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Harmonic Patterns

XAUUSDHello Traders! 👋 What are your thoughts on Gold? Gold experienced a sharp decline last week, but found support around the $4,000 zone, leading to a modest rebound. Since then, the price has entered a range-bound phase, oscillating between key support and resistance levels. Current Outlook: The next directional move depends on a breakout from this consolidation range: A break above the resistance zone could trigger a move toward the previous high. Conversely, a break below the support zone would likely signal a deeper bearish continuation and formation of new lows. For now, gold remains in a neutral range, and it’s best to wait for a confirmed breakout before taking new positions. Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by HAMED_AZ
44
BTCUSDT – When the Bullish Wave ReturnsBitcoin is showing a notable recovery phase after a series of previous corrections. On the daily timeframe, price continues to move within an ascending channel that has been forming since the beginning of Q3. Currently, BTC is approaching the midline of the channel around 115,000–116,000 USD , with key support at 106,700 USD and upper resistance near 127,700 USD. If the price retests the 112,000–113,000 USD zone and holds, this could become a perfect “launchpad” for the next bullish move. From a fundamental perspective, expectations of a Fed rate cut and South Korea’s more open stance toward crypto are providing positive momentum for risk assets like Bitcoin. However, signals from the options market and investor sentiment still show some caution, meaning the upward move may be gradual and range-bound rather than explosive. Overall, BTC remains under bullish control , and as long as the price holds above the 106,000–107,000 USD zone, the gradual climb toward 127,000 USD remains the most likely scenario.
Long
by Kairo_Vexen
19
EURUSD – When the Green Light Begins to ShineHello traders, On the 4-hour chart, EURUSD is showing signs of shifting from a consolidation phase to a clearer mild uptrend . The price has found a solid base near the 1.1595–1.1600 area, rebounding from the ascending trendline and now aiming for resistance around 1.1710 — a level where a stronger breakout could occur if buying momentum strengthens. Not just technically, but also fundamentally, recent Eurozone economic data such as PMI and consumer confidence beating expectations , combined with a softer USD as markets await the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) decision, are creating a favorable backdrop for the euro to attract capital inflows. Thus, the most likely short-term scenario is that EURUSD might dip slightly toward ~1.1600 for momentum , then bounce up toward ~1.1710. If this move is confirmed by a clean breakout above resistance, it could mark the start of a more sustainable bullish trend. In short, traders should wait for technical confirmation from support and a breakout above resistance before stepping in. It may not be a dramatic surge, but it’s a steady and promising bullish opportunity — the “golden bull” of EURUSD looks ready to move.
Long
by Kairo_Vexen
12
EURUSD rebounds strongly – ready to break higherAfter several days of sideways trading, EURUSD is regaining its momentum , driven by two golden catalysts: a weaker USD following softer U.S. CPI data, and a stronger-than-expected recovery in Germany’s economy. This combination has triggered a broad “risk-on” wave across global markets, pulling the euro back into an upward trajectory. On the H1 chart, the pair has clearly bounced off the ascending trendline, forming a double bottom pattern — a classic signal of reversal. The EMA 34 and EMA 89 lines are beginning to converge, hinting at stronger bullish momentum ahead. Support around 1.1615 remains firm, while the next target sits near 1.1650, where a potential breakout could unfold. With the Fed likely to cut rates soon and the ECB pausing further easing , capital flows are gradually shifting back into the euro. With both fundamentals and technicals aligning, EURUSD appears poised for further upside , potentially heading toward 1.1680–1.1700 in the short term.
Long
by Octaviuss
9
BITCOIN – THE LAST DANCE AT THE BORDER OF DEATHTraders, I believe Bitcoin is potentially setting up for a swing fail pattern around 117.500. A swing fail pattern, very simply, is when price runs the previous high, takes out the liquidity sitting above it, and then fails to hold above that level. In other words, it clears the stops, shows strength for a moment, and then turns. It is the market taking a breath before it bites. Here is how I see it and why I am positioned for shorts, not longs. 1. Structure into 117.500 The zone around 117.000 to 117.500 is, for me, the kill zone. Why? There is a clean previous high that has not been taken yet There is visible imbalance from the last fast drop sitting in that band We have London morning wick liquidity above us that I believe price still wants to clean The math and harmonics I am running line up in the same area When I say the math lines up I am talking about measured extensions and harmonics off the leg that started around 103k to 104k and impulsed higher. My 1.618 extension clusters around 116.7 to 117.5. The 1.272 and 1.414 levels already got respected on the way up. This last one is usually where you get the overextension and the last grab. On top of this, the 1.618 extension confluences with the HTF Golden Pocket. We also sit right on top of what I call the border of death. Above 117.500 I do not want to see Bitcoin hold. If it does hold and build acceptance up there then this entire idea is invalidated and I will adapt. I am not married to bias. I am married to data. 2. Order flow and participation Let us talk about what is behind this move, not just what it looks like. Spot CVD is still depressed compared to the beginning of the run. That means real buyers paying cash are not the ones driving price higher. This is not a classic spot accumulation bid. This is not strong hands owning the level. Stablecoin margined CVD and coin margined CVD both curled up into the most recent leg. So who is lifting price It is perps. Not investors, not patient buyers, just leverage. Open Interest is also telling us a story. Stablecoin margined OI is grinding back up into the highs. Coin margined OI is starting to climb again. That means people are adding new exposure on the way up. They are not just covering shorts anymore, they are now chasing longs into the high. This is where positioning gets fragile. The crowd thinks we are going to keep going. I start thinking about harvesting that belief. The floor under us is not built by conviction. It is built by leverage. We have seen this before. The desert looks quiet before the sandstorm picks up. 3. What I am expecting I am expecting a sweep of the high into roughly 117.500. Clean the liquidity. Fill the imbalance. Tap the last little pocket of inefficiency that is still sitting there. Show strength on the surface. Then reject. That rejection is the tell for me. If we push above the high and then snap back below it on force, that confirms the swing fail for me. From there I am looking for rotation much lower. 4. The target zone if this plays out If this plays out the way I think it can, I am looking toward 98k. This is not a random number. That is basically the next meaningful pocket of imbalance below. That is the next unfair area that never got re tested. Price likes to rebalance. The market eventually revisits the places it skipped when it was moving too fast. We call it inefficiency but it is really just unfinished business. Will it instantly teleport there No. This is a path idea, not a straight line prediction. But 98k is where I think equilibrium lives if this whole run unwinds. 5. Risk management and positioning Because of this view I have adjusted. My earlier thesis from October 16 is, in my eyes, no longer valid in its original form. Never say never, but I am not trading that idea anymore. I have closed all long positions. I am no longer here to squeeze the upside. I am here to stalk shorts. Does that mean I am instantly full size short here No. I am not interested in guessing tops. I am interested in letting the market reach for the level I want, and only then taking the trade with data behind it. If Bitcoin breaks through 117.500 and starts holding acceptance above that level, I will back off this idea. No ego. No stubbornness. I am here to survive. Survival is the only way you ever get to mastery. 6. Summary I believe Bitcoin is setting up for a classic swing fail pattern at around 117.500. I think price will hunt that liquidity, stop out shorts, convince late longs they are right, and then turn. I think the next meaningful re balance sits much lower, around 98k. This is not guaranteed. Nothing in trading is guaranteed. Trading is probability, not fantasy. But right now the flow, the harmonics, the imbalance, the extensions, and the psychology of the crowd all rhyme in the same place. And when the market whispers in the same tone across different tools, I listen. I am ThetaNomad.
Short
by ThetaNomad
4
BITCOIN This is what separates 128k from 104k.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) just broke above its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time in 2 weeks and only days after it got rejected there. A 1D candle closing above it will be a strong bullish signal. As BTC has been trading within a Megaphone pattern similar to the December 2024 - April 2025 one, a closing above the 1D MA50 might put the structure in a similar situation as April 17. As you can see that Megaphone also had a 1D MA50 rejection preceding the break-out and before that also, two Lower Lows near the 1W MA0 (red trend-line). What it hasn't had (so far?) is a clear touch of the 1W MA50 (as on April 07) and a 1D MACD Higher Lows Bullish Divergence. As a result, both scenarios are open for now. Until it closes above the 1D MA50, a 1W MA50 test remains possible around $104000. A closing above the 1D MA50 though strengthens the probability of a 1.1 Fibonacci extension rally at $128000. What do you think is more likely to happen? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
3
Gold Bullish Butterfly Forming – Reversal Ahead?As I expected in the previous idea , Gold started declining from the Resistance zone($4,192 – $4,137) and has now reached the Support zone($4,004 – $3,895) — full target achieved . At the moment, Gold is moving within that Support zone($4,004 – $3,895) and Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) . Looking at the 1-hour time frame , we can spot a Bullish Butterfly Harmonic Pattern forming, which is likely to complete right in that PRZ . I expect that in the coming hours, once Gold enters the PRZ , it could rise at least up to around $4,057(First Target) . Second Target: $4,132 Stop Loss(SL): $3,889(Worst) Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅ ' like ' ✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by pejman_zwin
4
EURJPY: Getting Weaker on expectations for more fiscal stimulusEURJPY: Getting Weaker on expectations for more fiscal stimulus The EURJPY price is emerging from a strong structure area that also corresponds to the previous all-time high of 177.95. This is also a record price reached so far, considering that EURJPY has never been in this area in its entire life. The JPY remains extremely weak due to the loss-making monetary policy applied by the BOJ and the Prime Minister. It makes no sense, but that is the situation. EURJPY looks set to extend further. Traders betting her government could muddy the interest rate outlook and bring about a greater fiscal largesse could push EURJPY even higher to 178.80, 180, and 181. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Long
by KlejdiCuni
3
Gold Compresses Before the Fed Storm– Sideways or a Sudden Drop?Good day, fellow traders, Looking at the current XAUUSD chart, this is truly a highly sensitive phase. After last week’s sharp decline, gold has been narrowing its range within a contracting triangle pattern on the 4-hour timeframe, with lower highs and higher lows — a clear sign that the market is “building pressure” before a potential breakout. At the moment, price is hovering around 4,070 USD/oz, just below the EMA34 and EMA89 lines — indicating that sellers still hold a slight upper hand. The key support zone lies around 4,040, while the strong resistance level sits near 4,220, where a bearish reaction could occur if price retests that zone. Combining this with the latest news — the USD continues to strengthen while the market awaits the upcoming FOMC meeting — I lean toward a sideways-to-slightly-bearish scenario over the next 24 hours. Price could fluctuate between 4,060–4,100, then drift lower to retest 4,040 or even 3,950, unless the Fed delivers an unexpectedly dovish tone. In summary, XAUUSD is in a compression phase , awaiting a major catalyst. Without fresh bullish factors, the short-term trend remains sideways-bearish, with mild downside risk before any potential technical rebound.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Kairo_Vexen
5
short-term GOLD analysis🟡 Pattern Observed: Bullish Harmonic Formation (Potential Gartley/Deep Crab Variant) The chart shows a completed harmonic reversal zone around point D, with a clear five-point structure (X-A-B-C-D). This pattern indicates exhaustion of the prior down-leg and signals a potential bullish reversal in the short term. 📈 Bullish Projection Immediate Reaction Zone: ₹ 4 020 – ₹ 4 030 Short-Term Upside Targets: ₹ 4 110 – ₹ 4 130 – initial profit-booking zone (previous minor swing). ₹ 4 170 – ₹ 4 190 – main harmonic target. Extended Target (if momentum expands): ₹ 4 240 – ₹ 4 260. Momentum oscillators are expected to turn upward from oversold regions once D is validated. ⚠️ Invalidation / Risk Invalidation: A daily close below ₹ 4 000 (≈ below point X) negates the bullish setup. Stop-loss Zone: ₹ 3 985 – ₹ 3 995 for traders. Probability of Reversal: ≈ 70 % based on harmonic symmetry and candle positioning. 🧠 Summary Parameter Observation Pattern Type Bullish Harmonic (Gartley/Deep Crab) Reversal Zone (PRZ) ₹ 4 000 – ₹ 4 030 Trend Expectation Short-term rebound Targets ₹ 4 110 → ₹ 4 190 → ₹ 4 250 Stop-loss Below ₹ 4 000 Bias Bullish Confidence ~70 % 📊 Conclusion Gold appears to be completing a harmonic reversal zone near ₹ 4 000, signaling a short-term recovery phase. A sustained bounce above ₹ 4 050 will confirm reversal strength, with potential for a ₹ 150–200 up-move. Traders should stay long with tight risk management, watching for follow-through candles. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always use appropriate risk controls and confirm setups with your own system before trading.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by shiva560060
1
USD/JPY – Price Accumulation Before Potential Upside Breakout On the 15-minute chart, USD/JPY is currently trading inside a well-defined range between 0.006520 – 0.006560, indicating a phase of accumulation after a short-term downtrend. The market has been consolidating for several sessions, suggesting that traders are waiting for new liquidity before a possible breakout. The lower boundary of the box is acting as strong support, while the upper edge near 0.006560 remains the key resistance zone to watch. Technical Outlook Support zone: 0.006520 – 0.006530 Resistance zone: 0.006560 – 0.006600 Market structure: Sideways / Accumulation EMA20: Currently flattening, showing neutral momentum RSI (15min): Recovering from oversold levels, hinting at short-term bullish pressure The pattern on the chart also suggests a potential liquidity sweep near the lower boundary before buyers step in to push price back toward the top of the range. Trading Strategy Suggestion Buy Setup (Range Play): Entry: 0.006525 – 0.006530 Stop Loss: Below 0.006510 Take Profit: 0.006560 – 0.006580 Breakout Setup (Aggressive): Entry: Above 0.006565 (confirmation breakout candle) Stop Loss: 0.006545 Take Profit: 0.006600 Summary USD/JPY remains in a short-term accumulation range. If the price maintains support above 0.006520, a bullish continuation toward 0.006580 – 0.006600 could occur in the next sessions. However, a clear breakout confirmation is required before larger upside momentum builds. Keep this setup on your watchlist — follow for more structured intraday strategies and price action updates.
by Henrybillion
4
$SOL - LONG - ABOUT TO POP?Analysis: Following up on my Oct 14th BTC note — “Wait for arbitrage to balance spot markets” — we’re now nearing that blue box. As BTC approaches equilibrium, I’m eyeing CRYPTOCAP:SOL for a clean long setup. Here’s why 👇 AVWAP Confluence Zone: We’ve got the lower band of a HTF auction colliding with the VWAP line from another HTF auction — strong mean reversion and liquidity overlap. (Didn’t draw them out to keep the chart clean.) Fibonacci Confluence: A completed AB=CD right at 175.0, perfectly inside the HTF golden pocket (0.618). That’s a key structural retrace aligning with measured move completion. Bullish Harmonic (4H): A textbook bull harmonic forming — early signs of reversal pressure building. No position yet. Waiting for SOL (CME) to close the gap at ~174.7 — that’s my trigger to go long. 🎯 Target: 223 — with a possible sweep of the 229–230 zone where shorts are stacked. Expecting a short squeeze flush through that region. Seeing solid order flow confluence across the board. Will update this post as things unfold.
Long
by ThetaNomad
4
BITCOIN - PUMP BEFORE THE DUMP?Traders, Last time I talked about arbitrage inefficiencies between spot and perps. I expected a dip first, then a corrective move up. That view still stands — but I also expected a sweep up before the bigger move down. In my earlier notes I called for a sweep to clean the Sunday low, followed by a move back toward 120–122k with a short squeeze. That scenario is now in play. I planned to long near 109.350, after the sweep, and only if the data aligned with my thesis. What I projected vs what happened Sweep the Sunday lows, then squeeze up. Wait for the sweep and only enter if the data confirms around 109.550. Entered 109.550 once multiple signals lined up. Why I entered at 109.550 Stablecoin-margined CVD First pass: Stablecoin Margined CVD made a lower low while price made a higher low → hidden bullish divergence. Aggressive sellers were getting absorbed by resting bids. Second pass: Stablecoin Margined CVD made a higher low while price made a lower low → selling pressure fading, buyers absorbing again. Coin-margined CVD Coin Margined CVD kept making lower lows while price refused to follow → another hidden bull div. Shorts were leaning in, but passive buying held firm. Spot CVD Lower lows on CVD while price held flat or slightly higher → trapped aggressive sellers, absorbed by steady passive spot buyers. On Binance Perp Order Flow we could also see a regular bullish divergence into a smaller hidden bull div at the sweep — a clean reversal setup. Open Interest read Here’s where many traders miss the nuance. There are two main perp types on Binance and most major exchanges: Coin-margined contracts: collateralized with the underlying asset (e.g., BTC). Profits and losses are settled in BTC. Stablecoin-margined contracts: collateralized with a stable asset (e.g., USDT or USDC). Profits and losses are settled in dollars. This matters because the behavior and risk exposure of traders differ between the two: When coin-margined OI goes down, it usually means BTC-collateral traders are closing positions or getting liquidated. They’re forced to sell BTC to cover margin, which can create short-term downside pressure. When stablecoin-margined OI goes up at the same time, it often means new traders are entering positions with USDT collateral. That capital rotation usually signals fresh directional bets, often late shorts piling in after a move down. So when price stops making new lows while stablecoin OI keeps climbing, it’s a clear sign the market is loading up on shorts, but without continuation. That mismatch is short-squeeze fuel. Combine that with the CVD divergences above and it paints a strong case for a move back into overhead liquidity. Supplementary edge 1H RSI bullish divergence: RSI makes higher lows while price makes lower lows → loss of downside momentum, suggesting sellers are tiring. USDC.D and USDT.D bearish divergences: Stablecoin dominance charts make higher highs while RSI trends lower → stablecoin demand weakening. When that happens, capital tends to rotate back into BTC and risk assets, reinforcing the long bias. Broke above daily VWAP Together, these add extra confluence to the squeeze setup. Plan, target, invalidation Target: 122 area (blue box). At target: watching for rising price with fading delta, sell imbalances near highs, and absorption signals — that’s where I’ll start hunting shorts and let the market cool off. Invalidation: acceptance back below the Sunday sweep low with expanding negative delta and rising OI on the breakdown. That would kill the squeeze thesis. Summary: A clean sweep → multi-CVD bullish divergences → absorption → rising OI imbalance → RSI & VWAP confluence. All aligning for a controlled short squeeze toward 122k, before the market potentially resumes its broader corrective path. Does this mean we 100% go up? No. Markets don’t promise: they whisper. You listen, you align, and you risk what you can afford to be wrong about.
Long
by ThetaNomad
27
EURUSD BEARISH MOVE STILL CONTINUESOur analysis is based on a multi-timeframe top-down approach and fundamental analysis. Based on our assessment, the price is expected to return to the monthly level. DISCLAIMER: This analysis may change at any time without notice and is solely intended to assist traders in making independent investment decisions. Please note that this is a prediction, and I have no obligation to act on it, nor should you. Please support our analysis with a boost or comment!
Short
by Derry_Trades
9
USDCAD | Bearish Reversal Forming at Overlap ResistanceBased on the M30, we can see that the price is reacting off the sell entry whic is an overlap resistance and could drop from this level to the downside. Sell entry is at 1.4004, which is an overlap resistance. Stop loss is at 1.4019, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit is at 1.3978, which is a multi swing low support. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Short
by Tradu
1
Bullish bounce off 50% Fibonacci support?The Gold (XAU/USD) is falling towards the pivot, which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to the swing high resistance. Pivot: 3,847.44 1st Support: 3,701.62 1st Resistance: 4,357.81 Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by IC Markets
1
Heading into Fibonacci confluence?USD/JPY is rising towards the pivot, which is a pullback resistance and could reverse to the 1st suport, which acts as an overlap suport. Pivot: 154.37 1st Support: 150.67 1st Resistance: 156.36 Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by IC Markets
2
NASDAQ Needs some sideways relief but remains bullish.Nasdaq (NDX) continues to extend the new Bullish Leg of its 5-month Channel Up, having turned the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) as its short-term Support, in line with both previous Bullish Legs. We still expect at least a +9.59% rise, targeting 26300, to be completed before the pattern's new Higher High is priced but as the 4H RSI turned overbought (red circle), we expect the price to slow down a little, maybe seeking the 4H MA50 again as it happened in July. In any event, the long-term trend remains bullish, until the 1D MA50 (red trend-line) breaks. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by TradingShot
1