Ethereum confirmation of breakout, downside targetEthereum confirmed a breakout below the 4050–4100 zone, completing the double top pattern. The price stays under the 50 and 100 EMA, showing continued bearish pressure. Priority remains on short positions during pullbacks.
Nearest downside targets: 3463 (Target 1) and 3007 (Target 2). A move above 4100 would cancel the bearish scenario.
Amid expectations of the Fed’s rate decision and rising bond yields, risk assets remain under pressure. Inflows to crypto funds are declining, increasing the downside risks for ETH. In the short term, correction may continue until new bullish catalysts appear.
ETHUSD remains in a bearish setup. Downside targets — 3460 and 3000. Long positions should be considered only after a confirmed move above 4100.
Techincalanalysis
EUR/USD BEST PLACE TO BUY FROM|LONG
Hello, Friends!
We are targeting the 1.165 level area with our long trade on EUR/USD which is based on the fact that the pair is oversold on the BB band scale and is also approaching a support line below thus going us a good entry option.
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GOLD SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
GOLD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 4,010.34
Target Level: 3,889.94
Stop Loss: 4,089.87
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 4h
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TSLL accumulation before impulse, growth targets at 31 and 50TSLL continues to move within an ascending channel, forming a price accumulation zone between 17 and 21. After a confirmed breakout above 21, the price is expected to rise towards Target 1: 31.03 and
Target 2 : 49.78.
The 50 and 100 EMA are sloping upward, confirming a strong bullish structure. A short-term correction toward 17.17 remains possible this area acts as key buyer interest and previous support.
TSLL performance is tied to Tesla’s stock. Recent quarterly results from Tesla show margin recovery and revenue growth driven by new model sales. Lower interest rate expectations and renewed appetite for U.S. equities support inflows into leveraged ETFs like TSLL.
TSLL remains in a bullish structure. As long as the price stays above 17, buying remains preferable. Medium-term targets 31 and 50. Pullbacks toward 17 can be used to add to long positions.
AUD/CHF BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
AUD/CHF is making a bullish rebound on the 12H TF and is nearing the resistance line above while we are generally bearish biased on the pair due to our previous 1W candle analysis, thus making a trend-following short a good option for us with the target being the 0.517 level.
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GBP/USD BULLISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| LONG
GBP/USD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 1.313
Target Level: 1.332
Stop Loss: 1.301
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1D
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GBP/AUD SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
Hello, Friends!
It makes sense for us to go short on GBP/AUD right now from the resistance line above with the target of 2.044 because of the confluence of the two strong factors which are the general downtrend on the previous 1W candle and the overbought situation on the lower TF determined by it’s proximity to the upper BB band.
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BITCOIN LONG FROM SUPPORT
BITCOIN SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 109,971.94
Target Level: 115,314.48
Stop Loss: 106,410.24
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 2h
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AUD/NZD SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
The BB upper band is nearby so AUD-NZD is in the overbought territory. Thus, despite the uptrend on the 1W timeframe I think that we will see a bearish reaction from the resistance line above and a move down towards the target at around 1.132.
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NZD/CHF BEARS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
NZD/CHF SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 0.460
Target Level: 0.450
Stop Loss: 0.467
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 12h
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CAD/CHF BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
Bearish trend on CAD/CHF, defined by the red colour of the last week candle combined with the fact the pair is overbought based on the BB upper band proximity, makes me expect a bearish rebound from the resistance line above and a retest of the local target below at 0.566.
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BITCOIN BULLS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|LONG
BITCOIN SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 106,482.62
Target Level: 113,901.05
Stop Loss: 101,549.96
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1D
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Adobe: Entering the Fourth Wave — Smart Money Distribution PhaseAdobe’s stock is entering a critical structural phase — the completion of its third global impulse and the start of the fourth corrective wave.
While the long-term uptrend remains intact, the price structure and fundamentals suggest that the most explosive growth period may already be behind us.
🧭 Long-Term Technical Context
Looking back to the early 2000s, Adobe has moved through a textbook Elliott Wave structure.
The first and second waves built the base, while the third wave delivered the explosive rally — from roughly $30 to $600, marking a 20x increase.
Now, the fourth subwave of the third major wave appears to be forming — a phase typically characterized by sideways consolidation and distribution by institutional players.
🔺 Wave 4 Triangle Formation
In many long-term wave structures, the fourth wave forms a triangle (ABCDE pattern) — a contracting structure where price oscillates between defined boundaries.
We can already observe the emerging shape:
Wave A and B are complete
Wave C is in progress
Wave D and E will likely complete the pattern before the final breakout
Once the triangle ends, a final Wave 5 push could occur — potentially extending toward $700, or in an extended scenario, even $2000.
📊 Trading Range and Short-Term Strategy
At this stage, smart money tends to distribute positions gradually.
The price is oscillating within a broad corridor, providing opportunities for range-based trading:
Buy zones: near the triangle lows (Wave A area around $350)
Profit zones: near the triangle highs (Wave B area around $600)
For swing traders, this range offers multiple short-term opportunities before the next major move begins.
💵 Fundamental Context
Despite being in a late-wave structure, Adobe’s fundamentals remain strong.
Share buybacks: The company continues to repurchase its own shares, supporting EPS growth.
EPS trend: Rising steadily year over year.
Revenue growth: Stable, around +10% YoY, with quarterly metrics showing +40% growth since Q1 2024.
Forward P/E: Approximately 28, which, by Peter Lynch’s growth-to-PE logic, still appears reasonably valued.
These metrics suggest that even in a market downturn, Adobe’s downside risk may be more limited compared to weaker tech peers.
🧮 Fundamental Summary
✅ Consistent buybacks supporting EPS
✅ Double-digit annual revenue growth
✅ Attractive valuation relative to growth metrics
✅ Strong defensive profile versus the broader tech sector
There are no visible signs of fundamental weakness — only technical consolidation after years of exponential expansion.
⚠️ Alternative Scenario
If the stock breaks below $270, the current wave structure may need adjustment.
Such a move could imply a larger triangle or a flat correction, but the broader interpretation — that we’re inside a long-term Wave 4 — would remain valid.
📈 Market Outlook
Adobe is transitioning from a high-momentum growth phase into a strategic accumulation and distribution phase.
The stock is unlikely to replicate its earlier explosive rally, but it continues to offer structured trading opportunities inside a stable technical range.
For long-term investors, the risk-reward remains balanced, supported by solid fundamentals.
For traders, the triangle provides a clear framework: buy near lows, take profits near highs, and wait for the fifth wave breakout.
🧩 Summary
Price structure suggests Wave 4 triangle formation
Trading range between $350–$600
Fundamentals remain strong and defensive
Forward P/E at 28 — reasonable given EPS growth
Next major target: Wave 5 breakout toward $700–$2000
Adobe is no longer in its most explosive phase — but it’s far from weak.
This is a mature consolidation period, not a decline story.
For disciplined traders, the triangle may offer some of the cleanest swing setups in the tech sector.
A Lesson in Patience and structure - ORB waited till 2pm todayFellow traders,
Today tested patience more than precision.
The morning was a maze — choppy price action, overlapping candles, and zero conviction. The ORB range between 9:30–9:45 never gave clean confirmation. Buyers held the low, sellers pressed the top, but neither could gain control. Every candle said, “not yet.”
Then came midday compression. From 11 AM to 1:30 PM, QQQ coiled tightly under the EMAs and VWAP. That silence wasn’t random — it was the market loading energy. The moment VWAP was lost for good, the floodgates opened.
Finally, around 2 PM, the breakdown came: a clean retest rejection of the ORB box and an accelerated drop through 629. The move I had been watching all day finally unfolded — only this time, discipline said don’t chase.
And that’s the point of today’s session.
Not every move is yours to catch. Sometimes your biggest win is not forcing a trade that forms too late or breaks your system’s timing window.
Patience is part of the strategy.
The setup played out exactly as it should — I just didn’t have to be in it to learn from it.
Stay disciplined. Stay sharp.
— Trades with B ⚡
LiamTrading - XAUUSD: FED IMPACT AFTER FOMC NEWSLiamTrading - XAUUSD: FED IMPACT AFTER FOMC NEWS
Hello Traders Community,
The Fed’s latest rate decision has sent shockwaves through the market — Gold and BTC dropped sharply while the USD regained strength. The Fed cut interest rates for the second time this year, bringing them down to 3.75%–4%, but the announcement to end Quantitative Tightening (QT) on Dec 1, 2025, is the real game-changer.
Now’s the time to stay calm, analyze the price structure, and trade according to plan.
📰 MACRO ANALYSIS: THE DOUBLE IMPACT FROM THE FED
Rate Cuts (Supportive for Gold): The second rate cut should have boosted Gold, but much of this move was already priced in by the market.
Ending QT (Strengthening the USD): The announcement of ending QT in December sends a strong signal — the Fed is rebalancing its policy stance. The USD’s rebound right after the news added selling pressure to Gold and BTC.
Market Reality: Gold dropped sharply after the announcement and is now consolidating within a wide range. During the Asian session today, Gold moved nearly 70 points before correcting again.
📊 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: WIDE RANGE & BULLISH STRUCTURE
Based on the current XAUUSD market structure:
Structure: Gold is trading in a wide sideways range, but a bullish structure is gradually forming, showing signs of a sustainable Dow pattern.
Strategy: Trade both directions to capture strong volatility — SELL at key liquidity resistance zones and BUY at deep liquidity support areas.
🎯 DETAILED TRADING PLAN (ACTION PLAN)
🔴 SELL Scenario (Continuation Trade) – Sell at Short-term Resistance
Entry: $4005
Stop Loss (SL): $4013
Take Profit (TP): TP1: $3990 | TP2: $3975 | TP3: $3960 | TP4: $3943
🟢 BUY Scenario (Recovery Trade) – Buy at Deep Liquidity Support
Entry: $3907−$3909
Stop Loss (SL): $3902
Take Profit (TP): TP1: $3933 | TP2: $3954 | TP3: $3970 | TP4: $3999
The Fed’s decision has reshaped the short-term market landscape. The 70-point swing highlights Gold’s high liquidity — and its high risk.
LiamTrading’s Advice: The bullish structure is building on lower timeframes. Be patient and wait for the ideal BUY zone at $3907 to catch the next potential recovery leg. Strict risk management is essential in this post-news phase.
Are you ready to take advantage of this 70-point range? LIKE 👍 & COMMENT if you are!
CAD/JPY BULLS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|LONG
CAD/JPY SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 108.551
Target Level: 109.472
Stop Loss: 107.936
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 3h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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XAU/USD – Gold in Equilibrium Zone: Sell Opportunities Around...🔍 Market Context
Gold is currently consolidating within a triangle structure , showing short-term accumulation before a potential breakout.
Buyers are trying to maintain a minor bullish structure, but the series of lower highs indicates that sellers still hold the upper hand.
At the moment, price is reacting within the FVG 3,942–3,979 USD area, staying below the descending trendline.
If this zone fails to break, selling pressure may return.
💎 Key Technical Levels
• Bearish Order Block: 4,022 USD → main supply zone, aligning with the descending trendline.
• FVG Zone 1: 3,979 USD → short-term liquidity test area.
• FVG Zone 2: 3,942 USD → potential retracement zone before further downside.
• Bullish Order Block: 3,882 USD → key support aligning with long-term bullish trendline.
• Liquidity Zone: 3,789 USD → extended target if main support breaks.
🎯 Trading Scenarios
1️⃣ Sell Setup – Reaction from Resistance Zone
• Entry: 4,012 – 4,022 USD
• Stop Loss: 4,035 USD
• Take Profit:
– TP1: 3,979
– TP2: 3,942
– TP3: 3,900
– TP4: 3,882
– TP5: 3,789
✳️ “Sell the premium” – utilise supply and FVG reactions following Smart Money flow.
2️⃣ Buy Setup – Reaction from Demand Zone
• Entry: 3,882 USD
• Stop Loss: 3,865 USD
• Take Profit:
– TP1: 3,910
– TP2: 3,942
– TP3: 3,979
– TP4: 4,012
– TP5: 4,022
✳️ “Buy the discount” – valid when strong absorption or reversal signal forms near the lower OB.
💬 Summary
Current structure remains short-term bearish , yet the market is balanced.
The most efficient approach is to sell near premium zones (4,022) and buy back near discount (3,882) .
Expected range in the next 24–48 hours: 3,880–4,020 USD .
💡 Tagline:
“Trade where institutions act — not where retail reacts.”
⏰ Timeframe: 1H
📅 Updated: 30/10/2025
✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
Is Google Entering Distribution? (GOOG, GOOGL Analysis)⚡ Overview
Recently, the charts of all major tech giants — Apple, Amazon, Google, Meta, and Microsoft — have started to look almost identical.
Each of them seems to be either topping out or entering what looks like a distribution phase.
In this post, I’ll share my technical and fundamental outlook on Google (GOOG, GOOGL), along with the key risks and price zones I’m watching as a trader.
💡 Fundamental View
From a fundamental perspective, Google still looks strong:
The P/E ratio has been growing steadily.
Revenue continues to rise.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares for years.
So fundamentally, this is not a bubble.
By Peter Lynch’s fair value formula, Google remains fairly valued, maybe even with a modest upside left.
However, strong fundamentals don’t always mean big growth ahead — especially when the market has already priced in perfection.
And that’s typically when the distribution phase begins.
📈 Technical View
According to Elliott Wave Theory, Google seems to be completing the fifth sub-wave within a larger third wave —
a structure that often marks the final stage before a distribution or correction phase.
On the long-term chart, price is now approaching the upper boundary of the rising channel,
with limited upside potential — possibly up to $430–$450, which represents the top zone.
Beyond that, the probability of continued growth drops sharply, while correction risk increases significantly.
⚙️ Market Structure
When analyzing the volume profile, the largest accumulation zone sits around $15 – $16 —
that’s where long-term investors entered 15 years ago.
Those early buyers are now sitting on massive unrealized profits,
and many are gradually distributing (selling) positions into current strength.
Meanwhile, retail traders often see the ongoing move as “more upside ahead.”
But in reality, this could be the final buying climax before a deeper correction.
🧩 Cycle Context
Interestingly, the same pattern is visible across Apple, Meta, Amazon, and Microsoft.
It’s not just about one stock — the entire Big Tech segment appears to be entering a similar maturity stage of the cycle.
That’s why I believe Google could soon transition from markup to distribution,
followed by a potential multi-quarter sideways or corrective phase.
💬 What’s your take? Do you think Google will reach $400 before correcting — or has the top already formed?
👇 Share your view in the comments.
KIO - 7 months ASCENDING TRIANGLE══════════════════════════════
Since 2014, my markets approach is to spot
trading opportunities based solely on the
development of
CLASSICAL CHART PATTERNS
🤝Let’s learn and grow together 🤝
══════════════════════════════
Hello Traders ✌
After a careful consideration I came to the conclusion that:
- it is crucial to be quick in alerting you with all the opportunities I spot and often I don't post a good pattern because I don't have the opportunity to write down a proper didactical comment;
- since my parameters to identify a Classical Pattern and its scenario are very well defined, many of my comments were and would be redundant;
- the information that I think is important is very simple and can easily be understood just by looking at charts;
For these reasons and hoping to give you a better help, I decided to write comments only when something very specific or interesting shows up, otherwise all the information is shown on the chart.
Thank you all for your support
🔎🔎🔎 ALWAYS REMEMBER
"A pattern IS NOT a Pattern until the breakout is completed. Before that moment it is just a bunch of colorful candlesticks on a chart of your watchlist"
═════════════════════════════
⚠ DISCLAIMER ⚠
The content is The Art Of Charting's personal opinion and it is posted purely for educational purpose and therefore it must not be taken as a direct or indirect investing recommendations or advices. Any action taken upon these information is at your own risk.
HCLTECH – Channel Bottom Support & Multiple Breakouts | Short-TeHCLTECH – Channel Bottom Support & Multiple Breakouts | Short-Term Bullish Setup
For Study Purpose Only
🕒 Timeframe: Weekly & Daily
💡 Pattern: Channel Support + Neckline/Trendline Breakout
📈 Current Zone: Near Channel Bottom
🎯 Bias: Short-Term Bullish
🧭 Technical View:
On the weekly chart, HCL Tech has taken strong support near the lower boundary of its ascending channel, indicating the continuation of the prevailing uptrend structure. A bullish reversal candle on the weekly timeframe further confirms buying interest at this crucial support zone.
On the daily chart, the price has given a decisive breakout above the neckline/trendline resistance, supported by a series of multiple inside bar breakouts, showing momentum buildup and strength in the short-term structure.
The stock is now trading above key moving averages, and with follow-through confirmation, it may continue its upward trajectory in the coming sessions.
📊 Study Highlights:
Weekly chart: strong rebound from channel bottom
Daily chart: neckline/trendline breakout confirmed
Multiple inside bar breakouts indicate strength
Weekly candle shows reversal formation
Short-term bullish momentum emerging
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is purely for educational and study purposes only. Not a buy/sell recommendation. Always conduct your own due diligence before taking any trading decision.
GOLD SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
GOLD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 4,027.15
Target Level: 3,890.12
Stop Loss: 4,118.76
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 2h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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AUD/CAD BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT
AUD/CAD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 0.919
Target Level: 0.903
Stop Loss: 0.931
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1D
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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CHF/JPY BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
CHF-JPY uptrend evident from the last 1W green candle makes short trades more risky, but the current set-up targeting 188.582 area still presents a good opportunity for us to sell the pair because the resistance line is nearby and the BB upper band is close which indicates the overbought state of the CHF/JPY pair.
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