Popcorn Ready? Netflix Layering Setup for Bold Traders🎬 Netflix Stock | Thief Trader’s Profit Realization Blueprint 🍿💰
🧭 Market Outlook
Netflix (NFLX) is lining up for a bullish playbook — and here’s how the Thief Strategy goes down. This setup is purely educational and shares how I personally view price behavior with a layering approach.
🎯 Trading Plan (Swing/Day Trade Idea)
Entry (Layering Style 🥷): Instead of one-shot entries, the thief strategy is about multiple buy-limit layers. Example blueprint:
👉 1160 | 1170 | 1180 | 1190 | 1200 (more can be added if liquidity allows)
Stop Loss 🛡️: Thief-style SL ~1120 (after breakout levels are confirmed).
⚠️ Note to Thief OG’s: Manage your own SL & adapt risk. My level is an example, not a fixed call.
Target 🎯: Eyeing the 1340 zone, where resistance + overbought vibes + possible trap signals align. The thief rule? Escape before the crowd escapes 🚪💨.
⚠️ Again — not a fixed TP. Manage your own exits depending on profit goals & risk appetite.
🕵️♂️ Thief Trader Philosophy
This is not financial advice. It’s a “steal-and-escape” blueprint to show how layered entries can help smooth entries across zones instead of one rigid buy point. Adapt, manage, and steal profits like a pro before the market takes them back.
🔗 Related Assets to Watch
NASDAQ:AMZN — often shows correlation in big tech swings 📦
NASDAQ:AAPL — mega-cap sentiment driver 🍏
NASDAQ:MSFT — growth stock momentum check 💻
NASDAQ:QQQ — ETF to track Nasdaq 100 flow 📊
AMEX:SPY — broad market sentiment monitor 🏦
📌 Key Correlation Notes
Big tech stocks often move in sympathy — when Nasdaq pumps, Netflix usually gets extra popcorn 🍿 fuel.
Watch volatility spikes in TVC:VIX , as they can trap over-leveraged longs & shorts.
Macro cues (USD strength, yields, Fed talk) can shift momentum across all growth stocks.
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#NFLX #Netflix #Stocks #SwingTrade #DayTrade #LayeringStrategy #Options #StockMarket #TradingView #ThiefTrader #Equities #QQQ #SPY #StockAnalysis
Nasdaq100
NAS100 Pullback into Fibonacci Zone: Watching for Bullish Break📊 NASDAQ 100 (NAS100) Update 📊
The NAS100 is in a strong bullish trend 🟢📈, clearly visible on the 4H chart ⏰ with consistent higher highs and higher lows 🔼🔼.
Currently, price has pulled back 🔽 right into my optimal entry zone 🎯 based on the Fibonacci retracement 🔢. From here, I’ll be watching closely for a bullish break of structure (BOS) 🔓 on the 15M timeframe ⏰ — that would be my signal to look for a long entry 🚀.
⚠️ This breakdown is educational only and not financial advice. 📚
NASDAQ 100 (NQ1!): Bullish! Buy The Dip!Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Sept 15 - 19th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX market: NASDAQ (NQ1!) NAS100
The NASDAQ is bullish. No reason in the world to start looking for shorts! Let the market pullback to Internal Range Liquidity (IRL), a +FVG or +OB, and look for valid long setups on the lower timeframes.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Exxon Mobil Stock Outlook: Fundamentals + Technicals Aligned📌 Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) — Bullish Master Plan (Swing / Scalping Trade)
🛠️ Plan Setup (Thief Strategy)
Bias: Bullish — Triangular Moving Average Pullback 📈
Entry: Multiple layered limit orders at 🔹 $110.00 🔹 $111.00 🔹 $112.00 (You can adjust layers based on your own strategy).
Stop Loss (Protective Layer): $108.00 (adjust to your own risk preference).
Target Zone: Around $118.00 (key resistance area).
⚠️ Note: These levels are not financial advice. Manage risk carefully and adjust according to your own strategy.
❓ Why This Plan?
This Thief Plan Strategy uses layered limit orders for flexible entries. It combines technical pullback signals with fundamental, macro, sentiment, and fear/greed insights to build a confluence-based trade idea.
📊 Stock Price Overview
Daily Change: -0.20% (from $112.50 previous close)
1-Month Trend: +5.66% (from $106.27 on Aug 12)
1-Year Trend: -4.21% (from $117.22 in Sep 2024)
Year-to-Date: +2.26% (from $109.57 in 2024)
😊 Investor Sentiment
Retail Investors: 50.76% bullish 😄
Institutional Investors: 47.25% bearish 😕
Overall Mood: Mixed ⚖️
😨 Fear & Greed Index
Current Level: 39 (Fear)
Interpretation: Cautious tone, may signal undervaluation.
📈 Fundamental Score (7.55/10) ✅
Strong revenue: $340.57B in 2024 (+1.16% YoY) 💰
Stable dividend: $0.99/share quarterly 🎉
Weaknesses: Net profit -6.47% in 2024, higher operating costs 📉
🌍 Macro Score (6.8/10) 🌎
Oil demand projected to rise 20% by 2050 🛢️
Geopolitical risks support oil prices 🔥
OPEC+ output hike could moderate momentum 📉
🐂🐻 Market Outlook
Consensus: Neutral → Mildly Bullish ⚖️
Analyst Ratings: Moderate Buy (12 Buy, 7 Hold, 0 Sell)
Key Drivers: Stable fundamentals + oil price volatility = balanced setup.
🔑 Takeaway
Exxon Mobil (XOM) offers a layered-entry bullish opportunity with mixed sentiment but strong long-term fundamentals.
Fear-dominated mood may provide contrarian opportunities.
Keep an eye on oil prices & geopolitics for momentum triggers.
Layering strategy provides flexibility across multiple levels. 🚀
🔗 Related Pairs to Watch (in USD)
Chevron Corporation (CVX): Another oil major with similar exposure to crude prices. 🛢️
United States Oil Fund (USO): Tracks WTI crude oil prices, a key driver for XOM. 📈
Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLE): Broad energy sector ETF for context. 💡
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
#XOM #ExxonMobil #EnergyStocks #SwingTrade #Scalping #StockMarket #Oil #Fundamentals #TechnicalAnalysis #Macro #FearGreedIndex #TradingStrategy #LayeredEntry #StockIdeas
NAS100 Trend Analysis: From Higher Highs to a Potential Shift📊 NASDAQ 100 (NAS100) Analysis 📊
Someone recently asked me to cover the NAS100 🤔 as price action can look a little confusing right now. On the 4H chart ⏰, we’ve been trending strongly 🟢📈 throughout the week. However, as we head into the end of the week 📅, things are starting to shift.
Zooming into the 30M timeframe 🔍, price action is showing early signs of weakness ⚠️. We’ve had a high, then a higher high ⬆️, and now a lower high 🔽 — instead of a continuation of higher highs.
In the video, we take a deep dive 🎥 into market structure 🏗️, price action 💡, and the trend 📊, highlighting what to watch out for as institutions and big players wind up or unwind positions 💼 into the week’s close.
💬 Your thoughts and comments are welcome!
⚠️ This is educational only and not financial advice. 📚
Can COIN's $330 Breakout Reach $380? ~ Tactical Entry Plan📈 COINBASE GLOBAL, INC. (COIN) - Money Heist Plan (Swing/Day Trade) 🕵️♂️
🚨 Ready to execute the ultimate heist on COIN? This Money Heist Plan uses the Thief Strategy, a layered limit order approach to catch the breakout at $330.00 ⚡. Below, I've outlined the setup, technicals, fundamentals, and macro insights to help you navigate this trade like a pro. Set your alarms, plan your escape, and let’s dive into the details! 🔒
🛠️ Trade Setup: The Thief Strategy
The Thief Strategy is a tactical approach using multiple limit order layers to enter the trade post-breakout, maximizing flexibility and precision. Here’s how to execute it:
Asset: COINBASE GLOBAL, INC. (COIN) 💰
Entry Trigger: Breakout above $330.00 ⚡
Set a price alert on TradingView to catch the breakout in real-time! 🔔
Layered Entries (Thief Style): Place multiple buy limit orders to scale in:
$310.00
$315.00
$320.00
$325.00
$330.00
Pro Tip: Adjust layers based on your risk tolerance and strategy. Confirm entries only after the breakout at $330.00! ✅
Stop Loss (SL): Place at $295.00 post-breakout 🛑
Note: Adjust SL based on your risk management. The Thief Strategy is flexible—manage risk at your discretion, dear Traders (Thief OGs)! 😎
Take Profit (TP): Target $380.00 🎯
Resistance and overbought levels signal a potential police barricade 🚔. Escape with profits before the trap! Adjust TP based on your strategy.
Disclaimer: TP is not fixed—take profits at your own risk and preference.
📊 Why This Plan? Technical & Fundamental Breakdown
🔍 Technical Analysis: The Thief’s Blueprint
Breakout Catalyst: COIN is testing the $330.00 resistance. A confirmed breakout signals strong bullish momentum 📈.
Thief Strategy Advantage: Layered entries reduce risk of false breakouts and allow scaling into the move.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support: $295.00 (SL zone)
Resistance/Target: $380.00 (overbought zone)
Setup Confirmation: Use volume spikes and RSI for breakout confirmation. Set TradingView alerts to stay sharp! 🔔
📉 Fundamental & Macro Insights
Market Cap: $81.47B
PE Ratio (TTM): 30.52 (above industry avg., signaling high valuation)
EPS (TTM): $10.39
Revenue Growth (YoY): +12.36% (2025 est.) 💪
Profit Margin: 42.67% 🔥
Cash Reserves: $7.54B (strong balance sheet)
Risks:
Q2 profit drop to $33.2M vs. $294.4M YoY 📉
High P/E (30.71) and Price/Sales (12.61) raise valuation concerns
Macro Drivers:
Genius Act: Boosted crypto optimism 🚀
Crypto Market Trends: Bitcoin’s record highs in July 2025 fuel COIN’s upside potential
😰 Fear & Greed Index
Current Sentiment: Neutral to Greedy (Crypto Fear & Greed Index: 0-100)
Trend: Mixed emotions due to crypto volatility and regulatory developments
Takeaway: Greed supports breakout potential, but stay cautious of volatility spikes.
🧠 Investor Sentiment
Retail Traders: Cautiously optimistic 😊, holding for long-term crypto growth but cautious of short-term volatility.
Institutional Traders: Mixed 🤔—some see overvaluation, others bet on crypto adoption and regulatory clarity.
🐂 Bullish vs. Bearish Outlook
Bullish Score: 60% 🐂
Why? Strong revenue growth (+13.72% YoY est. for 2026), crypto adoption, and institutional interest.
Bearish Risks: 40% 🐻
Why? Profit volatility, high valuation, and crypto market dependence.
Key Watch: Q3 earnings (Sep 2025) and crypto market trends.
💡 Why Trade COIN Now?
Short-Term: Neutral to slightly bearish due to profit concerns, but the $330.00 breakout could spark a quick swing/day trade.
Long-Term: Bullish on COIN’s role in crypto infrastructure and regulatory tailwinds.
Thief Strategy Edge: Layered entries and disciplined risk management make this setup ideal for volatile markets.
🔗 Related Pairs to Watch (USD)
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD : Bitcoin’s momentum drives COIN’s price action.
BITSTAMP:ETHUSD : Ethereum’s performance impacts COIN’s trading volume.
BITSTAMP:XRPUSD : Watch for altcoin rallies tied to regulatory news.
AMEX:SPY : Broader market trends influence COIN’s beta (3.69).
📅 Market Data Snapshot (10 Sep 2025)
Previous Close: $318.78
Day’s Range: $315.88 - $328.67
52-Week Range: $142.58 - $444.65
Avg. Volume: 13.43M shares
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
#TradingView #COIN #SwingTrading #DayTrading #CryptoTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #ThiefStrategy #MoneyHeist
NQ (Nasdaq Futures) – Tuesday Setup 09/09/2025
🧠 Market Context
Weekly Bias: Buy-side liquidity above Friday’s and Monday’s highs remains intact → a natural draw for price.
Daily Bias: Price is consolidating near these highs, suggesting engineered liquidity.
Tuesday Profile (ICT concept): Often prints the high or low of the week. Expect a Judas Swing in the morning session before the real move develops.
🎯 Trading Idea
I expect New York Open (9:30–10:00 NY) to deliver a pump above Monday/Tuesday highs → running buy stops (BSL).
After this liquidity grab, look for rejection + Market Structure Shift (MSS) on 5m/15m charts.
That would confirm distribution and set up the short.
✅ Execution Plan
Wait for the Sweep:
Levels to watch: 23,890–23,910 (Friday & Monday highs).
Confirmation:
SMT divergence (ES fails to make new high while NQ takes it).
BOS/MSS on 5m → entry on FVG/OB retracement.
Targets:
TP1 → 23,800 (intra-day liquidity).
TP2 → 23,750 (Weekly Open level).
📌 Key Notes
If price continues bullish above 23,910 without rejection, invalidate the short idea → bias shifts to continuation higher (24,000+).
Otherwise, this is a textbook “Tuesday High of the Week” setup.
✍️ Summary:
I’m anticipating a Judas Swing to the upside at NY Open, taking buy-side liquidity, followed by a reversal into sell-side liquidity at 23,750.
NASDAQ NAS100 at a Crossroads: Riding Nvidias Surge with CautionThe immediate reaction to Nvidia's stellar earnings has been decidedly bullish, propelling the NASDAQ higher. We saw a classic "buy the rumor, sell the news" event where the "news" was so powerful it triggered a "fear of missing out" (FOMO) rally with a healthy correction on Friday.
In the next one to two weeks, the near-term bias is bullish, but with extreme caution. The market has received the fundamental "all-clear" it was waiting for from its most important company. However, the index is now technically overextended and sentiment is euphoric, making it vulnerable to a short-term pullback or consolidation. The primary trend, however, remains bullish IMO.
1. The Catalyst: Nvidia Earnings
Nvidia didn't just beat expectations; it shattered them and raised future guidance, validating the entire AI investment thesis.
Revenue & EPS: Significant beats on both the top and bottom lines.
Guidance: Q2 revenue guidance of ~$28B was vastly higher than analyst estimates of ~$26.6B, demonstrating unprecedented demand for its Blackwell and Hopper architecture chips.
Data Center: Revenue of $22.6B, up 427% year-over-year, is the core of the story. This shows that AI infrastructure spending is not slowing; it's accelerating.
Stock Split: The announcement of a 10-for-1 stock split adds a psychological boost for retail investors, improving accessibility and reinforcing bullish sentiment.
Analyst Interpretation: This wasn't just a quarterly report; it was a fundamental confirmation that the AI revolution has tangible, massive earnings power. It alleviated fears that the AI trade was a bubble. For the NASDAQ, which is market-cap weighted and heavily influenced by NVDA, this was rocket fuel.
2. Technical Analysis (One-Day Timeframe Post-Earnings)
Price Action: The NASDAQ gapped up powerfully at the open, breaking cleanly above its previous consolidation range. This was a strong bullish signal.
Volume: The rally was accompanied by massive volume, confirming broad institutional participation. This wasn't a low-volume grind; it was a conviction move.
3. Macro & Fundamental Backdrop
Interest Rates: The market is currently pricing in a higher-for-longer stance from the Fed. However, recent economic data (PMIs, jobless claims) has shown slight signs of softening, which keeps hopes alive for a potential rate cut later in the year. A stable, non-accelerating rate environment is acceptable for tech stocks, especially those like Nvidia with explosive earnings growth that outweighs rate concerns.
Geopolitics: While always a risk (U.S.-China tensions, elections), the market has largely shrugged off these concerns for now, choosing to focus on the stellar corporate fundamentals.
Market Breadth: A key watch-out. The rally has been narrow, led primarily by the "Magnificent 7" (now perhaps the "Fab 1" - Nvidia). For the rally to be sustainable, we need to see broader participation from other sectors and smaller-cap stocks within the NASDAQ.
4. Likely Outcome for the Next 1-2 Weeks: Bullish with a Caveat
Bullish Scenario (60% Probability):
The momentum from Nvidia is likely to carry the NASDAQ higher in the very near term. We could see a continued "melt-up" towards 17,400-17,500 as underinvested funds are forced to chase performance and add equity exposure. Any dip will likely be shallow and bought aggressively, with the 17,000 level holding firm.
Consolidation/Pullback Scenario (35% Probability):
This is the most likely healthy outcome. After such a massive, emotion-driven surge, the market is likely to need a period of digestion. We could see the NASDAQ chop sideways for a week or two to work off the overbought conditions. This would reset the momentum indicators and allow the market to build a new base for the next leg higher. This is not a bearish signal; it is a strengthening signal.
Bearish Reversal Scenario (5% Probability):
A sharp reversal below the 17,000 support level and a fill of the earnings gap (~16,900) would be a significant warning. This would likely require a new, negative macro catalyst (e.g., unexpectedly hot inflation data, a major geopolitical escalation) that forcefully changes the interest rate narrative.
Trading & Investment Implication
For Bulls / Existing Longs: Hold positions. Consider taking partial profits on extreme strength, but avoid selling your entire position. The trend is your friend. Use any pullback to the 17,000 support as a potential buying opportunity.
For New Entrants: Chasing the green spike is high-risk. Be patient. Wait for the inevitable pullback or period of consolidation to establish a position. The risk/reward is poor on the day after a massive gap up.
For Bears: Fighting this tape is exceptionally dangerous. The fundamental news from NVDA is a game-changer for the index. Shorting based solely on overbought conditions is a quick path to losses.
Final Analyst Call: The next week is likely bullish with high volatility, potentially extending gains. However, the following week is highly susceptible to a consolidation or pullback as the initial euphoria settles. The overall trajectory for the next two weeks is cautiously bullish, with the understanding that a 2-4% pullback is a normal and healthy part of a strong uptrend.
The burden of proof is now on the bears to prove they can wrestle control back from a market that just received the best possible news from its most important constituent.
Not financial advice, this is just my opinion.
ZGM | NASDAQ SNIPER ZONES FOR LONGTERM BASED ON SNR Nasdaq Trade !
NASDAQ H4 BREAKOUT THE SELL TRENDLINE FIRST , AND BOX OF RBS CALLED (RESISTANCE BECOME SUPPORT) HAVE A X SETUP
X SETUP EXPLAINED !
The Sell TL Broke And Nasdaq Have A Buy TL Thats Means Its The XSetup
X SETUP + QM SETUP + SUPPORT
FOLLOW US FOR MORE KNOWLEDGE AND TRADE IDEAS
Nasdaq 100 (NQ) - Technical Analysis Report - 20250908Analysis Date: September 8, 2025
Current Price: 23,671
Market Session: Post-Market Analysis
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Executive Summary
Nasdaq 100 presents a moderately extended equity position requiring defensive management, but with meaningful institutional support structure revealed through 3-quarter volume profile analysis. While trading above recent institutional accumulation, the presence of multiple quarterly POCs creates a more robust support framework than initially assessed. This positioning requires cautious defensive strategies rather than emergency liquidation, with clear institutional reference levels for risk management.
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Quarterly Volume Profile Analysis
3-Quarter Institutional Positioning Intelligence
The 3-quarter volume profile (Q1-Q3 2025) reveals a complex but supportive institutional positioning pattern across multiple price ranges:
Multi-Quarter Institutional Activity Zones:
Q1 2025: Heavy blue institutional accumulation at 21,800-22,200 range
Q2 2025: Substantial blue volume during correction at 19,800-20,500 range
Q3 2025: Fresh institutional activity developing at 22,000-22,400 levels
Current price (23,671) moderately extended above most recent institutional positioning
Comprehensive Support Structure:
Primary Support: 22,000-22,400 (Q1/Q3 institutional convergence zone)
Secondary Support: 20,200-20,500 (Q2 correction accumulation)
Extended Support: 19,500-20,000 (historical institutional floor)
Current Extension: 6-8% above primary institutional zones (manageable vs. catastrophic)
Institutional Pattern Analysis:
21,800-22,200: Q1 original institutional positioning validates current levels
19,800-20,500: Q2 correction buying shows institutional conviction during weakness
22,000-22,400: Q3 re-engagement demonstrates continued institutional participation
Above 23,000: Moderate extension requiring defensive positioning
Price Structure Context
Historical Pattern Recognition:
The 3-quarter analysis reveals continuous institutional engagement rather than abandonment, indicating healthy market structure with multiple layers of smart money support. This pattern suggests institutional rotation and repositioning rather than wholesale exit from technology exposure.
Revised Risk Assessment:
Moderate Extension: 6-8% above institutional levels vs. previously assessed 18%+
Multiple Support Layers: Three quarterly POCs provide robust institutional framework
Institutional Continuity: Ongoing smart money participation throughout 2025
Risk Definition: Clear institutional boundaries at multiple levels for defensive management
Sector Composition and Market Leadership
Technology Sector Positioning:
Artificial intelligence leadership driving institutional reallocation
Mega-cap concentration providing stability and institutional interest
Innovation premium supporting elevated valuation multiples
Defensive technology characteristics during uncertain economic cycles
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Execution Chart Technical Analysis
Current Technical Configuration - MIXED SIGNALS
DEMA Analysis - MOMENTUM CONCERNS:
Black Line (Fast DEMA 12): Currently at 23,671
Orange Line (Slow DEMA 20): Currently at 23,597
Configuration: Bullish but showing momentum deceleration
Trend Bias: Technical momentum weakening despite continued bullish bias
DMI/ADX Assessment - TREND MATURITY:
ADX Level: Declining from previous highs, indicating mature trend phase
+DI vs -DI: +DI maintaining slight edge but margin narrowing
Momentum Direction: Signs of trend maturation after extended advance
Trend Strength: Weakening ADX suggests institutional repositioning phase
Stochastic Analysis - OVERBOUGHT BUT NOT EXTREME:
Tactical Stochastic (5,3,3): Overbought with some negative divergence
Strategic Stochastic (50,3,3): Extended levels but within historical norms
Divergence Analysis: Moderate negative divergences suggesting consolidation need
Support and Resistance Levels
Critical Technical Levels:
Current Resistance: 24,000 (psychological and technical barrier)
Immediate Support: 23,400 (DEMA cluster support)
Key Support: 22,800 (recent consolidation boundary)
Major Support: 22,200 (Q1/Q3 institutional convergence)
Critical Support: 20,500 (Q2 institutional accumulation)
Ultimate Support: 19,500-20,000 (historical institutional floor)
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Trading Scenarios and Setup Criteria
Scenario 1: Defensive Profit-Taking Setup (PRIMARY)
Recommended Position Management:
Systematic reduction of existing positions by 50-75%
Profit-taking priority given moderate extension above institutional levels
Maintain small tactical exposure with tight risk management
Capital reallocation to higher-conviction institutional accumulation opportunities
Profit-Taking Protocol:
Primary Action: Reduce positions by 50-75% at current levels
Secondary Reduction: Complete exit on failure to hold 22,500 support
Stop Management: Trail stops using 22,200 institutional support
Cash Allocation: Redirect capital to commodity opportunities with stronger institutional backing
Scenario 2: Tactical Range Trading (SECONDARY)
Range-Bound Management:
Defined range: 22,200-23,800 (institutional support to resistance)
Small position tactical trading within institutional boundaries
Quick profit-taking on bounces toward 23,500-23,800
Defensive positioning on approaches to 22,200 support
Range Parameters:
Long Zone: 22,200-22,500 (institutional support approach)
Short Zone: 23,600-23,800 (resistance approach)
Stop Distance: 400-600 points maximum
Position Size: Reduced allocation (1% account risk maximum)
Scenario 3: Breakdown Management (DEFENSIVE)
Support Violation Protocol:
Break below 22,200 requires immediate position liquidation
Institutional support violation indicates potential deeper correction
Target return to 20,200-20,500 Q2 institutional accumulation
Complete avoidance until clear institutional re-engagement
Breakdown Parameters:
Critical Level: 22,200 (institutional support)
Action Required: Immediate exit of all positions
Targets: 20,500, 20,000, 19,500 (institutional accumulation zones)
Re-entry Criteria: New institutional accumulation evidence required
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Risk Management Protocols
Position Sizing Guidelines
Defensive Approach (Recommended):
Maximum Risk: 1.5% of account (reduced from standard due to extension)
Contract Calculation: Account Size × 0.015 ÷ (Stop Distance × $5)
Example: $100,000 account with 500-point stop = 40 contracts maximum
Rationale: Extended positioning requires conservative allocation
Stop Loss Hierarchy
Tactical Stop: 23,200 (execution chart support cluster)
Strategic Stop: 22,200 (institutional support boundary)
Emergency Stop: 20,500 (Q2 institutional accumulation violation)
Portfolio Management Framework
Defensive Positioning Strategy:
Current Holdings: Reduce exposure by 50-75%
New Positions: Limited tactical exposure only
Capital Reallocation: Redirect to institutional accumulation opportunities (NG, CL, 6E)
Monitoring Frequency: Daily assessment of institutional level respect
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Market Context and External Factors
Technology Sector Fundamental Assessment
Supporting Factors:
Artificial intelligence revolution driving institutional reallocation
Productivity gains supporting elevated valuation multiples
Defensive growth characteristics during economic uncertainty
Innovation leadership providing competitive advantages
Risk Factors:
Interest rate sensitivity affecting growth stock premiums
Regulatory scrutiny on mega-cap technology companies
Valuation concerns at current extension levels
Economic cycle sensitivity for discretionary technology spending
Institutional Investment Trends
Smart Money Positioning:
Continued institutional engagement evidenced by Q3 volume activity
Rotation within technology rather than wholesale sector exit
Quality focus on mega-cap names with defensive characteristics
AI theme driving strategic institutional reallocation
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Monitoring Checklist and Alert Levels
Daily Monitoring Requirements
Institutional Respect: Monitor behavior at 22,200 support boundary
DEMA Configuration: Watch for momentum deterioration or bearish crossover
Volume Analysis: Track institutional activity at current levels
Sector Rotation: Monitor technology vs defensive sector performance
Policy Impact: Federal Reserve decisions affecting growth stock valuations
Critical Alert Levels
Risk Escalation Alerts:
Break below 22,200 institutional support with volume
DEMA bearish crossover below 23,400
ADX declining below 20 with -DI gaining dominance
Technology sector rotation accelerating toward defensives
Defensive Action Triggers:
Multiple failures to break above 24,000 resistance
Volume decline on any rally attempts above 23,500
Institutional selling evidence (yellow volume) at current levels
Federal Reserve policy shifts affecting interest rate outlook
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Strategic Outlook and Risk Assessment
Risk/Reward Analysis
Moderate Risk Profile:
Upside Potential: Limited 500-1,000 points to major resistance
Downside Risk: 1,500-3,000 points to institutional accumulation zones
Risk/Reward Ratio: Unfavorable 1:2+ downside bias
Probability Assessment: Moderate (35%) for further upside, High (65%) for correction
Portfolio Allocation Recommendation
Defensive Management Required
Nasdaq 100 requires defensive positioning due to moderate extension above institutional levels, but the presence of multiple quarterly POCs provides meaningful support structure. While not emergency territory, the asymmetric risk profile favors systematic profit-taking and capital reallocation to higher-conviction opportunities with stronger institutional backing. The 3-quarter analysis reveals ongoing institutional engagement, allowing for tactical exposure with proper risk management.
Allocation Framework:
Current Portfolio Weight: Reduce to 8-12% maximum (from higher previous levels)
Entry Method: Limited tactical positions only until institutional re-accumulation
Hold Period: Short-term tactical only, systematic profit-taking
Exit Strategy: Defensive reduction with 22,200 as critical support
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Conclusion and Strategic Assessment
Nasdaq 100 analysis demonstrates the importance of comprehensive timeframe evaluation in institutional intelligence assessment. The 3-quarter volume profile reveals a more nuanced risk picture than initially assessed, showing continued institutional engagement across multiple price levels. While defensive positioning remains appropriate due to moderate extension, the presence of multiple institutional support layers allows for tactical exposure rather than complete avoidance. Current conditions warrant systematic profit-taking with clear institutional boundaries for risk management.
Strategic Priority: Defensive positioning with systematic profit-taking while respecting institutional support levels at 22,200 and 20,500 as critical risk management boundaries.
Next Review: Daily monitoring of institutional level respect and momentum indicators
Position Management: Systematic reduction with defensive stops at institutional boundaries
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Important Disclaimer
Risk Warning and Educational Purpose Statement
This analysis is provided for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or trading signals. All trading and investment decisions are solely the responsibility of the individual trader or investor.
Key Risk Considerations:
Futures trading involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors
Past performance does not guarantee future results
Market conditions can change rapidly, invalidating any analysis
Leverage can amplify both profits and losses significantly
Individual financial circumstances and risk tolerance vary greatly
Professional Guidance: Before making any trading decisions, consult with qualified financial advisors, conduct your own research, and ensure you fully understand the risks involved. Only trade with capital you can afford to lose.
Methodology Limitations: Volume profile analysis and technical indicators are tools for market assessment but are not infallible predictors of future price movement. Market dynamics include numerous variables that cannot be fully captured in any single analytical framework.
The views and analysis presented represent one interpretation of market data and should be considered alongside other forms of analysis and individual judgment.
NQ100 Intraday Outlook – Sept 8, 2025🧠 NQ100 Intraday Outlook – Sept 8, 2025
Bias: Intraday Bearish after NY Open
Price is currently trading within a well-defined premium zone, between the Sunday-Monday Order Block and the BPR M30 area.
🧩 Key Observations:
Price tapped into a minor M5 Order Block (OB) right after the 8:30 NY macro event.
We're seeing a reaction to a short-term OB, with a small push up likely to grab liquidity above the London session high.
Expecting liquidity run + rejection from the upper OB zone (23,810–23,830).
🔽 Bearish Scenario:
After the sweep of local highs, I anticipate a sell-off toward the Imbalance zone below (23,710 area).
Main targets are:
Imbalance fill
Possibly further down toward Weekly Open near 23,680
🔧 Confluence:
Midnight Open has already been reclaimed.
NY AM session is about to open – expecting expansion to provide confirmation.
Potential divergence between NQ (stronger) and ES (weaker) gives context for relative weakness later in the session.
📌 Idea Summary:
I expect one final push into the premium zone to grab liquidity before reversing down toward the Imbalance and possibly into the Weekly Open.
Micron (MU) Trade Plan | Resistance, Pullback & Thief Setup📊 Micron Technology (MU) | Thief Plan Swing/Day Trading Setup
⚡ Why This Plan?
Micron Technology (MU) has been showing strong momentum in 2025, driven by AI demand, DRAM revenue growth, and favorable fundamentals. The Thief Plan Strategy (layering entries + tactical exits) is designed to adapt to both swing & day trading setups, balancing technical signals with fundamental catalysts.
🎯 Thief Technical Trading Plan
Strategy: Hull Moving Average Pullback ➝ Bullish Bias
Entry Method (Layering Style): Multiple buy limit layers
$122.00
$124.00
$126.00
$128.00
(You may increase/decrease layers based on your own plan & risk)
Stop Loss: Thief SL reference @ $115.00
Adjust based on your own risk tolerance & style.
Target Zone: $146.00 (resistance barricade / overbought trap zone — best to “escape” before exhaustion).
⚠️ Note: These levels are educational references. Manage your own SL/TP — trade at your own risk.
📈 Fundamental & Sentiment Insights
52-Week Range: $61.54 – $131.41
Market Cap: $147.02B
YTD Performance: +50.4% 🚀
Investor Sentiment:
Analyst Consensus: Moderate Buy 🟢
21 Buy | 5 Hold | 1 Sell | 2 Strong Buy
Avg. PT: $147.54 (+12.3% Upside)
Institutional Ownership: 80.84%
Fear & Greed Index: 39/100 → Fear 😨
Earnings & Growth:
Q3 FY2025 EPS: $1.91 (Beat by $0.34)
Revenue Growth YoY: +58.2%
DRAM Revenue: +51% YoY (AI-driven)
Net Margin: 18.41%
Debt-to-Equity: 0.30 (healthy)
Dividend Yield: 0.4%
🌍 Macro & Market Drivers
AI Boom: HBM demand projected at $10B run-rate.
Data Center DRAM: +63% YoY expected in Q4 FY2025.
US CHIPS Act & Tariffs: Long-term tailwinds for domestic semiconductor players.
Competition: Samsung & SK Hynix applying pressure on margins.
🐂 Bullish vs 🐻 Bearish Outlook
Bullish Case (Long):
AI/Data Center demand ➝ strong revenue trajectory.
Valuation attractive (PE 23.6x vs peers 32x).
Analyst PTs reach as high as $200.
Bearish Case (Risk):
Memory market cyclicality ➝ volatile pricing.
Fear & Greed shows low confidence (39/100).
DCF suggests stock could be overvalued short-term.
📌 Summary
Outlook: Neutral ➝ Bullish short-term (AI strength offsets macro fear).
Catalyst: Q4 FY2025 Earnings (Sept 23, 2025).
Risk: Moderate (High Beta 1.47).
🔗 Related Assets to Watch
NASDAQ:NVDA - AI semiconductor sentiment indicator
NASDAQ:AMD - Semiconductor sector momentum
NASDAQ:SOXX - Semiconductor ETF for sector strength
NASDAQ:SMH - Alternative semiconductor ETF
NASDAQ:WDC - Memory sector correlation
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
#MU #Micron #Stocks #SwingTrade #DayTrading #ThiefPlan #Semiconductors #AI #TechStocks #TradingView
META Platforms — Can Bulls Escape With $800 Loot?📈 META Money Heist: Bullish Thief Swing/Day Trade Plan! 💰🔥
Date: 08 September 2025
Asset: META Platforms, Inc.
Trading Style: Money Heist Plan with Thief Strategy (Swing/Day Trade) 🦹♂️
Plan: Bullish (Pullback in the LSMA Moving Average) – Bulls charging for upside momentum! 🚀
🎯 Entry: Any Price Level – Thief Using Layer Strategy
Deploy multiple limit orders (layering style entries) at $730.00, $740.00, $750.00 (scale up layers based on your preference).
Be a stealthy trader, sniping entries during pullbacks for max profits! 🕵️♂️
🛑 Stop Loss: Thief SL at $710.00
Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG's), adjust your SL based on your strategy and risk tolerance. Protect your loot! 🛡️
Please adapt your SL to your own strategy, risk appetite, and style — take profits when it makes sense for you.
🎯 Target: Resistance + Overbought Zone + Trap Ahead
Escape with your stolen profits before the trap! Aim for $800.00 target. 🏃♂️💨
📝 Note: Dear Thief OG's
I’m not dictating your TP – it’s your heist! Take profits at your own risk and make the market your playground. 💸
💡 Why This Plan? Thief Strategy + Market Edge
The Thief Plan is a cunning, layered approach to "steal" profits from market pullbacks, aligning with META’s bullish technicals (near 52-week highs, above 200-day SMA). By stacking limit orders, you capitalize on dips in the LSMA moving average, riding the bulls’ strength with precision. Backed by strong fundamentals, macro trends, and greedy sentiment, this setup is primed for a high-reward heist! 🤑
📊 META Stock Sentiment & Market Outlook (08 Sept 2025)
🔢 Real-Time Data Overview
📈 Day Change: +0.51% (↑ $3.80)
📏 52-Week Range: $479.80 - $796.25
💰 Market Cap: $1.89T 🏆
😊 Investor Sentiment Outlook
Retail & Institutional Mood
🟢 Consensus Sentiment: Bullish (Greed Phase)
Analysts’ Price Target Avg: $822.41 (9.30% upside).
42/47 analysts rate META as "Buy" 🟢.
Institutions love AI-driven ad growth + strong cash flow. 💪
Fear & Greed Index
⚖️ Stock Market Sentiment Score: 53/100 (Neutral to Greed)
Driven by market momentum, options activity, and low volatility.
🔄 Crypto Sentiment: Neutral (53/100).
📉 Fundamental & Macro Score Points
Fundamental Strength ✅
💸 Valuation:
P/E Ratio: 27.32 (below peers’ avg 35.47).
Free Cash Flow: $57.63B (projected to hit $198.64B by 2035).
Profit Margin: 39.99% (industry leader).
🚀 Growth Catalysts:
AI boosting ad engagement.
Reality Labs innovation (long-term bet).
⚠️ Risks:
Regulatory scrutiny (antitrust/data privacy) 🚨.
High reliance on ad revenue (98% of total).
Macroeconomic Factors 🌍
📅 Upcoming Events:
CPI Inflation Report (11 Sept).
Fed Meeting (16-17 Sept) 🏦.
📊 Market Volatility: VIX stable (low fear).
🐂 Overall Market Outlook: BULLISH (LONG)
⏳ Short-Term: ✅
Price near 52-week high + above 200-day SMA.
Target upside: $900+ (Bank of America, DBS Bank).
📅 Long-Term: ✅
AI monetization + metaverse potential.
Undervalued by 29% (DCF model).
🎯 Key Takeaways
😊 Sentiment: Greed-driven optimism (institutional + retail).
💰 Fundamentals: Strong cash flow + EPS growth ($27.54).
🌍 Macro: Monitor CPI/Fed for volatility triggers.
⚠️ Risk: Regulatory risks offset by growth bets.
✅ Verdict: Bullish alignment across sentiment, fundamentals, and technicals.
📡 Related Pairs to Watch (in USD)
NASDAQ:AAPL
NASDAQ:GOOGL
NASDAQ:MSFT
NASDAQ:AMZN
NASDAQ:NVDA
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
#META #MoneyHeistTrade #BullishSetup #ThiefStrategy #SwingTrading #DayTrading #AIStocks #TechStocks #TradingView #StockMarket #FearAndGreed #BullMarket
NASDAQ (NQ1!): Buy It Until The Market Notifies Us Otherwise!Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Sept 8 - 12.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX market: NASDAQ (NQ1!) NAS100
The NASDAQ looks poised to move higher. There is potential for it to make a new ATH.
Wait for pullbacks to poi's for valid long setups.
I do not see a reason to sell this market. Until there is a bearish break of market structure, buys are the ticket.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
NAS100 At Major Resistance - Breakout or Reversal?NAS100 Technical Analysis: 🚀 At Major Resistance - Breakout or Reversal? 📉
Asset: NAS100 (NASDAQ 100 CFD)
Analysis Date: September 5, 2025
Current Closing Price: 23,639.8 (as of 12:59 AM UTC+4)
Timeframes Analyzed: 1H, 4H, D, W
Executive Summary & Market Outlook 🧐
The NAS100 is at a critical technical juncture, testing a formidable resistance zone between 23,600 and 23,800. 📊 The index is in a clear long-term bullish trend but shows signs of short-term exhaustion after a powerful rally. This is a classic "make-or-break" level. A decisive breakout above 23,800 could ignite a new leg up towards 24,500, while a rejection here may trigger a significant corrective pullback towards 22,800. This analysis provides a roadmap for both intraday traders 🎯 and swing traders 📈.
Multi-Timeframe Technical Analysis 🔍
1. Trend Analysis (Daily & 4-Hour Chart):
Primary Trend: 🟢 Bullish. Price is above all major Daily Moving Averages (200, 100, 50 EMA), which are aligned bullishly.
Short-Term Trend: 🟡 Bullish but Overextended. The rally has been near-vertical, suggesting the market is ripe for a pause or pullback.
2. Key Chart Patterns & Theories:
Resistance Confluence Zone 🧱: The current price is battling a massive resistance cluster. This zone includes:
A prior major swing high (Price Action Resistance).
The 127.2% and 161.8% Fibonacci extension levels from the last significant correction.
A potential Bullish Cypher pattern's Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ).
Elliott Wave Theory 🌊: The rally from the last major low is best counted as a powerful Impulse Wave. We are likely in the final stages of Wave 5 or a complex Wave 3 extension. This implies that while the trend is up, a larger Wave (4) correction is increasingly probable. Typical retracement targets for a Wave 4 are the 38.2% Fib level near 22,800.
Ichimoku Cloud (H4/D1) ☁️: Price is trading high above the Cloud on daily charts, confirming the strong bullish trend. The Lagging Span (Chikou Span) is also well above price, indicating sustained buying pressure. However, such extreme extensions often precede consolidation.
Gann Theory ⏳: The 23,600-23,800 area represents a key mathematical resistance zone. A daily close above this could open the path to the next Gann angle target.
3. Critical Support & Resistance Levels:
Resistance (R1): 23,800 - 24,000 (Key Psychological & Technical Ceiling) 🚨
Resistance (R2): 24,500 (Projected Target)
Current Closing Price: ~23,640
Support (S1): 23,200 - 23,400 (Immediate Support & 21-period EMA) ✅
Support (S2): 22,800 - 23,000 (Major Support - 38.2% Fib & Prior Breakout Zone) 🛡️
Support (S3): 22,200 (200-Day EMA & 50% Fib)
4. Indicator Consensus:
RSI (14-period on 4H/D): Reading is above 70 on both timeframes, signaling severely overbought conditions. 📛 This is a warning against chasing longs at these highs. A bearish divergence is forming on the 4H chart, hinting at weakening momentum.
Bollinger Bands (4H) 📏: Price is consistently riding the upper band, a sign of a strong trend. However, a move back towards the middle band (20-period SMA) is a common next step after such extensions.
Moving Averages: The bullish alignment (EMA8 > EMA21 > EMA50) is intact. The EMA 21 on the 4H chart (~23,400) is critical immediate support.
Volume & VWAP: Volume has been declining on the most recent push higher, a potential bearish divergence 📉 suggesting a lack of conviction at these highs.
Trading Strategy & Forecast 🎯
A. Intraday Trading Strategy (5M - 1H Charts):
Bearish Scenario (Rejection Play) ⬇️: This is the preferred setup given overbought conditions. Look for bearish reversal candlestick patterns (e.g., Bearish Engulfing, Evening Star 🌟) at or near the 23,800 resistance.
Entry: On confirmation of rejection.
Stop Loss: Tight, above 23,850.
Target: 23,400 (TP1), 23,200 (TP2).
Bullish Scenario (Breakout Play) ⬆️: If buyers overpower and we get a strong 1H close above 23,850, a momentum long could be viable.
Entry: On a small pullback to ~23,780 (re-test as support) or on the breakout.
Stop Loss: Below 23,650.
Target: 24,200 (TP1), 24,500 (TP2).
B. Swing Trading Strategy (4H - D Charts):
Strategy: WAIT FOR A PULLBACK. The risk/reward for new long entries at this resistance is poor. 🚫 The optimal strategy is to wait for a healthy correction to key support zones to add long positions.
Ideal Long Zones: 23,200 (shallow pullback) or 22,800 (deeper correction). ✅
Bearish Risk: A daily close below 22,800 would signal a much deeper correction is likely underway, potentially targeting 22,200.
Risk Management & Conclusion ⚠️
Key Risk Events: High-impact US economic data (e.g., NFP, CPI) and Fed policy announcements are paramount. 🔥 Any hawkish surprises could be the catalyst for a sharp tech-led selloff.
Position Sizing: The potential for increased volatility demands conservative risk management. Never risk more than 1-2% of your account on a single trade.
Conclusion: The NAS100 is bullish but exhausted. 🥴 The current resistance zone is a high-risk area for new longs and a high-probability area for a pullback. 🎯 Swing traders should be patient for a better entry. Intraday traders can play the range between 23,200 and 23,800 until a decisive break occurs. The overall trend remains up, but a period of consolidation or correction is the most probable outcome in the near term.
Overall Bias: 🟢 Bullish above 22,800 | 🟡 Neutral/Bearish below 23,200
For individuals seeking to enhance their trading abilities based on the analyses provided, I recommend exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya Trade. (Website: shunya dot trade)
I would appreciate your feedback on this analysis, as it will serve as a valuable resource for future endeavors.
Sincerely,
Shunya.Trade
Website: shunya dot trade
Disclaimer: This post is intended solely for educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed herein are derived from technical analysis and are shared for informational purposes only. The stock market inherently carries risks, including the potential for capital loss. Therefore, readers are strongly advised to exercise prudent judgment before making any investment decisions. We assume no liability for any actions taken based on this content. For personalized guidance, it is recommended to consult a certified financial advisor.
Nasdaq - Preparing for another correction!🚔Nasdaq ( TVC:NDQ ) is starting to look weak:
🔎Analysis summary:
Over the course of the past couple of months, we witnessed an incredible rally on the Nasdaq. Following this previous price action, it is quite likely that we will soon see another correction. This could start with the current retest of the channel resistance trendline.
📝Levels to watch:
$23.000
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
Fed cut odds hit 97% ahead of Friday’s jobs report Markets are waiting for Friday’s U.S. NFP jobs report, which could heavily influence the Federal Reserve’s next move on interest rates.
Traders want a result that supports the case for rate cuts but doesn’t raise fears of a weakening economy. The ADP private payrolls report showed 54,000 new jobs in August. Stocks moved higher on the news, as wall street saw the number as weak enough for the Fed to cut rates in September, but not so weak that it signals a recession.
According to CME Group’s FedWatch tool, there is now a 97% chance the Fed will lower rates when it meets in two weeks.
Interesting price action out of the Nasdaq 100Following the Nasdaq 100's rebound from the 50-day SMA at 23,143 on Tuesday, this has delivered two potential bullish scenarios worthy of being added to the watchlist.
First is a potential double-bottom pattern at 22,958, with a neckline calling for attention at 23,741. A breakout north of the neckline sheds light on the Stock Index potentially refreshing all-time highs beyond the current record of 23,969 (13 August).
Second is a possible morning star bullish candlestick pattern formed from the mentioned 50-day SMA. As a note, traders tend to attack this pattern’s structure by placing buy-stop orders above the pattern’s high (third candle in the formation) and positioning protective stop-loss orders beneath the pattern’s low.
Written by FP Markets Chief Market Analyst Aaron Hill
US100 Trading Plan ¦ Layering Strategy + Macro Sentiment Drivers🚀 NASDAQ100 / US100 Index – Thief Money Heist Plan 🎭
📌 Plan: Bullish Swing / Scalping Setup
Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s), here’s the heist-style breakdown for US100 🔑:
🏴☠️ Entry Style (Thief Layering Strategy)
Using layered limit orders for flexibility & precision:
• 23200.0
• 23250.0
• 23300.0
• 23350.0
(You may increase limit layers based on your strategy & risk appetite)
📉 Moving Average Pullback Entry Plan
• Buy entries on pullbacks to the Fibo level 382 Triangular Moving average zone.
• Look for bullish candles confirming the bounce from these MAs.
• This offers better risk-to-reward by catching momentum on retracements instead of chasing highs.
❓ Why This Works?
• Moving averages often act as dynamic support/resistance in trending markets.
• Institutional traders & algos track them heavily, making them high-probability zones.
• Combining with layering entries = higher flexibility + reduced risk of mistimed single entry.
🛡️ Stop Loss (Protect the Vault)
• Thief SL: @23000.0
• Reminder: Adjust your SL based on your own strategy & risk tolerance.
🎯 Target (Escape Zone)
• Overbought + Trap Zone ahead!
• Escape target: @23750.0
• Note: Don’t rely only on my TP — secure profits at your own pace and risk.
📊 US100 Index CFD Real-Time Data Sep 03
📈 Daily Change: +133.47 (+0.57%)
📅 Monthly Performance: +0.76%
📆 Yearly Performance: +23.48%
😰😊 Fear & Greed Index
📊 Current Reading: 53/100 (Neutral)
🧐 Interpretation: Market sentiment is balanced, showing neither extreme fear nor greed. Investors are cautious but not panicked.
🧠 Retail vs. Institutional Sentiment
👥 Retail Traders: Moderately bullish (55% Long, 45% Short)
🏦 Institutional Traders: Slightly cautious (50% Long, 50% Short)
🔑 Key Drivers: Mixed signals from manufacturing data and upcoming labor market reports.
📉📈 Fundamental & Macro Score
📊 Macro Score: 6/10
Manufacturing PMI (48.7) still in contraction but improving.
Labor market data (JOLTS) awaited for clarity.
⚡ Volatility Score: 5/10 (Moderate)
VIX near average levels, indicating stable expectations.
💧 Liquidity Score: 7/10
Strong volume and breadth in large-cap tech stocks.
🐂🐻 Overall Market Outlook
✅ Bullish (Long): 60%
Supported by strong yearly gains and resilience in big tech.
⚠️ Bearish (Short): 40%
Concerns over manufacturing contraction and inflation pressures.
💡 Key Takeaways
📈 US100 is trending mildly positive today (+0.57%).
😐 Sentiment is neutral—no extreme fear or greed.
📊 Macro data hints at cautious optimism but watch for upcoming labor reports.
🐂 Overall bias leans slightly bullish for long-term holders.
📊 Related Pairs to Watch
FOREXCOM:SPX500
TVC:DJI
TVC:VIX
NASDAQ:NDX
FX:USDOLLAR
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
#NASDAQ100 #US100 #NDX #SPX500 #DJI #TradingView #SwingTrade #ScalpTrading #LayeringStrategy #MarketAnalysis
Nasdaq Computer sector & Nasdaq nearing pullback areaNasdaq Computer (IXCO) Is nearing pullback territory (23,717 resistance). IXCO being the largest sector in Nasdaq (IXIC) means the composite index, now that it's over previous resistance, is also looking for a pullback into support (20,160).
It's possible IXCO will break resistance next year and if that happens whatever gains are made will be lost on an eventual drop back into support.
If you have call options on NVDA or other tech companies closing them when IXCO hits 23,717 is highly advisable. If it hits there around this January it could be 2 years before IXCO resumes the uptrend past 23,717. Calls will likely get destroyed during this time.
Another note is lots of tech IPOs are occurring this year with lofty valuations. When this IXCO pullback comes they are likely to get hit hard. It's a great opportunity to short or wait to buy up the ones you like when the pullback is over.
As always good luck and try your best to avoid getting into new tech related trades as this year ends. It's going to be a great idea to have cash ready next year.