, both buy and sell volumes peaked within the 52-bar window, with S.Max = 4.33K and B.Max = 3.76K. This slight dominance by sellers indicates demand absorption at the top of the structure. The setup matches ATAI’s trap logic — high wick, overbought context, and volume imbalance — signaling potential exhaustion near resistance.
Support Area
Support is currently anchored near 121,550 USD, derived from B.Min and S.Min lows (B.Min = 7.29, S.Min = 807). This aligns with the lower projection from Smart Money S/R, marking the point where cumulative delta begins to compress. Historically, compression at minimum-volume zones often precedes short-term accumulation or range stabilization.
Structural Behavior
The chart shows a defined upward channel (orange and cyan dashed lines). After testing the upper boundary, price entered the resistance zone and generated a Bull Trap Risk followed by moderate rejection. Below, the Sharp ↓ Risk tag signals potential for a short liquidity sweep before stabilization. Volume readings still support range continuation rather than a confirmed reversal, consistent with the Range Market tag.
Probable Scenario
1. A short pullback toward the lower boundary of support (~121.5K) is expected.
2. If support holds and volume compression persists, a rebound toward 123.9K (resistance ceiling) is probable.
3. A breakdown below 121.5K could trigger a deeper correction toward the next S/R projection near 120K.
This represents a neutral-to-bullish range bias: short-term weakness, but constructive above support.
Summary
• OverBought 6/7 + Bull Trap Risk detected at resistance (≈123.9K).
• Support around 121.5K built from B.Min and S.Min.
• Sellers slightly dominant at the trap peak.
• Likely scenario: retest of support, then rebound toward resistance if volume confirms.
• Bias: range continuation until breakout beyond 123.9K or breakdown below 121.5K.
BTC - Trade Setup Today for my Flash Crash Plan Branching off my previous two posts today, which are linked below and give an in depth analysis and theory behind this idea and plan, here are the details of my short trade on Bitcoin.
Entry - 121,400 to 121,700
Stop Loss - Keep it Tight at 127,400 in case Bitcoin moves up to 126,800 to form the head of an inverse head and shoulders (unlikely but I keep two direction ideas in mind always)
Take Profits:
105,700 - 10% Closure
85,800 - 10% Closure
67,900 - 20% Closure
43,800 - 60% Closure
From here, if I see Bitcoin start to rise from 35,000 - I will open a hedge long position, fully close 80% of short, and DCA all profits back into my short at 92,000 to 93,000
21,600 - 60% Closure
10,000 - 100% Closure
From here, I will buy BTC on spot at 8,000 to 10,000
Any questions feel free to comment below.
For each laughing face I will add in more to my short, which I am logging for a future post.
Yours truly,
- DD
BTC/USDT Bullish Channel – Eyes on $130K Targets🔍 Key Observations:
Trend Direction: Bullish
Price is moving consistently within an upward sloping channel, suggesting a strong and steady uptrend.
Current Price: ~$124,353
Price is near the lower boundary of the channel, indicating a possible bounce opportunity to ride the trend higher.
Targets:
Target 1: $128,001
Target 2: $130,100
These are potential resistance zones or profit-taking levels if the bullish move continues.
Structure:
The marked zig-zag path suggests anticipated higher highs and higher lows, in line with a typical channel-based bullish continuation.
Bitcoin establishes early Uptober support baseToday was a positive sign as bitcoin rose $3236, or 2.9%, to $114,3500. That move potentially helped establish a potential floor for the Uptober rally.
From a technical perspective, Bitcoin is holding above the rising 100-day exponential moving average, which has acted as dynamic support at times since April. The price has broken this trendline multiple times over the past few months, and each time buyers have stepped in to defend it.
Upside levels to watch:
$116,500 – First resistance from late September intraday highs.
$120,000 – Key swing high from July, a strong psychological barrier.
$124,000 – Major resistance from August.
$128,000 – Year-to-date peak.
$140,000 – Round number resistance and measured move target if Bitcoin clears $128K. Also lines up with Fibonacci extensions of the April–August rally.
$150,000 – Big psychological milestone.
Bitcoin Below $109K, Correction or Buying Opportunity?On September 25, 2025 , Bitcoin dropped below $109,000, the lowest point in the past three weeks. The $22 billion options expiration at the end of the month could create short-term selling pressure, but it may also present a recovery opportunity once this pressure eases.
BTCUSDT is trading within a clear downward channel, with lower highs and lower lows . Notably, the price has just faced strong resistance at $109,900, which also aligns with the downtrend line connecting previous highs.
If BTCUSDT cannot break through $109,900, we may see a strong correction towards the nearest support level at $106,000.
With a combination of news and technical analysis, BTCUSDT could continue its downward trend in the near future. Stay prepared and take advantage of the trading opportunities!
Bitcoin Tests Support at $110,500: Will the Downtrend Continue?The chart shows that Bitcoin is in a descending channel, with higher price levels being blocked, creating lower highs. Recent price action has formed a "lower high" pattern and is continuing to move downward.
BTC is currently testing support at the $110,500 level, and if broken, Bitcoin could easily drop to the $109,800 region. This is a level that traders need to watch closely, as if it fails to hold, the price may fall even further.
Recent news about significant liquidations from whales and cautious sentiment from Bitcoin ETFs is pushing the market toward a bearish trend. The actions of large investors, along with the fluctuations of other currencies like the USD, and price adjustments from previous resistance levels further reinforce the downtrend.
Wishing you successful trading!