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XAUUSD (H4) – Liam Weekly OutlookXAUUSD (H4) – Liam Weekly Outlook Uptrend under pressure, but not broken | Focus on retests and reactions Quick summary Gold has experienced a sharp corrective move after an extended bullish run. The recent sell-off has broken the steep short-term uptrend, but price has not confirmed a full trend reversal on H4. At this stage, the market is transitioning into a rebalancing phase. For the coming week, the edge is not in predicting direction, but in trading reactions at key structure, Fibonacci, and FVG levels. Market structure overview The prior bullish trend has lost momentum after a vertical expansion. Price has broken below the aggressive trendline, signaling trend exhaustion, not automatic reversal. Current price action suggests a corrective structure with potential for range development or trend resumption after liquidity is rebalanced. ➡️ Bias remains neutral-to-bullish, conditional on how price reacts at key levels. Key technical zones for the week Primary buy-on-retest zone: trendline retest area around 4850 – 4900 This area has already shown reaction and acts as the first decision point for buyers. Fibonacci 0.618 / key reaction zone: 5030 – 5050 A pivotal mid-range level. Acceptance above favors continuation; rejection keeps price corrective. FVG + Fibonacci confluence: 5235 – 5260 This is a major imbalance zone. If price rallies into this area, expect strong reaction and two-sided trade. Lower liquidity / value zone: 4540 area This remains the deeper downside objective if higher levels fail to hold and the correction expands. Weekly scenarios (Liam style: trade the level) Scenario A – Trendline retest holds (bullish continuation) If price continues to hold above the trendline retest zone and builds higher lows: Look for bullish continuation toward 5030 → 5235 Break and acceptance above the FVG zone would reopen upside continuation potential. Logic: This confirms the move as a healthy correction within a broader bullish structure. Scenario B – Rejection from mid-range (extended correction) If price fails to reclaim and hold above 5030 – 5050: Expect choppy, corrective price action Risk shifts toward a deeper pullback into 4540 Logic: Failure to hold the 0.618 zone keeps the market in rebalancing mode. Scenario C – FVG test and rejection If price rallies aggressively into 5235 – 5260: This zone favors reaction and profit-taking Acceptance above is required for any sustained bullish continuation. Logic: FVG zones after strong sell-offs often act as distribution or reaction points before direction is decided. Key notes for the week Volatility remains elevated after the sell-off — expect false breaks. Avoid mid-range trades without confirmation. Let price prove acceptance or rejection at levels before committing. This is a week for patience and execution, not conviction. Weekly focus: Will gold hold the trendline retest and rebuild higher, or fail at the 5030–5050 zone and rotate deeper into value? — Liam
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LA_Trader_Fx
5
XAUUSD – D1 Mid-Term OutlookXAUUSD – D1 Mid-Term Outlook: Volatility Reset Before the Next Structural Move | Lana ✨ Gold has just experienced a sharp and aggressive sell-off from the highs, marking a clear shift from expansion into a volatility reset phase. While the broader bullish trend has not been fully invalidated, price action now suggests the market is entering a medium-term rebalancing process, where liquidity and structure will play a decisive role. At this stage, the focus moves away from short-term noise and toward key daily levels that will define the next swing direction. 📈 Higher-Timeframe Structure (D1) The strong vertical rally has been followed by a deep corrective candle, indicating distribution and profit-taking at premium levels. Price has broken below short-term momentum support but is still trading above major higher-timeframe trend structure. This behavior is typical after an extended rally, where the market needs time to absorb supply and reset positioning before choosing the next medium-term direction. The current structure favors range development or a corrective swing, rather than immediate continuation to new highs. 🔍 Key Daily Zones to Watch Major Resistance Zone: ~5400 – 5450 This area represents strong overhead supply. Any recovery into this zone is likely to face selling pressure and should be treated as a reaction zone, not a breakout zone. Strong Liquidity Level: ~5100 A key magnet for price. Acceptance above or rejection below this level will heavily influence medium-term bias. Sell-Side Liquidity Zone: ~4680 – 4700 This is a critical downside target where stops and unfilled liquidity are resting. High-Liquidity Buy Zone: ~4290 A major higher-timeframe demand area. If price reaches this zone, it would complete a deep correction within the broader bullish cycle and open the door for medium-term accumulation. 🎯 Medium-Term Trading Scenarios Scenario 1 – Corrective Recovery, Then Sell Pressure (Primary): Price may attempt a rebound toward 5100 or even the 5400–5450 resistance zone. As long as price remains below this resistance, rallies are more likely to be corrective, offering opportunities to reassess shorts or reduce long exposure. Scenario 2 – Continuation of the Correction: Failure to reclaim 5100 increases the probability of a continued move lower toward 4680–4700, where sell-side liquidity is resting. Scenario 3 – Deep Reset and Structural Buy: If downside momentum accelerates, a move toward the 4290 high-liquidity zone would represent a full medium-term reset. This area is where stronger buyers may re-enter and where the next swing-long narrative could begin to form. 🌍 Market Context (Medium-Term View) Such sharp daily moves often occur during periods of macro repricing and sentiment shifts, forcing the market to rebalance expectations. In these environments, gold tends to oscillate between liquidity zones, rather than trend cleanly in one direction. This makes patience and level-based execution more important than prediction. 🧠 Lana’s Perspective The market is no longer in a “buy-every-dip” phase. This is a transition environment, where gold needs to finish its liquidity work before the next sustained move develops. Lana stays neutral-to-cautious in the medium term, focusing on reactions at daily liquidity zones, not emotional bias. ✨ Let the structure reset, let liquidity clear, and wait for the market to show its hand.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
4
XAUUSD – H2 Technical OutlookXAUUSD – H2 Technical Outlook: Short-Term Sell Pressure as Liquidity Gets Cleared | Lana ✨ Gold is showing signs of short-term weakness after an aggressive upside expansion. Price action suggests the market may continue to move lower in the near term, not as a trend reversal, but as a liquidity-driven correction within a broader bullish structure. At this stage, the focus shifts from continuation to how price behaves while liquidity is being taken below structure. 📈 Market Structure & Price Behavior The recent vertical rally has left the market overextended, making a corrective phase technically healthy. Price has broken below short-term support and is now trading under a descending corrective trendline, signaling short-term bearish pressure. This type of structure often develops when the market needs to clean buy-side positions before rebuilding for the next leg. While the higher-timeframe trend remains bullish, the intraday bias has shifted to corrective / bearish until liquidity objectives are met. 🔍 Key Liquidity Zones on the Chart Short-term sell zone: the descending trendline near current price As long as price reacts below this trendline, rallies are more likely to be sold. Scalping buy liquidity: around 5050–5070 This area may generate temporary bounces, but reactions here should be treated as short-term only. Key bullish order block: 4825 – 4830 A critical zone where stronger buyer participation may appear if the sell-off extends. Major swing liquidity zone: 4613 – 4625 This is a high-confidence liquidity pocket where the market could complete a deeper correction and reset the broader bullish structure. 🎯 Trading Scenarios Primary scenario – Continuation of the pullback: As long as price remains below the descending trendline, gold may continue to move lower to sweep liquidity below recent lows. This favors sell-on-rallies rather than buying strength. Secondary scenario – Temporary reaction: Short-term bounces may occur around the 5050–5070 area, but without structural reclaim, these moves are more likely corrective than trend-changing. Structural defense scenario: If price reaches the 4825–4830 or 4613–4625 zones, watch closely for signs of stabilization and absorption, which would signal that the liquidity objective has been completed. 🧠 Lana’s View This move lower is best seen as liquidity cleanup, not panic selling. Lana stays patient during corrective phases, avoiding early longs and waiting for price to reach clear liquidity zones before reassessing bullish continuation. ✨ Let the market take what it needs, then look for structure to rebuild.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Lana_M2
10
XAUUSD – M15 Technical Outlook XAUUSD – M15 Technical Outlook Sideways to bearish correction | Liquidity clearing phase Gold has shifted from expansion into a sideways-to-bearish corrective phase on M15. After the prior impulsive leg, current price action no longer supports immediate continuation. Instead, the market is rotating and compressing, signaling a liquidity-seeking environment, likely to the downside. This is not a trend-following setup. The focus here is liquidity behavior and reaction zones, not anticipation. Market Structure Price is trading within a descending corrective channel, reflecting short-term bearish pressure. Momentum has slowed significantly, with compressed candles and weak follow-through. Price is consolidating below prior highs, a structure that often precedes a stop sweep rather than a breakout. The structure favors further downside exploration before any meaningful stabilization. Key Technical Zones Upper supply / strong volume zone: 5460 – 5480 This area previously attracted heavy volume and remains a rejection zone on any bounce. Sell FVG: 5324 – 5330 As long as price remains below this zone, rallies are corrective and favor sell-side reactions. Current consolidation range: 5150 – 5220 This range represents indecision and liquidity build-up, not accumulation. Primary downside liquidity target: 4900 – 4906 This zone aligns with higher-timeframe structure and represents a natural area for sell-side liquidity to be cleared. Intraday Scenarios Primary scenario – Liquidity sweep lower As long as price is capped below 5324–5330, the path of least resistance remains lower. A break of the current range opens the door toward 4900–4906 to complete the liquidity objective. Secondary scenario – Corrective bounce Short-term rebounds may occur from the range, but unless price reclaims and holds above the sell FVG, these moves remain corrective only. Stabilization scenario If price reaches 4900–4906, monitor closely for absorption and structural change. Only a clear shift here would suggest the correction is complete. Liam’s Take This is liquidity cleanup, not trend failure. Compression phases punish early entries and reward patience. Let price do the work. Wait for liquidity to be taken, then reassess structure. — Liam
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LA_Trader_Fx
8
BNBUSDT M15 HTF FVG Rejection and Bearish Continuation📝 Description BINANCE:BNBUSDT is trading within a broader bearish structure after a strong impulsive sell-off. The recent upside move appears corrective, with price reacting into a higher-timeframe Fair Value Gap, suggesting a potential continuation of the dominant bearish trend. ________________________________________ 📉 Signal / Analysis Primary Bias: Bearish below the H1 FVG Preferred Setup: • Entry: 847.07 • Stop Loss: Above 852.07 • TP1: 842.80 • TP2: 838.00 • TP3: 833.20 ________________________________________ 🧠 ICT & SMC Notes • Strong bearish displacement confirming downside market structure • Price trading below previous liquidity highs (LH failure) • Reaction into H1 Fair Value Gap aligns with premium sell zone • Clear SMT with TOTAL3 ________________________________________ 📌 Summary As long as price remains below the 852–856 resistance area, the bearish continuation scenario remains valid. The current retracement is viewed as a corrective move within a larger downside trend, targeting deeper liquidity pools below. ________________________________________ 🌍 Fundamental Notes / Sentiment Broader risk-off sentiment across crypto markets and declining momentum in large-cap altcoins continue to weigh on BNB. Without a strong bullish catalyst, downside continuation remains the higher-probability scenario. ________________________________________ ⚠️ Risk Disclosure Trading involves substantial risk and may result in capital loss. This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always apply proper risk management, predefined stop-loss levels, and disciplined position sizing aligned with your trading plan.
Short
by TFlab
#NZDUSD: Three Targets, Swing Buy, Ready For Next Big MoveDear Traders NZDUSD Chart Analysis SMC+ICT💭📊 🔺The price was rejected at 0.5580, a ‘discounted zone’ price, which was reversed without consolidation or accumulation. The price then moved in an impulse pattern and encountered strong resistance at 0.58320. 🔺A rejection at 0.58320 presents a favourable opportunity for traders to optimise the next significant price impulse. This analysis suggests a potential reversal from 0.5710. Entry, Take Profit And Stop Loss👨‍💻📈 🔺 The entry between the blue and red horizontal lines indicates a significant volume zone and can be considered a discounted buying opportunity. 🔺A stop loss can be placed at the red horizontal line or increased based on your own analysis. 🔺We recommend targeting take profit first at the outset. As the price crosses our take profit level, you can consider adjusting the take profit area. Like And Comment❤️ Team Setupsfx_🏆
Long
by Setupsfx_
20
XAUUSD – Brian | 30M – Value Shift After XAUUSD – Brian | 30M – Value Shift After a Sharp Volatility Move Gold has just experienced a significant volatility event, with price selling off aggressively from the highs before rebounding sharply. The market is now trading around a newly formed value area, a typical behaviour when price transitions from expansion into a rebalancing phase. In this environment, value and POC levels tend to guide price more effectively than individual candles. Macro Context (Brief) Market sentiment remains sensitive to macro risks, including commodity volatility, geopolitical tensions and monetary policy expectations. Gold ETF holdings have shown no meaningful change recently, suggesting no clear signs of institutional liquidation. The current volatility therefore appears more consistent with a positioning adjustment rather than a broader trend reversal. Technical Analysis from the Chart (30M) Following the sharp sell-off, price is now forming a well-defined trading range, with value areas acting as key reference points: 1) Upper Supply / Reaction Zones POC – SELL: 5,531–5,526 The previous high-value zone, where selling pressure may re-emerge if price retraces higher. Sell VAH: 5,365–5,369 The value area high, typically a reaction zone if distribution pressure remains present. 2) Current Balance Area The 5,180–5,200 region is currently acting as a balancing zone after the volatility. Acceptance and consolidation above this area would increase the probability of a move back towards the VAH. 3) Lower Demand / Support Zones POC Buy (scalping): 5,187 A short-term support area for technical reactions. Buy VAL – Support: 5,058–5,064 The most important lower support zone. If a deeper liquidity sweep occurs, this area is likely to attract attention for potential absorption and short-term reversal. Price Scenarios (Structure-Based) Scenario A (Preferred if value holds): Price holds above 5,180–5,200 → recovery towards 5,365–5,369 (VAH). Scenario B (Rejection from above): Price retraces into the VAH zone but faces clear rejection → rotation back towards the 5,187 / 5,180 area. Scenario C (Deeper liquidation): Loss of 5,180 → liquidity sweep into 5,058–5,064 (VAL) before attempting to rebuild. Key Takeaway In a rebalancing phase, value acceptance matters more than directional prediction. Focus on how price behaves around 5,180–5,200, the reaction at 5,365–5,369, and whether deeper support at 5,058–5,064 attracts meaningful buying interest. Refer to the chart for detailed POC, VAH and VAL levels. Follow the TradingView channel to receive early structure insights and join the discussion.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital
4
How to Trade FOMC Days – Smart Money FrameworkFOMC days consistently produce some of the most volatile price movements in the market. The key is not predicting the news, but understanding how liquidity behaves around it. Below is a structured approach based on Smart Money Concepts. 1. Before the Release Price typically consolidates and builds liquidity on both sides of the range. Key steps: Mark previous day’s high/low Identify Asia range liquidity Note premium/discount zones Avoid early trades — the market often engineers traps before the announcement 2. During the Release (14:00–14:30 ET) This is the most dangerous window. Spreads widen Slippage increases Algo-driven spikes invalidate technical setups The highest‑probability decision is to stay flat and observe. 3. After the Release This is where the clean setups form. Look for: A sweep of a key high/low A clear market structure shift Retracement into an FVG, order block, or breaker Targeting the next liquidity pool This post‑news phase often delivers the most controlled and directional move of the day. 4. Markets Most Affected USD pairs Gold (XAUUSD) Indices (US500, NAS100) DXY for directional bias Summary FOMC is not about predicting the rate decision. It’s about letting liquidity do its job and trading the reaction, not the release. Patience during the chaos leads to clarity afterward. ⚠️ Disclaimer – DYOR This idea is shared for educational purposes only. It reflects a personal interpretation of price action and smart money concepts. Always do your own research before making trading decisions. Markets are volatile and carry risk. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
FOREXCOM:NAS100Education
by VahidTradingCR
XAUUSD (H2) – Liam Plan (Jan 28) New ATHXAUUSD (H2) – Liam Plan (Jan 28) New ATH, strong safe-haven flow | Follow trend, buy FVG pullbacks only Quick summary Gold continues to print new all-time highs as global capital rotates into safe-haven assets amid persistent economic and geopolitical uncertainty tied to recent US policy decisions. Additional support comes from concerns around Fed independence and expectations of lower US rates, keeping real yields capped. Despite the bullish backdrop, price is now extended above equilibrium. The edge is not in chasing strength, but in waiting for pullbacks into imbalance and liquidity zones. ➡️ Bias stays bullish, execution stays patient. Macro context (why gold stays bid, but volatile) Ongoing geopolitical uncertainty keeps structural demand for gold intact. Rate-cut expectations and doubts around Fed autonomy weaken the USD’s long-term appeal. USD is attempting a technical bounce, but this has not shifted gold’s underlying bid. ➡️ Conclusion: macro supports higher prices, but short-term moves will likely rotate to rebalance inefficiencies. Technical view (H2 – based on the chart) Price is trending cleanly higher after multiple bullish BOS, riding an ascending structure and expanding into premium. Key levels from the chart: ✅ Major extension / sell-side target: 5280 – 5320 (2.618 fib expansion) ✅ FVG / continuation buy zone: 5155 – 5170 ✅ Structure support: 5000 – 5050 ✅ Trend invalidation (deeper): below 4950 Current price action suggests a likely path of push → pullback → continuation, rather than straight-line expansion. Trading scenarios (Liam style: trade the level) 1️⃣ BUY scenarios (priority – trend continuation) A. BUY the FVG pullback (cleanest setup) ✅ Buy zone: 5155 – 5170 Condition: price taps FVG and shows bullish reaction (reclaim / HL / displacement on M15–H1) SL (guide): below 5125 or below reaction low TP1: recent high TP2: 5280 TP3: 5320+ if momentum expands Logic: This FVG aligns with prior buy-side liquidity and structure — a high-probability continuation zone. B. BUY deeper structure support (only if volatility spikes) ✅ Buy zone: 5000 – 5050 Condition: liquidity sweep + strong rejection TP: 5170 → 5280 Logic: This is value within trend. No interest in longs above premium if this level breaks. 2️⃣ SELL scenarios (secondary – reaction only) SELL at extension (scalp / tactical only) ✅ Sell zone: 5280 – 5320 Condition: clear rejection / failure to hold highs on lower TF TP: 5200 → 5170 Logic: Extension zones are for profit-taking and short-term mean rotation, not trend reversal calls. Key notes New ATHs invite FOMO — don’t be that liquidity. Best trades come after pullbacks, not during impulse candles. Reduce size around Fed headlines. What’s your plan: buying the 5155–5170 FVG pullback, or waiting for a stretch into 5280–5320 to fade the reaction? — Liam
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LA_Trader_Fx
10
XAUUSD – M45 Technical OutlookXAUUSD – M45 Technical Outlook: Strong Momentum, Now Watch Liquidity Reactions | Lana ✨ Gold has surged above $5,250, extending its bullish run with strong momentum. Price action remains constructive, but as the market pushes deeper into premium territory, liquidity reactions become more important than raw momentum. 📈 Market Structure & Price Action Gold continues to trade inside a well-defined ascending channel, confirming a strong bullish structure. Multiple BOS (Break of Structure) points on the chart highlight persistent buyer control. The recent leg higher was aggressive, indicating momentum-driven buying, but also increasing the likelihood of short-term reactions. At current levels, the market is extended above value, which often precedes either consolidation or a controlled pullback. 🔍 Key Technical Zones on M45 Upper Supply / Reaction Zone: 5280 – 5310 This area represents a premium zone where price may face profit-taking or liquidity sweeps before choosing direction. Immediate Support (Channel Mid / Retest Zone): 5200 – 5220 A key area where price could pull back and attempt to hold structure. Strong Sell-Side Liquidity Zone: around 5050 Marked clearly on the chart, this is a deeper level where liquidity is resting and where stronger buyer reactions could emerge if the pullback extends. As long as price remains inside the channel, the broader bullish bias stays intact. 🎯 Trading Scenarios Scenario 1 – Extension With Caution: If price continues higher into the 5280–5310 zone, expect increased volatility and potential short-term rejection. This area is better suited for risk management and observation, not aggressive chasing. Scenario 2 – Healthy Pullback (Preferred): A pullback toward 5200–5220 would allow price to rebalance liquidity while maintaining structure. Holding this zone supports continuation within the channel. Scenario 3 – Deeper Liquidity Sweep: If volatility expands, a move toward the ~5050 sell-side liquidity zone could occur before a stronger continuation leg develops. 🌍 Market Context (Brief) Gold’s sharp move above $5,250 reflects ongoing demand for safe-haven assets amid persistent macro and geopolitical uncertainty. Strong daily gains reinforce bullish sentiment, but such vertical moves also tend to attract short-term profit-taking, making structure and liquidity levels critical. 🧠 Lana’s View The trend is bullish, but not every bullish move is a buy. At extended levels, Lana focuses on how price reacts at liquidity zones, not on chasing momentum. ✨ Respect the structure, stay patient near extremes, and let the market come to your levels.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
10
XAUUSD (H1) – Liam Plan (Jan 27) Trend XAUUSD (H1) – Liam Plan (Jan 27) Trend-following environment | Liquidity first, patience pays Quick summary Gold is still trending higher inside a clean rising channel, but price is now approaching a weak high / liquidity pocket where stop-runs are likely. Macro backdrop adds fuel for volatility: reports suggest the US is pressuring Ukraine toward territorial concessions as part of peace talks — this kind of uncertainty often keeps safe-haven demand supported, but it can also create fast spikes + fake breaks. ➡️ Today’s rule: follow the uptrend, but only buy at liquidity test points. No chasing highs. 1) Macro context (why spikes are likely) If markets start pricing a forced compromise in the Ukraine conflict: risk sentiment can swing quickly, headlines can trigger instant pumps, then sharp retraces. ✅ Safe approach: let price hit your zones first, then trade the reaction — not the headline. 2) Technical view (H1 – based on your chart) Price is respecting an ascending channel and building liquidity around key levels. Key levels (from the chart): ✅ Support / buy liquidity zone: 4,995 – 5,000 ✅ Flip / reaction zone: 5,047 ✅ Upper resistance / supply: 5,142 ✅ Weak High / liquidity target: 5,192.6 ✅ Extension target (1.618): 5,240.8 Bias stays bullish while inside the channel, but near 5,192–5,240 we should expect liquidity sweep → pullback behavior. 3) Trading scenarios (Liam style: trade the level) A) BUY scenarios (priority – trend continuation) A1. BUY the pullback into the flip zone (cleanest R:R) ✅ Buy: 5,045 – 5,050 (around 5,047) Condition: hold + bullish reaction (HL / rejection / MSS on M15) SL (guide): below 5,030 (or below the reaction low) TP1: 5,085 – 5,100 TP2: 5,142 TP3: 5,192.6 Logic: This is the best “trend-following” entry — buy support, sell into liquidity above. A2. BUY deep liquidity sweep (only if volatility hits) ✅ Buy: 4,995 – 5,000 Condition: sweep + strong reclaim (fast rejection / displacement up) SL: below 4,980 TP: 5,047 → 5,142 Logic: This is the strongest liquidity test zone on your chart — ideal for a bounce if price flushes. B) SELL scenarios (secondary – reaction scalps only) B1. SELL the weak high sweep (tactical scalp) ✅ If price runs 5,192.6 and shows rejection: Sell: 5,190 – 5,200 SL: above the sweep high TP: 5,142 → 5,085 Logic: Weak highs often get swept first. Great for quick mean reversion back into the channel. B2. SELL extension (highest-risk, but best location) ✅ Sell zone: 5,235 – 5,245 (around 5,240.8) Only with clear weakness on M15–H1 TP: 5,192 → 5,142 Logic: 1.618 extension is a common exhaustion pocket — don’t short early, short the reaction. 4) Key notes Don’t trade mid-range between 5,085–5,142 unless you’re scalping with tight rules. Expect false breakouts near 5,192 and 5,240 during headlines. Best execution today = buy support, take profits into liquidity. Question: Are you buying the 5,047 pullback, or waiting for the 5,192 sweep to sell the reaction? — Liam
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LA_Trader_Fx
3
XAUUSD – H1 Gold remains structurally XAUUSD – H1 Gold remains structurally bullish near all-time highs| Lana ✨ Gold is extending its bullish momentum for a second consecutive session and continues to trade near all-time highs. Price action remains constructive, with the market holding above key structure while deciding between continuation or a deeper pullback into value. 📈 Market Structure & Trend Context The short-term and medium-term structure remains bullish, with price respecting the ascending channel. The recent push above previous highs confirms strong demand, but current price action also shows signs of consolidation near ATH. This behavior is typical after an impulsive rally, where the market pauses to build acceptance or rebalance liquidity before the next directional move. As long as price holds above the rising structure, the bullish thesis remains valid. 🔍 Key Technical Zones to Watch ATH Reaction Zone: 5080 – 5110 This is a sensitive area where price may consolidate, fake out, or briefly reject before choosing direction. Primary Pullback / Buy Zone: 5000 – 5020 A key structural level aligned with prior resistance-turned-support and the midline of the bullish channel. Secondary Support (Deeper Pullback): 4920 – 4950 A stronger value area if volatility increases or liquidity is swept below the channel. Upside Expansion Zone: 5180 – 5200+ If price accepts above ATH, this becomes the next upside objective within the channel. 🎯 Trading Scenarios (H1 Structure-Based) Scenario 1 – Continuation Above ATH: If price consolidates above 5080–5110 and shows acceptance, gold may extend toward 5180–5200. This scenario favors patience and confirmation rather than chasing immediate breakouts. Scenario 2 – Pullback Into Structure (Preferred): A pullback toward 5000–5020 would allow the market to rebalance liquidity and offer a higher-quality continuation setup. Holding this zone keeps the bullish structure intact. Scenario 3 – Deeper Correction: If price loses the primary support, the 4920–4950 zone becomes the next key area to watch for buyer response and trend defense. 🌍 Macro Context (Brief) Gold continues to benefit from heightened geopolitical risks and ongoing trade uncertainty, reinforcing its role as a safe-haven asset. At the same time, market attention is shifting toward the outcome of the two-day FOMC policy meeting on Wednesday, which may introduce volatility and short-term repricing. This backdrop supports gold structurally, while also increasing the likelihood of sharp intraday swings around key levels. 🧠 Lana’s View Gold remains bullish, but near ATH levels, discipline matters more than conviction. Lana prefers buying pullbacks into structure, letting price confirm, and avoiding emotional trades during headline-driven volatility. ✨ Respect the structure, stay patient near the highs, and let the market come to your levels.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
9
EURUSD 4H Bullish Continuation | ERL→IRL & HTF Draw on LiquidityHello traders, In this 4-hour EURUSD analysis, my bias remains bullish, fully aligned with the higher-timeframe structure and the ERL → IRL concept toward a clear draw on liquidity. From a structural perspective, price is showing strong bullish order flow, consistently respecting bullish PD Arrays, which confirms institutional bullish intent. After breaking above the previous week’s high (external liquidity), the market formed a bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG) — a key area of interest for continuation. 📌 Primary expectation: Price retraces into the 4H bullish FVG, where I will wait for lower-timeframe confirmation before considering long positions toward the next liquidity draw. 📌 Alternative continuation condition: Since price is currently trading within the bullish FVG, if a 1H candle closes above the 1AM candle, that candle can be considered a bullish order block, offering an earlier continuation entry toward the draw on liquidity. ⚠️ As always, execution depends on confirmation and proper risk management. Let the price do the talking 📈
Long
by VahidTradingCR
1
XAUUSD (H2) – Liam Weekly Risk PlanXAUUSD (H2) – Liam Weekly Risk Plan Late-stage rally into macro risk | Sell premium, buy liquidity only Quick summary Gold continues to push higher, driven by escalating geopolitical and macro risk: 🇺🇸🇮🇷 US–Iran tensions remain elevated 🏦 FOMC: ~99% Fed holds rates, with a high chance of hawkish guidance from Powell 🇺🇸 US government shutdown risk later this week This is a classic environment for headline spikes and liquidity grabs. Price is now trading at premium levels, so the edge shifts to reaction trading, not chasing strength. Macro context (supportive, but dangerous to chase) Geopolitical stress keeps safe-haven demand alive. A hawkish Fed message can trigger sharp USD/yield reactions, even if rates are unchanged. Government shutdown headlines often produce fast whipsaws, not clean trends. ➡️ Conclusion: volatility will increase, but direction will be decided at liquidity levels — not by the news itself. Technical view (H2 – based on the chart) Gold is in a strong bullish structure, but price has entered a late-stage expansion after multiple impulsive legs. Key levels from the chart: ✅ Major SELL zone (premium / exhaustion): 5155 – 5234 ✅ Current impulsive high area: ~5060 ✅ Buy-side liquidity (already built): 4700 – 4800 ✅ Sell-side liquidity / value zone: 4550 – 4600 The structure suggests a high probability path: push higher to clear buy-side liquidity → rotate lower into sell-side liquidity. Trading scenarios (Liam style: trade the level) 1️⃣ SELL scenarios (priority – distribution at premium) A. SELL at premium extension (primary idea) ✅ Sell zone: 5155 – 5234 Condition: rejection / loss of momentum on M15–H1 SL: above the high TP1: 5000 TP2: 4800 TP3: 4600 (sell-side liquidity) Logic: This zone represents late buyers and FOMO entries. Ideal area for distribution and mean rotation, especially during macro headlines. B. SELL failed continuation ✅ If price spikes above 5060 but fails to hold (fake breakout): Sell on lower-TF breakdown TP: 4800 → 4600 Logic: Headline-driven spikes often fail after liquidity is taken. 2️⃣ BUY scenario (secondary – value only) BUY only at sell-side liquidity ✅ Buy zone: 4550 – 4600 Condition: liquidity sweep + strong bullish reaction TP: 4800 → 5000+ Logic: This is the first area where long-term buyers regain R:R advantage. No interest in buying above value. Key notes for the week Expect false breaks around FOMC. Reduce size during Powell’s speech. Avoid mid-range entries between 4800–5000. Patience pays more than prediction. What’s your bias this week: selling the 5155–5234 premium zone, or waiting for a deeper pullback into 4600 liquidity before reassessing? — Liam
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LA_Trader_Fx
16
XAUUSD – H1 Outlook: New ATHXAUUSD – H1 Outlook: New ATH, Now Watch the Pullback Structure | Lana ✨ Gold has printed fresh all-time highs and is now trading near the $5,100 psychological area. After six consecutive bullish sessions, the trend is still strong — but at these levels, the market often needs a controlled pullback to rebalance liquidity before the next expansion. 📌 Quick Summary Trend: Bullish (strong momentum, new ATH) Timeframe: H1 Focus: Don’t chase highs → wait for pullback into structure Key idea: Pullback → hold support → continuation toward upper supply 📈 Market Structure & Price Action Price is moving inside a bullish expansion leg, and the current area is a typical “extended” zone where volatility can increase. A pullback toward the first clean structural support is healthy and often needed after a steep rally. As long as price holds above key supports, the bias remains continuation, not reversal. 🔍 Key Zones From the Chart 1) Upper Supply / Profit-taking Area 5100–5130 (approx.) This is the area where price is likely to face selling pressure / profit-taking, especially after a vertical rally. 2) Primary Support (Pullback Buy Zone) 5000–5020 This is the most important “structure retest” area on the chart — a logical zone for price to rebalance before continuation. 3) Deeper Value Zone (If Pullback Extends) 4750–4800 (Fibo value cluster on chart) If the market pulls deeper, this becomes the more attractive value zone to watch for stronger reactions. 4) Major Demand Zone (Extreme Support) 4590–4630 (lower purple demand area) This is a deeper base zone if the market shifts into a larger correction. 🎯 Trading Scenarios (Structure-Based) ✅ Scenario A (Primary): Buy the Pullback Into Structure Buy Entry: 5005 – 5015 SL: 4995 – 5000 (8–10 points below entry) TP Targets (scale out): TP1: 5065 – 5075 (retest of recent high) TP2: 5100 (psychological milestone) TP3: 5125 – 5135 (upper supply / extension zone) TP4: 5150+ (if breakout accepts) Idea: Let price come back to support, confirm, then ride the trend — no chasing. ✅ Scenario B (Alternative): Deeper Pullback Into Value If price fails to hold 5000–5020 and dips deeper: Buy Entry: 4760 – 4790 SL: 4750 – 4755 TP Targets: TP1: 4900 TP2: 5000 TP3: 5100 TP4: 5125 – 5135 🌍 Macro Context (Short & Relevant) Gold’s upside momentum is being supported by: Safe-haven flows amid ongoing geopolitical and trade uncertainty Expectations of further Fed easing Continued central bank buying Strong inflows into ETFs This backdrop helps explain why pullbacks are more likely to be profit-taking and positioning, not a structural trend change. ✨ Lana’s View Gold is bullish — but the best trades usually come from patience, not excitement. At ATH levels, Lana prefers buying pullbacks into structure, scaling out into targets, and letting the market do the work.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
4
XAUUSD (H3) – Liam PlanXAUUSD (H3) – Liam Plan Late-stage expansion | Look for distribution and sell reactions Quick summary Gold has rallied aggressively and is now trading in late-stage bullish expansion, sitting near premium pricing after multiple impulsive legs. On the macro side, political commentary from Europe highlights a structural shift in global power: Europe’s influence is weakening as US–Russia discussions bypass Brussels. BRICS and SCO now represent over half of the world’s population. Calls for renewed EU–Russia energy cooperation underline long-term uncertainty in Europe’s geopolitical positioning. This backdrop keeps gold structurally supported, but at current levels, risk shifts toward distribution rather than clean continuation. Macro context (supportive, but asymmetric risk) The global balance of power continues to shift from West to East, reinforcing long-term demand for hard assets. However, much of the near-term geopolitical premium is already priced in after the recent vertical move. Result: upside continuation is possible, but risk/reward now favors reaction sells over fresh buys. ➡️ Conclusion: don’t fight the macro trend, but don’t chase price either. Technical view (H3 – based on the chart) Gold remains in a broader uptrend, but price action shows signs of deceleration and potential distribution near the highs. Key levels from the chart: ✅ Premium sell zone: 5000 – 5050 (upper range / distribution area) ✅ Sell reaction zone: 4920 – 4950 (local highs / rejection area) ✅ Bullish retracement support: 4700 – 4750 (fib + structure) ✅ Major liquidity / deep support: 4350 – 4450 Price is trading far above equilibrium, increasing the probability of rotation back into value or sell-side liquidity. Trading scenarios (Liam style: trade the level) 1️⃣ SELL scenarios (priority – late-stage reaction) A. SELL at premium / distribution zone ✅ Sell: 5000 – 5050 Condition: clear rejection / loss of momentum on M15–H1 SL: above the high TP1: 4920 TP2: 4750 TP3: 4450 (if distribution expands) Logic: Late-stage rallies often form rounded tops or distribution patterns before rotating lower. This zone favors risk-defined shorts, not breakout buys. B. SELL lower high / reaction ✅ Sell: 4920 – 4950 Condition: failure to hold highs + bearish shift on lower TF TP: 4750 → 4450 Logic: This area acts as a reaction zone inside the distribution range — ideal for tactical sells. 2️⃣ BUY scenario (secondary – value only) BUY only at deep retracement ✅ Buy zone: 4350 – 4450 Condition: liquidity sweep + strong bullish reaction TP: 4700 → 4920 Logic: This is the first area where long-term buyers regain a clear R:R edge. No interest in buying above value. Key notes Late-stage trends punish impatience. Avoid mid-range entries. Expect false breakouts near the highs. Confirmation > conviction. What’s your bias here: selling distribution near the highs, or waiting patiently for a deeper pullback into 4700–4450 value? — Liam
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LA_Trader_Fx
1
XAUUSD – H1: Strong Trend, Sensitive Zone AheadXAUUSD – H1 Technical Outlook: Extension Risk Near Highs as Geopolitical Tension Builds | Lana ✨ Gold continues to trade in a strong bullish structure, with price pushing higher along an ascending trendline. However, as the market approaches upper resistance zones, price action suggests the rally may be entering a more sensitive phase, where extension risk and volatility increase. 📈 Market Structure & Price Action The short-term trend remains bullish, with price respecting the rising trendline. Recent price action shows strong impulsive buying, followed by shallow pullbacks — a sign of aggressive demand. However, price is now trading near the upper boundary of the trend channel, where upside continuation often becomes less efficient and more reactive. The current structure favors continuation, but risk increases as price stretches further from value. 🔍 Key Technical Zones on H1 Immediate resistance / reaction zone: 4987 – 5000 This area represents a short-term ceiling where price may hesitate or form a temporary consolidation. Sell zone (extension area): 5053 – 5070 A premium zone where upside becomes increasingly extended and profit-taking or corrective reactions are more likely. Key support & value zones below: 4663 – 4629 (prior acceptance + structural support) 4595 – 4570 (deeper value area aligned with Fibonacci retracement) These lower zones remain important reference points if price transitions from extension into correction. 🎯 Trading Scenarios Primary scenario (bullish continuation): If price consolidates above 4987 and accepts higher, the market may extend into the 5053–5070 zone. Any move into this area should be monitored closely for exhaustion signals rather than late breakout chasing. Alternative scenario (pullback into structure): Failure to hold above 4987–5000 could trigger a corrective move back toward 4663–4629, where buyers may look to re-engage at better value. Lana prefers waiting for reactions at key zones, not chasing price when it is already extended. 🌍 Geopolitical Context (Why Volatility Matters Now) Recent reports indicate that the USS Abraham Lincoln carrier strike group has entered the Indian Ocean, with expectations of moving toward the Arabian Sea in the coming days. The increased U.S. military presence in the Middle East, amid concerns of potential escalation involving Iran, adds a layer of geopolitical uncertainty. Historically, such developments tend to: Increase short-term volatility in gold Support gold as a hedge, while also triggering sharp profit-taking swings This backdrop reinforces the importance of risk management and patience, especially when price is trading near premium zones. 🧠 Lana’s Perspective Gold remains bullish, but not every bullish phase is a good place to buy. As price trades higher into premium and extension zones, Lana focuses on structure, value, and reaction, not emotional momentum. ✨ Respect the trend, manage extension risk, and let price come to your levels.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
6
EURUSD 4H Bullish Continuation | ERL → IRL Liquidity ModelFollowing my previous daily bullish bias, EURUSD continues to respect the ERL to IRL liquidity framework. Price has already grabbed the liquidity above the previous day’s high, fulfilling the external liquidity objective. Currently, price is trading within a bullish 4-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG). As long as this PD array holds, I expect a bullish reaction from this zone, followed by a continuation toward higher prices. The overall structure and higher-time-frame context support the idea of another bullish leg from this area. Invalidation occurs if price closes decisively below the bullish 4H FVG.
Long
by VahidTradingCR
1
EURUSD Daily Bullish Outlook | ERL → IRL Hello traders, In this daily timeframe analysis of EURUSD, I remain bullish, supported by multiple higher-time-frame confluences. After a strong bullish leg, price has retraced more than 50% of the previous impulse, bringing it into a discount zone, which aligns perfectly with a bullish daily Fair Value Gap (FVG) and a previous inversion level. This area represents strong institutional interest. From a liquidity perspective, the market appears to be rotating from ERL (External Range Liquidity) into IRL (Internal Range Liquidity), which commonly precedes continuation in the direction of the higher-time-frame bias. As long as price respects this daily bullish FVG, I expect bullish continuation and a push toward higher prices, targeting external liquidity on the upside. This idea becomes invalid if price delivers a strong daily close below the bullish FVG. Trade safe and manage risk properly. Cheers 🍀
Long
by VahidTradingCR
4
XAUUSD (H4) – Liam Continuation PlanXAUUSD (H4) – Liam Continuation Plan Trend remains strong, but price is extended | Buy pullbacks, not highs Quick summary Gold continues to trade firmly within a strong bullish structure. Macro pressure on safe-haven demand has eased slightly as US–EU geopolitical and trade tensions cool, while rising oil prices (supported by Saudi Aramco’s demand outlook) keep inflation expectations alive. Despite the bullish trend, price is currently extended near the upper range, so execution today should focus on buying pullbacks at structure, not chasing breakouts. Macro context (supportive, but less explosive) Reduced geopolitical friction between the US and Europe has eased panic-driven flows. Oil prices pushing higher keeps inflation expectations sticky, limiting downside pressure on gold. USD remains relatively stable (USD/CAD holding firm), suggesting gold strength is structure-driven rather than pure fear trade. ➡️ Conclusion: trend-friendly environment, but volatility is now more technical than headline-driven. Technical view (H4 – based on the chart) Gold is respecting a clean ascending trendline, with impulsive legs followed by shallow pullbacks. Key levels from the chart: ✅ Upper extension / continuation target: 5000+ zone ✅ Bullish continuation buy zone: 4580 – 4620 (previous breakout + fib support) ✅ Trendline support: dynamic (ascending) ✅ Deeper correction support: 4400 – 4450 Price is currently trading above the 1.618 fib expansion, which increases the probability of short-term consolidation or pullback before continuation. Trading scenarios (Liam style: trade the level) 1️⃣ BUY scenarios (priority – trend continuation) A. BUY pullback into structure (preferred setup) ✅ Buy zone: 4580 – 4620 Condition: hold above trendline + bullish reaction on M15–H1 SL: below structure / trendline TP1: recent high TP2: 4900 TP3: extension toward 5000+ Logic: This zone aligns with prior resistance turned support and fib retracement — a higher-probability continuation entry than buying highs. B. BUY deeper dip (only if volatility increases) ✅ Buy zone: 4400 – 4450 Condition: strong rejection / liquidity sweep TP: 4580 → 4800+ Logic: This is the last clean structural support within the current trend. A dip here would likely be corrective, not trend-ending. 2️⃣ SELL scenario (counter-trend, tactical only) ❌ No swing SELL bias while price holds above the ascending trendline. Shorts only make sense as very short-term scalps at highs with clear lower-TF rejection. Key notes Strong trends punish impatience — wait for pullbacks. Avoid entries mid-leg after impulsive candles. If price accelerates vertically without retrace, stand aside. What’s your approach: waiting for the 4580–4620 pullback to join the trend, or staying flat until a deeper correction toward 4450? — Liam
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LA_Trader_Fx
16