GBPUSD is Nearing the Daily Trend!!!Hey Traders, in tomorrow's trading session we are monitoring GBPUSD for a buying opportunity around 1.34100 zone, GBPUSD is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.34100 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Technical Analysis
Gold Breakout and Potential RetraceHey Traders, in tomorrow's trading session we are monitoring XAUUSD for a buying opportunity around 3,340 zone, Gold was trading in a downtrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 3,340 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
MarketBreakdown | GBPAUD, WTI CRUDE OIL, US30, US100
Here are the updates & outlook for multiple instruments in my watch list.
1️⃣ #GBPAUD daily time frame 🇬🇧🇦🇺
The market is trading within a wide horizontal parallel channel.
The price is stuck on its support.
Probabilities will be high that the market will start growing from that.
Alternatively, its bearish breakout will provide a strong bearish signal.
2️⃣ #WTI CRUDE OIL daily time frame 🛢️
The price is now testing a significant rising trend line.
It is a critical decision moment for the market.
A bearish breakout of that may trigger a strong bearish continuation.
Monitor intraday price action today. If you see a strong bullish pattern,
it will provide a reliable confirmation to buy,
3️⃣ DOW JONES INDEX #US30 daily time frame
The market started a correction movement in
a bullish flag pattern.
Your next signal to buy will be a breakout of its resistance
and a daily candle close above that.
4️⃣ NASDAQ INDEX #US100 daily time frame
The market is now breaking a resistance of a horizontal parallel channel.
IF a today's daily candle closes above that, it will confirm a start of
another bullish wave.
The market will continue growing then.
Do you agree with my market breakdown?
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Remains Below 1.3700 Ahead of CPI Data from the US and CADUSD/CAD Remains Below 1.3700 Ahead of CPI Data from the US and Canada
USD/CAD continues to decline ahead of inflation data from both the US and Canada.
The US inflation rate is expected to rise to 2.7% year-over-year in June, up from 2.4% recorded in May.
Meanwhile, Canada’s CPI is forecasted to increase by 1.9% year-over-year in June, up from 1.7% in May.
USD/CAD is trading around 1.3690 during the European session on Tuesday, following two days of gains. The pair is declining as the US dollar (USD) continues to weaken ahead of the June CPI data from the US. The inflation figures will provide new insights into the Federal Reserve's (Fed) monetary outlook.
📉 Market Outlook for USD/CAD – Possible Drop on CPI Release
The USDCAD is still in a downtrend, and a sharp drop could occur with today’s CPI data release. Currently, there are two Buy Side Liquidity zones above and Sell Side Liquidity below, with the price balanced around the VPOC zone, which will soon decide the direction after the CPI announcement today.
Market liquidity still holds a FVG below, and with CPI data expected to favor USD, this could trigger a sharp drop towards this liquidity zone, possibly nearing CP OBS at 1.3600, followed by a potential rebound.
If price breaks CP zone, it may head toward a strong OB zone near 1.35xxx. Therefore, caution is advised when monitoring these OB zones.
🎯 Trading Strategy for Today
🟢 BUY ZONE: 1.36000
SL: 1.35500
TP: 1.36500 → 1.37000 → 1.37500 → ????
💬 What are your thoughts on USD/CAD ahead of the CPI data release? Do you expect a strong bounce or a continued decline? Share your views and join the conversation below!
👉 Follow for more updates and insights, and join the community to discuss real-time market moves!
EURGBP Analysis : Bullish Setup + Support & Reversal Zone Ahead🔍 Overview:
This analysis explores a well-developed Mid-Market Cycle (MMC) pattern playing out on the EUR/GBP 8H chart. The price action has transitioned from accumulation to markup, forming a classic cup-shaped recovery structure supported by a parabolic ARC curve. With strong volume contraction, historical interchange zones, and clean breakouts, this setup indicates bullish momentum heading into the next reversal zone.
Let’s walk through each component in detail and build the case for this trade setup.
🧩 1. MMC Cycle Framework
The chart structure aligns with the MMC (Mid-Market Cycle) model:
Phase 1 – Accumulation:
From April to late May, price formed a rounded bottom resembling a "cup" — a known sign of smart money accumulation. The downward momentum stalled, and sellers were gradually absorbed by larger participants.
Phase 2 – Breakout & Expansion:
Early June saw price breaking out of this base, beginning an aggressive uptrend supported by rising structure. This marks the transition to the markup phase of the MMC.
Phase 3 – Pullback & Continuation:
Price pulled back slightly into previous resistance (now turned support), forming a bullish continuation triangle and breaking out again. A textbook MMC continuation.
🧠 2. Technical Confluences
✅ A. ARC Support Curve
The curved support line (ARC) acts as dynamic demand.
Price has bounced multiple times off the curve, reinforcing its strength.
ARC patterns often signal increasing bullish acceleration, reflecting market psychology as traders gain confidence with each higher low.
✅ B. Interchange Zones
The concept of Interchange refers to zones where support becomes resistance or vice versa.
This chart features two key interchange levels:
First interchange formed after the April high.
Second interchange was retested and held cleanly after the breakout.
These areas indicate institutional interest, and their successful retests confirm trend continuation.
✅ C. Volume Contraction
Volume has been shrinking during the markup, which is counterintuitive but strategic.
In Wyckoff theory, this shows absorption of supply — institutions deliberately suppress volatility to accumulate before the next breakout.
Once the contraction ends, explosive moves often follow.
🎯 3. Target Zone: Next Reversal Area
Price is now heading into a clearly defined resistance zone around 0.87400–0.87500.
This level was respected in prior price history (April peak) and may trigger short-term selling or distribution.
The chart shows a possible liquidity grab scenario at the reversal zone, followed by a corrective move (mini bearish ABC).
📈 4. Price Projection & Scenarios
Bullish Case (High Probability)
Breakout Above 0.87500: Triggers a major leg upward.
Potential extension targets:
0.87850 (Fibonacci projection)
0.88200 (next higher timeframe resistance)
Bearish Case (Short-Term Pullback)
Rejection at Reversal Zone:
A corrective leg toward the ARC or prior interchange.
Ideal re-entry for buyers near:
0.86400–0.86600 zone
Or curve retest near 0.86000
🧭 5. Trade Strategy
🔹 Entry Options:
Breakout Entry: Above 0.87500 on strong candle + volume.
Retest Entry: On dip toward ARC curve or interchange.
🔹 Stop-Loss Ideas:
Below ARC line (~0.86000)
Below last bullish engulfing (~0.86250)
🔹 Targets:
TP1: 0.87500
TP2: 0.87850
TP3: 0.88200 (longer-term swing)
💡 6. Trader Psychology in This Chart
This chart represents a controlled bullish structure — a hallmark of smart money participation. Here’s why:
The rounding base was methodically built without sudden volatility.
Each breakout was followed by healthy retests (no fakeouts).
Volume stayed low during markups, reducing retail confidence and allowing institutional loading.
The ARC curve reflects increasing confidence and participation — buyers consistently stepping in on higher lows.
📌 Conclusion
This EUR/GBP setup is a textbook MMC/ARC structure with multiple confirmations:
Smart accumulation
Curve support respected
Volume and structure aligned
Clear next resistance zone
Whether you’re swing trading or monitoring for breakout scalps, this is a high-quality setup worth tracking. Be ready to act at the reversal zone, as it will either confirm continuation or offer a lucrative retest entry.
🔔 Follow for More:
I post regular MMC, structure-based, and Smart Money trade setups. Drop a like, comment your thoughts, or ask questions below!
AUDUSD: Pullback From Support 🇦🇺🇺🇸
There is a high chance to see a pullback from the underlined
key horizontal support on AUDUSD.
As a confirmation, I see a bullish imbalance candle on an hourly time frame.
Goal - 0.658
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EURAUD – Bearish Flag Breakdown OpportunityThe EURAUD pair is showing signs of trend continuation via a classic bearish flag pattern formation. After a sharp decline, the market has entered into a tight consolidation channel, climbing steadily inside a sloped flag structure. Price is now testing a critical resistance area near 1.7830–1.7840 while hovering just below the 200 EMA.
This setup offers a high-probability sell opportunity — but only after confirmation.
1. Structure Overview
The initial sharp downtrend is followed by a consolidation channel — a textbook bearish flag.
Price is approaching major resistance (1.7830–1.7840) and 200 EMA, acting as a ceiling.
A breakdown from the rising support of the flag is expected to trigger a continuation toward the downside.
2. Trade Plan – Bearish Flag Breakdown
✅ Entry Plan:
Wait for a breakdown of the green support trendline (flag support).
Then, wait for a re-test of the broken support (now resistance).
Enter short only after a bearish candlestick confirmation (e.g., bearish engulfing or rejection wick) on the 15-min or 1-hour chart.
🛡️ Stop Loss:
Place the stop loss just above the major resistance zone, around 1.7835–1.7840.
🎯 Target Zones:
Target 1 (TG1): 1.7755
Target 2 (TG2): 1.7718
Final Target: 1.7632
Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2, 1:4, 1:9.4+
3. Why This Trade Makes Sense
Bearish Flag is a reliable continuation pattern in strong downtrends.
Price is failing to break above key resistance and 200 EMA.
The flag offers a tight SL and large downside potential — ideal conditions for R:R setups.
Confluence of structure, pattern, and trend all align for short bias.
4. Trade Management Tips
Scale out partial profits at TG1 and TG2, and trail stop for final target.
If breakdown fails, avoid chasing price — re-evaluate bias if price breaks above 1.7840.
5. Final Thoughts
This EURAUD chart is a textbook case of pattern + price action + resistance confluence. The flag structure is well-defined, and the reward-to-risk ratio is significantly favorable if the breakdown confirms.
📌 Watch for:
Breakdown of rising support
Retest and bearish candle
Entry only on confirmation
High-probability setups don’t require prediction — they require preparation.
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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USDCAD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring USDCAD for a selling opportunity around 1.37200 zone, USDCAD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.37200 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Will The Prospect of a BoE Rate Cut Continue to Dampen GBPUSD?Macro approach:
- GBPUSD has weakened since last week, pressured by disappointing UK economic data and rising expectations of a BoE rate cut. Meanwhile, the US dollar found support amid cautious risk sentiment and anticipation of key US inflation data.
- UK GDP contracted for a second consecutive month in May, and recent labor market surveys signaled further cooling, reinforcing the case for the BoE's monetary easing. Governor Bailey reiterated that the path for rates is "downward," with markets now pricing in a high probability of a cut at the Aug meeting.
- Meanwhile, the US dollar was buoyed by safe-haven flows and firm inflation expectations ahead of the US CPI release, highlighting policy divergence between the Fed and BoE.
- GBPUSD may remain under pressure as traders await UK inflation and employment data, which could influence the BoE's next move. The pair could see further volatility with US CPI and Fed commentary also on the radar as potential catalysts.
Technical approach:
- GBPUSD is retesting the ascending channel's lower bound, confluence with the key support at 1.3420. The price is between both EMAs, indicating a sideways movement. GBPUSD awaits an apparent breakout to determine the short-term trend.
- If GBPUSD breaches below the support at 1.3420, the price may plunge toward the following support at 1.3175.
- On the contrary, holding above 1.3420 may prompt a short correction to retest EMA21.
Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
#SENSEX Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 15/07/2025Sensex is likely to kick off the session with a gap-up opening around the 82500 level, reflecting early bullish momentum. If this initial strength holds and the index begins to build above the 82600–82650 zone, it could signal the start of a recovery leg toward higher resistance levels at 82800, 82900, and potentially 83000+. Sustained action above 82650 may encourage momentum traders to chase strength during the day.
However, the 82500–82650 range will act as a battleground. Failure to defend this zone could invite selling pressure. A breakdown below 82500 may expose the index to intraday weakness, opening downside targets at 82200, 82100, and even 82050. In this case, expect volatility to increase near support levels.
Traders should approach with a flexible strategy—watching for breakout confirmation above 82650 or signs of reversal pressure below 82500. Today’s early range could set the tone for the entire session.
Ethereum Set for a Major Move — Watch $2,700–$2,800Epic Base Forming:
Ethereum is building a powerful base, and the fundamental dynamics have shifted significantly in recent weeks. With ETF fund flows hitting new highs, institutional interest is clearly growing.
Tight Setup for a Short Squeeze:
Meanwhile, the futures market shows a near-record short position, creating a high-potential setup for a massive short squeeze. Even without the chart, this kind of positioning mismatch is rare—and explosive.
Technical Watch Zone:
Ethereum is pressing into key resistance from a rounding bottom. The critical level to watch is $2,700–$2,800. A clean breakout here could ignite a sharp rally, with $4,000+ back on the table in short order.
This is a textbook setup—fundamentals, sentiment, and technicals are aligning.
#Ethereum #ETH #Crypto #TechnicalAnalysis #ShortSqueeze #ETFFlows #MarketSetup #Bullish #Altcoins #CryptoTrading #WatchList
USDJPY Analysis : Bullish Channel Strategy & FMFR Zone Reaction🧩 Market Structure Overview
USDJPY has been in a strong bullish market structure, forming consistent higher highs and higher lows since the beginning of July. The pair recently created a rising ascending channel, where price action has respected both the upper and lower bounds with clean impulsive and corrective moves.
From the 11th to 15th July, USDJPY moved steadily within this bullish channel, forming minor consolidation zones and reacting to short-term supply-demand levels. However, on the 15th, we witnessed a pullback from the upper channel resistance, indicating short-term profit-taking or internal bearish liquidity sweep.
🧠 Current Price Action
Now, price is pulling back and approaching a high-confluence demand zone, marked as:
FMFR (Fair Market Fill Range): A zone where unfilled buy-side orders are likely resting.
SR Flip (Support-Resistance Interchange): A previous resistance zone, now turned into a potential support base.
This area (between 146.80 – 147.00) has multiple confirmations:
Past supply zone → broken and retested
Strong impulsive bullish move originated here
Mid-point of the current bullish channel
Psychological level (147.00 round number)
The market is now offering a potential buying opportunity from this zone, provided a bullish confirmation pattern is printed on lower timeframes (1H or 30M).
🔍 Key Technical Confluences
Bullish Ascending Channel:
Clearly respected — suggesting institutional accumulation. Price is now retesting mid-level or base structure of this channel.
FMFR Zone:
Typically used to spot unbalanced price areas where limit buy orders may rest. Smart money often returns to fill these zones before moving further.
SR Flip:
The prior supply zone from July 8–10 was broken decisively, and price is now using this same level as support.
Liquidity Sweep & Trap:
The current rejection from the channel top may have liquidated early longs. That opens room for a smart-money reversal from the deeper FMFR zone.
📌 Trading Plan (Execution-Based Strategy)
🔽 Entry Criteria:
Wait for a clear bullish reversal candle within the FMFR zone (e.g., bullish engulfing, pin bar, morning star).
Entry can be refined on the 1H or 30M timeframe using a BOS (Break of Structure) signal.
🟢 Buy Zone:
Between 146.80 – 147.00
🔴 Stop Loss:
Below 146.40, well below the FMFR zone and recent wick lows
🎯 Take Profits:
TP1: 148.20 – Retest of the central channel zone
TP2: 149.60 – Next Major Reversal Zone
TP3 (Optional): 150.00 psychological round level (if bullish continuation breaks structure)
⚠️ Risk Management Tips:
Wait for confirmation — don’t rush into the zone without candle proof.
Risk only 1-2% per trade idea.
Adjust lot size according to stop-loss distance.
Avoid chasing if price closes below 146.40 — structure will be invalid.
🔮 What Could Invalidate This Setup?
Clean break below 146.40 support with bearish structure forming (LL, LH)
Bearish fundamentals from USD side (e.g., CPI, FOMC impact)
A tight channel breakdown without bullish volume
📅 Fundamental Backdrop:
USD is currently reacting to macro data and rate expectations.
JPY remains weak structurally, unless BOJ introduces surprise tightening.
US CPI & Fed commentary may influence short-term volatility and liquidity grabs.
🧠 Conclusion:
USDJPY is presenting a high-probability buy setup as it revisits a strong confluence zone formed by FMFR + SR flip. Smart money often re-engages at these levels after liquidity hunts, especially within a bullish structure. Watch for confirmation on lower timeframes, and manage risk responsibly.
This trade idea is based on price action, structure, and institutional concepts, aiming for a trend continuation with clear invalidation levels.
YEXT 1W - breakout confirmed, retest inside bullish channelYext stock just pulled a clean breakout of the weekly downtrend line, retested the buy zone around the 0.5 Fibo level ($7.32), and is now bouncing within a rising channel. The 200MA and 50EMA are both below price, supporting a shift in trend even though the golden cross hasn’t formed yet. The volume increased on breakout, and there's low overhead supply - a classic setup for continuation. The arrow shows the expected move, contingent on confirmation.
Targets: 9.15 - 11.40 - 15.06
Fundamentally, Yext offers enterprise-grade AI-powered search solutions and recently gained attention with new product updates. With AI adoption accelerating, the company may ride the next wave of institutional interest.
When price retests the zone, MA is supportive, and there's no overhead resistance - that’s not noise, that’s a signal.
GBPAUD Weekly Trade Setup–Parallel Channel Breakdown Opportunity1. Overview of GBPAUD Technical Setup
As of 15th July 2025, the GBPAUD 4-hour chart reflects a price currently positioned at a critical support level around 2.0470–2.0480, which has held multiple times since early April. The price action leading to this point has formed a classic descending parallel channel, with price making lower highs and testing horizontal support with increased frequency.
Key observations:
Price is well below the 200 EMA (currently around 2.0794), confirming a bearish long-term bias.
The resistance zone at 2.1070–2.1120 has proven strong over time, pushing back multiple rallies.
Price is compressing — getting squeezed into the lower boundary of the channel with shorter pullbacks, often a precursor to breakout.
The setup is aligning for a high-probability short trade, with a potential move toward the next major demand zone around 2.0100.
The Breakdown Thesis – What We See on the Chart
The current structure of GBPAUD tells a very clear story:
After a rally in early April, price has been trading within a consolidation range, failing to make higher highs.
The support around 2.0470 has now been tested repeatedly with lower bounces each time.
Price recently made a lower high and returned to support with momentum, increasing the probability of a breakdown.
We are expecting a bearish breakout of this support level, followed by a re-test of the broken zone, and then a strong downside continuation.
Risk Management Strategy
Every trade setup — no matter how technically perfect — must begin with a strong risk management plan.
For this GBPAUD setup:
Entry Trigger: Breakdown below 2.0470 and successful re-test rejection with bearish candle confirmation
Stop Loss: Above re-test high; ideally, just above 2.0530 (~66 pips risk)
Target 1: 2.0300 (170+ pips)
Target 2: 2.0200
Target 3 / Final: 2.0100 (potential 370+ pip move)
This gives us an excellent Risk:Reward ratio of ~1:5 or more, allowing traders to be wrong several times and still remain profitable over time.
Opportunities in the market don’t come from guessing — they come from waiting. The GBPAUD parallel channel setup is a brilliant example of structure-based trading that combines logic with discipline. Whether you're a full-time FX trader or a part-time swing participant, setups like these are where consistency is built.
Watch the breakdown. Wait for the re-test. Execute only when the market confirms your plan.
Happy Trading!
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Bitcoin Dominance Found The Top; ALTcoin Dominance Stepping InHello Crypto traders! BTC.Dominance is falling in an impulsive fashion after we spotted the top within the wedge pattern. Now that is trading in wave (v) of a five-wave impulse from the highs, it just confirms a bearish reversal, which indicates that ALTcoin dominance is stepping in. And with still bullish Crypto market, we might be in the ALTseason.
XAUUSD Weekly Trade Setup(14-18th July 2025) - Bullish StrategyIn the ever-volatile world of commodities, Gold (XAUUSD) has yet again presented a promising technical setup. For traders looking to capitalize on price action and structure-based strategies, the upcoming week (14th to 18th July 2025) offers a clean breakout and retest opportunity backed by a strong risk/reward ratio.
Let’s break down the trade plan in detail.
1. Overview of the Current Market Structure
As shown in the 4-hour chart, XAUUSD is approaching a key horizontal resistance zone around 3360–3370. Historically, this area has acted as a rejection point for buyers. However, the recent bullish momentum, supported by price trading above the 200 EMA, suggests a potential breakout.
This forms the basis of a Breakout-Retest-Continuation strategy – one of the most reliable setups in price action trading.
2. The Trade Plan
Here’s the structured plan for this setup:
🔵 Step 1: Wait for the Breakout
Price must break above the resistance zone (3360–3370) with a strong bullish candle.
Avoid chasing the breakout; instead, let the market confirm its direction.
🟠 Step 2: Look for the Retest
After the breakout, wait for the price to pull back to the broken resistance, now acting as support.
Confirm this retest with a reversal candlestick pattern (e.g., bullish engulfing or hammer) on the 1H or 4H timeframe.
🔴 Step 3: Entry and Stop Loss
Enter the trade after the confirmation candle closes.
Place a stop loss below the swing low of the retest zone.
This protects the trade in case of a false breakout.
🟢 Step 4: Set Your Target
The profit booking zone lies around the 3440–3450 region.
This setup offers a Risk/Reward Ratio of 1:4, targeting 1:2, 1:3, and potentially 1:4 if momentum continues.
3. Why This Setup Makes Sense
EMA Confirmation: Price is trading above the 200 EMA, showing bullish bias.
Clean Price Action: Well-defined structure makes it easy to identify breakout/retest levels.
Strong Risk Management: The stop is tight and logical, while the upside potential is considerable.
Psychological Support Zone: 3360–3370 has repeatedly acted as a key decision level.
4. Trade Management Tips
Trail your stop loss once 1:2 R:R is achieved.
Consider partial profit booking at 1:2 or 1:3 to lock in gains and reduce risk.
Be patient – the key to this strategy is waiting for the retest confirmation.
5. Final Thoughts
Trading XAUUSD can be both rewarding and risky. This weekly setup gives you a disciplined approach to enter the market at a high-probability point with excellent reward potential. Whether you’re a swing trader or an intraday scalper on lower timeframes, this strategy adapts well with proper confirmation.
Stay tuned for live updates, and as always – plan your trade, and trade your plan.
Happy Trading!
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 15/07/2025Nifty is expected to open with a gap-up today near the 25050–25100 zone. If the index sustains above this level after the opening, bullish momentum could follow with potential upside targets of 25150, 25200, and 25250+. This zone will act as the key intraday support-turned-demand area.
However, if Nifty struggles to hold above 25200–25250 and shows signs of reversal from this zone, we might witness selling pressure. A rejection from this region could lead to a pullback toward 25150, 25100, and 25050 levels.
On the downside, a breakdown below 24950 will signal further weakness. If that level is breached decisively, it can lead to sharp downside movements toward 24850, 24800, and even 24750. This would indicate a reversal of early bullish sentiment.
Today’s session could remain volatile around key levels. It’s advisable to watch price action around the 25050–25250 range for intraday confirmation before taking directional trades.
GBPJPY – Eyeing new highs as bullish structure holdsGBPJPY continues to trade within a steady ascending channel and has recently bounced from short-term support around 198.200. If price breaks above 199.400, bullish momentum could strengthen, targeting the previous high near 200.800 — a key resistance zone that has been rejected before.
From a fundamental perspective, expectations that the Bank of England will maintain high interest rates to combat inflation are supporting the pound. Meanwhile, investor sentiment remains cautious toward the yen following dovish signals from the Bank of Japan. If upcoming UK economic data is positive, GBPJPY may continue climbing in the sessions ahead.
PFC– At Resistance with Ascending Triangle PatternPower Finance Corporation (NSE: PFC) is forming a technically clean structure — trading within a rising trend channel and now testing a critical resistance zone around ₹430–₹440.
This is a make-or-break level, and the market could tip in either direction depending on how price reacts this week.
1. Chart Structure Overview
Support Zone: Defined by a rising green trendline connecting higher lows since March 2025.
Resistance Zone: Red band between ₹430–₹440, where price has previously reversed multiple times.
200 EMA (Blue Line): Currently hovering around ₹423, adding confluence as a dynamic support/resistance level.
This convergence makes the current price zone crucial for directional confirmation.
2. Two Trade Scenarios
Scenario 1: Bullish Breakout (Trend Continuation)
If the price breaks above ₹440 with strong bullish candles, traders can look for:
✅ Entry after a confirmed breakout + re-test of the ₹430–₹435 zone
🎯 Target Zones: ₹455, ₹470+
🛡️ Stop Loss: Below the swing low of the re-test (₹425 or as per price structure)
🔁 Risk/Reward: 1:2 or better
Scenario 2: Resistance Rejection (Short-Term Pullback)
If the price fails to break above ₹430–₹440 and shows reversal patterns:
✅ Entry on confirmation (e.g., bearish engulfing, rejection wick)
🎯 Target Zones: ₹410 (near rising trendline), possible extension to ₹400
🛡️ Stop Loss: Just above the resistance (~₹442–₹445)
🔁 Risk/Reward: 1:2 to 1:3 depending on entry
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EURUSD – Bullish Momentum ReturnsEURUSD is gradually breaking free from downward pressure as it breaches the short-term accumulation structure, aiming for the resistance zone around 1.1720. On the chart, a clear bullish trend is emerging, supported by FVG signals reinforcing the recovery.
On the news front, expectations are rising that the European Central Bank will maintain a tighter policy stance for longer, as core inflation in the Eurozone remains elevated. Meanwhile, the USD is under corrective pressure following last week’s lower-than-expected U.S. CPI data. Upcoming statements from ECB and Fed officials today will be key in determining the next move for this currency pair.
Unless a surprise arises from the U.S. side, EURUSD is likely to sustain its short-term upward momentum and test the next technical resistance area.
Gold/XAUUSD Analysis Breaks Bullish Channel – Targeting 3400+🟨 Market Context:
Gold (XAU/USD) has recently completed a significant technical move that signals the potential start of a strong bullish continuation phase. After a period of consolidation inside a descending channel, price has broken above key resistance levels and is showing firm buyer strength across the board.
🔍 Technical Structure Breakdown:
🔹 Descending Channel (Consolidation Phase)
For several sessions, gold was confined within a well-defined descending channel, which typically indicates a temporary correction in a broader bullish trend. This phase served as a liquidity-building zone where smart money accumulated long positions.
🔹 Breakout & Retest Confirmation
The breakout above the upper boundary of the channel was clean and impulsive, confirming bullish intent. This breakout aligned perfectly with a previous demand zone (now retested as support), adding strong confluence.
Key Breakout Zone: $3,330–$3,340
Retest Action: Price pulled back to test the breakout zone, respected it, and printed a bullish reversal.
This behavior confirms the “breakout–retest–continuation” pattern—highly reliable in trending markets.
🔹 SR Interchange – Key Pivot Zone
The level around $3,340 served a dual role:
Previously acted as resistance within the channel.
Now acting as support post-breakout (SR flip).
This interchange area is significant because it reinforces the idea that bulls are now defending this level aggressively.
🔹 Bullish Pattern Confirmation
A bullish price pattern has formed exactly at the SR zone and near the trendline. This double confluence (pattern + level) provides high-probability trade setups and confirms the entry point for buyers.
🔹 Ascending Trendline Support
An emerging bullish trendline is now guiding the move upward, confirming that the market has shifted its short-term trend. Every bounce on this trendline reinforces bullish structure and validates higher-low formations.
🎯 Price Targets & Expectations:
✅ Previous Target Zone:
Around $3,375, already tapped and respected.
This shows that gold is following technical targets with precision.
🎯 Next Bullish Target:
$3,400 – $3,410 zone stands as the next supply region.
This area is a major psychological resistance and aligns with historical reaction points.
🧠 Trading Insight & Strategy:
With current price action and momentum, buying dips remains the optimal approach, provided the price stays above the SR Interchange zone.
🔽 Entry Zone: $3,345 – $3,350
📈 Targets:
TP1: $3,375 (partial exit)
TP2: $3,400–$3,410 (final target)
❌ Invalidation Zone (Stop Loss): Below $3,330
Breaking below this would invalidate the breakout structure and possibly signal a false breakout.
📌 Summary:
✅ Clear breakout from descending channel
✅ Retest of previous demand and SR flip zone
✅ Bullish pattern confirmed on key support
✅ Ascending trendline intact
🎯 Next logical move: $3,400+
The gold market is giving strong bullish cues, and this setup could be a textbook example of “buy the breakout, ride the trend.”
Stay sharp, trade smart, and keep your risk in check. 👑