XAUUSD H4 Buy Limit | Trend Continuation Setup📊 XAUUSD Technical Analysis (H4)
Price is moving within an ascending structure and continues to respect the bullish trendline.
After a healthy pullback into the demand zone, a continuation to the upside is expected.
🔹 Entry Zone: Buy Limit at 4258 – 4216
❌ Stop Loss: Two H4 candle closes below 4196
✅ Target: 4353
📌 Once the buy limit is activated, partial risk management will be applied.
After price reaches 4290, the position will be secured by moving to break-even (risk-free).
⚠️ Always manage your risk properly.
Wishing you success and victory,🧿❤️✌️
FXG Team Management” 🏅
Techincalanalysis
XAUUSD (H1) – Liam View: Strong BOS → short-term bearish shift, prefer selling the pullback | Quick reaction buy at 4330–4333
Quick summary
Gold just printed a very aggressive dump with clear BOS (Break of Structure) — a short-term bearish shift is now in play. Price is currently in a technical rebound, so the cleaner plan is:
Don’t chase shorts at the lows
Wait for a pullback into 4458–4462 to sell from a premium supply zone
If price sweeps back down, look for a quick reaction buy at 4330–4333
1) Technical view (based on your chart)
The sell-off looks like a classic liquidity dump: large bearish candles, multiple supports broken → confirms bearish pressure intraday.
After a dump, the market often retraces into supply (re-distribution) before the next leg.
The 4330–4333 area is marked as a support that already “tested liquidity” — it can still provide a bounce, but it’s more of a scalp zone, not a full reversal yet.
2) Key Levels
✅ Sell zone: 4458 – 4462 (supply / pullback short)
✅ Buy zone: 4330 – 4333 (support / quick reaction)
3) Trading scenarios (Liam style: trade the level)
Scenario A (priority): SELL the pullback
✅ Sell: 4458 – 4462
SL guide: 4470 (or above the most recent lower-TF swing high)
TP1: 4400 – 4390
TP2: 4333
TP3: extension lower if structure continues to break down
Logic: After a strong BOS, 4458–4462 is where you get a better short entry — avoid selling late.
Scenario B: BUY reaction at support (scalp only)
✅ Buy: 4330 – 4333
SL guide: 4322–4325
TP: 4370 → 4400 (scale out)
Logic: This zone can spark a technical bounce. Only buy with clear holding signals on lower timeframes (M5–M15) — no catching falling knives.
4) Confirmation rules (avoid noise)
If price reaches 4458–4462 and fails to reclaim above → SELL bias stays strong.
If 4330 breaks and closes below → stop looking for buys and focus on pullback sells.
5) Risk notes
No mid-range entries — only act at 4330–4333 or 4458–4462.
Risk per trade: max 1–2%.
After a dump, spreads and wicks can expand — reduce size.
Which side are you leaning today: selling 4458–4462, or waiting for 4330–4333 to buy the reaction bounce?
GOLD BUY TODAY | Demand Zone Holding, Upside Targets Open🔓 Entry: 4380 – 4390
❌ Stop Loss: 4365
🎯 Target: 4430 Next Target: 4450
GOLD BUY (XAUUSD) Price is holding above a key demand zone with bullish price action and trend support intact. Looking for upside continuation as buyers remain in control. A sustained move higher can push price toward the next resistance levels. Trade is planned with clear risk management and favorable risk-reward, suitable for intraday to short-term continuation.
XAU/USD 30-MINUTES LONG POSITION CHART TRADE PLANXAU/USD (Gold) – 30-Min Buy Setup Analysis (based on your chart)
Market Context
Strong impulsive sell-off into a higher-timeframe demand zone (grey box).
Price has reacted immediately from demand → indicates institutional buying interest.
Overall structure shows a bullish pullback after a liquidity sweep below support.
Technical Confluence for BUY
Demand Zone Hold (4H/1H origin)
Liquidity Grab (sell-side taken, long wicks)
Potential CHoCH on lower timeframe
Mean-reversion after an extended bearish leg
Trade Plan (BUY)
Entry Zone:
4320 – 4327 (inside demand, as marked)
Stop Loss:
4283 – 4286
Below demand + liquidity sweep low (safe invalidation)
Take Profits:
🎯 TP1: 4389 – 4395 (intraday imbalance / reaction high)
🎯 Final TP: 4440 – 4450 (previous supply / resistance zone)
XAU/USD SHORT POSITION CHART PREDICTION Market Structure
Price is moving inside a rising channel (higher highs & higher lows).
Currently testing the upper channel + supply/resistance zone.
This area often acts as a profit-taking / reversal zone. Key Observations
Strong push into resistance → bullish momentum weakening
Upper zone aligns with previous rejection highs
Expectation: pullback toward channel support
Trade Bias: Short-term Sell
Sell Zone (Entry):
4380 – 4385 (current resistance / supply)
Stop Loss:
Above 4400 (clear break & close above supply invalidates sell)
Targets:
TP1: 4365 (minor intraday support)
TP2: 4354 (marked support zone)
TP3 (extended): 4340 (lower channel support, if momentum increases)
Wait for rejection candle / bearish confirmation at entry
Bitcoin Is Coiling — The Next Move Won’t Be QuietBITCOIN (BTC/USD) – 4H MARKET ANALYSIS
Market Structure Overview
- Bitcoin is currently trapped in a well-defined range on the H4 timeframe.
- Price is oscillating between a major resistance zone around 90,000–90,500 and a strong support zone around 86,500–87,000.
- Repeated rejections at resistance and consistent reactions from support confirm a classic consolidation / distribution range.
Key Technical Observations
- Each push into the resistance zone is met with strong selling pressure, indicating supply dominance at higher levels.
- Sellers, however, are failing to break decisively below support, suggesting buyers are still absorbing liquidity.
- The repeated zig-zag structure inside the range shows liquidity being built, not trend continuation yet.
- Volume remains relatively muted compared to impulsive legs → typical behavior before a -volatility expansion.
Scenarios to Watch
Bullish Breakout Scenario
A clean breakout and acceptance above 90,500 could trigger a strong upside expansion, opening the path toward 92,000–94,000.
This would confirm accumulation and invalidate the current range.
Bearish Breakdown Scenario
A decisive break below 86,500 would shift the structure into a deeper corrective phase.
In that case, downside momentum could accelerate quickly as range support fails.
Trading Bias & Strategy
Neutral bias while inside the range.
Best strategy: trade reactions at the edges of the range, not the middle.
For swing positioning, patience is key — wait for a confirmed breakout with volume before committing size.
Conclusion
Bitcoin is not trending it is preparing.
The longer the range holds, the stronger the eventual breakout.
Stay disciplined, protect capital, and let the market reveal direction before acting.
DXY - Descending Wedge at 98.13 | -9.58% YTD
Executive Summary
The US Dollar Index (DXY) is trading at 98.130 on December 29, 2025, consolidating within a descending wedge pattern on the 2H timeframe. The Dollar is on track for its worst year since 2017 with -9.58% YTD losses, pressured by Fed rate cut expectations, dovish Fed Chair concerns, and Trump's tariff policies. However, a potential bullish reversal pattern is forming at the bottom of the wedge, with an ascending channel developing. FOMC minutes due Tuesday could be the catalyst for the next directional move.
BIAS: NEUTRAL - Watching for Breakout Direction
The Dollar is at a critical inflection point. The descending wedge suggests potential bullish reversal, but fundamental headwinds remain strong. Wait for confirmation before committing to a direction.
Current Market Context - December 29, 2025
DXY is consolidating near yearly lows:
Current Price: 98.130 (+0.08% on the day)
Day's Range: 97.915 - 98.177
52-Week Range: 96.218 - 110.176
52-Week High: 110.176
52-Week Low: 96.218
Technical Rating: SELL
Performance Metrics - MIXED:
1 Week: -0.54%
1 Month: -1.45%
3 Months: +0.22%
6 Months: +1.54%
YTD: -9.58%
1 Year: -9.21%
The Dollar is having its worst year since 2017, down nearly 10% YTD. Short-term metrics are mixed, but the longer-term trend is clearly bearish.
THE BEAR CASE - Dollar Weakness Continues
1. Fed Rate Cut Expectations
The Dollar continues to see underlying weakness as markets price in further rate cuts:
FOMC expected to cut rates by ~50 bp in 2026
Markets pricing 19% chance of -25 bp cut at January 27-28 meeting
Two rate cuts expected in 2026
Fed officials split on path forward - majority forecast single additional cut
Lower rates = weaker Dollar
2. Dovish Fed Chair Concerns
President Trump to announce new Fed Chair in early 2026
Kevin Hassett (National Economic Council Director) most likely choice
Hassett seen as most dovish candidate by markets
Trump wants next Fed chairman to lower rates
Dovish Fed Chair = bearish for Dollar
3. Fed Liquidity Injection
Fed began purchasing $40 billion/month in T-bills mid-December
Announced December 10 - $40 billion/month liquidity injection
Increased liquidity pressures Dollar lower
Quantitative easing-like effects
4. Interest Rate Differentials
FOMC expected to cut rates ~50 bp in 2026
BOJ expected to raise rates +25 bp in 2026
ECB expected to leave rates unchanged in 2026
Narrowing rate differentials = Dollar weakness
Yen strengthening on BOJ rate hike expectations
5. Trump Tariff Policies
Aggressive tariff policies pressuring Dollar
Threats to Fed independence
Trade tensions creating uncertainty
Dollar down nearly 10% YTD partly due to tariff concerns
6. Technical Rating: SELL
TradingView technicals gauge pointing toward "Sell"
Descending wedge pattern (bearish continuation possible)
Below major moving averages
Momentum indicators bearish
THE BULL CASE - Potential Reversal Forming
1. Descending Wedge Pattern (Bullish Reversal)
Descending wedge is typically a bullish reversal pattern
Price compressing at bottom of wedge
Ascending channel forming within wedge
Potential breakout to upside
Pattern suggests exhaustion of selling pressure
2. US Economic Data Still Solid
Q3 GDP came in at +4.3% - stronger than expected
Nov pending home sales rose +3.3% m/m (vs +0.9% expected)
Jobless claims unexpectedly fell
US businesses see employment growth at 4.32%
Revenue growth expectations at 3.83%
Strong data could limit Dollar weakness
3. Safe-Haven Demand
Stock market weakness boosting liquidity demand for Dollar
Geopolitical tensions (Venezuela blockade, ISIS strikes in Nigeria)
Ukraine-Russia peace deal uncertainty
Risk-off events could boost Dollar
4. Oversold Conditions
Dollar down -9.58% YTD - oversold
Mean reversion possible
Near 52-week low (96.218)
Potential for bounce
5. "US Exceptionalism" Positioning
BNY's Bob Savage: Rise above 98.15 could trigger momentum buying
"US exceptionalism positioning" could resurge
Dollar bulls waiting for catalyst
6. FOMC Minutes Catalyst
Fed minutes due Tuesday (December 30)
Could provide signals on rate cut timing
Hawkish surprise could boost Dollar
Key catalyst for next move
Technical Structure Analysis
Price Action Overview - 2 Hour Timeframe
The chart shows a complex structure with potential reversal forming:
Descending Wedge Pattern (Primary):
Clear descending wedge established from highs
Upper trendline: Falling resistance (connecting lower highs)
Lower trendline: Falling support (connecting lower lows)
Wedge narrowing - compression before breakout
Typically bullish reversal pattern
Price near apex of wedge
Ascending Channel (Secondary - Forming at Bottom):
Small ascending channel forming within wedge
Higher lows being established
Potential early reversal signal
Watch for breakout above wedge resistance
Key Zones Identified:
Upper resistance zone: ~99.25 (major resistance)
Secondary resistance: ~98.80
Current consolidation: 97.90-98.20
Support zone: ~97.85-98.00
Major support: ~97.25
52-Week Low: 96.218
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Levels:
98.177 - Day's high / immediate resistance
98.15 - BNY trigger level for momentum buying
98.80 - Secondary resistance zone
99.00 - Psychological resistance
99.25 - Major resistance zone
100.00 - MAJOR PSYCHOLOGICAL RESISTANCE
110.176 - 52-WEEK HIGH
Support Levels:
97.959 - Recent low
97.915 - Day's low / immediate support
97.85-98.00 - Support zone
97.50 - Secondary support
97.25 - Major support
96.50 - Deep support
96.218 - 52-WEEK LOW (critical)
Pattern Analysis
Descending Wedge Characteristics:
Pattern duration: Several weeks
Wedge narrowing toward apex
Volume typically decreases in wedge
Breakout direction: Usually bullish (70% of cases)
Target: Measured move = wedge height at breakout
Current position: Near bottom of wedge
Ascending Channel (Within Wedge):
Small ascending channel forming
Higher lows: Bullish sign
Could be early reversal signal
Watch for breakout above 98.80
Moving Average Analysis
Price trading below major moving averages
MAs sloping downward - bearish alignment
Short-term MAs below long-term MAs
Death cross patterns on longer timeframes
MAs providing dynamic resistance on rallies
SCENARIO ANALYSIS
BULLISH SCENARIO - Descending Wedge Breakout
Trigger Conditions:
2H close above 98.80 (wedge resistance)
Break above 99.00 psychological level
Volume confirmation on breakout
FOMC minutes hawkish surprise
Risk-off sentiment boosting Dollar
Price Targets if Bullish:
Target 1: 99.25 - Major resistance zone
Target 2: 100.00 - Psychological level
Target 3: 101.00-102.00 - Measured move target
Extended: 103.00+ (trend reversal)
Bullish Catalysts:
Descending wedge = bullish reversal pattern (70% breakout up)
Ascending channel forming at bottom
US economic data still solid (GDP +4.3%)
Oversold conditions (-9.58% YTD)
Safe-haven demand potential
FOMC minutes could be hawkish
"US exceptionalism" positioning could return
Mean reversion from extreme weakness
BEARISH SCENARIO - Wedge Breakdown / Continuation
Trigger Conditions:
Break below 97.25 major support
Close below 97.00
FOMC minutes dovish
Fed signals more aggressive rate cuts
Dovish Fed Chair announcement
Price Targets if Bearish:
Target 1: 97.25 - Major support
Target 2: 96.50 - Deep support
Target 3: 96.218 - 52-week low
Extended: 95.00-96.00 (new lows)
Bearish Catalysts:
-9.58% YTD - Worst year since 2017
Technical rating: SELL
Fed rate cuts expected (~50 bp in 2026)
Dovish Fed Chair concerns (Hassett)
Fed liquidity injection ($40B/month)
Interest rate differentials narrowing
Trump tariff policy uncertainty
Below major moving averages
NEUTRAL SCENARIO - Consolidation in Range
Most likely short-term outcome:
Price consolidates between 97.50-98.80
Thin holiday trading continues
Wait for FOMC minutes Tuesday
Wait for Fed Chair announcement
Wedge pattern continues to compress
Breakout direction unclear until catalyst
MY ASSESSMENT - NEUTRAL with Slight Bullish Bias
The evidence is mixed, but the technical pattern suggests potential reversal:
Bullish Factors:
Descending wedge = typically bullish reversal
Ascending channel forming at bottom
Oversold conditions (-9.58% YTD)
US economic data solid
Safe-haven demand potential
Near 52-week low (mean reversion)
Bearish Factors:
Technical rating: SELL
Fed rate cuts expected
Dovish Fed Chair concerns
Fed liquidity injection
Interest rate differentials narrowing
Below major moving averages
Worst year since 2017
My Stance: NEUTRAL - Wait for Confirmation
The descending wedge pattern suggests potential bullish reversal, but fundamental headwinds are strong. The Dollar could go either way from here. Wait for FOMC minutes and a clear breakout before committing.
Strategy:
Wait for breakout confirmation
Long above 98.80 with targets 99.25, 100.00
Short below 97.25 with targets 96.50, 96.218
Respect the wedge pattern
FOMC minutes Tuesday = key catalyst
Trade Framework
Scenario 1: Bullish Breakout Trade Above 98.80
Entry Conditions:
2H close above 98.80
Volume confirmation
Break above descending wedge resistance
Trade Parameters:
Entry: 98.85-99.00 on confirmed breakout
Stop Loss: 98.00 below recent support
Target 1: 99.25 (Risk-Reward ~1:0.5)
Target 2: 100.00 (Risk-Reward ~1:1.2)
Target 3: 101.00-102.00 (Measured move)
Scenario 2: Bearish Breakdown Trade Below 97.25
Entry Conditions:
2H close below 97.25
Volume confirmation
Break below major support
Trade Parameters:
Entry: 97.20-97.00 on confirmed breakdown
Stop Loss: 97.80 above recent resistance
Target 1: 96.50 (Risk-Reward ~1:1)
Target 2: 96.218 (52-week low)
Target 3: 95.50-96.00 (Extended)
Scenario 3: Range Trade (Neutral)
Entry Conditions:
Price bounces at 97.50-97.85 support
Bullish rejection candle
No breakout yet
Trade Parameters:
Entry: 97.50-97.85 at support
Stop Loss: 97.00 below major support
Target 1: 98.50 (Risk-Reward ~1:1)
Target 2: 98.80 (Wedge resistance)
Risk Management Guidelines
Position sizing: 1-2% max risk per trade
Wait for breakout confirmation
Thin holiday volumes = wider stops
FOMC minutes Tuesday = key catalyst
Don't anticipate breakout direction
Scale out at targets
Move stop to breakeven after first target
Watch for Fed Chair announcement
Invalidation Levels
Bullish thesis invalidated if:
Price closes below 96.218 (52-week low)
Descending wedge breaks down
Fed signals aggressive rate cuts
Dovish Fed Chair confirmed
Bearish thesis invalidated if:
Price closes above 99.25 (major resistance)
Descending wedge breaks up with volume
Fed signals no more rate cuts
Risk-off surge boosts Dollar
Key Events to Watch
FOMC Minutes - Tuesday, December 30
Fed Chair Announcement - Early 2026
Year-End Positioning - Through January 1
BOJ Policy Signals - January 23 meeting
ECB Policy - February 5 meeting
Conclusion
The US Dollar Index is at a critical inflection point, trading at 98.130 within a descending wedge pattern. The Dollar is on track for its worst year since 2017 with -9.58% YTD losses, but a potential bullish reversal pattern is forming.
The Numbers:
Current Price: 98.130
YTD Performance: -9.58%
1-Year Performance: -9.21%
52-Week High: 110.176
52-Week Low: 96.218
Technical Rating: SELL
Key Levels:
99.25 - Major resistance
98.80 - Wedge resistance / breakout level
98.13 - Current price
97.85-98.00 - Support zone
97.25 - Major support
96.218 - 52-WEEK LOW
The Setup:
Descending wedge pattern with ascending channel forming at bottom. Fundamentals are bearish (Fed rate cuts, dovish Fed Chair concerns), but technicals suggest potential reversal. FOMC minutes Tuesday could be the catalyst.
Strategy:
NEUTRAL stance - wait for confirmation
Long above 98.80, target 99.25, 100.00
Short below 97.25, target 96.50, 96.218
FOMC minutes Tuesday = key catalyst
Respect the pattern
The Dollar is at a crossroads. The descending wedge suggests potential bullish reversal, but fundamental headwinds remain strong. Wait for the breakout.
BITCOIN BULLS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|LONG
BITCOIN SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 87,599.76
Target Level: 90,106.43
Stop Loss: 85,916.50
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
XAUUSD H1 – Short-Term SELL Opportunity Looking for a Short-Term SELL Move Inside the Uptrend Channel
Gold is entering a technical pullback phase after losing momentum near the upper boundary of the rising channel. For today, the focus is to look for short opportunities on reactions, using Volume Profile levels and the recent break of short-term support.
TECHNICAL CONTEXT
On H1, price is still inside a rising channel, but the market has shown a clear loss of short-term bullish structure, signalling profit-taking pressure.
The POC–VAH area above is now acting more like a sell-on-rally zone rather than an immediate continuation point.
Weak rebounds during the Asian session can offer better timing for short setups in a corrective phase.
PRIORITY SCENARIO – MAIN PLAN
Sell the pullback into value
Primary sell zone: 4497 – 4500 (Sell VAH)
Confirmation sell zone: 4465 – 4468 once price confirms a break of support during the Asian session
Expected behaviour:
Price rebounds into high-volume areas, shows rejection, then continues lower toward the next liquidity pocket.
CORRECTION TARGETS
Nearest support: around 4431
Potential buy zone: 4399 – 4396 (Fibonacci extension 1.618 plus lower-channel support)
This area is a key liquidity confluence where a bullish reaction could appear and the corrective move may complete.
WHY THE SELL IDEA MAKES SENSE
H1 structure shows short-term momentum fading
Volume Profile highlights the POC–VAH region as a high-probability sell-on-rally area
This move is treated as a correction within a broader bullish trend, not a long-term reversal
MACRO BACKDROP AND USD
The US Dollar Index (DXY) has extended its weekly decline for three straight sessions, reaching the lowest levels since early October. Key drivers include:
US CPI for November coming in weaker than expected
Signs of cooling in the US labour market
Rising expectations that the Fed could deliver two additional rate cuts in 2026
A softer USD supports gold in the medium to long term, but short-term technical corrections remain normal as the market rebalances.
SUMMARY VIEW
Priority is to sell rallies into 4497–4500 and 4465–4468
The downside move is viewed as a technical correction
Watch 4399–4396 closely for a potential bullish reaction and end of the pullback
NZD/CHF BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
NZD/CHF is making a bullish rebound on the 1H TF and is nearing the resistance line above while we are generally bearish biased on the pair due to our previous 1W candle analysis, thus making a trend-following short a good option for us with the target being the 0.459 level.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
AUD/USD SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
AUD/USD pair is trading in a local uptrend which we know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is green. On the 8H timeframe the pair is going up too. The pair is overbought because the price is close to the upper band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to sell the pair with the upper BB line acting as resistance. The next target is 0.664 area.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
ETH/USD BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
ETHUSD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 3,030.23
Target Level: 2,957.15
Stop Loss: 3,078.86
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
XAUUSD (H1) – Monday Trading Plan Lana prioritizes sell setups until a new high is broken
Quick summary
Technical context: Price has pulled back strongly from the All-Time High, showing short-term weakness
Daily bias: Sell on rallies, until price breaks and holds above a new high
Key events: Speech from U.S. President Trump and updates related to U.S.–China trade may increase volatility
News impact – what to watch
Trump’s speech: Often drives short-term USD sentiment through comments on growth, tariffs, and inflation. Gold may react sharply to headline risk.
U.S.–China trade activity (CCPIT): Any improvement in trade sentiment can support USD in the short term, adding pressure to gold. Rising tensions would favor gold as a safe haven.
Because of this, Lana will focus on price reaction at key zones rather than predicting the news outcome.
Technical analysis (H1)
Gold printed a new All-Time High and then sold off aggressively, signaling profit-taking near the top.
Price is now consolidating within a corrective structure, where selling rallies remains the higher-probability play.
Key zones identified on the chart:
Sell zone: 4529 – 4531
Buy reaction zone: 4498 – 4500 (support)
Trading plan for Monday
Primary scenario – Sell rallies
Sell: 4529 – 4531
This zone is expected to act as resistance during the current correction.
Bias change condition:
Only shift to a bullish continuation if price breaks above the previous high and holds.
Secondary scenario – Short-term buy reaction
Buy: 4498 – 4500
This is considered a scalp-only setup, as the overall intraday bias remains bearish.
Session notes
Asian session may remain slow, while volatility is likely to increase around the scheduled events.
Best trades are expected when price returns to planned zones rather than trading in the middle of the range.
This analysis reflects Lana’s personal market view and is not financial advice.
Ethereum Trapped Between Supply and DemandETH/USD (4H) — Market Analysis
Market Structure
Ethereum is stuck in a broad sideways range after a strong rejection from the upper resistance zone (~3,000–3,050).
The sharp sell-off from the top confirms strong supply pressure at premium prices.
Current price action shows range rotation, not trend continuation.
Key Zones
Strong Resistance: 3,000–3,050
→ Previous rejection zone, heavy sell orders remain.
Mid Resistance: ~2,960–2,980
→ Short-term cap where price repeatedly fails.
Support Zone: 2,880–2,910
→ Buyers defended this area multiple times.
Major Support: 2,760–2,800
→ Last demand before structure turns bearish.
Probable Scenarios
Base Case (Higher Probability):
Price continues sideways consolidation, bouncing between support and resistance to absorb liquidity.
Bullish Scenario:
A clean 4H close above 2,980–3,000 opens upside continuation toward the upper resistance zone again.
Bearish Scenario:
Loss of 2,880 support exposes ETH to a deeper drop toward 2,760–2,800.
Momentum & Trend Context
EMAs are flattening, confirming range conditions.
No impulsive follow-through yet → market is waiting for a catalyst.
Macro Context
Risk assets remain sensitive to USD strength and bond yields.
With no strong bullish macro trigger, ETH is more likely to range than trend aggressively in the near term.
Bottom Line
Ethereum is in balance mode.
Until price clearly accepts above resistance or breaks support, expect choppy, two-sided price action rather than a sustained trend.
Chumtrades XAUUSD Any pullback is an opportunity to buy higher.This morning’s move was a corrective sell-off, best understood as profit-taking from BUY-side, not a trend reversal.
The overall structure remains within a rising trend channel, with no sign of a structural break → BUY bias stays intact, looking to buy pullbacks in line with the trend.
🟢 Key Support Zones
447x: near-term support (4476 – 4472 – 4470)
4450 – 4455
4430 – 4435
🔴 Key Resistance Zones
4548 – 4550
4560 – 4565
4599 – 4600 (upper resistance)
📌 Additional Note
453x is a mid-zone to watch closely for price reaction.
📊 Intraday Expectation
Price is expected to range sideways on the H2 timeframe
Range high: 4549
Range low: 4473
→ Possible BUY near the lower boundary and SELL near the upper boundary if the range holds.
⚠️ Risk Management
No major news at the moment; price is mainly driven by technical flows.
Holiday period → thin liquidity, higher risk of stop hunts.
Keep stops reasonable and avoid overtrading.
Wishing everyone a productive trading day.
GOLD BUY SETUP STRONG DEMAND ZONE OPPORTUNITY STILL HOLD BULLISHlooks like Gold (XAUUSD) on a lower timeframe with price respecting an ascending channel and holding above a demand zone — a classic bullish continuation structure.
Here’s a clean bullish continuation plan based on your chart
Market Structure
Higher Highs & Higher Lows (HH–HL)
Price consolidating in a rising channel → continuation likely
Strong demand zone below acting as support
Bullish Bias: Buy the pullback / breakout hold
Entry Zone:
Around 4530 – 4535 (current consolidation / channel support)
Targets (Upside):
TP1: 4560 – 4565 → channel top / prior high
TP2: 4585 – 4595 → next resistance expansion
TP3 (runner): 4620+ → if momentum continues strongly
(Your chart already marks ~4562 as first main target — that aligns perfectly for TP1.)
Stop Loss:
Why bullish continuation?
Price respecting rising channel support
Pullback forming higher low
No major breakdown from demand zone
Buyers still in control after impulse move
BITCOIN SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
BITCOIN SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 87,523.10
Target Level: 84,571.68
Stop Loss: 89,485.39
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 9h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
GBP/USD BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT
Hello, Friends!
We are going short on the GBP/USD with the target of 1.340 level, because the pair is overbought and will soon hit the resistance line above. We deduced the overbought condition from the price being near to the upper BB band. However, we should use low risk here because the 1W TF is green and gives us a counter-signal.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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XAUUSD H4 – Trading the Uptrend Channel with LiquidityTrading the Uptrend Channel with Liquidity and Volume Profile
Gold remains bullish on the H4 timeframe and continues to respect a well-defined rising channel. With price approaching extended areas, the higher-probability approach is to buy pullbacks at value zones and treat the upper boundary as a short-term profit-taking area rather than chasing momentum.
TECHNICAL CONTEXT
The uptrend structure is still intact, with price forming higher lows inside the channel.
After a strong impulsive leg, the market is now consolidating and rebalancing, which favours execution around Volume Profile and FVG zones.
The upper channel boundary often acts as a short-term exhaustion area, while value zones below offer better risk-to-reward long entries.
PRIORITY SCENARIO – MAIN PLAN
Buy the pullback at key value and liquidity zones
Buy POC: around 4485
Buy zone FVG support: around 4368
Rationale:
The 4485 POC is a high-volume area where price frequently reacts during pullbacks.
The 4368 FVG aligns with channel support and represents an imbalance area that price often revisits before continuation.
Expected behaviour:
A pullback into POC or the FVG zone, followed by a bullish reaction, can set up the next leg higher within the channel.
ALTERNATIVE SCENARIO – SECONDARY PLAN
Short-term sell scalp near the upper boundary
Sell scalping zone: around 4600
Note:
This is strictly a short-term scalp if price reaches the upper channel boundary and shows clear rejection. It is not a trend reversal thesis.
KEY TAKEAWAYS
The H4 trend remains bullish, but the channel range is wide, making chasing price riskier.
Volume Profile and FVG zones define higher-probability execution areas.
The best edge comes from buying pullbacks at value, while treating 4600 as a potential short-term reaction zone.
XAUUSD (H4) – Weekly Plan Bull trend still in control | Buy the pullback at 4430, sell reaction at 4573, target 4685
Weekly strategy snapshot
On H4, gold is still holding a strong bullish structure inside the rising channel. Price has already expanded higher, so next week I’m not chasing — I’m prioritising a trend buy on pullback into liquidity. Above, the 1.618 Fibonacci zone is a clean area for a reaction sell / profit-taking.
1) Technical view (based on your chart)
H4 structure remains bullish: higher highs + higher lows.
Price is extended after the breakout, so mid-range entries are risky.
The chart clearly marks Sellside Liquidity – Buy 4430 as the key “reload” area.
Upside zones: Sell 4573 (Fibo 1.618) and the extension target 4685.
2) Key Levels for next week
✅ Buy zone (Sellside Liquidity): 4430
✅ Sell reaction (Fibo 1.618): 4573
✅ Extension target: 4685
3) Weekly trading scenarios (Liam style: trade the level)
Scenario A (priority): BUY the pullback with the trend
✅ Buy: around 4430 (wait for a liquidity sweep + reaction)
SL (guide): below the 4430 zone (refine on lower TF / spread)
TP1: 4530 – 4540
TP2: 4573
TP3: 4685 (if momentum continues)
Logic: After a breakout, price often returns to “collect liquidity” before the next leg higher. 4430 is the cleanest dip-buy location on this structure.
Scenario B: SELL reaction at premium Fibonacci (short-term)
✅ Sell: around 4573
SL (guide): above the zone
TP: back toward value / potentially toward 4430 if a clear correction develops
Logic: 4573 is a premium area where profit-taking often shows up. This is a reaction sell — not a long-term bearish bias.
4) Macro context (from your news) & gold impact
Trump’s comments on tariffs, a sharper reduction in the trade deficit, and strong GDP messaging can keep markets sensitive to USD / yields expectations. That can create sharp intraday swings.
At the same time, policy and geopolitical uncertainty still supports safe-haven demand — which is why the best approach remains: follow the trend, enter at liquidity.
5) Risk notes
Don’t chase at highs.
Only act at the levels: 4430 or 4573.
Max risk per trade: 1–2%.
What’s your bias for next week: buying the 4430 pullback, or waiting for 4573 to sell the reaction?
ETH/USD 1 hour long position analysis based chart setupBias: 🔼 Bullish (pullback buy)
Structure: Price is forming a base after a sell-off, trying to shift into HH–HL from the purple demand.
Context: Strong 1H demand zone around 2890–2910 has already been tapped and defended.
📐 Key Levels
Demand (Buy Zone): 2890–2910 (purple box)
Entry Area: ~2925–2930 (current consolidation)
Supply / Target: 3000–3020 (upper box)
Invalidation: Below 2890
🎯 Trade Idea
Plan: Buy on bullish confirmation (bullish close / minor break of range)
Entry: 2927
TP1: 2947 – intraday reaction
TP2: 2967 – prior swing area
TP3: 2987–3003 – supply / liquidity
Stop Loss: 2900 (below demand)
➡️ RR looks decent (~1:2 to 1:3 if TP2–TP3 hits).
🧠 Why Bullish?
Price respected demand and swept lows.
Now consolidating above support, hinting accumulation.
Upside liquidity sits near 3,000+.






















