Solana Short Setup even in a Bull-run / Risky but we are tradersBINANCE:SOLUSDT
COINBASE:SOLUSD
📈Which side you pick?
Bull or Bear
SL1 ---> Low-risk status: 3x-4x Leverage
SL2 ---> Mid-risk status: 5x-8x Leverage
(If there is just one SL on the chart, I suggest, low risk status)
👾Note: The setup is active but expect the uncertain phase as well. also movement lines drawn to predict future price reactions are relative and approximate.
➡️Entry Area:
Yellow zone
⚡️TP:
172.35
169.89
167.72
164.76
🔴SL:
182.02
🧐The Alternate scenario:
If the price stabilize against the direction of the position, below or above the trigger zone, the setup will be canceled.
Shortposition
Key Bitcoin Price Levels and Dominance Analysis for Long and ShoIn my view, if I don't consider the potential breakdown of the 68,170 price level as a fakeout, we shouldn't dip below it. However, if the price breaks below, I would regard it as a false breakout and look to open a short position with a break of 67,594.47, provided that Bitcoin dominance also declines. If, during the breakdown, Bitcoin dominance remains bullish (green), shorting altcoins would be a better option.
On the other hand, if the 68,170 level doesn't turn out to be a fakeout, altcoins could offer solid long positions, especially if Bitcoin moves sideways or upward and Bitcoin dominance decreases. Otherwise, Bitcoin itself might present a better long opportunity.
In conclusion, monitoring the interplay between price levels and Bitcoin dominance will be key to determining the best positions, whether in Bitcoin or altcoins.
Title: Key Support Levels for Short and Long Positions: CriticalIt seems we have experienced enough upward momentum, and now, with the support level at 66,842, a short position can be considered. However, since this position goes against the main trend, it’s crucial to set a tight stop-loss to manage risk and ensure an early exit with a favorable risk-reward ratio. The next support level for this strategy could be 65,359.8.
On the other hand, if you're planning to open a long position, you might consider entering at 67,898.7, but be cautious with the stop-loss placement. A wider stop-loss would be advisable, possibly below 66,687.4, to allow room for market fluctuations.
Sideway - little volatility on the first Monday of the week⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold price (XAU/USD) continues its decline for the fourth straight day, trading near $2,650 during early Monday’s Asian session. The stronger US Dollar, following Friday's upbeat Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data, is putting downward pressure on gold.
The US added 254,000 jobs in September, exceeding August’s revised 159,000 and the market expectation of 140,000. The Unemployment Rate fell to 4.1% from 4.2%. These positive US data reduce hopes of deeper interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, boosting the USD and weighing on gold, which is priced in dollars.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
There is not too much information and important economic news, sideway gold price on Monday at the beginning of the week: 2625 - 2660
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2628 - $2630 SL $2623
TP1: $2638
TP2: $2644
TP3: $2650
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2670 - $2672 SL $2677
TP1: $2660
TP2: $2650
TP3: $2640
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
Bitcoin Faces Bearish Pressure: Analysis Based on USDT.DAs of October 2024, Bitcoin appears to be entering a period of heightened bearish pressure, with USDT (Tether) market cap dominance signaling significant shifts in investor sentiment and risk management across the cryptocurrency markets. The USDT.D (USDT dominance) chart reflects market behavior that points towards reduced confidence in speculative assets such as Bitcoin, with the increase in USDT dominance indicating that traders are moving funds into stable assets. Let’s explore this in further detail, combining technical analysis with fundamental and geopolitical factors.
Sentiment Shift: USDT Dominance on the Rise
The chart indicates that USDT dominance is currently trending upward, hovering at around 5.7%. With a clear upward trajectory from its lows of 3.8%, this suggests that more market participants are parking their capital in USDT. This rising USDT dominance is often interpreted as a bearish signal for Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies, as it implies that investors are seeking safety in stablecoins, rather than taking on the risk of volatile crypto assets.
Notably, the price action of USDT dominance is testing key Bollinger Band levels. The red bands, indicating higher volatility zones, suggest that there is a heightened probability of a further spike in dominance. As USDT dominance pushes higher into the Bollinger Band range, Bitcoin and other speculative assets face selling pressure. The chart shows a growing preference for stability, which coincides with Bitcoin's decreasing speculative appeal in the current environment.
Rising ATR: Volatility Building in the Market
The Average True Range (ATR) percentage on the chart points towards increased volatility, sitting at 32.6%, and climbing to a peak of 46.9%. This heightened volatility, indicated by the widening ATR band, signals increasing uncertainty in the market. Historically, such volatility is often followed by bearish moves for risk-on assets like Bitcoin.
As volatility grows, traders and institutions typically seek refuge in less volatile assets, pushing them towards USDT or other stablecoins. The increase in ATR% suggests a continued trend of traders reducing their exposure to Bitcoin in favor of more stable investments. The consistent rise in the ATR percentage alongside the growing USDT dominance strongly suggests that the market expects a period of heightened turbulence for Bitcoin.
Fundamental Analysis: Stubborn Inflation, Central Bank Tightening, and Institutional Pullback
Bitcoin’s bearish sentiment can be linked to broader macroeconomic factors, where persistent inflation and tight monetary policies continue to hamper speculative markets. Inflationary pressures remain a concern globally, especially in regions like the United States and Europe, where central banks have adopted a more aggressive stance to tighten monetary policies.
The Federal Reserve’s ongoing interest rate hikes, aimed at curbing inflation, have made riskier investments like Bitcoin less attractive. Higher interest rates reduce the appeal of speculative assets, as borrowing costs rise and liquidity contracts. The shift to USDT reflects the broader flight to safety as investors await a clearer signal from central banks regarding future economic stability.
Institutional interest in Bitcoin has also tapered. Many firms that entered the space during the 2021 bull market are now pulling back, reducing their exposure to cryptocurrencies. Institutions are becoming more risk-averse as concerns about tightening financial conditions, higher bond yields, and slowing global growth take center stage. This reduced demand from major market players further adds downward pressure on Bitcoin.
Geopolitical Factors: Global Uncertainty
Geopolitical instability is another critical factor weighing down Bitcoin's outlook. Ongoing conflicts, notably in Eastern Europe and the Middle East, have led to considerable uncertainty in global markets. Investors are now factoring in geopolitical risk alongside economic risk, leading to a preference for safer assets.
Additionally, regulatory scrutiny on cryptocurrency markets, particularly stablecoins and decentralized finance, has escalated over the past year. US regulators, for example, are increasing oversight on Tether and other stablecoin providers, but ironically, this has not diminished the market's reliance on USDT as a safe haven. The market's trust in Tether amid rising scrutiny indicates a broader retreat from volatile assets like Bitcoin and a preference for liquid, USD-pegged stablecoins.
Moreover, China’s continued crackdown on cryptocurrency activities and Europe’s regulatory frameworks have dampened enthusiasm in the space. These geopolitical tensions contribute to the bearish outlook, as regional instability and regulatory pressures keep risk appetite low.
Bitcoin's Path Forward
Considering these factors, Bitcoin faces significant headwinds in the near term. The chart analysis, with rising USDT dominance and escalating volatility, presents a clear bearish picture. Coupled with the current macroeconomic and geopolitical backdrop, Bitcoin is likely to experience downward pressure as market participants continue to seek safety in USDT.
The combination of central bank tightening, heightened global risk, and regulatory challenges makes it difficult for Bitcoin to regain the speculative momentum it enjoyed during previous bull markets. While Bitcoin has historically shown resilience, its ability to recover in the current environment looks increasingly uncertain.
In conclusion, the growing dominance of USDT in the crypto market reflects a broader shift away from risk assets like Bitcoin. With rising volatility and macroeconomic challenges, the bearish pressure on Bitcoin is likely to persist in the coming months, barring any major shifts in the global financial or regulatory landscape. Investors should remain cautious and consider hedging strategies as the cryptocurrency market enters a more uncertain phase.
Quick SPX Scenario for Retesting Lower Support zoneBINANCE:SXPUSDT
BINANCE:SXPUSDT
SL1 ---> Low-risk status: 3x-4x Leverage
SL2 ---> Mid-risk status: 5x-8x Leverage
👾The setup is active but expect the uncertain phase as well.
➡️Entry Area:
Yellow zone
⚡️TP:
0.2629
0.2596
0.2560
0.2510
🔴SL:
0.2783
🧐The Alternate scenario:
If the price stabilizes above the trigger zone, the setup will be cancelled.
Downward adjustment rhythm before FOMC ! XAU down ⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) slipped during the Asian session on Tuesday, halting a three-day rally to record highs. Repositioning ahead of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting helped the US Dollar recover from its yearly low, pressuring gold. However, expectations of a more aggressive rate cut by the Federal Reserve may continue to support gold.
Concerns over China's economic slowdown, US political uncertainty, and ongoing geopolitical risks in the Middle East may limit further losses for the safe-haven asset. Traders are likely to stay cautious ahead of key central bank meetings this week, including the Fed's decision on Wednesday, followed by the Bank of England and Bank of Japan later in the week.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price decreased - adjusted before news of FOMC interest rate cut tomorrow. The Uptrend creating ATH is still highly likely to come
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2549 - $2547 SL $2542
TP1: $2555
TP2: $2570
TP3: $2580
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2530 - $2528 SL $2523
TP1: $2540
TP2: $2550
TP3: $2560
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2602 - $2604 SL $2610
TP1: $2590
TP2: $2580
TP3: $2570
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
1000PEPEUSDT.P Short Position | 15m15m: Took buy-side inducement and cleared the entire day's buy-side liquidity.
15m NY Killzone: Took buy-side liquidity, and with no significant buy-side liquidity available, the market is likely to turn bearish.
Additionally, the market took the 15m inducement and today's entire buy-side liquidity.
Entered a short position after the NY Killzone gave a bearish candle confirmation.
PREPARE TO SHORT UK100 - once it break below 8275Team, the UK100 price at 8285; we want to see if it tries to reach the last week's high at 8305. However, we are waiting for it to break below 8275 -
we set the SELL STOP order at 8274., with stop loss at 8311.5
Target 1 at 8256.5
Target 2 at 8227.3
please note: we have not entered the short position yet until the price is confirmed at our order above.
PREPARE TO SHORT AUS200 once the price confirmation.Good morning Everyone, look like the AUS200 trying to reach last Week (Friday High) that would be double top. But would doubted to break old time high 8166. We are going to set up a short position once it retest at the price 8131.6-8129.2 with Stop loss at 8173.6
Target 1 at 8089.
Target 2 at 8055.8
Please note: we are not entering yet, until price confirmation
SHORT US30 HAS BEEN PREPAREDTeam, we have been prepare to SHORT US30/DOW at the current market price
Why do we enter the short before the CPI. It a good psychology that the market would expect poor data come out base on last Friday sell off. Similar market expectation.
Short position at 40725-15 , with stop loss at 40779.80
Target at 40592.70
AUS200 - This is what I expect the trend for todayWe have review the market for the AUS200, but we are expecting further downtrend base on the chart which we have set up for AUS200.
PLEASE NOTE: We are not enter this trade today.
We would consider short at 8012.60, with stop loss either at 8030.40 or 8062.7
target would be 7973.60
and target 2 at 7941.50
Investors Brace for Key CPI Data That Could Impact MarketsGold is currently trading in a sideways range between $2,470 and $2,532, as it consolidates after reaching its yearly highs. The market is awaiting key U.S. inflation data, which is expected to determine the future price movement of gold. If the data indicates lower inflation, it could strengthen gold and push prices beyond $2,532. Conversely, higher inflation might lead to a stronger dollar, putting pressure on gold and potentially driving it below $2,470
EUR/USD short on weekly chart
Stop Loss = 1.14925
Entry Order = 1.10425
TP1 = 1.05925
Two positions with the same stop loss and x1 target for the first position
The stop loss of the second position to breakeven when the first position hits the target1.
The second position has no target, only exit
Risk= 2% of account capital (1% each position)
BHARAT ELECTRONICS in my Watchlist! Big Short Setup FormingBHARAT ELECTRONICS in my Watchlist! Big Short Setup Forming
The last long trade from 12 April, 2023 is at its reversal point giving us a 170 gains in 518 days.
If today's 1D candle turns red, this could be a good short entry for long term traders and swing traders in 1D time frame.
I will update this trade post 3:30 if this candle turns red and confirms a Short trade.
Let's see how it goes from here.
DYOR before following other's trades blindly.