The great depression VS today's market structure! - trying to find synergies between both timeline's The Stock Market Boom and Crash of 1926-1933: An Applied Time Series Investigation I found this interesting how it aligns with today's market...
Be cautious buying this uptrend, and be especially cautious trying to catch the bottom of a mediocre company in a downtrend. I don't view the current environment to be fully risk off or fully risk on, but showing signs of the last leg of the business cycle. My preference is to target 20-30% cash and focus on companies with a high sharpe ratio, and lower ...
In anticipation of tomorrow's trading session, our focus keenly centers on the NASDAQ, where we are meticulously examining the potential for a strategic buying opportunity around the 16550 zone. The current trajectory of NASDAQ reflects a sustained uptrend, emphasizing a consistent upward movement. Presently, the index is immersed in a correction phase, gradually...
Hi Traders! USDJPY is on a pullback and re-testing the trendline break, which opens up opportunities for short entries on the market's pullbacks. Here are the details: The market recently broke both the support trendline and the descending channel. Our plan is to sell rallies by looking for an entry near the 20 EMA and a target exit near the monthly...
Did the federal reserve just set the tone for 2024? - done with the rate hike regime - wait for a bit more evidence on inflation - switch rate cut policy With a decision in March/May still looking the most likely for now, are we going to see more downside on the DXY In the technical aspect - Price reversed from resistance of 104.30 - Currently resting along...
US FED Update: Fed leaves rates unchanged for third straight meeting which was on expected line (Little bit of relief for the anxious ones). (Neutral to Positive) Fed accepts that growth of economy "has slowed" since Q3 2023. (Neutral) Fed says they are committed to bring down inflation to 2%. (Neutral to Positive) Most Fed officials see interest rate cuts in...
Two days ago, just after the big liquidation which took us from 44.5k to 40.3k, I made a post where I argued that there were no worries for the bulls as long as the bottom support held. Around 40 minutes ago, there was another FOMC interest rate decision in favor of the bulls. Stock markets rallied and BTC followed suit. Crypto is rallying back towards previous...
Hello trader’s what do you think about gold Fomc news)? Now gold restaurants breakdown) retest support levels if breakout 1970 Target 1965)
All the attention will be on the FOMC's final policy decision of the year today, with no expectations of further tightening. The market's pricing of 125 basis point rate cuts in 2024 will be tested, and given the Fed's cautious approach, there's a likelihood that Powell and the team will resist these expectations during today's meeting. Whether the market will...
KOG REPORT – FOMC: This is our view for FOMC tomorrow, please do your own research and analysis to make an informed decision on the markets. It is not recommended you try to trade the event if you have less than 6 months trading experience and have a trusted risk strategy in place. The markets are extremely volatile, and these events can cause aggressive swings...
The New Zealand dollar is sharply lower in Wednesday trade. In the European session, NZD/USD is trading at 0.6095, down 0.61%. US inflation ticked lower in October as expected and the release was a non-event for the markets, which slightly reduced their rate-cut pricing. Headline CPI climbed 3.1% year-on-year in November, down from 3.2% in October and in line...
This is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 13 Dec 2023 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish INT Bearish Reached EQ 2. INT structure turned bearish to liquidate the INT Low (Liquidity above the Daily Demand) and mitigated the daily demand zone. INT...
Today's focus: US30 Pattern – N/A Support – 36,280 Resistance – 36,900 Hi, and thanks for checking out today's update. Today, we are looking at US30 on the daily chart. Today's video asks if US30 will continue to track higher despite being well off its moving average. This can be a warning if you believe in mean revision. The other point we are looking at in...
Pair : EURUSD ( Euro / U.S Dollar ) Description : Completed " 12345 " Impulsive Waves and " a " Corrective Waves. Rejected from Daily Demand Zone. Strong Divergence in RSI. Making its " B " Corrective Wave that will completed at Previous Resistance or Fibonacci Level - 61.80% Entry Precaution : Wait for the Proper Rejection
The British pound is drifting on Tuesday. In the European session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.2551, down 0.04%. Tuesday's UK employment report was notable for the decline in wage growth. Earnings excluding bonuses rose 7.3% in the three months to October, down from 7.8% in the three months to September. This was lower than the consensus estimate of 7.4%. Wage...
This is my Weekly analysis on EURUSD for 11 - 15 Dec 2023 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: Weekly Daily 4H Economic Events Weekly Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish Reached Swing EQ 2. After the iBOS we expected pullback, price tapped into Liq on the lift and a Weekly demand...
The feds Balance sheet reduced from $7.96 Trillion to $7.73 Trillion This is the largest reduction in the balance sheet since September 1st 2023.
I think we have made the bottom for bitcoin at 15-16k area and now we are in the accumulation phase of the crypto cycle. It is hard to say how long it will take, but I am more convinced towards the accumulation phase based on my analysis of the weekly chart. There are 3 major occasions during which we have tanked below weekly 21 moving average and immediately...