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Harmonic Patterns

BTC: From Triangle to Flag → 118K?Let's take a look at the recent market context. Bitcoin climbed aggressively, creating a powerful impulsive leg upward. That rally formed the pole of our bullish flag, a clear continuation pattern. After that, price consolidated, shaping a tight, downward-sloping flag, while overall momentum stayed bullish. The critical moment came just recently when price broke out of the flag with real strength. A decisive breakout candle! So the bias is clear — the bullish flag is active, the breakout is confirmed, and the projection points us toward 118,000. The structure is clean, the momentum is strong… and the market is telling the story.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by TrendDiva
30
TSLA path to 550/650 USD Breakout Still Pending🔥 What specifically drives TSLA into 550–650 📦 Deliveries + mix surprise If unit volumes beat whisper numbers and mix favors higher-trim/FSD attach, you get more gross profit per vehicle without needing price hikes. Watch the cadence of regional incentives and shipping vectors; strong NA/EU mix plus improving China utilization is the sweet spot. 🛠️ Margin stabilization → operating leverage Gross margin base effect + opex discipline = powerful flow-through. Even a 100–150 bps lift in auto GM, coupled with energy GM expanding as Megapack scales, can push operating margin into low-mid teens. That alone recodes the multiple market is willing to pay. 🔋 Energy storage stepping out of auto’s shadow Megapack/Powerwall growth with multi-GW backlogs turns “side business” into a credible second engine. As deployments and ASP/contract mix normalize, investors begin modeling $10–$15B annualized energy revenue with attractive GM — this is multiple-expanding because it looks more like infrastructure/software-tinted industrials than cyclical autos. 🤖 Autonomy & software monetization bridges Two things move the needle fast: (1) clear progress toward supervised autonomy at scale (drives FSD attach + ARPU), and (2) licensing (FSD stack, charging/NACS, drive units). Even modestly credible paid-miles/seat-based models (think $50–$150/month vehicles on fleet) transform valuation frameworks. 🦾 Optimus/robotics as a real option, not sci-fi The market doesn’t need commercial ubiquity — it needs line-of-sight to pilot deployments and unit economics where labor-substitute ROI < 3 years. A few high-credibility pilots (warehousing, simple assembly, logistics cells) can tack on optionality premium that pushes the multiple toward the top of the range. 💹 Options-market reflexivity Flows matter. Elevated call demand near ATH turns dealers short gamma, forcing delta hedging that lifts spot, which triggers more call buying → a familiar feedback loop. On breakouts, watch open interest skew to short-dated OTM calls, and put-call ratios compressing; these magnify upside in a tight float day. 🌍 Macro & liquidity If indices hold highs and the rate path doesn’t tighten financial conditions, growth duration gets rewarded. TSLA’s beta + story premium thrives in that regime. ________________________________________ 🧠 Outside-the-box accelerants 🛰️ “Software day” packaging A coordinated showcase that bundles FSD progress, energy software (fleet, VPP), service/insurance data, and Optimus pilots into a single capital-markets narrative could reframe TSLA as a platform. The Street responds to packaging; it compresses time-to-belief. 🤝 Third-party FSD/charging licensing headlines A single blue-chip OEM announcing software licensing + NACS deep integration reframes the competitive landscape. The equity market pays a software multiple for recurring seats. 🏗️ Capex signaling for next-gen platform without GM hit Announcing a modular, high-throughput manufacturing scheme (cell to structure, gigacasting tweaks, logistics compression) with proof that unit economics are accretive from ramp can flip skeptics who anchor to past ramp pain. ⚡ Grid-scale contracts + financing innovation If Tesla pairs utility-scale storage with project-level financing (think repeatable ABS-like channels for Megapack), you de-risk cash conversion cycles and unlock a new investor constituency (infrastructure/green income). That tightens the multiple. ________________________________________ 🏎️ Comparative playbook: RACE (Ferrari) & NVDA (NVIDIA) 👑 RACE — the scarcity & brand ROIC lens Ferrari’s premium multiple rests on scarcity, orderbook visibility, and brand pricing power. TSLA doesn’t have scarcity, but it can borrow the RACE lens via (a) limited-run, ultra-high-margin trims that anchor halo pricing, (b) waitlist-like energy backlogs that create visibility, and (c) bespoke software packages that mimic “personalization” margin. In bull phases, RACE trades as a luxury compounder rather than an automaker; TSLA can earn a slice of that premium when the energy + software story dominates. 🧮 NVDA — the flywheel & supply-constrained S-curve NVIDIA’s explosive run blended (1) clear demand > supply, (2) pricing power, (3) ecosystem lock-in. TSLA’s battery and compute stacks can echo that dynamic: limited 4680/cell supply + Megapack queues + proprietary autonomy data moat. The moment the market believes TSLA is supply-gated (not demand-gated) in energy/AI, it will award NVDA-like scarcity premia. Add toolchain stickiness (training data, fleet miles, Dojo/AI infra), and you get ecosystem multiples rather than auto multiples. 📊 What the comps teach for TSLA’s 550–650 zone • RACE lesson: visibility + pricing power boost the quality of earnings → higher P/E durability. • NVDA lesson: credible scarcity + platform control turbocharge EV/Sales and compress the market’s time-to-future state. • Translation for TSLA: blend of luxury-like quality (energy contracts + premium trims) and platform scarcity (cells/AI stack) → multiple rerate into our target band. ________________________________________ 🧾 Valuation outlook 🧮 Earnings path • Units up mid-teens % Y/Y; ASP stable to slightly higher on mix; energy + software up strongly. • Auto GM +100–150 bps; Energy GM expands on scale; opex +SMC disciplined → op margin 12–15%. • Share count glide modest. Forward EPS ≈ $9–$11. • Multiple: 50× (conservative growth premium) → $450–$550; 60× (software/autonomy visibility) → $540–$660. • Why the market pays up: visible recurring high-margin lines (FSD, energy software, services) + AI/robotics optionality. 📈 EV/Sales path • Forward revenue $130–$150B (auto + energy + software/services). • Assign blended EV/Sales 6.5–7.5× when energy/software dominate the debate. • Less net cash → equity value per share in $550–$650. • Check: At 7× on $140B = $980B EV; equity ≈ $1.0–$1.1T with cash, divided by diluted shares → mid-$500s to $600s. Momentum premium and flow can extend to upper bound. ________________________________________ 🧭 Technical roadmap & market-microstructure 🧱 Breakout mechanics A decisive weekly close above prior ATH with rising volume and a low-volume retest that holds converts resistance to a springboard. Expect a “open-drive → pause → trend” sequence: day 1 impulse, 2–5 sessions of rangebuilding, then trend resumption. 🧲 Volume shelves & AWVAPs Anchored VWAPs from the last major swing high and the post-washout low often act like magnets. Post-break, the ATH AVWAP becomes first support, then the $500 handle functions as the psychological pivot. Above there, $550/$590/$630 are classical measured-move/Fib projection waypoints; pullbacks should hold prior shelf highs. 🌀 Options & dealer positioning On a break, short-dated OTM calls populate 1–2% ladders; dealers short gamma chase price up via delta hedging. Expect intraday ramps near strikes (pin-and-pop behavior) and Friday accelerants if sentiment is euphoric. A steepening skew with heavy call open interest is your tell that supply is thin. ________________________________________ 🧨 Risks & invalidation 🚫 Failed retest below the breakout shelf (think: a fast round-trip under the $4-handle) downgrades the setup from “trend” to “blow-off.” 🧯 Margin or delivery disappointments (e.g., price-war resumption, regional softness) break the EPS/EV-Sales bridges. 🌪️ Macro shock (rates spike, liquidity drains) compresses long-duration multiples first; TSLA is high beta. 🔁 Flow reversal — if call-heavy positioning unwinds, gamma flips to a headwind and accelerates downside. ________________________________________ 💼 Trading & portfolio expressions for HNWI 🎯 Core + satellite Hold a core equity position to capture trend, add a satellite of calls for convexity. If chasing, consider call spreads (e.g., 1–3 month $500/$600 or $520/$650) to tame IV. 🛡️ Risk-managed parity Pair equity with a protective put slightly OTM or finance it with a put spread. Alternatively, collars (write covered calls above $650 to fund downside puts) if you’re guarding a large legacy stake. ⚙️ Momentum follow-through Use stop-ins above key levels for systematic adds, and stop-outs below retest lows to avoid round-trips. Size reduces into $590–$630 where target confluence lives; recycle risk into pullbacks. 💵 Liquidity & slippage Scale entries around liquid times (open/closing auctions). For size, work algos to avoid prints into obvious strikes where dealers can lean. ________________________________________ 🧾 Monitoring checklist 🔭 Delivery run-rate signals (regional registration proxies, shipping cadence). 🏭 Margin tells (bill of materials trends, promotions cadence, energy deployment updates). 🧠 Autonomy milestones (software releases, safety metrics, attach/ARPU hints). 🔌 Licensing/partnership beats (NACS depth, FSD/AI stack interest). 📊 Options dashboard (short-dated call OI ladders; put-call ratio shifts; gamma positioning). 🌡️ Macro regime (rates, liquidity, risk appetite). ________________________________________ ✅ Bottom line 🏁 The 550–650 tape is not a fairy tale — it’s a stacked-catalyst + rerate setup where energy/software/autonomy rise in the narrative mix, margins stabilize, and options-market reflexivity does the rest. Execute the breakout playbook, respect invalidation lines, and use convex expressions to lean into upside while protecting capital. esla (TSLA) — Breakout Playbook 🎯 Core Thesis • Insider conviction: Musk’s ~$1B buy. • Risk-on macro: equities at highs, liquidity supportive. • Options reflexivity: call-heavy flows can fuel upside. • ATH breakout (~$480–$490) = gateway to price discovery. ________________________________________ 🚀 Upside Drivers to $550–$650 • Deliveries & Mix: Surprise beat + higher trim/FSD attach. • Margins: GM stabilization + energy scaling → op margin 12–15%. • Energy: $10–15B rev potential with infra-like multiples. • Autonomy/Software: FSD attach, ARPU, licensing. • Optimus/Robotics: Pilot deployments → ROI < 3 yrs adds optionality. • Licensing Headlines: OEMs adopting NACS/FSD stack. • Capital Markets Narrative: Packaged “software + energy + robotics” story reframes Tesla as a platform. ________________________________________ 🏎️ Comparative Bull Run Lens • Ferrari (RACE): Scarcity, orderbook, luxury multiples. • NVIDIA (NVDA): Scarcity + ecosystem flywheel → EV/Sales premium. • Tesla Parallel: Blend of luxury quality (energy backlogs, halo trims) + AI scarcity (cells, fleet data, Dojo). ________________________________________ 📊 Valuation Bridges • EPS Path: $9–$11 EPS × 50–60× = $450–$660. • EV/Sales Path: $130–150B revenue × 6.5–7.5× = $550–$650. ________________________________________ 📈 Technical Roadmap • Breakout > $490 → retest holds → next legs: o $550 / $590 / $630 / stretch $650–$690. • Watch anchored VWAPs; ATH shelf flips to support. • Options chase accelerates above round strikes.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by ProjectSyndicate
34
GER40 Loading the Break – Big Move Coming!Hey guys, I’ve analyzed the GER40 index for you. Right now, it’s too early to drop a clear target—the price is stuck in a consolidation zone. It’s either gonna break down or break out. Once that move happens, I’ll share the exact target right away. For now, just waiting on the breakout. Also, every single like from you guys is what keeps me motivated to keep sharing these analyses. Big thanks to everyone supporting me with those likes.
ICMARKETS:DE40Long
by TraderTilki
13
BITCOIN 1W Stoch RSI completed a Bullish Cross. Expect new ATH.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) just completed a Bullish Cross on its 1W STOCH RSI and that's the first time it does so since April 07 2025. That was as we know, the previous market bottom of the Trade War correction. In fact, every 1W STOCH RSI Bullish Cross has been a buy signal within this Bull Cycle's Channel Up (since November 2022), most of which huge. The April 2025 Bullish Leg rose by +65.92% and that has been the 'weakest' one of this Channel Up. As a result, if we get the bear minimum of +65.92% this time around too, expect a new High around $175000, which should be the Cycle Top and in our opinion the absolute maximum that this Cycle can give. Do you think we will go that high? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
5
ETHEREUM Is it realistic to expect last Cycle's rally?Ethereum (ETHUSD) has been practically consolidating since the mid-August High, following an impressive rally on the April 07 Low. Technically it is coming off a 1W MA50/100 Bullish Cross. It is the exact same pattern that confirmed ETH's massive parabolic rise (green Channel Up) during the previous Cycle in August 17 2020. The 1W RSI fractals between the two sequences are similar. However, time-wise we are not in the same stage as last Cycle, in fact we are much closer to the end of the 4-year Cycle model. If there is still some time to repeat such a parabolic run, the price is 'limited' by the 1.618 Fibonacci extension at $13500, which again will be a wonderful and increasingly optimistic target for this Cycle Top. Do you think it is realistic to expect such repeat at this stage? ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:ETHUSDLong
by TradingShot
7
BTC Short Update - First Entry Point Hit Hi all, we have hit the first entry level on this trade idea again, and I will provide you with updated numbers. First of all - to those asking “why” this would happen - please see my related idea on DXY as well as Blackrock. For those asking “how” it’s possible, please see my tutorial on drawing heatmaps and understanding how bitcoin moves. For those following my ideas, I explain order block analysis, my theory on how Bitcoin moves, and here we have a trading plan compiling it all together. In theory, these drops should happen very quickly - as I explain the technicals of it in the order block tutorials. Entry - 116,300 to 116,800 Stop Loss - (Can be lowered to 118,000) Targets: 1) 90,000 2) 62,000 3) 38,000 After the third target we will likely rise to 86,000-88,000 area - however the short may be held all the way to 8,000. 88,000 is a major bearish trendline - I expect this will break, we will form a 3 wave corrective pattern and rise back up to retest this level. 4) 20,000 (Potential bottom 18,000) 5) 10,000 God speed and happy trading.
Short
by DickDandy
18
President Trump Speaks, Israel Strikes—What’s Gold Gonna Do?Hey Guys, It’s been a while since I dropped a gold chart. Got a ton of requests—so here’s a fresh swing setup for you. Fundamentally, President Trump recently said “Trump says his patience with Putin is running out.” That kind of statement adds fuel to gold’s upside. Plus, Israel’s attacks in the Middle East are also pushing gold higher. Right now, gold’s in a resting phase. But I’m expecting a move toward $3700 either this week or next. Technically, I’m seeing a clean bull flag pattern. I always work with both fundamentals and technicals. That’s why my swing target is $3700. Every like you send is my biggest motivation to keep sharing these setups. Big thanks to everyone backing me.
TVC:GOLDLong
by TraderTilki
63
XAUUSDHello Traders! 👋 What are your thoughts on Gold? Gold has entered a corrective phase after printing a new high and is currently consolidating within a clearly defined channel. The price is fluctuating inside this channel and may even test the lower boundary before continuing higher. As long as gold remains within the channel, sideways to slightly downward movement can be expected in the short term. A bullish breakout above the channel would likely act as a trigger for the next impulsive move, potentially leading to a new all-time high. This week, the U.S. interest rate decision will be in the spotlight, which could significantly impact gold’s next move. Wait for a confirmed breakout before entering long. Premature entries within the range may face choppy action. Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by HAMED_AZ
34
USDJPYHello Traders! 👋 What are your thoughts on USDJPY? USD/JPY has been oscillating within a defined range for several weeks, bouncing between key support and resistance levels. Price action remains choppy and directionless within the current range. Potential Scenario: • A break below the support zone could trigger a downside move toward the next identified targets. • For a more confident entry, it’s recommended to wait for a confirmed breakdown below support before entering short positions. Upcoming FOMC and BoJ policy meetings could act as catalysts for the next directional move. Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Short
by HAMED_AZ
19
Gold Price Analysis XAUUSD – September 17, 2025 (H1 Chart)Gold (XAUUSD) recently broke out of its ascending channel and reached a peak around 3,690 – 3,700 USD/oz, but this level was strongly rejected. The market is now shaping an ABC corrective structure, signaling a potential bearish wave in the short term. 1. Technical Outlook Trendline break: The bullish channel has been violated, showing weakening momentum. Key resistance: 3,690 – 3,700 (previous top, highlighted in orange). Immediate support: 3,645 – 3,650 (wave A test zone). Major support: 3,600 – 3,580 (wave C target area). 2. Indicators EMA (short-term): Price is trading below the EMA, confirming bearish pressure. RSI (H1): Exiting overbought levels and pointing downward, supporting further decline. Fibonacci retracement: The 50–61.8% zone (3,600 – 3,580) aligns with the projected wave C completion, making it a crucial decision point. 3. Trading Scenarios Primary scenario (bearish bias): Expect a technical pullback toward 3,675 – 3,680 (wave B). Look for short entries around this zone. Take profit at 3,600 – 3,580 (wave C). Stop loss above 3,695. Alternative scenario (bullish breakout): A clean break above 3,700 will invalidate the bearish setup. Next bullish targets: 3,735 – 3,750. 4. Strategy Notes Given the rejection at major resistance and weakening momentum, sell on rally setups are preferred. Risk management is crucial—avoid holding positions blindly through high-impact news events. - Keep a close eye on the 3,675 – 3,680 resistance area for confirmation before entering. Save this analysis if you find it useful, as it outlines today’s key intraday trading roadmap.
FX:XAUUSD
by Henrybillion
3
AVAXUSDT Forming Bullish MomentumAVAXUSDT is showing strong signs of bullish momentum as it continues to gather strength around key technical levels. The bullish momentum pattern suggests that buyers are gradually building control, setting the stage for a potential breakout. With solid trading volume backing the current market action, AVAX is well-positioned to push toward higher levels, and momentum traders are watching this closely for confirmation of trend continuation. The projected expectation of a 90% to 100%+ gain reflects the strong upside potential that this setup presents. Once AVAXUSDT clears its near-term resistance levels, it could unlock rapid price acceleration, driven by increased demand and renewed investor confidence. Patterns of this nature often lead to explosive rallies as bullish sentiment fuels buying pressure. Investor interest in this project continues to grow, signaling healthy market participation. The combination of strong volume, favorable technical indicators, and increasing community support makes AVAX one of the promising candidates for a major bullish run. If the current momentum sustains, AVAXUSDT could become a standout performer in the upcoming sessions. ✅ Show your support by hitting the like button and ✅ Leaving a comment below! (What is You opinion about this Coin) Your feedback and engagement keep me inspired to share more insightful market analysis with you!
Long
by Alpha-GoldFX
3
EURUSD – Bullish Technical Outlook Still Intact👋Hello everyone, what do you think about the trend of FX:EURUSD ? As of now, EURUSD is moving as expected, with the pair trading around 1.174 at the start of the week. EURUSD is approaching a significant resistance zone around 1.1800, with the first target at 1.176 already tested. From a technical standpoint, the pair is in a clear uptrend, supported by the trendline and two EMA lines, with strong bullish momentum in play, following the trajectory of an Ascending Triangle pattern. The target to break through remains 1.1800. If the price breaks this level, we could see the next leg of the rally towards 1.1900 or even higher. Watch for a solid confirmation before entering the trade for a safer position. What do you think about EURUSD? 💬Share your thoughts in the comments! Good luck!
Long
by Kevinn_Nguyen
18
ALTSEASON SIGNALS ARE STRENGTHENING !🚀 ALTSEASON Signals Are Strengthening! BTC Dominance (BTC.D) just made a clear rejection at the upper trendline (Lower Highs) of the 8-year Triangle. If August’s monthly close lands below the 1W MA50 (red), we’ll have strong confirmation of a new bearish phase. 📉 The 1M LMACD is on track to print its first Bearish Cross in 4+ years, a setup that historically leads to prolonged BTC.D downtrends. A move toward the Higher Lows trendline near the 0.1 Fibonacci level looks likely — similar to the last major drop. 🎯 Target: 43.00% BTC Dominance This shift would mark a major tailwind for altcoins — classic ALTSEASON territory.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DShort
by Kaizo-liquidity-reaper
4
EURUSD This is its final rally before Bear Market.The EURUSD pair has been rising aggressively within a (blue) Channel Up since the January 13 2025 bottom. The current Bullish Leg started 6 weeks ago when it hit the 1D MA100 (red trend-line) and rebounded. This is a critical buy level as it has supported all similar Channel Up patterns since January 2017. When that broke and a 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) crossing came equally fast, the new Bear Market in the form of a (red) Channel Down started. The key now is the 1W RSI, which has started to form a Double Top peak pattern similar to those that led to the tops of February 12 2018 and January 04 2021. What those two have in common is contact with the Lower Highs trend-line, an 8-year Resistance level that EURUSD is targeting now. If the 1W RSI double tops again, we expect another brutal rejection on the Lower Highs trend-line and we estimate that to be around the 1.20000 psychological level. As a result, we call the current rise, EURUSD's final rally on a Bull Cycle that lasted a year. After that, we expect the new Channel Down to lead to the Bear Market that will at least target the top of the 9-year Support Zone. It is a long-term projection but we see 1.06500 getting hit by the end of 2026 - beginning of 2027. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot
5
Amd - The path is too clear!🪓Amd ( NASDAQ:AMD ) will rally another +75%: 🔎Analysis summary: For the past five years, Amd has been trading in a simple rising channel formation. With the recent retest of a major confluence of support, Amd once again confirmed the bullish trend. Following those previous cycles, Amd will now break the all time high and rally another +75% from here. 📝Levels to watch: $200 SwingTraderPhil SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by SwingTraderPhilTV
Bearish reversal for the Bitcoin?The price is reacting off the pivot and could drop to the 38.2% Fibonacci support. Pivot: 116,976.22 1st Support: 113,498.37 1st Resistance: 119,215.75 Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:BTCUSDShort
by ICmarkets
1