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Why is APEcoin still in Top 100 Cryptocurrencies?!?!If you haven`t read the APE Coin Growth Thesis: Then you should know that APEcoin's current market cap of $2.3 billion and its position within the top 100 cryptocurrencies seem overinflated and unjustified. The project's reliance on non-fungible tokens (NFTs) raises concerns about its intrinsic value and utility within the broader crypto ecosystem. Unlike other cryptocurrencies that offer tangible benefits, APEcoin's NFTs fail to provide significant value. While NFTs have gained popularity, their long-term sustainability and practical applications remain questionable. APEcoin's NFTs lack a compelling narrative or clear use case that would justify its market capitalization. In contrast to APEcoin, top-ranking cryptocurrencies have solid underlying fundamentals, offering functionalities such as decentralized applications, smart contracts, or efficient cross-border transactions. APEcoin's limited value proposition puts it at a disadvantage in the highly competitive crypto market. Considering these factors, a market correction or revaluation for APEcoin appears likely. A more realistic price target of $1.04 is in line with its current value and potential market demand. Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
Short
by TopgOptions
BLUR Cryptocurrency potential Sell-Off soon!BLUR serves as the governance token for Blur, a non-fungible token (NFT) marketplace and aggregator platform. BLUR Market Cap is $813Mil BLUR Fully Diluted Market Capitalization is $1,96 Billion! 49.46M $BLUR(about $32.50M) was unlocked yesterday and they will be unlocking more coins next month! I have a rival to study for comparison, Rarible and its token RARI. Rarible operates as an NFT marketplace and issuance platform with a focus on empowering creators. The platform leverages the RARI token to reward users engaged in active interactions with the protocol. RARI Market Cap is $32Mil RARI Fully Diluted Market Capitalization is $35Mil! In 2021 RARI was trading at $63.53 and its fully diluted Mk cap was $1.57 Billion! Sounds familiar? Then the DILUTION started! And now is trading 45X lower, at $1.4! In case it will follow RARI`s rule, my price target for BLUR is $0.015. Now it`s trading at $0.657!
Short
by TopgOptions
5
TON Toncoin potential SelloffTelegram CEO Pavel Durov has been charged for failing to prevent extremist and illegal content on the messaging platform and placed under judicial supervision, according to the Paris prosecutor's office on August 28. Durov must report to the police twice a week and is barred from leaving France, the prosecutor's office stated on X. Parisian investigative judges have also ordered the Russian-born Telegram co-founder to post 5 million euros in bail. Meanwhile, TON Toncoin is currently in a bearish falling wedge pattern, with a new price target of $3.9.
Short
by TopgOptions
4
What actually happened with silver and gold?📉 🔥 Historic sell-off in precious metals Silver plunged roughly 30% in a single session, one of the steepest drops in decades. Gold also fell sharply, down ~10% on the same day. This wasn’t a gradual pullback, it was an explosive repricing event tied to market structure and narrative shift. 📌 The main trigger, Fed politics and policy expectations 🎯 Fed chair nomination reset risk pricing President Trump’s announcement of Kevin Warsh as the next Federal Reserve Chair triggered the move. Warsh is widely viewed as someone who would not pursue aggressive rate cuts or “soft dollar” policy. Markets interpreted the news as reducing the likelihood of sustained monetary easing. This altered expectations about: - future rate cuts - the strength of the USD - how attractive non-yielding assets like gold & silver are 💵 Dollar and rates link Silver and gold rallied heavily earlier this year on the weak dollar / low-rate narrative (inflation fears + Fed independence concerns). After the Fed chair news: - USD strengthened (DXY saw among its biggest single-day gains in months). - Stronger dollar = precious metals face headwinds because they’re priced in USD globally. - That dynamic mechanically pressured the metals complex. 🧨 Structural and technical catalysts There were additional amplifiers beyond the headline: 1) Overextension Silver was coming off a parabolic run. Parabolic moves tend to have sharp corrections once the narrative shifts, especially in leveraged markets. 2) Leverage unwind and margin effects Many speculative positions were highly leveraged. Once price started dropping, margin calls and algorithmic stop-loss triggers can cascade into rapid, large moves. This is exactly how big crashes can happen even without fundamental supply/demand changes. 3) Monthly liquidity dynamics Friday, Jan 30 was the final trading day of the month for many accounts, liquidity tends to thin at month-end and amplify volatility. 🧠 Market behavior tells a macro story, not just a metal story 1) Narrative shift from debasing dollar / easy money to policy uncertainty Before: markets discounted a scenario of future rate cuts and dollar weakening → commodities soared. After: a perceived shift in Fed leadership removed some of that expectation → safe haven flows unwound. This is why silver and gold can drop even as risk assets also weaken, it’s not a simple risk-off trade. 2) Silver’s structure makes it more volatile than gold Industrial component + safe-haven component Overextension + technical stops = exaggerated moves This aligns with macro liquidity swings rather than fundamentals abruptly changing. 📌 How this fits within a macro narrative Your macro framework emphasizes relationships and regime context, not isolated moves. This event reinforces that: ➤ Monetary policy expectations are still central Today’s moves weren’t driven by CPI or GDP data, they were driven by policy narrative shifts. ➤ Markets can unwind risk assets outside classic risk-off Here we saw: - Dollar strengthening - Metals collapsing - Stocks weakening - Volatility rising This is not pure risk-off, nor pure risk-on, it’s a repricing of policy risk across decision trees. ➤ Carry and liquidity still matter When narrative shifts quickly, the weakest crowded trades unwind first, in this case, highly leveraged precious metals. Even ahead of the broader regime shift. 🧩 What this means for the short–medium term 1) Silver and gold volatility will stay elevated Sharp moves tend to be followed by whipsaw behavior Positioning is de-risking, not necessarily reversing yet 2) Dollar strength matters Metals are discounted as the dollar index rebounds Watch DXY behavior closely, if it stabilizes lower again, metals may find a footing 3) Policy risk is now priced more dominantly than macro data Traders are reacting to expectations of future rate trajectories This can create overshoots in both directions 📌 Key factual takeaways Silver’s ~30% drop was one of the largest single-day declines in decades, driven by Fed chair nomination news and immediate re-pricing of monetary expectations. A stronger USD and rising yields created headwinds for precious metals, which are priced in dollars and do not yield interest. Technical and leverage factors (stop-losses, margin calls, overextended RSI) amplified the sell-off. This was not a fundamental supply shock, but a macro sentiment and positioning unwind.
TVC:SILVER
by GoldvalleyCap
BTC (last 2 days)Yesterday was a liquidation-style selloff: multiple oversized 5m candles and wicks, no clean pullbacks, and consecutive inefficiencies printed (stacked 5m/15m FVGs). Any “normal” retest logic got distorted by volatility spikes, so execution quality depended on waiting for acceptance/reclaim rather than trying to catch the first touch. Today shifted into repair mode: price started building bases out of prior displacement (what looked like a 15m FVG effectively behaved like a higher-TF supply/base zone, then evolved into an actionable RBD/RDB structure). We got a push into the 5m FVG and a reaction, but the retest failed and price slipped back into the 1h RBD, invalidating the long continuation attempt. One partial TP was possible, but the runner got taken out on the reversal—classic “paid for information” trade: initial confirmation, then rejection/rotation back into the higher-TF base. Key takeaway: in this volatility regime, treat FVGs as reaction areas, not guaranteed entries—confirmation (hold/reclaim + retest) matters more than precision. Execution priority was: reclaim/acceptance first, then entry; otherwise fade/short only after loss of base and failed reclaim.
KRAKEN:BTCUSD.PM
by vanlubow
5
Markets are predictable. Trading S/D imbalances.Pre-election. 1200% extension after a 2-year rally. Facing ATH with strong trend and expectations. This is a rule or factorial based approach. What most people think - is usually how most people are positioned, or usually also is the logical truth. When something extends... and some risks emerge -- you can't really trust charts (ie demand strength). that's a prejudgement? ie sloppy way to look at things. Also somewhat predictable is the 2 year rally, 3rd year weakness. If markets stall -- markets sells off on expectations of that "rule" lol
NASDAQ:NVDA
by citsvar
Gold price continues to fall back to 3933⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: Gold (XAU/USD) extends its slide toward $4,030 in early Asian trading on Tuesday, pressured by fading expectations of a US rate cut next month. Markets now await Thursday’s US September Nonfarm Payrolls report for further direction. Meanwhile, the US Dollar strengthens for a third straight day, making gold more expensive for foreign buyers. Traders continue to look for clarity on the Fed’s policy outlook after the record-long government shutdown delayed key economic data releases ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: Continuously breaking support, gold price returns to 3933 below 4000. Selling pressure remains. ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥SELL GOLD zone: 4108 - 4110 SL 4115 TP1: $4100 TP2: $4090 TP3: $4080 🔥BUY GOLD zone: 3933 - 3931 SL 3926 TP1: $3945 TP2: $3960 TP3: $3970 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Nova-Scalper
2
Gold prices continue to fall around 4000⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: Gold (XAU/USD) rebounds toward $4,105 in early European trading on Friday, breaking a two-day losing streak as a softer US Dollar lends support. Traders now look to upcoming Fed remarks from Williams, Jefferson, Kashkari, and Waller for further direction. Improved risk sentiment following the US government’s reopening has weighed on safe-haven demand. The shutdown ended after President Trump signed a funding bill last week, allowing federal employees to return to work after the 43-day closure ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: Gold price continues to accumulate - short-term correction downtrend below 4145 ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥SELL GOLD zone: 4144 - 4146 SL 4151 TP1: $4130 TP2: $4115 TP3: $4100 🔥BUY GOLD zone: 4006 - 4004 SL 3999 TP1: $4018 TP2: $4030 TP3: $4045 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Nova-Scalper
1
BTC not looking goodPurely looking at the technicals, macros, and trends BTC is well positioned to continue to take a dive. All the mini pumps are still below 9SMA/50SMA and about to cross 200SMA. So it's moving in channel in a downward motion. Also, leave your emotions at the door when looking at charts and reading about BTC or anything else frankly. The macros all say the same thing, there's stress in the economy and retailers, if not prepared, will be the EXIT liquidity. No crypto bros will save you! Always take positions with the broader direction and understand how to trade with the swings using ETFs (inverse). Personally, I'm a big fan of MSTR and using proxy ETFs on the swings (MSTU / MSTZ) since these are highly correlated to BTC.
Short
by antonini2002
VIX The Calm Before the Next Wave of Volatility! Recession RisksAfter last week’s sharp selloff across equities and crypto, followed by a swift recovery on Monday, many traders are once again lulled into a sense of comfort. But beneath the surface, volatility is quietly building — and the VIX is starting to tell the story. From Panic to Complacency — Too Fast Friday’s market crash revealed how fragile sentiment still is. We saw broad-based liquidations, risk-off flows, and a short spike in volatility as traders scrambled for protection. Then, as if nothing happened, Monday brought a sharp rebound — driven by short-covering, dip-buying algos, and a belief that the correction was “overdone.” Geopolitical Flashpoints: U.S.-China Tensions The ongoing conflict between the U.S. and China over critical metals exports has intensified. China controls a large portion of rare earth metals, essential for electronics, batteries, and defense technology. Recent U.S. threats to impose sanctions or tariffs on key exports, coupled with potential Chinese retaliatory measures, have created uncertainty for supply chains. Markets hate uncertainty. Every news cycle mentioning trade escalation acts like a volatility catalyst, as investors hedge against unexpected economic shocks. This alone can drive the VIX higher, even if the S&P 500 has short-term rallies. Trump Tariff Threats and Market Psychology Adding fuel to the fire, former President Trump has repeatedly hinted at renewed tariff measures. While the headlines may seem political theater, history shows that even the anticipation of tariffs can disrupt equities and spark short-term volatility spikes. Friday’s selloff can be partially attributed to traders pricing in these geopolitical and policy risks, which are not reflected in earnings reports or fundamentals — making hedging through VIX-linked products increasingly attractive. Earnings and Economic Signals Beyond geopolitics, the earnings season will likely reveal weak spots across sectors. Companies exposed to global supply chains, tech hardware, and industrials may report margins under pressure. This combination — disappointing earnings and global trade uncertainty — often precedes volatility expansions. Historical patterns show that VIX rises ahead of earnings dispersion and macro shocks, as investors scramble for protection against downside surprises. Potential upside target: 25+ if earnings disappoint and SPX breaks below $6000
TVC:VIXLong
by TopgOptions
Catching a Falling Knife - The Illusion of OpportunityNOTE – This is a post on mindset and emotion. It is NOT a trade idea or system designed to make you money. My intention is to help you preserve capital, energy, and focus — so you can execute your own trading system with calm and confidence. A sharp selloff. Price is plunging. The chart looks like it’s gone too far . Your eye zooms in on that last swing low - “It has to bounce here.” You tell yourself you’re being brave… opportunistic… disciplined even. Beneath the surface, something else is driving the impulse. A need to get involved and capitalize on opportunity A need to relieve tension and fomo A belief that there’s value here. A sense of excitement. Things are moving. A chance to make back all that I’ve lost before - plus more. When markets fall fast, the nervous system reacts. Adrenaline spikes. The body wants to do something - to turn impulse into action. To buy the bottom feels like you’ve beaten the market. That you’ve proven that you can do this and that you’re really really clever. But every time you step in too soon, the same pattern repeats: You’re not trading your process You’re trading your emotions, your sense of self worth and lets be honest Face it. You’ve been hijacked. Body cues: Eyes darting across screens, scanning for reversal signals. Shoulders tense, leaning closer to the monitor. A restless tapping of fingers or bouncing knee as you wait for confirmation. Breath shortening, shallow and quick. Underlying belief: “If I can catch this, I’ll prove that I’m right” How to shift it: When you feel that urge to step in early, force a pause. Name what’s really happening: “My mind wants action, and it wants to be right ”. Ask the question “Do I want to be right or do I want to make money?” Then redirect that energy toward process - not action. Waiting doesn’t make you passive. It’s an act of discipline and power. Remember Eddie Murphy and Dan Ackroyd in Trading Places. The art of waiting for the moment, and then engaging is the mark of a disciplined professional trader. Stay safe out there and live to trade another day For another related post, check out this one on buying the dip
CME:MET1!Education
by soda8888
2
Post Flash-Crash BTC Despite such a large sell-off event, has the outlook on BTC actually changed? Structurally BTC remains very much rangebound with two clearly definable halves of the range. That is until Fridays move off the back of a Tariff Tweet from President Trump causing a liquidation event similar to that of April earlier this year and the Covid crash of 2020. Bitcoin was less effected when compared to altcoins as is usually the case, some majors dropping as much as 80% in a single 1h candle! An entire bear market in an afternoon. Bitcoin on most exchanges fell roughly 20% on the news and eventually found support at range lows ($100,000), a significant amount of this drop got bought up and so BTC finds itself hovering around range midpoint. To me this is a no trade zone initially, there is no clear directional bias that is actionable at this time but I am looking for clues as to where price may be going next: - Should BTC stay above midpoint the next clear resistance level is 0.75 ($117,605). On the lower time frames the trend is bearish, 0.75 would be a good place for the bears to defend. - A loss of the midpoint would open the door to backfilling the wick, this could get ugly as on the higher time frames a new lower low and price acceptance lower would signal a bearish shift in structure. Calls for "the top is in" will get much louder and so will the 4 year cycle theory comparisons. - A V-shaped recovery and move straight to the highs would be max pain after such a brutal move down. Although IMO it's the least likely I would not rule it out.
by ProR35
2