NZDUSD Breakout and Potential RetraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring NZDUSD for a buying opportunity around 0.57000 zone, NZDUSD was trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 0.57000 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Bullish Patterns
EURJPY - Buy the gap, ride the trend!EURJPY remains overall bullish inside an ascending channel.
Price is pulling back toward a support zone that coincides with the lower channel trendline—a strong confluence where I’ll look for trend-following longs. The small gap overhead adds fuel for a potential snap-back if buyers step in.
I’ll wait for a bullish rejection (wick rejections, H4 bullish engulfing, or a break-retest back above the intraday lower highs) around 172.8–173.4 to enter.
As long as this intersection holds, I’ll target the mid-channel first, then the upper boundary near 176.5 and 178.0–178.8.
The plan is invalidated on a clean H4 close below 172.3 (under the zone and trendline), which would open a deeper correction before any new buy setup.
⚠️ Not financial advice. Do your own research and manage risk (position sizing, stops, partials).
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
DOGE Approaching Support – Potential Spot Long SetupDogecoin is currently trading around $0.1935, hovering near a key support zone ($0.18 – $0.20) that has historically held well. This area may offer an opportunity for a spot long entry, but the broader market remains fragile following last week's sharp sell-off. No clear higher-timeframe trend has emerged yet, so caution is warranted, and risk management must be prioritized.
💡 Trade Idea
Entry (Ladder In): $0.18 – $0.20
Take Profit Zones: $0.24 – $0.29 and $0.37 – $0.44
Stop Loss: Tight, just below $0.17
MSTR- Double Bottom Forming at Key Support–Bullish Setup in PlayPrice is once again testing a major support zone ($292–$297), where it is also forming a double bottom pattern — a strong technical reversal signal. This confluence of structure and pattern typically suggests that bulls may soon regain control, setting the stage for a potential move higher.
💡 Trade Idea: Long Spot Entry
Entry Zone: $292–$297
Take Profit Levels:
TP1: $345–$365
TP2: $395–$420
Stop Loss: Just below $285
Potential Reversal Ready To Flip AU On Its "Head"Price on OANDA:AUDUSD is almost complete with forming the Right and final Shoulder of the potential Inverted Head and Shoulders Pattern!
Once Price has visited the Neckline of the Pattern, it will be Confirmed and will suggest that Price is looking to head higher!!
Once Confirmed, we will want to wait for a Valid Breakout and a Retest to generate potential Long Opportunities to take up to the next Resistance @ .6620!
Bearish Divergence still at playThe momentum hasn't been great on weekly. Multiple bearish divergence were in play, right before tarrif shock and a few after some runners but it just lead to more inconsistent and weak ath.
4h/daily tf shows a bull and bear trap widening pattern. Unfortunately bulls got hurt the most.
I'll be bullish once weekly RSI breaks the divergence.
AUDUSD Eyes 0.64500 Support as Bullish Structure Holds FirmHey Traders,
In today’s session, we’re closely monitoring AUDUSD for a potential buying opportunity around the 0.64500 zone. The pair continues to trade within a broader uptrend, and the current pullback appears to be a healthy correction toward a key support and resistance confluence near 0.64500.
A sustained reaction from this level could reaffirm the bullish structure, opening the door for a continuation toward recent highs if momentum aligns with a weaker USD backdrop.
Trade safe,
Joe.
Gold Eyes 4,200 as Pullback Near 4,070 Sets Stage for Next BreakHey Traders,
In today’s session, we’re monitoring XAUUSD for a buying opportunity around the 4,070 zone. Gold remains in a strong uptrend, and after setting a fresh all-time high, price is now pulling back toward key trend support.
This area has been acting as a critical demand zone, and a bullish reaction here could trigger the next leg higher — potentially toward the 4,200 mark.
With safe-haven demand still elevated and DXY under pressure, the broader context continues to favor further upside in Gold.
Trade safe,
Joe.
Triple Bottom At Rising Support Could Spell High Hopes For EJ!Here on OANDA:EURJPY we can see that Price was able to make a Breakout of the Rising Support to start the week last week and since, has made a Pullback to test the Breakout!
Price on Tuesday was able to make contact with the Rising Support in the 175.5 area and has formed a Triple Bottom Pattern suggesting this strong reversal pattern is aiming for higher prices!
Confirmation on the Triple Bottom Reversal Pattern will come when Price is able to Breakout of the current level holding Price @ 176.3.
Once the Breakout of the Triple Bottom is confirmed, this could generate a great Long opportunity from the 176.3 level to the next Resistance Zone @ 177.7 - 177.9
EUR/GBP SENDS CLEAR BULLISH SIGNALS|LONG
Hello, Friends!
We are going long on the EUR/GBP with the target of 0.869 level, because the pair is oversold and will soon hit the support line below. We deduced the oversold condition from the price being near to the lower BB band. However, we should use low risk here because the 1W TF is red and gives us a counter-signal.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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$FET bullish momentumHey traders!
It’s been a while since we last talked. This time I bring you my thoughts about FETCH.AI ( NYSE:FET ). Since all the tariff and deepseek staff its mcap valuation decreased significantly.
In my opinion, as it shown us some strenght "jumping" from 0,3$ and consolidating for almost 4 months on 0,6 - 0,9 (50% retracement from its local high) range I think it's a good opportunity to see an expansion movement.
In addition, chartism shows a clear ABC correction movement that has already finished. In my opinion ( ONLY MY OPINION NOT A FINANCIAL ADVICE) we could see a potential impulsive movement on Sept - October.
My targets -> 1,5 - 2,5 - ATH.
Stay safe!
XAUUSD | Gold Holds Firm as Buyers Dominate the MarketGold continues to demonstrate a strong and orderly bullish structure, with momentum sustained by a combination of market confidence and macroeconomic positioning. The metal’s consistent upward drive reflects ongoing demand for safety amid lingering inflationary concerns and uncertainty surrounding global economic recovery. Institutional accumulation remains visible, suggesting that investors are positioning ahead of potential policy adjustments and currency fluctuations.
The recent moderation phase appears to be a controlled pause rather than weakness, indicating that buyers are maintaining control while the market digests prior gains. Should current stability in yields persist and geopolitical tensions remain elevated, gold could extend its advance in the medium term, reaffirming its role as a key hedge within diversified portfolios.
NZD/USD BULLISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| LONG
NZD/USD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 0.572
Target Level: 0.596
Stop Loss: 0.555
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1D
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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USD/CAD: Bearish Loonie SlideUSD/CAD: Bearish Loonie Slide Amid #Fed Cut Hype and #Forex Volatility Buzz? 1.39 Breakout Target in Sight?
USD/CAD is trading at 1.3795 today, up 0.17% amid a rebound from 1.3728 lows as markets eye the Fed's rate decision later, with 65% odds of a 50bps cut to 4.00-4.25% pressuring the dollar but offset by BoC's own easing signals.
This follows a 0.25% CAD gain earlier in the week on CPI data, but the pair remains range-bound with analysts forecasting a bearish tilt to 1.35 by year-end if Fed cuts deepen.
Just as #Fed surges with 15K mentions on X amid rate speculation, and #Forex trends spotlight policy divergence (e.g., BoC vs. Fed easing), USD/CAD's sensitivity to oil and CAD vulnerability position it for choppy action in the $1.8T daily forex market.
But with volatility at 3.88%, is USD/CAD undervalued for a bull run to 1.39, or will dovish Fed trigger a CAD rebound? Let's break down the fundamentals, SWOT, charts, and setups for September 18, 2025.
Fundamental Analysis
USD/CAD's trajectory hinges on diverging central bank paths, with the BoC's recent cuts weakening the loonie while Fed easing caps USD upside—yet oil prices above $70/bbl support CAD via Canada's export reliance.
Analysts project a 2025 average of 1.35, bearish on CAD amid #Fed cuts, but short-term resistance at 1.3800 could hold if US data softens. With #Forex volatility buzzing, the pair's undervaluation shines in a risk-on environment if Fed delivers 50bps, but sticky US inflation (2.6% core) risks a hawkish pivot.
- **Positive:**
- BoC easing and CAD vulnerability amid #Forex hype project USD strength to 1.3863 if Fed holds steady.
- Oil tailwinds and EM inflows (e.g., SA bonds) bolster CAD floors, undervaluing the pair at current levels vs. 1.40 peaks.
- Broader #Fed trends favor USD if dot plot signals fewer cuts, eyeing 0.5% monthly gains.
- **Negative:**
- Dovish Fed expectations weaken USD, clashing with #Fed optimism if 50bps cut confirms CAD rebound.
- Canada CPI resilience (2.0% YoY) could strengthen CAD if BoC pauses, pressuring the pair lower.
SWOT Analysis
**Strengths:** Policy divergence favors USD with Fed's relative hawkishness vs. BoC, amplified by #Fed relevance in dollar sentiment.
**Weaknesses:** High oil correlation exposes CAD upside; overbought momentum vulnerable in #Forex-shifting markets post-Fed.
**Opportunities:** Fed cut confirmation narrows spreads, with undervalued bull potential to 1.3891 amid #Fed boom.
**Threats:** Hawkish BoC surprises eroding gains; competition from AUD/CAD if commodity trends capitalize on #Forex volatility.
Technical Analysis
On the daily chart, USD/CAD rebounds in an ascending channel from 1.3728 support, with a pivot at 1.3800 mirroring #Fed volatility spikes. The weekly shows neutral bias with 1.3889 as key breakout. Current price: 1.3795, with VWAP at 1.3770 as intraday balance.
Key indicators:
- **RSI (14-day):** At 55, neutral—potential bull signal amid #Fed surge. 📈
- **MACD:** Histogram positive, crossover holding for upside.
- **Moving Averages:** Price above 21-day EMA (1.3750) but testing 50-day SMA (1.3820)—bullish if holds.
Support/Resistance: Support at 1.3728 (recent low), resistance at 1.3863 and 1.3891. Patterns/Momentum: Channel bounce targets 1.3863; fueled by #Forex momentum. 🟢 Bullish signals: Higher lows on volume. 🔴 Bearish risks: Failure at 1.3800 eyes 1.36.
Scenarios and Risk Management
- **Bullish Scenario:** Break above 1.3863 on hawkish Fed targets 1.3891; long on pullbacks to 1.3728, especially if #Fed signals fewer cuts.
- **Bearish Scenario:** Drop below 1.3728 eyes 1.3538; watch for CAD cross amid #Forex fade on dovish pivot.
- **Neutral/Goldilocks:** Range-bound 1.3728–1.3863 if dot plot mixed and #Fed cools.
Risk Tips: Use stops at 1.3700. Risk 1-2% per trade. Diversify to avoid correlation traps with #Fed-linked pairs like EUR/USD.
Conclusion/Outlook
Overall, a bullish bias if USD/CAD holds 1.3728, supercharged by today's #Fed and #Forex trends, with 0.7% upside to 1.39 on policy divergence. But watch the Fed outcome for confirmation—this fits September's rate volatility theme amid easing hype.
What’s your take? Bullish on USD/CAD amid #Fed cuts or fading the loonie? Share in the comments!
NZDJPY - Waiting for Bulls to Step In!NZDJPY has been trading within a broad ascending channel and is now approaching a strong demand zone that aligns with the channel’s lower red trendline.
This area has acted as a solid base in the past, and as price retests it once again, it could serve as the starting point for a new bullish swing.
As long as the blue demand zone holds, I’ll be watching for bullish reversal signals to look for long opportunities, with potential short-term targets toward 87.50 and 88.80, where previous supply and the upper boundary of the channel intersect.
However, if the price breaks below 85.00, the bullish structure would weaken, and a deeper correction could follow before buyers regain control.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
AUDUSD – Confluence Buy Zone!AUDUSD is currently testing a major support confluence zone, where the rising blue trendline, the green demand area, and the lower boundary of the short-term red falling channel intersect.
As long as price continues to hold above the 0.6450–0.6485 zone, the bullish outlook remains valid, and I’ll be looking for long opportunities from this area.
A rebound from this level could trigger a move toward 0.6560, followed by 0.6620–0.6670, aligning with the upper boundary of the broader channel.
However, a 4H close below 0.6425 would invalidate this bullish scenario and shift the focus toward the next support zone near 0.6380.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
EUR/GBP - Multi time frame Analysis🔥 EUR/GBP — Fun but Deeper MTF Plan 🔥
Bias
Bullish across HTFs. Weekly + Daily demand stacked (0.8680–0.8700 riding on top of 0.8580–0.8620). Liquidity trendline above = magnet 🎯
Technical Breakdown
Weekly : Rising wedge grind, BOS history intact. As long as 0.8580 holds, topside liquidity at 0.8780–0.8800 is the draw.
Daily : Fresh reaction from 0.8680–0.8700 demand; higher-low structure pointing to 0.8750–0.8770 first stop.
1H : Sweep → MSS over 50EMA. Grey 1H POI 0.8690–0.8705 = sweet dip zone. If deeper, last defensive line is 0.8680 (daily base).
Execution (Scenarios)
A) Quick tag & go (primary):
Buy 0.8690–0.8705 → TP1 0.8745, TP2 0.8758, TP3 0.8775–0.8785 (liquidity sweep).
SL: 0.8672 (clean under daily base). R:R ≈ 1:2–1:3.
B) Deeper discount (secondary):
If we flush the POI, watch 0.8680–0.8688 for a wick + reclaim → same targets.
SL: 0.8665.
Risk Management
Risk 0.5–1% per idea. Scale out 30/40/30 at TP1/TP2/TP3.
If 1H closes below 0.8680, step aside—bull script broken short-term.
No chasing above 0.8750; wait for a pullback or a clean breakout-retest.
Trader Checklist ✅
HTF bias aligns? ✔️
Price into 1H POI or daily base? ✔️
M5/M15 shift back to bullish on entry? ✔️
Spread/news clean? ✔️
Then send it 🚀
USOIL LONG FROM SUPPORT
USOIL SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 58.07
Target Level: 63.04
Stop Loss: 54.76
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 9h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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AUD/CHF BULLS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|LONG
AUD/CHF SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 0.518
Target Level: 0.524
Stop Loss: 0.514
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 4h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
NZD/CHF SENDS CLEAR BULLISH SIGNALS|LONG
Hello, Friends!
NZD/CHF downtrend evident from the last 1W red candle makes longs trades more risky, but the current set-up targeting 0.460 area still presents a good opportunity for us to buy the pair because the support line is nearby and the BB lower band is close which indicates the oversold state of the NZD/CHF pair.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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AUD/NZD BULLS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|LONG
Hello, Friends!
AUD/NZD pair is in the downtrend because previous week’s candle is red, while the price is evidently falling on the 1H timeframe. And after the retest of the support line below I believe we will see a move up towards the target above at 1.136 because the pair oversold due to its proximity to the lower BB band and a bullish correction is likely.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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