GBPNZD: One More Pullback Trade I notice another potentially profitable pullback trade opportunity on 📉GBPNZD.
The price formed a double top pattern after testing a significant daily/intraday resistance and has broken through its neckline.
Currently, we are witnessing a retest, and the pair could pull back to the 2.2391 level.
Candlestick Analysis
CHAINLINK (LINKUSD): Very Bullish Outlook
I see 2 strong bullish confirmations on LinkUSD on a daily time frame.
The price violated 2 significant structures: a vertical falling resistance - a trend line
and a neckline of an inverted head & shoulders pattern.
With a high probability, the market will rise more.
Next resistance - 15.38
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The idea remains unchanged, NY3360-3365 is emptyThe idea remains unchanged during the NY period. Although gold has currently reached a high of around 3348, it has not stabilized above it. If gold successfully breaks through 3350 in the short term, it may reach 3360 or 3365. In the 4H cycle, it presents a step-by-step upward pattern. The K-line is temporarily fluctuating sideways near the upper track. At the same time, 3345 has formed a double top pattern. Combined with Thursday's low of 3310, an inverted triangle oscillation range of 3345-3310 is formed in the short term. This week's trend needs to pay close attention to the breakthrough direction of this range. Short-term long positions can be taken after the trend is confirmed.
XAUUSD@3330-3320 long TP 3345-3365
OANDA:XAUUSD
VRAUSDT correction is done time to flyVRAUSDT is presenting a clear completion of a WXY corrective structure into the defined Area of Interest, offering a potential re-accumulation opportunity. Price is currently reacting from the major demand zone with initial upside targets around 0.005284 and a secondary target aligning with the Supply Zone of Interest near 0.015081. The overall structure suggests a corrective phase conclusion with prospects of a new bullish impulse. Future validation will depend on sustained bullish momentum from the current demand area.
Gold rebounds as expected, NY focuses on the Fed meeting📰 News information:
1. Federal Reserve meeting minutes
📈 Technical Analysis:
Gold fell into a narrow range of fluctuations during the European trading session. As I said this morning, gold is expected to rebound in the short term and the bullish momentum needs to be released. From a technical perspective, the overall market is still in a volatile pattern. The support at the 3280 level below is still a key point that needs attention in the short term. The European session has repeatedly tested this area. If it falls below this support, it is expected to touch the 3250 level as I said. While guarding against gold diving during the NY session, the upper resistance of 3315-3321 cannot be ignored to prevent bullish retaliation.
🎯 Trading Points:
SELL 3315-3321-3333
TP 3300-3290-3280-3250
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, facing your mistakes, and exercising strict self-discipline. I share free trading strategies and analysis ideas every day for reference by brothers. I hope my analysis can help you.
OANDA:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Apple Stock Is Surging! Here’s What Most People MissWhen it comes to trading, we don’t care about the latest news headlines or whether some analyst has upgraded or downgraded Apple stock. We focus on one thing and one thing only: the undeniable forces of supply and demand imbalances on higher timeframes.
Right now, Apple’s monthly chart is a textbook example of how waiting for a strong demand imbalance pays off. That $178 monthly level is no random number. It’s the exact origin of a massive bullish impulse that happened in June 2024 — the kind of move that only happens when smart money and big institutions step in, creating an imbalance that pushes the price away rapidly.
📈 It’s Not About Fundamentals. It’s About Imbalances.
Most retail traders waste time chasing news, earnings, or rumours about iPhone sales. But if you think about it, all those factors are already priced in once a strong imbalance is formed. Institutions don’t wait for tomorrow’s news — they plan their positions weeks or months ahead, and those footprints are visible right on your chart.
The $178 level indicates a significant drop in supply and a surge in demand large enough to propel Apple higher, marked by consecutive large bullish candlesticks. That’s our signal — nothing more, nothing less.
CROUSDT trading ideaCROUSDT is holding above the Immediate Demand Zone near $0.068. A successful defense here could trigger a bullish recovery targeting $0.166, $0.232, and possibly $0.881 if price breaks the long-term descending trendline and reclaims the Internal Supply Zone. However, a breakdown below this level could send price toward the Crucial Demand Area around $0.039.
Precisely look at 3365 and pay attention to the pullback chanceAt present, gold has risen as expected and reached the highest level near 3368. The upper 3375-3385 constitutes a short-term resistance level. At present, the bullish momentum is still relatively strong, and the short-term support structure below has been formed. I still maintain the views of the previous transaction and wait for a second trading opportunity when it pulls back below. Although the 1H chart shows that the current trend remains strong and the retracement is small, it is necessary to remain cautious - even if the market is strong, it is not recommended to chase long easily, and the risk of a deep correction in the gold price must be guarded against. First, pay attention to the support area of 3345-3335 below. If it falls back to this level, you can consider going long with a light position.
OANDA:XAUUSD
Continue to try to find the top of the band to short goldGold maintained a slow and volatile rise structure during the day. The highest has reached 3348, and it is only a step away from 3350. Will gold continue its upward momentum as usual?
In fact, it was beyond my expectation that gold could break through 3345 in the short term. According to my original expectation, the intraday high of gold was almost around 3345. Although the rebound of gold exceeded expectations, it is currently located near the resistance of 3348-3350, so I will definitely not give priority to chasing gold at high levels in short-term transactions.
Moreover, gold is currently in the resistance area of 3348-3350. The volatility of gold has converged, and the upward momentum has declined. As gold continues to rebound and faces the key resistance area again, the bulls are relatively more cautious. In this context, this resistance area may act as a catalyst, and the bears will react, leading the decline in gold. However, as gold rebounds and the support below gradually stabilizes, we can appropriately reduce the expectation of gold's decline and adjust the decline target to the 3330-3320 area.
So for short-term trading, I will still short gold based on the resistance area, trying to find a swing top in the 3340-3350 area, and look at the target area of 3330-3320.
Long trade
ETHUSDT 4H Chart Analysis
Date: Sat 05th July 2025, 4:00 PM
Session: London to NY AM
Key Trade Details
Entry: 2,515.17
Profit Target: 2,864.44 (+13.89%)
Stop Loss: 2,479.01 (−1.43%)
Risk-Reward: 9.66
Key Reasons for the Trade:
Bullish Breakout above 2,515, supported by strong volume surge.
Price Above EMA & WMA: Clear trend confirmation.
Strong Momentum: The RSI is overbought, indicating bullish strength, but watch for a potential short-term pullback as the price approaches resistance.
Target Zone: Prior resistance cluster at 2,820–2,860.
Current RR in Play: Trade already moving
Bulls rise, beware of Friday's black swan📰 News information:
1. Pay attention to the impact of Trump administration tariffs
📈 Technical Analysis:
Gold rose as expected and touched around 3344, which was in line with our judgment last night. However, from the market point of view, the K-line entity did not stand firmly above 3335. There are only two possible scenarios for the subsequent trend of gold. One is to stand directly above and test the 3345 resistance again, and the other is to fall in the European and American markets due to timeliness and retest the key support of 3310. At present, the upper positions are 3345 and 3365 respectively. If 3345 is repeatedly not broken and the European market falls with acceleration, then the 3310 area will still need to take back the long positions, which can be defined as a long wide-range wash. 3330-3320 is a very critical support position, and 3310 is a strong support. Therefore, the best position for shorting during the day is around 3335-3345, with the target at 3330-3320. Consider long positions after falling back and getting support here.
🎯 Trading Points:
SELL 3335-3345
TP 3330-3320
BUY 3330-3320
TP 3345-3365
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, facing your mistakes, and exercising strict self-discipline. I share free trading strategies and analysis ideas every day for reference by brothers. I hope my analysis can help you.
OANDA:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Nifty approaching Mid-channel support zone now. Nifty after a 120 point negative closing is entering an important support zone. This support zone has 3 layers. The First of the support lies at 25322 which is just above the mid-channel. The second for Nifty is near 25222 which is just below the mid channel support.
There is a possibility of bounce either from the current level or either of these 2 levels. If we get a closing below 25322 then there is a possibility that bears might try to pull Nifty down towards 25167 which is the Father line or 200 Hours EMA.
The resistances for Nifty remain at 25404, 25437 which is the Mother line or 50 hours EMA. Post that there are resistances at 25477, 25551 and 25641. Closing above 25641 is required for Nifty to fly towards 26K levels.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
Forex Weekly Round-Up: DXY, GBPUSD, EURUSDKey Price Zones (DXY): 97.422 - 97.685
🟦 DXY (Dollar Index):
On paper, USD had a strong week:
🔹 Durable Goods smashed expectations (+8.6% vs 0.5%)
🔹 PMIs, GDP Price Index, and Jobless Claims came in solid
But the market ignored it:
🔻 Consumer Confidence disappointed (93.0 vs 99.4)
🏠 New Home Sales missed
🕊️ Fed Chair Powell stayed soft — no aggressive tightening talk
Result?
Despite strong fundamentals, DXY broke down, sweeping daily lows and printing fresh bearish structure.
It’s now down ~10% YTD — the worst first half in over 50 years.
📈 EURUSD & GBPUSD: Holding Strong Despite Weak Data
EURUSD
German Retail Sales: –1.6%
Import Prices: –0.7%
ECB tone: muted
Still, EURUSD held daily support and gained — thanks to broad USD weakness.
GBPUSD
Current Account widened (–£23.5B), GDP unchanged
No standout UK catalyst
Yet GBPUSD held its ground and edged higher as DXY continued to fall.
🧠 What This Tells Us
Strong data isn’t always enough.
When price action, market sentiment, and liquidity targets align — they override the numbers.
BTC Roadmap Still Intact Bullish Momentum Building Toward 120KBitcoin Price action continues to validate the bullish roadmap shared in our last BTC post. The market respected the Immediate Buy Back Zone, springing from a demand backed structure into a fresh impulsive leg.
Notably, price has carved a clean 5-wave structure supported by recurring bullish pennants and continuation patterns each breakout driving momentum higher. Our target at 120,151 remains firmly intact, with price action showing healthy structure and controlled pullbacks.
The current setup remains valid as long as price holds above 106,655 and especially 100,941, which now act as structural pivot zones. Any deeper correction into the Demand Area would only serve as a re-accumulation window before the next leg.
Let’s see how price behaves into June. Momentum is aligning with structure.
Share your thoughts, like the post, and drop your setup confirmations on the comment section.
Gold fluctuates, consolidation in the 3330-3310 range📰 News information:
1. Waller meeting on interest rate cuts
2. Trump tariff issues
📈 Technical Analysis:
Waller will participate in the meeting in more than two hours and pay attention to whether there is any news of interest rate cut. The key is to operate around the 3330-3310 range. Continue to pay attention to the support of 3310-3305 at night. If gold falls below 3310,-3305 again, the downward trend will continue, and it is expected to touch 3280 again, or even 3250. If it rebounds above 3330, it is likely to continue to rise.
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, facing your mistakes, and exercising strict self-discipline. I share free trading strategies and analysis ideas every day for reference by brothers. I hope my analysis can help you.
TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
Golden Trap: Bulls Exhausted, Bears Ready to StrikeToday, the gold market is in a stalemate between long and short positions, with the market fluctuating sideways for a long time and maintaining an overall volatile trend. Although the rebound of gold has won a respite for the bulls, the rebound of gold during the day is not enough to completely reverse the decline. I think that before the 3325-3335 area is stabilized, the bears still have spare power to dominate the market!
According to the current structure, although gold rebounded again after touching 3310 during the retracement, it has retreated many times during the rebound. The candle chart is interspersed with obvious negative candle charts, indicating that the rebound strength is weak. In the short term, it is under pressure in the 3330-3340 area, and it is difficult to break through in a short time.
So I think the role of the gold rebound may be to trap more buyers, so we try not to chase gold after the rebound. The area near 3310 is not a key support in the short term. 3305-3300 is the current key support area. Once the bears regain control of the situation, gold may test the 3305-3300 area again. Once it falls below the reformed area, it may test 3280 again, or even refresh the recent low to around 3270.
So the downward potential of gold is not over yet. We can still look for opportunities to short gold in the 3325-3335 area and look at the target 3305-3295 area.
Perfect prediction, pay attention to the high short entry pointTrump extended the tariff agreement to August 1 and began to collect tariffs again. Although it eased market tensions, his remarks will not be extended after the expiration, and he issued a tariff threat, which increased global trade uncertainty and pushed up risk aversion. There was no clear direction coming out of the Fed's meeting minutes last night, but the potential bias was bullish.
At the beginning of the Asian session this morning, I also indicated that gold would rise and then fall. At present, it has reached the highest point near 3325 and then began to retreat, but the 4H golden cross has just been formed. There is still a certain pressure above 3333. If the gold price repeatedly competes for this position, we can continue to short without hesitation. The second short position today is near 3340-3345. There is potential momentum for the bulls in the short term. If the European session continues to fluctuate below 3333, then the entry of short positions will be slightly more stable. Yesterday, short orders were given at the key points of 3321 and 3333, and TP looked at 3310. If the bulls re-emerge below 3310-3305, you can consider short-term long positions and target 3330-3335.
Short gold ,the downside potential is far from over.After we waited patiently for a long time, the gold bears finally showed signs of strength and began to fall as expected. Why do I insist on being optimistic about the gold retracement and wait patiently for it to retrace? !
In fact, it is very simple. Gold started to rebound from around 3283 and touched around 3330, which only recovered 50% of the decline. When facing the 50% retracement level, the bulls were unable to do so and could not stand above 3335, and could not even stabilize above 3330. The bulls' willingness was obviously insufficient. Then it can be determined that the gold rebound is only a technical repair of the sharp drop, and it cannot be completely regarded as a reversal of the trend. Then after a certain degree of repair, the gold bears will counterattack again.
Moreover, from the perspective of market psychology, the recent gold bull and bear markets have been discontinuous, and Trump often stirs up the gold market, making it difficult for the market to stand unilaterally on the bull side. Therefore, before gold stabilizes in the 3330-3340 area, there is limited room for rebound in the short term. Once gold falls below the 3310-3305 area again during the retracement, gold may test the area around 3280 again, or even around 3270.
So the above is why I insist on shorting gold, and I have shorted gold at 3320-3330 as planned, and patiently hold the position to see its performance in the 3310-3305 area, which is also the target area of our short-term short position.
XAU/USD 10 July 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
You will note that price has targeted weak internal high on two separate occasions forming a double top which is a bearish reversal pattern. This is in-line with HTF bearish pullback phase.
Remainder of analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025.
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
H4 Timeframe - Price has failed to target weak internal high, therefore, it would not be unrealistic if price printed a bearish iBOS.
The remainder of my analysis shall remain the same as analysis dated 13 June 2025, apart from target price.
As per my analysis dated 22 May 2025 whereby I mentioned price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe despite internal structure being bearish.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH, which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor, with respect to depth of pullback.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,451.375.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
Don’t be too optimistic, gold may change its face at any time!Gold continued to rebound to around 3320, and it seems to have completely stood above 3300. The bulls are recovering. Should we chase gold in a big way? In fact, due to the disruption of news such as the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision and tariffs, the gold market has clearly shown the characteristics of frequent switching between long and short positions and discontinuity between long and short positions. Therefore, even if gold rebounds to a certain extent, it is difficult for the market to stand unilaterally on the bull side.
In the short term, gold began to retreat from around 3366, reaching a minimum of around 3283, with a retracement of $83; and currently it has only rebounded from the low of 3283 to around 3320, and the rebound is even less than 50%. Gold bulls are not as strong as imagined; although gold continues to rebound, before regaining the 3325-3335 area, it can only be regarded as a technical repair of the sharp drop, and cannot be completely regarded as a reversal of the trend. So after the rebound of gold, gold bears may counterattack strongly at any time.
Therefore, in short-term trading, after gold rebounds, you can consider shorting gold with the 3325-3335 area as resistance, and the first entry area worth paying attention to is 3320-3330.
Short gold, the bears will still counterattack after the reboundGold rebounded to the 3305-3315 area as expected, and our gold long position successfully won 360pips profit. So after standing above 3,300 again, will gold resume its bullish trend?
I think that although gold has stood above 3300 again, it cannot be confirmed that the decline has been completely reversed for the time being. Relatively speaking, gold bears still have the upper hand. In the short term, gold is under pressure in the 3325-3335 area, so before recovering this area, gold bears still have repeated fluctuations, and may even test the 3305-3295 area again. So we can't blindly chase gold in trading.
Before gold recovers the 3325-3335 area, gold can only be regarded as a rebound, not a reversal. So gold bears may counterattack at any time, so in short-term trading, we can consider shorting gold with the 3325-3335 area as resistance after gold rebounds. The first entry area that must be paid attention to is 3320-3330.
Breaking through 3350, the bullish trend remains unchanged📰 News information:
1. Pay attention to the impact of Trump administration tariffs
📈 Technical Analysis:
Possible interest rate cuts and tariffs in the fall continue to stimulate risk aversion. Currently, the 3300-3285-3310 points form a head and shoulders bottom pattern. The bullish momentum is relatively strong in the short term. Our short trade near 41 has hit the stop loss. As I wrote before, gold may continue to rise to 3360 or 3365 after breaking through 3350. The current RSI indicator is seriously oversold, so be cautious when operating in a unilateral trend in the short term. The safe way is to wait for a pullback to 3345-3340 to go long
🎯 Trading Points:
BUY 3345-3340
TP 3360-3370-3400
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, facing your mistakes, and exercising strict self-discipline. I share free trading strategies and analysis ideas every day for reference by brothers. I hope my analysis can help you.
TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD