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$SPY / $SPX Scenarios — Thursday, Sept 25, 2025🔮 AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios — Thursday, Sept 25, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving Headlines 📉 Data-heavy morning: Multiple macro releases hit at 8:30 AM, setting tone across bonds, USD, and equities. 💬 Fed chorus: Packed lineup of Fed speakers keeps policy narrative in focus. 💻 Tech + rates tension: AMEX:XLK flows remain sensitive to bond yield direction post-FOMC. 🛢️ Energy lens: Oil volatility continues to act as an inflation wildcard. 📊 Key Data & Events (ET) ⏰ 🚩 8:30 AM — Initial Jobless Claims (weekly) ⏰ 🚩 8:30 AM — GDP (Q2, third estimate) ⏰ 🚩 8:30 AM — Durable Goods Orders (Aug) ⏰ 10:00 AM — Existing Home Sales (Aug) 🗣️ Fed Speakers: • 8:20 AM — Austan Goolsbee (Chicago Fed) • 9:00 AM — John Williams (NY Fed) & Jeff Schmid (Kansas City Fed) • 10:00 AM — Michelle Bowman (Fed Vice Chair for Supervision) • 1:00 PM — Michael Barr (Fed Gov.) • 1:40 PM — Lorie Logan (Dallas Fed) • 3:30 PM — Mary Daly (San Francisco Fed) ⚠️ Disclaimer: Educational/informational only — not financial advice. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #SPY #SPX #GDP #joblessclaims #durablegoods #housing #Fed #Powell #Dollar #bonds #megacaps
AMEX:SPYShort
by TrendTao
ETHUSD - Expect a bounce ... now? lets go above ATHLong time no see ! I was in vacations with the cult of the CME Gap that I joined Soooo, Eth took some logic profits, it was a quasi straight line from 2400 to 4800 (not mentionning that its coming before from under 1500), a 10% correction is totally ok we are actually in the middle of the last CME GAP, its filling daddy Dec 2024 high 100 MA 4H 0.5 fib resistance from last low 0.236 is 4K so we still have room to be in denial if it dips more as you can see thats a lot of convergences, not even talking about BTC, BTC.D, USDT.D, GOLD and all the other tickers aligning perfectly for the big ritual of the big last leg of the big bull run (B.R.B.L.L.B.B.R.) (I know how to make it since those vacations) Sooo SL is slightly under first bullish Order Block that u can see in this chart @ around 3440, yes sry I can't mess with the levs even with this perfect entry opportunity TP1 : 7000 TP2 : 9000 TP3 : 11000 (0.618 fib extension) Will update the TPs if momentum changes XX not advise
CME:ETH1!Long
by onemorewine
US100 Trend Watch – Critical LevelsUS100 Update On the low time frame, US100 is consolidating around the 24,603 – 24,655 zone after rejecting higher levels. Key levels: 24,655 – 24,603 → short-term resistance zone. A breakout and hold above would confirm bullish continuation. 24,158 → main trend support. As long as this level holds, the broader bullish structure remains intact. Upside scenario: If price breaks and sustains above 24,655, momentum could extend further to test 25,000+. Downside risk: If price falls below 24,603 and especially under 24,158, risk increases for a deeper pullback toward 23,800 – 23,400. 📌 Summary Above 24,655 → bullish continuation toward new highs. Hold above 24,158 → uptrend structure remains safe. Below 24,158 → deeper correction risk, next support at 23,400.
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by SatochiTrader
$SPY / $SPX Scenarios — Wednesday, Sept 24, 2025🔮 AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios — Wednesday, Sept 24, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving Headlines 📉 Month-end positioning: Flows light as traders prep for Thursday’s 🚩 GDP + Jobless Claims. 💻 Mega-cap drift: Tech leadership remains central with $AAPL/ NASDAQ:NVDA volatility post-Powell. 💵 Rates + housing: Home affordability narrative continues to weigh on broader risk tone. 📊 Key Data & Events (ET) ⏰ 🚩 10:00 AM — New Home Sales (Aug) ⏰ 4:10 PM — San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly speech ⚠️ Disclaimer: Educational/informational only — not financial advice. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #SPY #SPX #Fed #housing #Powell #economy #Dollar #bonds #megacaps
AMEX:SPYLong
by TrendTao
$SPY / $SPX Scenarios — Friday, Sept 26, 2025🔮 AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios — Friday, Sept 26, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving Headlines 📉 Month-end flows: Positioning shuffle as traders square books into Q3-end. 💵 Fed lens: Multiple Fed appearances keep policy tone in focus post-SEP. 💻 Tech + growth watch: AMEX:XLK flows remain sensitive to yields + inflation gauges. 🛢️ Commodities check: Oil and dollar volatility continue to set cross-asset tone. 📊 Key Data & Events (ET) ⏰ 🚩 8:30 AM — Personal Income & Spending (Aug) ⏰ 🚩 8:30 AM — PCE Price Index (Aug) + Core PCE (YoY & MoM) ⏰ 10:00 AM — Consumer Sentiment (Final, Sep) 🗣️ Fed Speakers: • 7:30 AM — Tom Barkin (Richmond Fed, TV appearance) • 9:00 AM — Tom Barkin (speech) • 1:00 PM — Michelle Bowman (Fed Vice Chair for Supervision) ⚠️ Disclaimer: Educational/informational only — not financial advice. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #SPY #SPX #PCE #inflation #Fed #Powell #joblessclaims #consumer #Dollar #bonds #megacaps
AMEX:SPYLong
by TrendTao
HBAR Long Spot Setup – Retesting Major SupportHBAR is pulling back into a key support zone between $0.19–$0.21, a historically significant area where buyers have previously stepped in with strength. With the broader market showing signs of stabilization, this zone may offer a solid opportunity for laddered spot accumulation. Price action shows confluence with previous demand levels, and volume is beginning to stabilize, which could signal waning selling pressure. If this level holds, a bounce toward higher resistance zones becomes likely in the coming sessions or weeks. 🔁 Trade Setup: • Entry Zone: $0.19–$0.21 (laddered entries) • Target 1: $0.28–$0.31 • Target 2: $0.36–$0.40 • Stop Loss: Below $0.18
Long
by Richtv_official
XRP Daily Market Update📊 CRYPTOCAP:XRP Daily Market Update CRYPTOCAP:XRP is forming bullish patterns overall ✅ but here’s what’s next: 1️⃣ Around $3.1621 there is a Double Top bearish pattern. XRP needs to break this level with confirmation to indicate the trend remains bullish. 2️⃣ Another option ⚠️ — XRP could cross down, grab liquidity, hunt stop-losses, and reach the green support zone around $2.1873. From there, buyers may step in again since strong accumulation and volume exchanged at this level. 🔎 On the higher time frame, XRP is still bullish 📈 — but this is the daily scenario at the moment.
by WaveRiders2
EUR/USD Trend Watch – Critical Supports & ResistanceEUR/USD Update On the low time frame, EUR/USD is moving sideways around 1.1780, holding just below the 1.1810 zone. Key levels: 1.1810 – 1.1846 → resistance zone. A breakout and hold above would confirm bullish continuation toward 1.1922. 1.1774 → immediate support on the low time frame. Losing this level increases pressure on the main trend. Upside scenario: If EUR/USD can reclaim 1.1810+, momentum may shift bullish, with the next target at 1.1922. Downside risk: Failure to hold above 1.1774 opens the door for a correction toward 1.1660 and possibly 1.1568 – 1.1530 cycle support. Cycle support: 1.1530 – 1.1568 remains the must-hold long-term zone to keep the bullish cycle alive. 📌 Summary Above 1.1810 – 1.1846 → bullish continuation toward 1.1922. Below 1.1774 → risk of deeper correction, watch 1.1660 next. Cycle zone 1.1530 – 1.1568 → critical long-term support.
Long
by SatochiTrader
Gold (XAU/USD) Cycle & Trend OutlookXAU/USD Update On the low time frame, Gold is testing the 3,776 resistance zone after a strong rally. Key levels: 3,776 → local resistance. A breakout and hold above this level would confirm continuation toward higher targets (3,800+). 3,762 – 3,657 → key support range. Holding this zone keeps the main uptrend intact. Upside scenario: If price breaks and confirms above 3,776, bullish momentum continues, extending the rally. Downside risk: Failure to hold 3,762 could trigger a pullback toward 3,657. A deeper breakdown below 3,657 would shift momentum bearish, targeting 3,314. Cycle support: 3,314 is the major cycle trend level that Gold must protect to maintain its broader bullish structure. 📌 Summary Above 3,776 → bullish continuation with potential new highs. Hold above 3,762 – 3,657 → main uptrend remains safe. Below 3,657 → correction risk toward 3,314 cycle level.
TVC:GOLDLong
by SatochiTrader
US30 Update On the low time frame, US30 is consolidating aroundUS30 Update On the low time frame, US30 is consolidating around 46,351 – 46,398 after testing the breakout zone. Key levels: 46,398 – 46,351 → short-term decision zone. A breakout above this area could confirm bullish continuation toward 47,170. 46,177 – 45,796 → support zone for the main uptrend. As long as price holds above this, the bullish cycle remains intact. Upside scenario: If price reclaims and holds above 46,398, momentum strengthens for another push higher, with 47,170 as the next major resistance. Downside risk: If price fails to hold above 46,177, deeper correction could follow, with 45,796 as first support. Cycle level: 41,097 is the cycle start and a critical must-hold area for the long-term bullish structure. 📌 Summary Above 46,398 → bullish continuation toward 47,170. Hold above 46,177 – 45,796 → main uptrend safe. Break below 45,796 → correction risk, broader weakness possible. 41,097 → cycle start and major long-term support.
CAPITALCOM:US30Long
by SatochiTrader
Bear market has startedThe End of the Bull Cycle. Why I'm Selling Everything and Won't Buy Again Until September 2026. For the last year and a half, I have said that we are in a bull market. I never once changed my opinion. But all things come to an end. The time has come. September 13, 2025, the date I have been mentioning across my social media, was, in my opinion, the peak of this market cycle. As painful as it may sound, the bull market is over. "Altseason" is a Scam. It's Time to Grow Up Let's be honest. The "altseason" that everyone was dreaming of never happened. Yes, there were pumps on selective, mostly new coins. But the old guard, for the most part, showed nothing. Therefore, I want to officially declare: I will never use the word "altseason" again. It's a meme from 2017. There are now over a million coins on the market. Liquidity is so diluted that pumping everything is impossible. Instead of "altseason," we have, and always will have, "selective pumps" driven by interested players. Our job is to learn how to find them, not to wait for a mythical wave that will lift all boats. Why Now? The Classic Signs of a Top I wouldn't be so certain if I didn't see the classic signs of euphoria that always appear at the top of a cycle: - Universal Optimism: Governments are embracing crypto, creating reserve funds. -Corporate Buying: Public companies are massively buying Bitcoin and Ethereum. -Positive News: The media is filled with only positive news; no one wants to sell and is waiting for $200k, $300k, $500k. When the crowd rushes into the market, smart money begins to exit. I prefer to be with the latter. My Personal 2-Year Plan. Maximum Transparency I'm not just saying the market will fall. I am publicly sharing my plan of action: 1. I am exiting the market into stablecoins NOW. I am locking in my profits. 2. I will NOT be buying the first correction. When Bitcoin drops to $90,000, most people will be buying, thinking it's a discount. I will not. 3. I plan to start actively buying again in September 2026. Why so long? Because those who buy at the $90-100k mark risk sitting through two years of psychological and financial drawdown just to break even. I am not willing to pay that price. I won't disconnect from the market; I'll keep my finger on the pulse, but I don't plan on making any active buys. Cycles Work. My Technical Rationale My decision is not based on emotion but on cycle theory, which I have tested for years. The cycle consists of ~151 weeks of growth and ~51 weeks of decline. We have just completed the growth phase. The period between September 13 and October 6 is the exact reversal zone after which a decline should begin. I could be wrong. No one can be right all the time. Perhaps the cycle theory will break this time. But I trust my system. Conclusion: What's Next? The Long-Term View I have not become a bear forever. I believe Bitcoin will hit $300,000. But not in the coming months. It will be worth that in 2.5 years, after a healthy 50-60% correction from the peak. From this moment on, my bias is bearish. On strong upward bounces, I might even open short positions. A new game is beginning, with new rules. My job is to preserve my capital and multiply it in the next cycle. What about yours? Why bear market started now Proofs: Best regards EXCAVO
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by EXCAVO
137
$SPY / $SPX Scenarios — Tuesday, Sept 23, 2025 🔮 AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios — Tuesday, Sept 23, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving Headlines 📉 Post-Fed digestion: Equities and bonds still recalibrating after last week’s SEP + Powell tone. 💻 Mega-cap watch: Tech + AI flows continue to drive AMEX:XLK sentiment. 🌐 Central bank chatter: A busy Fed speaker slate gives extra volatility into month-end. 📊 Key Data & Events (ET) ⏰ 9:00 AM — Fed Vice Chair for Supervision Michelle Bowman speech ⏰ 🚩 9:45 AM — S&P Global Flash PMIs (Sep) — Services & Manufacturing ⏰ 10:00 AM — Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic speech ⏰ 🚩 12:35 PM — Fed Chair Jerome Powell speech ⚠️ Disclaimer: Educational/informational only — not financial advice. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #SPY #SPX #Powell #Fed #PMI #economy #Dollar #bonds #megacaps
AMEX:SPYLong
by TrendTao
“Two possible scenarios for BTC if the bull cycle continues”“In the two wave count scenarios, there’s an overlap that suggests the upcoming bullish wave could be the last upward move of this market. This wave may unfold in either three waves or five waves (with a slightly higher probability for three). For now, BTC could retrace down to 102k or even 98, but our dynamic trendline must hold. Even in case of further upside, I don’t expect targets above 140. The reason I still consider a higher top possible is mainly due to the conditions of other coins; if a correction starts from here, the charts of many altcoins would get heavily disrupted, and it’s unlikely that the market maker would allow that to happen.”
Short
by ahmadkazemii
$SPY / $SPX Scenarios — Week of Sept 22 → Sept 26, 2025🔮 AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios — Week of Sept 22 → Sept 26, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving Headlines 📉 Post-Fed positioning: Traders continue to recalibrate after last week’s cut + SEP; rates & USD tone drive risk. 💻 Mega-cap watch: NASDAQ:AAPL NASDAQ:MSFT NASDAQ:NVDA guidance/AI chatter keeps AMEX:XLK leadership in focus. 🛢️ Energy & FX: Oil swings and a firm dollar remain cross-asset headwinds. 📊 Key Data & Events (ET) Tue 9/23 ⏰ 9:45 AM — S&P Global Flash PMIs (Sep) (Mfg & Services). Wed 9/24 ⏰ 10:00 AM — New Home Sales (Aug). Thu 9/25 ⏰ 🚩 8:30 AM — Initial Jobless Claims (weekly). ⏰ 🚩 8:30 AM — GDP (Q2, Third Estimate). ⏰ 8:30 AM — Durable Goods Orders (Aug). ⏰ 10:00 AM — Existing Home Sales (Aug). Fri 9/26 ⏰ 🚩 8:30 AM — Personal Income & Outlays (Aug) incl. PCE/Core PCE. ⏰ 10:00 AM — UMich Consumer Sentiment (Final, Sep). ⚠️ Disclaimer: Educational/informational only — not financial advice. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #SPY #SPX #PCE #GDP #PMI #joblessclaims #housing #consumer #Fed #Dollar #oil #megacaps
AMEX:SPYLong
by TrendTao
EUR/USD UpdateEUR/USD Update We use advanced data that counts the start of the cycle and all important key levels. On the low time frame, EUR/USD is pulling back after rejecting the 1.1848 resistance zone. Key levels: 1.1760 – 1.1762 → current support area. Holding above this keeps the short-term bullish structure intact. 1.1848 → major resistance and confirmation level for continuation of the main uptrend. A close above this would signal strength for higher targets. If price breaks below 1.1760, downside pressure could increase, with 1.1665 as the next important support. Cycle level: 1.1530 is the critical long-term support. EUR/USD must hold this level to remain in the green cycle. 📌 Summary Above 1.1760 → bullish structure can continue. Breakout above 1.1848 → confirms strong uptrend continuation. Below 1.1760 → correction risk, targeting 1.1665 support. 1.1530 → cycle must-hold level for long-term trend.
Long
by SatochiTrader
WHAT GOES UP, MUST COME DOWN – $DOT DUMP TIME?In my last analysis we nailed the move: CRYPTOCAP:DOT pumped to sweep the weak 14 Aug high exactly as projected. ✅ That mission is complete – now it’s time for the other side of the trade. Analysis 14 Aug high swept → equilibrium reached. Price in HTF Golden Pocket + strong Fib cluster. Bearish harmonic + hidden bear div on CVD. Orderflow: longs piling in, OI ↑ but price stuck → squeeze risk. Likely SFP around $4.65 (take out Sept 13 high) → then dump. First target: $3.75.
Short
by ThetaNomad
9
$SPY / $SPX Scenarios — Friday, Sept 19, 2025🔮 AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios — Friday, Sept 19, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving Headlines 📉 Week-end positioning: Traders de-risk after a heavy Fed + macro week; watch flows into bonds and equities. 💬 Consumer & labor narrative: Markets digest Fed messaging alongside claims + LEI signals. 🌐 Global spillover: Europe and Asia equities feed into U.S. tone with light U.S. catalysts on deck. 📊 Key Data & Events (ET) ⏰ 10:00 AM — State Employment & Unemployment (Aug) ⚠️ Disclaimer: Educational/informational only — not financial advice. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #SPY #SPX #Fed #Powell #labor #economy #bonds #Dollar #risk
AMEX:SPYLong
by TrendTao
ARM Holdings — reversal pattern signals growth potentialOn the ARM chart an inverted head and shoulders pattern is taking shape with price approaching the neckline around 144–145 and a confirmed breakout above this level could trigger an upward move toward 220 with extended targets at 310–330. In case of a pullback the 128 zone remains key support to preserve the bullish structure. Fundamentally ARM continues to strengthen its role in chip architecture while growing demand in artificial intelligence and mobile technologies drives institutional interest. As long as the pattern holds the bullish scenario stays in play.
NASDAQ:ARMLong
by InvestWorld_777
$SPY / $SPX Scenarios — Thursday, Sept 18, 2025🔮 AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios — Thursday, Sept 18, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving Headlines 📉 Post-Fed digestion: Markets recalibrate after Wednesday’s 🚩 FOMC decision + Powell press conference. 💵 Dollar & yields watch: FX and Treasury moves reflect how traders interpret the Fed’s updated path. 💻 Tech + growth trade: Positioning in AMEX:XLK and high-beta names remains key as rates reset. 🛢️ Energy chatter: Oil volatility keeps AMEX:XLE and inflation hedges in focus. 📊 Key Data & Events (ET) ⏰ 🚩 8:30 AM — Initial Jobless Claims (weekly) ⏰ 8:30 AM — Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Survey (Sep) ⏰ 🚩 10:00 AM — Conference Board Leading Economic Index (Aug) ⚠️ Disclaimer: Educational/informational only — not financial advice. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #SPY #SPX #Fed #Powell #joblessclaims #economy #Dollar #bonds #tech #oil
AMEX:SPYShort
by TrendTao
$SPY / $SPX Scenarios — Wednesday, Sept 17, 2025🔮 AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios — Wednesday, Sept 17, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving Headlines 🚩 Fed Day: All eyes on the FOMC decision + Powell press conference — this will lock in the September rate path. 📉 Positioning risk: Funds lightened up into Tuesday’s Retail Sales; volatility likely post-Fed. 💻 Tech leadership in focus: NASDAQ:AAPL , NASDAQ:MSFT , and AI plays driving AMEX:XLK flows ahead of macro. 🛢️ Crude swings: Energy price stability remains an inflation sentiment wildcard. 📊 Key Data & Events (ET) ⏰ 8:30 AM — Housing Starts & Building Permits (Aug) ⏰ 10:30 AM — EIA Petroleum Status Report ⏰ 🚩 2:00 PM — FOMC Policy Decision + SEP (dot plot) ⏰ 🚩 2:30 PM — Powell Press Conference ⚠️ Disclaimer: Educational/informational only — not financial advice. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #SPY #SPX #FOMC #Powell #Fed #housing #energy #bonds #Dollar #megacaps
AMEX:SPY
by TrendTao
$SPY / $SPX Scenarios — Tuesday, Sept 16, 2025🔮 AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios — Tuesday, Sept 16, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving Headlines 📉 Pre-Fed jitters: Traders square positions one day before Wednesday’s 🚩 FOMC decision + Powell presser. 💻 Mega-cap flows: Post-Apple launch chatter and AI sector sentiment keep AMEX:XLK leadership in play. 🛢️ Energy watch: Crude swings remain a headline driver for inflation hedges and $XLE. 💵 Dollar steady: FX tone reflects markets bracing for Fed clarity mid-week. 📊 Key Data & Events (ET) ⏰ 🚩 8:30 AM — Retail Sales (Aug) ⏰ 9:15 AM — Industrial Production & Capacity Utilization (Aug) ⏰ 10:00 AM — Business Inventories (Jul) ⏰ 10:00 AM — NAHB Housing Market Index (Sep) ⚠️ Disclaimer: Educational/informational only — not financial advice. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #SPY #SPX #RetailSales #Fed #Powell #economy #Dollar #bonds #oil #AAPL #megacaps
AMEX:SPYLong
by TrendTao
$SPY / $SPX Scenarios — Week of Sept 15 → Sept 19, 2025🔮 AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios — Week of Sept 15 → Sept 19, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving Headlines 🌐 Global central bank ripple: ECB’s Thursday decision sets tone for USD and cross-asset flows into Fed week. 📉 Positioning tight: After CPI/PPI last week, funds are leaning light into Wednesday’s Fed — volatility risk high. 🍏 Mega-cap overhang: Apple supply chain chatter + tech sector leadership in focus post-launch event. 💵 Dollar + oil watch: Stronger dollar and stubborn crude prices remain headline risk for equities. 📊 Key Data & Events (ET) Tue 9/16 ⏰ 🚩 8:30 AM — Retail Sales (Aug) Wed 9/17 ⏰ 8:30 AM — Housing Starts & Building Permits (Aug) ⏰ 🚩 2:00 PM — FOMC Policy Decision + SEP (dot plot) ⏰ 🚩 2:30 PM — Powell Press Conference Thu 9/18 ⏰ 🚩 8:30 AM — Initial Jobless Claims (weekly) ⏰ 8:30 AM — Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Survey (Sep) ⏰ 🚩 10:00 AM — Conference Board Leading Economic Index (Aug) ⚠️ Disclaimer: Educational/informational only — not financial advice. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #SPY #SPX #FOMC #Powell #Fed #RetailSales #jobs #economy #bonds #Dollar #oil #AAPL #megacaps
AMEX:SPYShort
by TrendTao