Bullseye
A tale of Gap'sNSE:ABBOTINDIA
Gap is called as Window in Japanese terminology , which can show the continuation of a price trend based on the price behaviour once it fills the gap!
Window is a continuation chart pattern!as most other patterns shown by Japanese candlestick are Reversal patterns!
Excellent price support and behaviour shown by ABBOTT INDIA, as the pharma industry has already rallied,shown a lot of participation!
looking for good oppurtunities in the stock!
$LMND is giving a GREAT IPO LONG opportunity todayIPO intraday trading strategy idea
Lemonade is an American property and casualty insurance company offering renters and home insurance policies for homes, apartments, co-ops, and condos.
The share price is rising and gonna continue this trend today.
The demand for shares of the company still looks higher than the supply.
These and other conditions can cause a rise in the share price today.
So I opened a long position from $53,00;
take-profit — $67,50;
stop-loss — $47,50.
Do not view this idea as a recommendation for trading or investing. It is published only to introduce my own vision.
Always do your own analysis before making deals. When you use any materials, do not rely on blind trust.
You should remember that isolated deals do not give systematic profit, so trade/invest using a developed strategy.
If you like my content, you can subscribe to the news and receive my fresh ideas.
Thanks for being with me!
USOIL Good To short with Bull Losing ControllUSOIL Good To short with Bull Losing Controll
OIL has reached the 0.786 pull back
This is a common behavior if the previous
down fall is too quick.
Although the rally looks quite bullish but
I will still consider it a retracement of the previous down trend.
Watch the 53.31 Level,
There are Bearish Price action from this level.
Thus it is good to short oil and put SL above 55
and Aim for a big Fall
2017 the return of the BitcoinTo many people Bitcoin has died several times over. But Bitcoin doesn't really care about them, it's been trending strong for the last year. We have a nice setup in the making playing off of the long term trend. If you been waiting 580's may be an excellent entry. SL will be under 200EMA.
If 200 EMA fails, lower high confirmed and new lows will be tested.
GBPNZD DON'T MISS THIS ONE Hi Guys sorry for having this chart been blocked yesterday . I do hope ALL OF YOU understand the idea in this chart without me having to write a load of "stuff" explaining why this will happen as if I know "why"? Oh yes I know milk price will go up higher than gold price or Donald Trump will move to New Zealand and build a wall or maybe everyone will leave Great Britain and the GBP will fall? OK if anyone of you have a better "inside info" please share it here.
OR YOU CAN JUST SELL THE BREAKOUT!!
$NGAS: Model Eyes Further Decline To 1.62 #naturalgas #fibonacciFriends,
As the prior DAILY chart reached its lowly targets, price fell to Predictive/Forecasting Model's "Watch Line", an indicator that daily frame action had ceded control to higher timeframe. Based on same Model's formula, we are thus turning to the 4th degree higher frame: Weekly.
QUICK ANALYSIS:
- Predictive/Forecasting Model:
In essence, the Predictive/Forecasting Model calls for further decline, defining a target as:
- TG = 1.621 - 26 OCT 2015
MARKET SYMMETRY:
Relevance of this target rests also on the proximity of a wide reciprocal ab = cd symmetry that appears to play itself out from the high of 6.484 in the week of 17 FEB 2014 with an intermediate "axis" around which the second leg is forming a probable symmetrical projection.
This projected reciprocity is valued at 1.593.
FIBONACCI EXTENSIONS:
In addition to above tight alignment between the Predictive/Forecasting Model and expected geometric projection, a close alignment adds credence to this vicinity by the projection of the following two Fibonacci values:
1 - 1.414-FE = 1.7373
AND
2 - 1.618-FE = 1.716.
MARKET GEOMETRY:
Note that a remnant "Geo" from prior analysis subsists in the price field, having defined a Point-5-second (5''). This would be expected of a market that remains exceedingly extended, forcing a geometric distortion of the original Wolfe Wave.
The Geo addresses market distortion and adjusts probability targets when price reaches the 5' or 5'' level of definition. In this particular case, we are dealing with a 5'' definition. Hence, the geometric compensation that is expected to occur is based on the Geo's Off-Set Rule #3, which offers a retracement to the price level corresponding to Point-3 as the highest probability level of attainment.
This relaxation to the upside is an expected interim development, allowing price to seek the underbelly of the Geo. An alternate way to explain this would be by way of structural analysis, considering that the 1-3 Line of the Geo would offer a once-support-now-resistance validation event, before further downside might resume.
OVERALL:
A confluence of values appear to concentrate in the 1.737 to 1.593 range, increasing the probability of support in this narrow vicinity. The Predictive/Forecasting Model offers this value as a probable reversal level.
If this were to occur, next bullish target would seek validation of a nodular core in the 4.011 to 4.091 range, which defined the aforementioned "axis" for the projected reciprocal symmetry that comes in nearest alignment with same Model.
Best,
David Alcindor
Predictive Analysis & Forecasting
Durango, Colorado - USA
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Twitter: @4xForecaster
Linked-In: David Alcindor
TradingView: www.TradingView.com
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Feel free to share and follow analyses, pre-publishing of charts and development of technical analyses by following me on TradingView.com, alias: 4xForecaster - TradingView.com/u/4xforecaster
Thank you for your readership,
David
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$EUR vs. $GBP - Long From Geo's 5' To 4 | #ECB #BOE #forex #euroFriends,
A quick analysis on the $EURGBP, illustrating a high-probability rally from current levels, based on a long-awaited reactive rally following the completion of the Geo's ectopic Point-5 at its most current 5-prime (5') position - See following chart:
Predictive/Forecasting Model had defined a floor from which a long position was ordered and filled, at 0.69629. This represents a rather long-haul of a horizon line, but the smaller frames should see a high-probability rallying from the recent nadir.
STRATEGIC ENTRY - GEO, MODEL, EAGLE:
The Geo filled its geometric requirements at each of its leg (i.e.: reciprocity in Leg 1-2; Elliott Wave ("EW") complex ZZ in Leg 2-3; simpler EW ZZ in Leg 4-5), as well as a validation of the 2-4 Line off of Point-3 to define Point-5 ectopia as 5', which converged with the Predictive/Forecasting Model and a lesser utilized (E)xtremly (AG)gressive (L)evel of (E)ntry strategy ("E.A.G.L.E.").
An overall price action analysis through Elliott Wave internal count also suggests that points 4 to 5' of the Geo was paced by a bearish 5-point impulsive morphology, as illustrated by points 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 in the chart. This entire impulse maintain an overall symmetry similar to that which defined the 1-2 Leg of the Geo - a larger ab = cd reciprocity, perhaps.
FORWARD STRATEGY - GEO'S OFFSET RULE, FIBONACCI:
Looking ahead, $EURGBP offers a high-probability entry with limited downside potential. A prudent trader might consider a tolerance range based on a 1.414-FE cautionary range, using Elliott Wave's 3 and 4 termination levels as references (circa 0.68188) if and only if this range fits in his/her risk tolerance profile.
A less aggressive breed of trader might consider a BACA relative to the 1-3 Line before considering any similar long-term outlook.
The Geo's Off-Set Rule takes into consideration a geometric compensation in order to define the highest probability level of attainment as price reverses from the 5-plot completion. Here, a temporary adverse excursion relative to the core 5-point caused a 5-prime to be defined. Hence, in contrast to Mr. Bill Wolfe's Wolfe Wave consideration of a 1-4 Line as a Take-Profit target, the Geo proposes that, quite often, this 1-4 Line would be missed, but price will travel to the level of Point-4 instead, a phenomenon that seems to highlight an off-set adjustment in the overall deployment of the geometry.
OVERALL:
Bullish outlook. Cautionary stop-loss is at trader's discretion, although a standard 1.414-FE offers a solid backbone. Highest probability target is based on Geo's Off-Set Rule from Point-5' to Point-4.
Best,
David Alcindor
Predictive Analysis & Forecasting
Durango, Colorado - USA
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Twitter:
@4xForecaster
LinkedIn:
David Alcindor
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$GBP vs. $USD Meets Resistance; Completes Wolfe Wave #BOEFriends,
There are several technical hurdles likely to temporize further advances against the $GBPUSD:
1 - Completion of a Scott Carney's Shark-into-Five-O at the current price level. The 5-0 pattern is a natural acolyte of the Shark pattern, completing at 50% of the Shark's last swing (see 50% Fibonacci mark attainment in the chart):
2 - A Significant 50% retracement from the recent structural lows, independent of the aforementioned 5-0 pattern completion is also likely to impose its own technical weigh against further advance.
3 - Completion of Mr. Bill Wolfe's Wolfe Wave pattern at its 5th conclusive point, a level from which this geometry is expected to reverse and seek validation of its 1-4 Line.
OVERALL, these are several technical features whose combination may impose a temporizing reversal on price ... Worth heeding.
Best,
David Alcindor
Predictive Analysis & Forecasting
Durango, Colorado - USA
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Twitter
@4xForecaster
LinkedIn:
David Alcindor
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LESSON - Adv. Market Geo.: Step-Wise Geometry Development | $EURFollowing is a step-by-step demonstration of my own approach to Wolfe Waves detection, analysis and trading application. This does not constitute or represent Mr. Bill Wolfe's lesson on his namesake pattern, the Wolfe Wave (www.WolfeWave.com).
$EURGBP - H4 Chart:
Instead, it represents my own interpretation based on a preceding interest in occult market geometries. What I have discovered may or may not represent the lesson content of Mr. Bill Wolfe, since I have never had the chance to receive his lesson, but the concepts are just as valid, per my own successful trading of this particular geometry - All of this is for educational use only, and does not constitute a trading recommendation. So, do your own due diligence, as always.
Lesson follows ... Hope you enjoy.
Stay tuned,
David Alcindor
Predictive Analysis & Forecasting
Denver, Colorado - USA
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Twitter:
@4xForecaster
LinkedIn:
David Alcindor
Facebook:
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$EURGBP - DAILY Chart as of 11 APR 2015
$EURGBP - WEEKLY Chart as of 11 APR 2015
David Alcindor
Perfect Bubble in the making?This is the result in the drawing of some free hand trajectories.
With names like DanV predicting sub 300 prices as well, and with consideration of the last rise to 680. This might just be the perfect bubble in the making.
And looking at it from this perspective, really not that far fetched.
Taking the current Fundamentals in combination with relative sentiment into account. There really isn't a whole lot to be bullish about in the mid- (1-5 month) term.
Devon Energy DVN is a coiled spring ready to rallyThis is the same chart that I published a month ago and all I have done is shifted the rally further to the right. The target and the stop are the same.
Now that crude oil prices are coming out of their slide, it could lead traders to find the laggards in the group to buy.
It looks like DVN is a coiled spring here, ready for a nice rally.
12:32PM EST, Wed Jan 22, 2014
US Silica Holdings SLCA setting up for a rallyPossible range breakout after a prolonged sideways correction that has brought in new shareholders and allowed old shareholders to take profits. It appears the stock is now ready for a new leg to the upside.
Look for this recent burst out to continue as volume lifted as the price made a move to get this stock out of the range.
We will likely see a strong reaction again from higher levels near 26-28 as that saw heavy selling by aggressive traders. Look for higher-lows to occur despite the strong price reaction and then look for higher-highs subsequently.
Risk: 10%
Upside: 15%-25%
Probability 40%
Tim West 11:34AM EST Friday, July 19, 2013
ABX at a WARNING LEVEL on 63 day RATE OF CHANGEHere is an ODD observation -
Notice how each time ABX has been up around 17% over the previous QUARTER (approx 63 days).... it has been a reasonable trading top for the past couple of years.
I'm often looking at 63 days for the simple reason is that it compares the same time window to the previous quarter's time window. This presumes that most companies report earnings around the same date, about 63 days apart. This way you compare the price action leading up into earnings from both quarters at the same time. Another way to accomplish this is to use a 1 day moving average, lagged by 63 days so you can see exactly where the stock was 63 days ago relative to the current price. It is a simple buy-sell indicator as well, which is equivalent to buying when the rate-of-change over 63 days turns positive and selling short when the rate-of-change (ROC) turns negative over 63 days.
I'll go ahead and label several of the 17% rallies over 63 days leading to tradable tops in ABX... what is strange is that we aren't rallying into this 17% gain over 63 days.
Note: I have a short recommendation out on GG (similar stock to ABX) and a long against that in BHI as a pair. I also have a short in XLE against a long in BZF (Brazilian Real Currency)... so effectively I have a long BZF, and a Long BHI/Short XLE... and this ABX looks like a short after a lift up to $41. More to follow when it gets there.
I'm just sharing an interesting chart this time and NOT a specific trading strategy.
I am considering a short up around $41 to maybe as high as $42 on a small lift from here at $40.19, but for now, I am weighing out this trade. I will post an update when it looks set up. Risk is always defined as 3 average true ranges at a maximum.
Cheers.
Tim 3:30PM EST, Wed, Oct 10, 2012
OIH bottom formationOIH 36.98 last: 41 target, 34.50 stop.
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With a reversal in the price of crude oil there is finally an identifiable bottom in the price of oil service stocks. Look for an advance of 10% in the next 6 weeks. 2% declines can be a place to enter positions during the advance.
Note the regression channel trend down has been violated.
Note the support zone from the lowest price range last fall.
Note the Head & Shoulders reversal pattern.
Cheers: Technical Tim, Tues, July 17, 2012 4:58PM EST