Valuations are attractive on an absolute and relative basis. Cross-asset breadth for EM assets (stocks/bonds/FX) making a sharp move higher from washed-out levels. EM central banks are collectively pivoting from rate hikes to cuts, which supports EM assets. China is moving towards a larger stimulus as the property downturn deepens and the economy slows...
The US Dollar Index (DXY) has gotten off to a rip-roaring start to 2024. Up more than 2% on the year, the greenback’s ascent comes after significant declines over the final handful of months in 2023. That is usually a headwind for equities, particularly shares of companies domiciled overseas. Not surprisingly, we’ve seen many foreign index funds suffer relative to...
Emerging Markets have been a source of disappointment for global investors since their peak in Q4 2007. Despite intermittent short-term outperformance and hopes for a rebound, relative strength against the US has declined since October 2010. However, amidst that awful trend, EM small caps have quietly emerged as winners, showing a total return of nearly 10% since...
While not a perfect construction this does look like an inverse Head and Shoulders. A break above the neckline resistance at 39.85 should see this poised to move to 42.00 and then the target of 43.30 which is almost 9% higher. Note price has been consolidating above the 200dma now for 13 days which is quite significant and i think the probability favour an upside...
the chart posted is that of another etf that seem to want to fade to black . But for now we should see a low into this time frame and then see a half rally . into jan /mar 2024 before the Depression is clear in the euro zone
With the dollar gaining some strength up above 92 and rates raising to 1.6% in the US 10 yr emerging markets have started weakening. They are in no position to absorb higher rates and watch $s investments flea their boarders.
Introduction Since the 2008 Financial Crisis NDX has been “the” trade for anyone looking for easy gains in equities. It has stomped out precious metals, emerging markets and the like. Even crypto powerhouses like Bitcoin and Ethereum are sideways against NDX since the 2018 crypto bear market and smaller alts have been clobbered against NDX in the most recent...
Emerging markets show a corrective decline for stocks from technical point of view and from Elliott wave perspective. Emerging markets chart with ticker EEM made sharp an impulsive rally at the end of 2022, which indicates for more upside after a corrective a-b-c setback that is actually still in progress since the beginning of 2023. So, for stock market support...
AMEX:EEM looks to be breaking down here. On OBV, there's been a double top. Price looks to be breaking the upwards trend that's been forming since Oct 2022. I think price is likely to hit the second support level at $33 before bouncing. However, if there's a strong move down, can see it hitting $30 as well.
To understand emerging markets you must first understand what the dollar (DXY) is doing. In this chart, I show you the relationship between the two. You can see several key dates where reversal took place. To get a handle on what drives the dollar (see post below) You need a good understanding of how the monetary system works, macroeconomics, FOREX, and the Bond...
The time seems to have come to consider allocating to Emerging Markets here, I am thinking of entering a position today. India and Mexico are set to benefit from decentralization of supply chains, China is about to get stimulus to consumption from govt, and AI is generally a source of growth and higher efficiency for the world going forward (solves the issue with...
The MSCI Emerging Index Fund (EEM) is posting a bottom rebound pattern similar to early 2016 and 2009. All all cases the 1W RSI previously broke below the 30.00 oversold level and rebounded strongly. As you see these bottoms take place approximately every 7 years. This indicates that the Emerging Markets are only at the start of a two year mega...
The $EEM daily chart is showing a massive Head and Shoulders formation, with the Neckline set at $38. This could be a sign that the price will soon break to the downside, as Head and Shoulders are usually considered bearish reversal patterns. The market will now be watching for a break below $38 in order to confirm the bearish reversal. If the price does break...
Cycles now point to a decline of 5.6 to 6.3 weeks .Fib we are nearing a .382 and almost a =c within a alt of an ABC . ALSO WE ARE NEARING A MATCH TO THE FIRST LEG UP 2009
Copa Holdings is in the Airline and Air Transport business mainly in emerging market areas. I’ve marked up this weekly chart and missed it as a trade in November 2022. It’s now looking like it may be ready to breakout of a 2-year base / area of resistance. See notes on chart for more details. I’ll be ready this time as I set an alarm on the 2-year base area (it...
Emerging markets is completing a complex correction from an Elliot wave point of view. The first leg of the C wave started in May21 and is currently retracing before heading lower. Dollar index broke out and is now retesting the top of its previous range going back till '15. Secondly EEM and Dollar index are inverse correlated when the market is trending. VIX...
Maybe it's time to see emergent markets having a bull run again. Or it will be ruin? Your call.
"Society which, according to its particular structure, shapes education in relation to the ends and interests of those who control the power in that society." - Paulo Freire. look for BRZU back up to $100 in spring time of 2023