Japan
QUICK LOOK AT A FEW INDICATORS AND INTEREST IN A SERIES?Quick overview testing out the upload from a browser on a ethernet connection computer vs wifi with the desktop downloaded app. Do you find value in this and want to make a regular series? Contact me if so and follow. Esp if your a developer and want to add some videos to your products, free, locked or paid. Im game. Platforms, customization and breaking down analytics is the life. Its what i enjoy and maybe you will too!
Thank you All,
DrawDownKing CME_MINI:ES1!
Japanese inflation and BoJ rate decision coming upLet's have a look what may happen with MARKETSCOM:JAPAN225 and FX_IDC:USDJPY after we get the Japanese data on Friday.
We will be monitoring the data carefully, especially the rate decision, as it will be the first hike since July of last year.
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USDJPY - Tape Reading (2nd Oct 2024)In this video I read the tape and frame a trade using ICT Concepts.
The trade is based off of a +BB 7h. First target is the ERL, second target is a discretionary Premium Array high. I believe I could target a decent amount higher than this, but I prefer the very high-probability targets based on my setups.
Thanks for watching. You may have to skip some parts where I am away from the keyboard whilst price prints.
- R2F
The Problem With JapanIn this video we discuss the current macro economic problems facing the Bond market and anticipate that regardless of what happens we will see dislocations (volatility) in a number of different markets.
The problems with Japan stems from their monetary policy to implement Yield Curve Control (YCC) where they are committed to keeping their interest rates between +0.25% & -0.25% with the targeted rate as 0%.
As global inflation is hitting consumers hard and all over the world central banks move to increase interest rates & lower economic stimulus introduced during COVID-19, Japan's 10Yr Government Bond (JGB) Yield is at the upper limit of their band (currently trading at 0.22%). As the Bank of Japan (BoJ) now steps into the market and buy as many bonds as required for the market to maintain the desired interest rate it could very easily start to drag other global bond yields such as the US 10Yr Bond lower with it... the exact opposite of what central bankers want right now in order to battle inflation.
Its situations such as this that historically have meant inflation runs out of control and causes catastrophic impacts on the economies of the world, or the flip side to this situation is that Japan is forced to abandon the current band of YCC and accept the inevitable negative effect this would have on both domestic and global Stock markets.
My prediction for how this plays out is that at least for the meantime the global market follows the JGB Yield and starts a correction until this starts to cause real issues for inflation to the extent that central bankers start introducing things such as emergency rate hikes... essentially central bankers may hope they can get away with no increasing rates because they analyse inflation to be "transitory".
In this situation I will be looking at the following trades:
USDJPY Short
Gold Long
Nasdaq Long
Let me know your own thoughts in the comments below & feel free to share this with any friends.
ULTIMATE Stock Indicator flashes buy signal with 8 confirmationsThey recently sold off some underperforming assets, and will play an increasingly central role in COVID testing and vaccine in Japan.
- forming great trend reversal.
- FIBO retracement showing potential resistance/support for stock price.
Happy Trading, from CJ -- aka the greatest FURU.
To find out more about The Ultimate Stock Indicator on Tradingview, please check my public profile.
GOLDEN WEEK: Potential nightmare ahead. If you've never heard of the Yen 'flash crash' on 3rd Jan 2019 (after a 4 day bank holiday in Japan), you definitely need to watch this. We have a 10-day bank holiday in Japan in Golden Week.
The previous mini-crash was on one day. Loads of retail forex traders were wiped out. Now we're staring at potentially something more than a mini-crash on Yen pairs.
What happens during and shortly after the holiday period is that contracts for forex come in, algos react and /JPY ratios head south, like nobody's business. Well, I'm afraid this is your business if you have any /JPY pairs on a live trade. Worse yet if you're long be very careful.
AUD pairs were also caught up in the fray as they are affected more by stuff that goes on in Japan. Don't ask me why. LOL. It is what it is. So /AUD pairs can rock north if this thing happens again.
Right - I'm not here to scare-monger anything. I'm here to help. I'm bringing knowledge of a potential systematic risk that is approaching. You decide what you do with your trades. I'm not advising anybody to close their /JPY trades. Your decisions and your losses are your own. End off.
US10YR Yield likely on a Long Path SidewaysUS Yields are likely going to follow the same path as Japanese Yields have taken over the past few decades. In this update i discuss why I believe this to be, and I also break down the chart using Elliott Wave and Fibonacci analysis to try and how this will play out.