Gold Pullback Could Be the Next Buying OpportunityHello, traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. The market for Gold has been trading within a clear bullish structure, forming an ascending channel since breaking out from the earlier range near the 4,050–4,100 zone. The breakout from that consolidation led to strong upward momentum, with price making consistent higher highs and higher lows. Recently, the market faced strong selling pressure from the Seller Zone near 4,366, which aligns with the Resistance Level. After a retest of this supply area, price rejected and started a correction within the channel. The price is approaching the Buyer Zone around 4,205, which also coincides with the lower boundary of the ascending channel and the previous support level. This confluence makes the area significant for potential bullish reactions. I expect Gold to retest the Buyer Zone (4,205) and, if buyers show strength, a bounce toward 4,320–4,366 could follow. This would represent the continuation of the uptrend within the ascending channel. However, if price breaks below 4,205, it would signal a possible shift in structure and open the door for a deeper correction toward the 4,100 area. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Commodities
Gold Analysis: Break Above $4,293 Could Trigger a New HighHi guys!
Gold has been moving inside a clear ascending channel, respecting both its upper and lower boundaries. Recently, we saw a double top formation near the upper trendline , which triggered a corrective move down to the $4,190–$4,200 support zone, an area that has already shown strong buying interest.
After the rebound from this support, the price is now aiming toward the $4,293 resistance.
👉 If the price breaks and holds above $4,293 , it’s likely to continue the bullish momentum and head toward a new higher high inside the channel.
Overall, the structure remains bullish as long as the price stays above $4,190 , with the next key resistance at $4,293 being the level to watch for a potential continuation of the uptrend.
Gold’s bullish bias remains supported by the ongoing geopolitical tensions, uncertainty over global interest rate paths, and softening U.S. dollar. Investors are also increasingly turning to gold as a safe-haven asset, especially amid concerns about economic slowdown and central bank gold purchases remaining strong.
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Gold Bull Market Outlook And Targets: 5000 USD/7500 USDGold Bull Markets Long Term Overview and 2025 Market Update
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🌊 Five-Wave Roadmap — Targets & Timing
• Wave 1 (2016–2020): From ~$1,050–1,200 to the COVID-era spike; established secular up-trend.
• Wave 2 (2020–2022): Consolidation/corrective pullback (~–20%).
• Wave 3 (2023–2025/26): Power leg to ATHs (current). Room to extend toward $4,200–$4,500 on flow surges before pausing.
• Wave 4 (2026, base case): Re-accumulation/consolidation ~12 months; likely range-bound –10% to –15% from the Wave-3 peak as institutional buying digests gains.
• Wave 5 (2027–2030/32): Final thrust to the cycle’s terminal zone:
– First objective: $5,000–$5,500 (consistent with 2026 Street “bull wave” scenarios).
– Terminal extension: $7,500–$8,000 by 2030–2032 (our desk’s stretch path if real yields stay muted, official-sector demand persists, and private capital rotation broadens).
Why Wave-4 can last ~12 months: prior secular bulls often paused for a full year near major breakouts while flows “change hands.” Expect lower realized vol, fading retail FOMO, and steady official accumulation to define the tape.
📈 Top 10 Stats of the Current Bull 2025
1. Price & ATHs: Spot ~$3.75–$3.79k; fresh ATH $3,790.82 on Sep 23, 2025.
2. 2025 YTD: Roughly +40–43% YTD
3. Central Banks: 1,045 t added in 2024 (later revised to ~1,086 t as lagged data came in). H1/Q1’25 tracking remained elevated.
4. ETF Flows: Back-to-back strong quarters; Q2’25 total demand 1,249 t, value US$132bn (+45% y/y) with ETFs instrumental.
5. Gold vs Equities: Gold ≈+40% vs S&P 500 ≈+13% total return YTD.
6. Jewelry Demand: Tonnage softened as prices surged; value at records (2024 down y/y; weakness persisted into H1’25).
7. Gold–Silver Ratio: ~85–88 (silver torque improving as it pushes into the mid-$40s).
8. Macro Link: Safe-haven bid + expected policy easing keep real-yield headwinds contained.
9. Technical: Confirmed 13-yr cup-and-handle breakout (Mar ’24) underpinning trend.
10. Street Forecasts: GS baseline $4,000 by mid-’26; bulled-up houses (HSBC/BofA) flag $4.9–$5.0k potential into 2026 if private/ETF rotation persists.
• This cycle is different: record central-bank buying + renewed ETF inflows + lower real rates = powerful tailwind.
• Price: Gold notched fresh ATHs this month (up to $3,790.82). 2025 is shaping up as the strongest year since the late 1970s.
• Relative: Gold is crushing equities YTD (≈+40% vs S&P 500 ≈+13% total return).
• Setup: A 13-year “cup-and-handle” breakout in 2024 kick-started the move.
• Outlook: Street base cases cluster near $4,000 by mid-’26; several houses now publish $4,900–$5,000 stretch targets into 2026 as flows accelerate.
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🏆 Historic Gold Bull Markets — Timeline & Stats
1. 1968–1980 “Super Bull”
• Start/End: ~$35 → $850 (Jan 1980)
• Gain: ~2,330%
• Drivers: End of Bretton Woods, oil shocks, double-digit inflation, geopolitical stress.
• Drawdown: ~–45% (1974–1976) before the final blow-off run.
2. 1999–2011/12
• Start/Peak: ~$252 (1999) → ~$1,920 (2011–12)
• Gain: ~650%
• Drivers: Commodities supercycle, EM demand, USD weakness, GFC safe-haven bid.
3. 2016/2018–Present (The “CB-Led” Cycle)
• Start Zone: $1,050–$1,200 → New ATH $3,790 (Sep 2025)
• Gain: ~215–260% (depending on 2016 vs 2018 anchor)
• Drivers: Record central-bank accumulation, sticky inflation/low real rates, geopolitics; 2024 13-yr base breakout.
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📊 At-A-Glance Comparison (Updated 2025)
Metric | 1968–80 Super Bull | 1999–2012 | 2016/18–2025 Current
🚀 Total Gain | ~2,330% | ~650% | ~215–260% (so far)
⏲️ Duration | 12 yrs | 13 yrs | 7–9 yrs (ongoing)
💔 Max Drawdown | ~–45% (’74–’76) | ~–30% (’08) | ~–20% (2022)
🏦 Main Buyer | Retail/Europe | Funds/EM | Central Banks
🏛️ Pattern | Secular parabolic | Cyclical ramps | 13-yr base → breakout (’24)
Notes: current-cycle characteristics validated by WGC demand trends & the 2024 technical breakout.
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🔄 What Makes This Bull Different 2025 Edition
• 🏦 Central-Bank Dominance — Third consecutive 1k+ tonne year in 2024; 2025 is still tracking strong on a run-rate basis. This “sticky” demand is from price-insensitive reserve managers.
• ⚡ Faster Recoveries — Drawdowns are shallower/shorter vs the 1970s analog, consistent with a structural rather than speculative buyer base.
• 📈 Coexisting With Risk Assets — ATHs with equities positive YTD = macro hedge + diversification bid, not just “panic buying.”
• 📐 Structural Breakout — 13-yr base cleared in 2024; market now in multi-year price discovery.
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🎯 Strategy Ideas 2025 & Beyond
• Buy/Hold on Dips: Stagger entries (DCA) into physical (allocated), ETFs (e.g., GLD/IAU), and quality miners/royalties.
• Prefer Physical/Allocated where counterparty risk matters; use ETFs for liquidity and tactical tilts.
Satellite/Leverage
• Silver & GSR Mean-Reversion: With GSR ~85–88, silver historically offers torque in up-legs. Pair with high-quality silver miners.
• Factor Tilt in Miners: Prioritize low AISC, strong balance sheets, reserve growth, rule-of-law jurisdictions; emphasize free-cash-flow yield and disciplined capex.
Risk-Management
• Define max drawdown per sleeve; pre-plan trims near parabolic extensions or if macro invalidates (e.g., real-yield spike).
• Use options overlays (collars on miners; long-dated calls on physical proxies) to shape payoff in Wave-3 late innings and Wave-4 digestion.
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🧪 Reality Check: What Could Invalidate the Bull?
• Real yields + USD rip higher (sustained) → compress gold’s opportunity cost.
• Official-sector buying stalls (policy or FX-reserve shifts) → removes the anchor bid.
• Growth re-acceleration + faster-than-expected disinflation → weaker safe-haven + fewer rate cuts.
• Technical break: a persistent move below ~$3,600–3,700 would question Wave-3 extension and pull forward Wave-4.
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🧭 Quick Reference Tables
🧾 Summary: Historic vs Current
Feature | 1968–80 | 1999–2012 | 2016/18–2025
Total Gain | ~2,330% | ~650% | ~215–260%
Duration | 12 yrs | 13 yrs | 7–9 yrs (ongoing)
Correction | ~–45% | ~–30% | ~–20% (’22)
Main Buyer | Retail/Europe | Funds/EM | Central Banks
Pattern | Parabolic | Cyclical | Cup & Handle → Secular
🧩 “If-This-Then-That” Playbook
• If real yields fall & CB buying persists → Ride trend / add on consolidations.
• If USD + real yields jump → Trim beta, keep core hedge.
• If GSR stays >80 with silver momentum → Overweight silver sleeve for torque.
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🔚 Key Takeaways Updated
• Twin pillars: relentless official-sector demand + 2024 structural breakout.
• Base case: Street ~$3.7–4.0k by mid-’26 with upside to $4.5–5.0k on accelerated private/ETF rotation.
• Roadmap: Extend Wave-3 → Wave-4 re-accumulation (~12 months) → Wave-5 to $5,000–$5,500, then $7,500–$8,000 by 2030–2032 under favorable macro/flow dynamics.
• Operating stance: keep core, add on dips/sideways phases, manage beta and drawdowns proactively.
Gold Extends Its 8-Week Winning Streak👋Hello everyone, what are your thoughts on OANDA:XAUUSD ?
Over the past week, gold prices climbed close to the $4,400 mark before pulling back sharply and closing the week around $4,250, up $223 from the weekly open of $4,022 — nearly a 6% gain, marking the eighth consecutive week of growth. Despite the volatility, Main Street investors remain confident that the precious metal will continue to rise this week.
Trade tensions and geopolitical uncertainties have been the key drivers supporting gold’s rally. Meanwhile, the Fed’s rate cut and the U.S. government shutdown have strengthened the dollar while simultaneously providing support for gold prices.
At the time of writing, gold is fluctuating around $4,255, showing little change since the start of the session. Overall, the bullish trend remains intact, and as long as the confluence zone holds, buying opportunities are still favored.
What about you — what’s your outlook on XAUUSD? 💬Share your thoughts in the comments below, and let’s discuss!
Good luck!
Gold Holds Above the Cloud – Bulls Wait for Confirmation PushHello everyone,
Gold continues to maintain a constructive structure after its strong recovery from the 4,100 USD zone, currently trading around 4,345 USD/oz on the H4 chart. Technically, the bullish structure remains intact as previous Fair Value Gaps (FVG) below price are still unfilled and price continues to respect the upper boundary of the Ichimoku cloud (Kumo). As long as price stays above 4,300 USD, upside potential toward 4,400–4,450 USD remains valid. However, a healthy retest toward 4,200–4,100 USD (overlapping FVG + lower Kumo boundary) should not be ruled out as part of liquidity collection.
On the macro side, fundamentals continue to support the bullish bias. Reuters reported gold gained over 2% in the latest session as markets increased bets on Fed rate cuts amid cooling economic signals in the US. Concerns over a potential US government shutdown also boosted demand for safe-haven assets. HSBC recently raised its gold forecast for 2025–2026, citing strong central bank accumulation, while Goldman Sachs emphasised that this rally is driven by genuine capital flows—not emotional fear. Financial Times, however, noted that the “debasement trade” effect (gold rising strongly due to a weaker USD) has yet to fully ignite, suggesting the uptrend still has room to extend.
I remain bullish overall. Above 4,300 USD, buying pullbacks remains my preferred strategy, targeting 4,400–4,450 USD initially and potentially 4,500 USD if momentum strengthens. A dip towards 4,200 USD would not negate the trend—instead, it would provide a better accumulation opportunity. If trading this setup, I would protect long positions with a stop-loss below 4,200 USD given upcoming high-impact events such as US GDP, CPI and Fed speeches.
In short, gold continues to follow a medium-term uptrend. Rather than chasing tops, it is wiser to wait patiently for clean entry points and trade with the trend, not against it.
Gold 1H – Bullish Rebound After Strong Correction🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Trading Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader
📈 Market Context
Gold is attempting to rebound near $4,320 after a sharp correction earlier this week, as traders weigh the recent pullback in U.S. Treasury yields and renewed expectations of a dovish Federal Reserve tone.
Markets are now positioning ahead of key U.S. housing and manufacturing data, which could shape short-term sentiment for both the dollar and real yields.
• Softer economic numbers may reinforce the case for policy easing in early 2026, supporting gold’s safe-haven appeal.
• Conversely, stronger data could momentarily pressure XAUUSD, yet the broader uptrend remains intact amid central-bank accumulation and geopolitical tension.
Expect a liquidity-driven environment, with price potentially sweeping lower before reclaiming bullish momentum.
🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Style)
• Structure: Overall bias remains bullish following consecutive Breaks of Structure (BOS) and a confirmed Change of Character (ChoCH) indicating corrective retracement.
• Discount Zone: The $4,270–$4,272 demand area sits within the discount zone of the recent range (swing low to 4454 high), ideal for re-accumulation.
• Liquidity Sweep: Recent wicks near $4,300 suggest liquidity has been collected, potentially setting up for another bullish push.
• Premium Zone: Upside liquidity clusters near $4,454–$4,452, aligning with a premium supply area where short-term selling may appear.
🔴 Sell Setup
• Entry: 4454 – 4452
• Stop-Loss: 4463
• Take-Profit Targets: 4400 → 4330
🟢 Buy Setup
• Entry: 4270 – 4272
• Stop-Loss: 4260
• Take-Profit Targets: 4340 → 4380 → 4450 +
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
• Wait for M15 BOS/ChoCH confirmation before triggering entries.
• Avoid entries during high-volatility windows around U.S. data releases.
• Secure partial profits near intermediate liquidity zones, trail stops after BOS confirmation.
✅ Summary
Gold maintains a bullish re-accumulation structure following a healthy correction.
A retest into the discount zone around $4,270 offers potential long entries targeting the premium zone near $4,450+.
Only a decisive break below $4,260 would invalidate the intraday bullish scenario.
FOLLOW RYAN_TITANTRADER for more SMC trading insights ⚡
Gold next week: Key S/R Levels and Outlook for Traders🔥 GOLD WEEKLY SNAPSHOT — BY PROJECTSYNDICATE
🏆 High/Close: $4,379 → ~$4,252 — higher close vs. last week’s pullback finish.
📈 Trend: Uptrend intact > $4,000; dip buyers continue to control rhythm.
🛡 Supports: $4,180–$4,140 → $4,100–$4,050 → $4,000 must hold.
🚧 Resistances: $4,260 / $4,300 / $4,350 → stretch $4,380–$4,420.
🧭 Bias next week: Buy-the-dip > $4,140–$4,200; momentum regain targets $4,300–$4,380+. Invalidation < $4,050 → risk $4,000/3,980.
🌍 Macro tailwinds:
• Fed: Markets lean to another cut into Oct 28–29; softer real yields buoy gold.
• FX: DXY under pressure = constructive backdrop.
• Flows: ETF interest & CB buying remain supportive on dips.
• Geopolitics: Tariff/trade and regional risks keep safe-haven bids live.
🎯 Street view: Several houses float $5,000/oz by 2026 scenarios on easing policy & reserve diversification narratives
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🔝 Key Resistance Zones
• $4,260–$4,280 near-ATH supply / immediate ceiling from close
• $4,300–$4,350 extension target band
• $4,380–$4,420 stretch zone toward prior spike high and measured extensions
🛡 Support Zones
• $4,220–$4,200 first retest band just below close
• $4,180–$4,140
• $4,100–$4,050 deeper pullback shelf; $4,000 remains the big psych
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⚖️ Base Case Scenario
Expect shallow pullbacks into $4,220–$4,140 to be bought, followed by rotation back into the $4,260–$4,300 resistance stack for an ATH retest.
🚀 Breakout Trigger
A sustained push/acceptance > ~$4,280 unlocks $4,300 → $4,350, with room toward $4,380–$4,420 if momentum persists.
💡 Market Drivers
• Fed cut expectations into late Oct(lower real yields = gold tailwind
• USD softness / DXY sub-100 tone supports metals
• Ongoing central-bank bullion demand; ETF inflows stabilizing
• Geopolitics & trade/tariff headlines keeping safety bids active
🔓 Bull / Bear Trigger Lines
• Bullish above: $4,140–$4,200
• Bearish below: $4,100–$4,050 risk expands under $4,000
🧭 Strategy
Accumulate dips above $4,140–$4,200.
On breakout > $4,280, target $4,300–$4,350+. Maintain tight risk under stepped supports; invalidate momentum below $4,050–$4,000.
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AUD/USD 2-hour chart Pattern..AUD/USD 2-hour chart
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📊 Chart Overview
Pair: AUD/USD
Timeframe: 2-hour
Current Price: Around 0.6490
Support Zone: Around 0.6460 – 0.6470 (small consolidation area below price)
Indicators: Ichimoku Cloud + Trendline Break
Bias: Bullish correction after a breakout from downtrend line
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🎯 Target Levels
1. 🎯 Target Point 1 (Short-Term Target):
Price Zone: 0.6530 – 0.6540
This matches my first blue “Target Point” on the chart.
It’s the first major resistance level above the cloud and likely a take-profit zone for early longs.
Expect some price reaction or pullback around this area.
2. 🎯 Target Point 2 (Extended Target):
Price Zone: 0.6600 – 0.6610
This is my second (upper) “Target Point” on the chart.
It aligns with a previous high and represents the completion of a bullish swing projection if momentum continues.
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🧭 Summary Table
Target Type Price Level Notes
🎯 TP1 0.6530 – 0.6540 First resistance / partial profit zone
🎯 TP2 0.6600 – 0.6610 Extended bullish target (strong resistance area)
🛑 Support / Stop Area 0.6460 – 0.6470 Key support / invalidation zone
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 4275 and a gap below at 4229. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
275
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 4275 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
4320
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 4320 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
4360
BEARISH TARGETS
4229
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 4229 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
4194
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 4194 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
4151
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 4151 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
4122
4075
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 4075 WILL OPEN THE SECONDAARY SWING RANGE
4022
3955
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
( HANZO Gold Protocol ) Bullish Reversal DetectedStatus: Active Reversal Protocol
Symbol: Gold
Session: London–New York Overlap (Smart Exit Window)
➕Bias: Bullish Reversal
Goal: Controlled with minimal drawdown
Tactical Edge: Reversal Protocol through liquidity engineering
Confidence Level: ★★★★★ (Smart Money Aligned)
☄️4270 Bullish Reversal Zone — Full Breakdown
1️⃣ Fixed Range HVN Alignment
The 4270 level aligns perfectly with the High Volume Node from the previous accumulation phase — a sign of institutional absorption where orders were heavily exchanged before breakout.
2️⃣ Volume Gap Above, Density Below
Below 4270 we have heavy volume clusters, while above it the profile becomes thin — confirming that 4270 is the last defended zone before liquidity imbalance.
3️⃣ Liquidity Trap Confirmation
The sharp push below 4300 earlier collected stop-loss liquidity, making 4270 the smart money re-entry zone after clearing out retail buyers.
4️⃣ Fibonacci Alignment (0.382–0.5 Zone)
4270 sits inside the 38.2% retracement of the impulsive move, which is a premium re-entry level used by institutional models.
5️⃣ Structural Confluence (Old Resistance → Support)
Previous breakout base and trend compression aligned with 4270 mark it as a flip zone — the structural confirmation of a reversal block.
6️⃣ Delta HQ Reversal Indicator
At the base of the move (near 4270) the Delta HQ showed negative absorption turning neutral, meaning sell volume failed to push price lower — a key reversal trigger.
7️⃣ Session Logic
The level coincides with the post-10:30 session retest window (smart money re-entry timing), fitting your 10:30–10:30 volume cycle.
8️⃣ Trap Zone Above (Liquidity Vacuum)
The upper “Trap Zone” confirms that price already engineered liquidity above, freeing up path for bullish continuation from 4270 upward.
9️⃣ Internal Trendline Compression Break
The descending pattern leading into 4270 forms a bullish breakout wedge — clear compression followed by volume breakout.
🔟 Institutional Behavior Evidence
Sharp imbalance candle after 4270 test shows controlled accumulation — classic smart money re-entry behavior before next expansion.
🎯 Summary (Hanzo Logic)
4270 = Delta Reversal + HVN Defense + Liquidity Reset + Fib Precision
A high-confidence engineered re-entry zone built by smart money to refill positions before bullish continuation.
XAUUSD: Correction Within Uptrend – Demand Zone in FocusHello, traders! The gold market (XAUUSD) continues to demonstrate strong bullish momentum within a clearly defined uptrend structure that has been developing for several weeks. The movement is characterized by a sequence of higher highs and higher lows, supported by a well-respected ascending trend line. Throughout this upward phase, we’ve observed multiple breakouts from short-term consolidation zones and corrections — each confirming the dominance of buyers. These breakouts, marked on the chart, acted as continuation signals that pushed price toward new local highs.
Currently, after reaching the 4,360.00 area, gold entered a corrective phase, forming a short-term retracement. This pullback brought the price back to the previously broken trend line and into the Demand Zone 2 (4,200–4,250) — an area that has repeatedly served as strong support for the market.
My scenario for the development, if sellers manage to push the price below the 4,200.00 level, the structure will temporarily weaken, and we may see a deeper correction toward the next Demand Zone 2 (4,100–3,950). This zone would then act as a potential re-accumulation area before buyers could regain control. At the same time, Demand Zone 1, located higher, continues to confirm the overall bullish context — showing that gold maintains its medium-term uptrend despite the current short-term correction. Manage your risk!
GOLD → Consolidation. 4269 - trigger. Chances for growth?Gold is consolidating due to uncertainty. On Friday, the market broke its local structure, which slightly changed sentiment. Focus on current consolidation.
Key drivers of the week: Trump's threat to impose 100% tariffs on Chinese imports and China's response supported demand for safe havens. Problems with regional banks (Zions, Western Alliance) and the fall in Treasury bond yields below 4% increased the inflow into gold. Powell maintained a neutral tone, but markets are expecting two rate cuts in 2024.
All eyes are on inflation data, US-China negotiations, developments between Russia, the US, and China; any de-escalation of the situation could trigger a correction.
Technically, the upward trend in gold remains relevant. Corrections will be bought up as long as uncertainty surrounding trade policy, the banking sector, and the Fed's monetary policy persists.
Resistance levels: 4269, 4316
Support levels: 4251, 4218
At the moment, a pre-breakout base is forming around 4269. If the structure remains intact and the price continues to attack resistance, the chances of a breakout and growth will be high. Otherwise, a close below 4251 could trigger a retest of 4218.
Best regards, R. Linda!
(XAU/USD – Gold Spot, 1-hour timeframe)...(XAU/USD – Gold Spot, 1-hour timeframe), here’s the breakdown:
Current price: Around $4,337
First target (near-term): Around $4,284
Second (main) target: Around $4,205
These target levels are marked on my chart with blue arrows labeled “Target Point.”
📉 Interpretation:
The chart suggests a bearish (downward) move — likely following a correction from the peak labeled “2.”
The Ichimoku cloud and marked arrows indicate a short-term pullback, with a stronger support zone near $4,205–4,210.
XAUUSD: Price can Drop to Support Zone and Break Trend LineHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Gold setup.
Market Analysis
Gold has been in a very strong uptrend, which accelerated after breaking out of a prior Upward Channel. This led to a new, steeper rally along a major Trend Line, culminating in a new All-Time High around the 4380 mark.
Currently, after reaching that peak, the price has completed a healthy correction back down to the main Trend Line, which also aligns with the Support zone at the 4250 level. The price has bounced from this area and is now attempting to rally again.
My Scenario & Strategy
My scenario is a bearish one, built on the idea that this second attempt to rally will fail to make a new high. I'm looking for this current rally to lose momentum as it approaches the prior ATH of 4380. The key signal for me would be a strong and clear rejection from that area, showing that buyers no longer have the strength to continue pushing the price higher.
Therefore, the strategy is to watch for this failure at the highs. A confirmed reversal would validate the short scenario and should lead to a decline that breaks the major ascending Trend Line. The primary target for this corrective move is 4205, which is inside the major Support zone.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
GOLD → The correction forms a trading range. Growth?FX:XAUUSD is adjusting to $4250 after retesting the all-time high of 4380. Short-term pressure is linked to hopes for an easing of the trade war between the US and China, but the bullish trend remains intact.
Key factors: Bentsen's meeting with the Chinese Vice Premier this week has revived optimism for a deal. The reduction in trade risks is temporarily supporting the USD. Hassett's statements about the imminent resumption of government work have reinforced risk-on sentiment.
Support for gold: The threat of tariffs rising to 155% from November 1 reminds us of the risks. Two rate cuts before the end of the year remain in focus. Friday's inflation data release and US corporate earnings reports are keeping demand for hedging alive.
Accordingly, the correction in gold is a temporary pause. The uptrend will remain unchanged as long as macro uncertainty persists.
Support levels: 4250, 4218
Resistance levels: 4278, 4316
Within the bullish trend, the price is forming a trading range. A retest of support could end in a recovery, with the fundamental background favoring the bulls. A retest of 4245 could trigger growth, as could a breakout of 4278 (closing above resistance).
Best regards, R. Linda!
Silver (XAG/USD) 2-hour chart Pattern...Silver (XAG/USD) 2-hour chart, here’s a complete target analysts
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📊 Chart Overview
Instrument: Silver (XAG/USD)
Timeframe: 2-hour
Current Price: Around $50.85
Trend: Bearish — price has broken below both the ascending trendline and the Ichimoku Cloud, confirming downward momentum.
Indicators Used: Ichimoku Cloud, Trendline, Price Action
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🎯 Target Levels
1. 🎯 Target Point 1 (Short-Term Target):
Price Zone: $49.00 – $49.20
This matches my first “Target Point” on the chart.
It’s the next significant support level after the trendline break.
Expect partial take-profit or price pause here before further continuation.
2. 🎯 Target Point 2 (Extended / Major Target):
Price Zone: $46.50 – $46.70
This matches my second (lower) “Target Point” marked on the chart.
If bearish pressure continues and price stays below $50.50 resistance, this is the next strong downside target.
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🧭 Summary Table
Target Type Price Level Notes
🎯 TP1 $49.00 – $49.20 First support zone / short-term profit area
🎯 TP2 $46.50 – $46.70 Extended bearish target / swing completion
🛑 Resistance / Stop Area $51.90 – $52.10 Above cloud — invalidation for short setups
XAG/USD – SELL Entry (H1- Wedge Breakout Pattern)The XAG/USD Pair, Price has been trading within a Wedge Pattern on the H1 chart, forming consistent higher highs and higher lows. Price action is now testing the upper boundary of the Pattern, signalling a possible breakout. OANDA:XAGUSD
✅Market Context:
1️⃣Strong Upward Structure Inside the Pattern.
2️⃣Buyers are showing strength near Resistance.
3️⃣Breakout above the Trendline indicates Momentum continuation toward higher zones.
✅Trade Plan:
Entry: Buy after Confirmed Breakout above the Resistance (H1 candle close above trendline or retest of the breakout).
💰Take Profit (TP): At the Key Zone – a Major Resistance area identified ahead.
🛑Stop Loss (SL): Below the Pattern Structure.
✅Psychological Discipline :
1️⃣Stick to plan – No Revenge Trades.
2️⃣Accept losing trades as Part of the Strategy.
3️⃣Risk only 1–2% of your account balance per trade.
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⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Forex trading involves high risk. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose and always do your own research.
Gold Pulls Back in Technical Correction, No Reversal Signal YetHello everyone,
Gold has entered a corrective phase after reaching the historical peak at 4,380–4,400 USD/oz. Selling pressure has emerged, triggering a strong bearish candle and sending price back to retest the 4,220–4,240 USD zone — also the lower boundary of the Kumo cloud on the Ichimoku system, acting as short-term support. At the moment, gold is attempting a slight recovery around 4,265 USD but still trades inside the Kumo cloud, suggesting a sideways correction after an overheated rally. On the H1 chart, the bullish structure has temporarily weakened with a sequence of Lower Highs and Lower Lows forming. The 4,280–4,310 USD area is a red Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone, currently serving as the nearest resistance where sellers may re-enter. Meanwhile, the thick Kumo cloud continues to reflect persistent corrective pressure, especially as recent declines were supported by rising volume — confirming profit-taking at peak levels.
From a fundamental perspective, this retracement is a healthy “cool-down” following nine consecutive weeks of gains. Gold surged nearly 25% in just two months — an exceptionally rare move in history — so profit-taking was inevitable. Additionally, sentiment has been influenced by the Federal Reserve’s lack of clear commitment regarding the timing of rate cuts. Recent US macro data such as CPI and retail sales exceeded expectations, giving the Fed justification to maintain a cautious stance. This has boosted the US Dollar Index (DXY) back toward 106.5, while the US 10-year Treasury yield has moved near 4.1%, reducing gold’s appeal as a non-yielding asset. Risk sentiment has also improved as geopolitical tension between the US and China cooled and the US government avoided a shutdown, prompting some safe-haven flows to rotate out of gold. Several analysts agree that this pullback is constructive for the broader trend, with Alex Kuptsikevich from FxPro noting that gold was “overbought” and needed a rebalancing phase, while Phillip Streible of Blue Line Futures reiterated that the long-term trend remains bullish.
In the short term, gold may continue to move within the 4,220–4,280 USD range, with a potential retest of the 4,210–4,220 USD zone — the lower boundary of the Kumo cloud. If buyers step back in and price breaks above 4,285 USD, a rebound toward the 4,300–4,315 USD FVG resistance zone is likely before the market decides its next direction. Only a confirmed break below 4,200 USD would reinforce further downside toward 4,150 USD. Conversely, holding above 4,200 USD would suggest gold is still in a healthy consolidation phase and retains the potential to revisit 4,300–4,350 USD in the coming sessions.
Double Top Confirmed! Is Gold About to Fall Deeper?As expected from my previous idea , Gold touched its target of $4,183 ( the double top pattern’s target(Small) ). Before reaching that target, it had some ups and downs over the past few days, mainly due to the ongoing US-China tensions .
Gold is trading near a Support zone($4,193 – $4,156) .
From a classical technical analysis perspective, it’s forming a clear double top pattern on the 1-hour timeframe . There’s also a regular bearish divergence (RD-) visible between the two peaks of the double top.
From an Elliott Wave theory standpoint, it looks like Gold has started its corrective wave. If the Support zone($4,193 – $4,156) and the double top pattern’s neckline break , we can expect further downside .
I expect that after breaking the Support zone($4,193 – $4,156) and the neckline , Gold could drop at least to around $4,083(First Target) .
Second Target: $4,057
Stop Loss(SL): $4,385(Worst)
Note: Keep in mind that given the ongoing US-China tensions, any news could invalidate this analysis. So it’s more important than ever to manage your risk carefully these days.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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GBPUSD 1H Analysis: Bearish Pressure Builds After Break 📊 GBPUSD – 1 Hour Analysis (SELL)
Technical Outlook:
Bullish momentum is fading, and selling pressure is building after the recent break.
My trade plan is on the SELL side; target level: 1.33564 📉
Fundamental Analysis:
On the U.S. side, the strong dollar narrative and the Fed’s data‑driven stance continue to support USD strength.
Meanwhile, uncertainty around the U.K.’s growth/inflation balance and tighter financial conditions are weighing on GBP.
Together, these factors reinforce the downside bias in the pair.
🙏 Every like is my biggest motivation to keep sharing these analyses.
GOLD M30 | Bullish Reversal in ProgressThe price is reacting off the buy entry at 4,266.82, which is a pullback support that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could rise from this level to the take profit.
Stop loss is at 4,223.78, whichis a pullback support that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 4,323.15, whichis a pullback resistance that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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ETH/USD (Ethereum to USD, 2-hour timeframe)...ETH/USD (Ethereum to USD, 2-hour timeframe) — here’s what’s shown and how to interpret it:
Current price: Around $3,885
The pattern: Symmetrical triangle — price consolidation before a breakout.
Breakout direction (based on my arrows): Upward (bullish bias).
📈 Target Points (as marked on my chart):
1. First target: Around $4,100
2. Second (main) target: Around $4,300–$4,320
These levels correspond to the blue arrows labeled “Target Point” — they reflect the projected breakout move from the triangle formation.
✅ Summary:
Entry zone (breakout confirmation): Around $3,950–$3,960 (above resistance line)
Target 1: ~$4,100
Target 2: ~$4,300
Stop-loss suggestion (if trading): Below $3,800 (triangle support)
Gold Spot (XAU/USD) 1-hour timeframe ...Gold Spot (XAU/USD) 1-hour timeframe I'm using the Ichimoku Cloud setup with Fibonacci or horizontal resistance levels marked.
Here’s the analysis breakdown:
Current price: around $4,261
Ichimoku cloud: price is retesting the cloud top, showing potential for bullish continuation if it holds above the cloud.
My drawn levels and arrows indicate a pullback to around $4,250–$4,260, followed by a bounce toward the upside.
🎯 Target Point (based on my chart and Fibonacci zones)
The blue arrow and upper red arrow point toward:
Target zone: around $4,360 – $4,380 USD
🔍 Summary
Element Level (Approx.)
Current Price $4,261
Support / Cloud Base $4,240 – $4,250
Resistance / Target $4,360 – $4,380
Stop-loss (suggested) Below $4,230 (below the cloud and recent low)
This suggests a potential bullish move of about $100–$120 from current levels if the price confirms above the cloud and breaks $4,300 resistance.






















