Gold Pullback Toward 3,650 as DXY Weakness Supports UpsideHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring XAUUSD (Gold) for a buying opportunity around the 3,650 zone. Gold is trading in an uptrend, with price currently correcting toward this key support/resistance level.
Structure: The broader bias remains bullish, with price pulling back toward a key area of interest.
Key level in focus: 3,650 — a zone where buyers may look to re-enter and resume the trend.
Fundamentals: The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) maintains a bearish bias, currently in a downtrend and approaching 97.150 resistance. This weakness could continue to support Gold due to their negative correlation.
Trade safe,
Joe.
Technical Analysis
CRUDE OIL (WTI): Important Breakout
Crude Oil broke and closed above a major daily horizontal resistance.
With a high probability, a broken structure turns into a potentially strong
support now.
I will expect a rise from that and a bullish continuation to 65.56 resistance.
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Bitcoin at Critical Resistance – Reversal or Breakout?Bitcoin (BTCUSDT – 3H) is testing the 117.5k – 118k resistance zone, which coincides with the upper boundary of the descending channel.
So far, this level has acted as a strong rejection zone several times.
🔎 Key Insights:
• Structure: Price has formed a rising channel/wedge, often seen as a corrective bearish pattern.
• Resistance: 117.5k – 118k (major supply zone + channel top).
• Supports:
• 114k (short-term channel support)
• 107k – 108k (major support zone + channel bottom).
📌 Scenarios:
• Bearish (more likely): Rejection from 118k → downside targets at 114k and 107k – 108k.
• Bullish (alternative): Break & close above 118k → potential rally toward 122k – 124k.
⚠️ As long as BTC stays below 118k, downside risks remain higher.
PLUG: accumulation turning into breakout fuelPlug Power is slowly emerging from a long downtrend, building an accumulation structure after a trendline breakout. On the 4H chart, price is consolidating around 1.55–1.60 and gaining momentum. The first upside target is 1.90, where buyers will be tested. A strong breakout could open the way toward 2.90, where major resistance and higher volumes are located.
EMAs are starting to turn upward, confirming a potential trend change. The volume profile highlights strong interest around the current range, supporting the bullish case. The outlook remains positive as long as price holds above the 1.50 zone.
Fundamentally, Plug Power remains in focus with ongoing hydrogen energy projects. While the renewable sector faces macro pressures, improved demand and positive company news could act as catalysts for further growth.
DOW JONES (US30): Your Plan to Trade FOMC Today
US30 keeps coiling on a recently broken daily key resistance
that turned into a support after a breakout.
To buy the market with confirmation after today's rate decision,
concentrate your attention on a double bottom pattern on a 4H time frame.
A bullish breakout of its neckline and a 4H candle close above 46850
will provide a reliable signal.
A bullish continuation will be expected to a current structure high then - 46087.
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DXY vs. EURUSD – Pre-FOMC DivergenceDollar Index (DXY)
Yesterday’s move was fully absorbed inside a tight range, leaving the internal range high at 99.804 ahead of the Fed meeting.
Liquidity is at 98.00 stacked above that zone; market makers could easily run the stops toward the 98 handle before any larger downside move.
EURUSD
Meanwhile, EURUSD broke out of its major range, giving us a new weekly structure with a key reference low at 1.13914.
Cross-Market View
This sets up a classic divergence:
Dollar – trapped in a premium sell range, heavy liquidity overhead.
Euro – fresh upside structure.
For cross-pairs this often means sharp pullbacks or erratic price action as we approach the FOMC decision.
Trade Notes
Stay nimble and keep stops tight.
$2.70 to $20.45 then sharp crash and slide-off🔥 $2.70 to $20.45 on NASDAQ:TURB
657% move in a day on massive 141 million shares traded volume
But why did it suddenly crash and how was that even possible on big supportive 141 million shares volume when actual float of the stock and shortselling shares available are only 5 million?
I'm talking about new highs move from $15 above previous high of $19 to $20.45 then sudden drop in seconds to $14
What happened was a nasty manipulation, they designed it that way.
They knew they don't have enough shares to short available to create that kind of crash, only 5M shares total and all of it was already reserved by shortsellers so what they did was they were buying with other accounts while they were short to create large long position, then once at $20 they added all they could on short size to max out that's what stopped the new leg higher of $20+ vertical and if they didn't have the long position bulls would easily keep it supported and squeeze it even higher, but they had long position so what they did was drop whole long position 2.5M shares sell market order at once which created massive 25% - 30% drop from highs in a few seconds, this created double top, scared bulls, saved their short position even if their long got terrible fills but more important shortsell position gained a lot. Similar thing happened with WLDS when it got to that $11 area ready to explode a few days ago then smack down.
Got to keep an eye on this new trick they're trying to play. My trade had $19+ target area so all good but still, good to understand what's really going on in the background at these important levels.
Silver's Bullish Trend ExtendsThe chart shows Silver (XAG/USD, daily timeframe) continuing its bullish advance within a well-established ascending channel. Here’s the breakdown:
Trend & Structure:
Silver has maintained strong upward momentum since mid-June, trading comfortably above both the 50-day SMA (38.91) and the 200-day SMA (34.22). The rising channel highlights persistent demand and higher lows supporting the uptrend.
Support Levels:
The lower channel boundary around 39.00 is immediate dynamic support.
The 50-day SMA also aligns as secondary support.
A stronger floor rests at 35.00, a previous breakout zone and psychological level.
Resistance Levels:
The upper channel line near 43.50–44.00 is the next resistance to watch.
Sustained momentum above this range could accelerate toward 45.00, the next psychological barrier.
Momentum Indicators:
MACD is in positive territory, supporting bullish momentum.
RSI (73.8) has entered overbought territory, suggesting short-term consolidation or a pullback is possible before further upside.
Outlook:
Silver remains in a strong bullish trend, with price action guided by the rising channel. While the overbought RSI hints at a potential pause or minor pullback, the broader structure favors further gains toward the 43.50–45.00 area as long as price holds above 39.00.
-MW
PEPE ANALYSIS🔮#PEPE Analysis 💰💰
#PEPE is trading in a symmetrical triangle in a daily time frame and if it breakouts with high volume then we can see a bullish momentum in #PEPE. Before that we will see little bit bearish movement towards its support zone and than a bullish movement.
🔖 Current Price: $0.00001091
⏳ Target Price: $0.00001413
⁉️ What to do?
- We can trade according to the chart and make some profits in #PEPE. Keep your eyes on the chart, observe trading volume and stay accustom to market moves.💲💲
#PEPE #Cryptocurrency #Pump #DYOR
$SPY / $SPX Scenarios — Wednesday, Sept 17, 2025🔮 AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios — Wednesday, Sept 17, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving Headlines
🚩 Fed Day: All eyes on the FOMC decision + Powell press conference — this will lock in the September rate path.
📉 Positioning risk: Funds lightened up into Tuesday’s Retail Sales; volatility likely post-Fed.
💻 Tech leadership in focus: NASDAQ:AAPL , NASDAQ:MSFT , and AI plays driving AMEX:XLK flows ahead of macro.
🛢️ Crude swings: Energy price stability remains an inflation sentiment wildcard.
📊 Key Data & Events (ET)
⏰ 8:30 AM — Housing Starts & Building Permits (Aug)
⏰ 10:30 AM — EIA Petroleum Status Report
⏰ 🚩 2:00 PM — FOMC Policy Decision + SEP (dot plot)
⏰ 🚩 2:30 PM — Powell Press Conference
⚠️ Disclaimer: Educational/informational only — not financial advice.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #SPY #SPX #FOMC #Powell #Fed #housing #energy #bonds #Dollar #megacaps
"SBIN Weekly Breakout: Target ₹950–₹1,000 with a Stop at ₹820"State Bank of India (SBIN) has broken above a multi-month resistance trendline on the weekly chart with strong bullish momentum and volume. The breakout is supported by a positive RSI and rising moving averages, confirming strength.
Buy Price: ₹857 (current close)
Target: ₹950–₹1,000
Stop-Loss: ₹820–₹830
Trade Plan: Buy on weekly close above resistance. Target the next psychological and technical resistance zone. Maintain tight stop-loss below breakout levels to manage risk.
Chart and technicals suggest a sustained move up if support holds!
Chipotle (CMG): Brand Power Meets Technical PatienceWhat they do: Fast-casual burritos/bowls with a heavy digital and throughput focus.
Why it’s strong: Industry-leading unit economics, brand love, and a deep U.S. runway—now going global.
Developments:
Asia entry JV (SPC Group): first restaurants in South Korea & Singapore in 2026.
Some metrics:
Forward P/E: ~27.5x.
ROIC (TTM): ~19–22%
Debt/Equity: ~1.35 (lease-heavy model).
Piloting kitchen automation like “Autocado” (guac prep) and “Chippy” (chips).
Risks: Food inflation; labor availability; brand hit risk from food-safety headlines.
Moat in a line: Brand + operational throughput at scale.
Technical view
A bit sloppy, but the criteria are in place. It’s “sloppy” because the levels don’t line up compactly — if they were a few percent tighter, it would form a stronger support zone.
Still, the high-probability area is there, between $32 - $43
- Trendline drawn from monthly closing prices
- Channel projection
- Previous highs turning into support
- 50% drop from the ATH
Cheers,
Vaido
NZDJPY: Move UP is Expected! 🇳🇿🇯🇵
One of the setups that we discussed on the today's live stream
is on NZDJPY.
The price formed an inverted head and shoulders pattern
and violated its neckline after London session opening
on an hourly time frame.
With a high probability, the price will continue rising
and reach 87.95 level soon.
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I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
FED shaken by politics | Gold eyes new ATH🟡 XAU/USD – 16/09 | Captain Vincent ⚓
🔎 Captain’s Log – News Context
FED & US Politics :
S. Miran elected to the FED Board but still serves as Trump’s economic advisor → concerns FED may face White House influence.
Michelle Mills elected with a narrow 48–47 margin.
Appeals Court blocked Trump from firing L. Cook, affirming FED’s independence, but raising the risk of a legal battle at the Supreme Court.
US Economy :
6:30 AM (US time): Retail Sales release – key consumer spending indicator.
Probability of a -50bps FED cut this week is down to 1.2% , nearly ruled out. FED is almost certain to deliver -25bps next week.
⏩ Captain’s Summary : Politics create noise, but the macro backdrop (FED easing + weak US data) remains the tailwind supporting Gold’s journey toward new ATH.
📈 Captain’s Chart – Technical Analysis
Storm Breaker (Resistance / Sell Zone) :
3706 – 3714 (Fibonacci resistance)
3722 – 3724 (Strong Sell Zone, potential ATH test)
Golden Harbor (Support / Buy Zone) :
FVG Dock: 3666 – 3668
OB Harbor: 3643 – 3645
Strong Low: 3611 (deep support)
Market Structure :
After a series of BoS , Gold broke out of sideways EqH/EqL and surged.
Preferred scenario: retrace to FVG 3666 , then bounce toward 3714 – 3722.
If 3722 breaks successfully → confirms new ATH and extends bullish momentum.
🎯 Captain’s Map – Trade Plan
✅ Buy (priority)
Buy 1 (FVG)
Entry: 3666 – 3668
SL: 3657
TP: 3690 – 3706 – 3714 – 372x
Buy 2 (OB)
Entry: 3643 – 3645
SL: 3632
TP: 3666 – 3700 – 3714 – 372x
⚡ Sell (short scalp at resistance)
Sell Zone
Entry: 3722 – 3724
SL: 3732
TP: 3714 – 3706 – 3690
⚓ Captain’s Note
“The Golden ship has broken free from sideways waters and is heading toward new peaks. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3666 – 3643) is the safe dock for sailors to gather strength before sailing further. Storm Breaker 🌊 (3722 – 3724) is the big wave, suitable only for short Quick Boarding 🚤 . With dovish winds from the FED, the Golden sails are set toward new ATH.”
Ripple Finished A Correction Within Bullish TrendRipple Finished A Correction Within Bullish Trend, as we see it recovering in an impulsive fashion, which can extend the rally from technical perspective and by Elliott wave model.
Ripple with ticker XRPUSD is waking up from projected support after an ABC correction in wave IV, so bulls could be back, as we see it breaking above channel resistance line and important 3.08 level. So after current short-term pullback, we may see more gains and another push toward all-time highs for wave V, possibly to the 4-5 area.
Lucid: post-split impulse and a chance for a new rangeLucid stock has absorbed the post-split selloff and is now showing signs of recovery. On the daily chart, price has moved out of the descending channel and consolidated above 19.50. The bullish scenario points to a first target at 27.00, where strong resistance is located. A breakout there could pave the way toward 48.00–49.00, marking a potential mid-term trend reversal.
EMAs are starting to turn upward, while volume is picking up, signaling increased buying interest. The key support lies in the 18.00–19.00 zone. As long as this area holds, the bullish case remains valid.
From a fundamental perspective, Lucid benefits from strong EV sector demand and continued backing from major investors in Saudi Arabia. Production challenges and high costs remain risks, but overall EV market growth provides optimism.
Gold’s Next Fibonacci Play – Watching Key Buy & Sell Zones M15Technical & Fibonacci Outlook (M15 Chart)
Price has recently broken upward but is approaching resistance at 3,693–3,704.
Fibo 1.5–1.618 Reaction TP Zone (3,703–3,705): Watch for potential profit-taking or minor rejection here.
Fibo 2.618 Reaction – SELL ZONE (3,724–3,726, SL 3,730): A high-liquidity level where sellers may step in for a short-term reversal.
M15 Fibo Reaction Zone – BUY ZONE (3,665–3,659, SL 3,645): Primary area to look for bullish continuation on dips.
Mid-channel structure suggests a healthy retracement could occur before any further rally.
🟢 Trade Ideas – FranCis_Fibo Style
BUY ZONE: 3,660–3,656
Stop Loss: 3,645
Take Profit: Scale out at RR 1:1 → 1:2 → 1:3, leave runners open for a potential new ATH.
SELL ZONE (Short-term): 3,723–3,726
Stop Loss: 3,730
Take Profit: Target lower Fibo retracement levels (3,686 → 3,665).
⚠ Key Notes
Expect volatility around Fed-related headlines—manage position sizes carefully.
Watch for liquidity grabs at 3,703–3,705 before committing to directional trades.
A strong bounce from the 3,665–3,659 zone would confirm bullish momentum remains intact.
💬 Discussion
📊 Will gold break through the 2.618 Fibo zone for a fresh push higher, or will sellers defend and force a deeper retracement? Share your Fibonacci levels and outlook below!
Gold Near ATH – Fed Catalyst Incoming!🚀 Gold Holds Near Record Highs – Key Buy Zones Ahead of Fed Policy Shift
📰 Market Context
Gold remains close to its record highs as traders brace for the U.S. Federal Reserve’s expected monetary policy easing this week. Market participants are also hunting for clues about potential rate cuts later this year.
Adding fuel to the bullish sentiment, unprecedented pressure from former President Trump on the Fed—including attempts to remove Governor Lisa Cook—has become the latest catalyst. According to Goldman Sachs, this could send gold soaring toward the $5,000/oz mark over the longer term.
🔢 Technical & Fibonacci Outlook
On the H1 chart, price has respected the uptrend trendline and is approaching key reaction levels:
Fibo Reaction Zone – Bullish Breakout Support: Around 3,655 (potential first entry)
Down Trendline Retest Zone: Around 3,624 (secondary entry for deeper pullbacks)
Upper liquidity levels 3,727–3,738 mark the next reaction zone where sellers could appear.
These Fibonacci levels align with prior breakout points, suggesting strong structural support.
🟢 Trade Ideas
1️⃣ BUY ZONE #1: 3,655
Stop Loss (SL): 3,645
Take Profit (TP): Risk–Reward 1:1 → 1:2 → 1:3 → Open for new ATH if momentum continues
2️⃣ BUY ZONE #2: 3,624
SL: 3,610
TP: Risk–Reward 1:1 → 1:2 → 1:3 → Open for new ATH|
⚠ Key Notes & Risk Management
Monitor Fed announcements closely—volatility can spike during the policy release.
Watch for liquidity grabs near 3,727–3,738; partial profits may be considered there.
Always adjust your position size to account for potential whipsaws around high-impact news.
This analysis is for educational and idea-sharing purposes only, not financial advice.
💬 Discussion
📊 Do you expect the Fed’s decision to fuel a breakout toward a new all-time high, or will gold face heavy profit-taking at liquidity zones? Share your perspective below!
$7 to $51 in 3 hours In today's episode of wild stocks doing wild things we've got NASDAQ:HSDT $7 to $51 💥 574% in 3 hours.
Everything happened premarket with eary initial pop $7 to $15 at 04:00 right at the open of premakret trading.
The next safe entry was at $18 after that it only went straight up to $51
$SPY / $SPX Scenarios — Thursday, Sept 18, 2025🔮 AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios — Thursday, Sept 18, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving Headlines
📉 Post-Fed digestion: Markets recalibrate after Wednesday’s 🚩 FOMC decision + Powell press conference.
💵 Dollar & yields watch: FX and Treasury moves reflect how traders interpret the Fed’s updated path.
💻 Tech + growth trade: Positioning in AMEX:XLK and high-beta names remains key as rates reset.
🛢️ Energy chatter: Oil volatility keeps AMEX:XLE and inflation hedges in focus.
📊 Key Data & Events (ET)
⏰ 🚩 8:30 AM — Initial Jobless Claims (weekly)
⏰ 8:30 AM — Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Survey (Sep)
⏰ 🚩 10:00 AM — Conference Board Leading Economic Index (Aug)
⚠️ Disclaimer: Educational/informational only — not financial advice.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #SPY #SPX #Fed #Powell #joblessclaims #economy #Dollar #bonds #tech #oil
HBAR ANALYSIS📊 #HBAR Analysis
✅There is a formation of Falling Wedge Pattern on 4HR chart with a breakout and currently trading above its major support area🧐
Pattern signals potential bullish movement incoming in few days
👀Current Price: $0.2385
🚀 Target Price: $0.2780
⚡️What to do ?
👀Keep an eye on #HBAR price action and volume. We can trade according to the chart and make some profits⚡️⚡️
#HBAR #Cryptocurrency #TechnicalAnalysis #DYOR
PUMPUSDT: short setup from daily support at 0.007485Today, BINANCE:PUMPUSDT.P confirmed the 0.007485 level with a precise test, which is clearly visible on the lower timeframes.
Without this confirmation, the level couldn't be considered strong. Now, we have a clear reference point to work from.
Important! The key is how, when, and from where the price approaches this level.
Key factors for this scenario
Price void / low liquidity zone beyond level
Volatility contraction on approach
Immediate retest
Closing near the level
Closing near the bar's extreme
Of course, we must remember that the asset can reverse and move up sharply at any moment. This scenario should not be ruled out.