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Trend Analysis

Bitcoin’s Bloodbath Was a Setup Smart Money Knows ItBitcoin remains structurally bullish despite the recent market turmoil. The monthly chart clearly shows that the main ascending trendline continues to hold firm acting as the backbone of the current bull cycle. The recent drop was nothing more than a controlled retest of this key support zone. As long as Bitcoin stays above $103,000 and the trendline remains intact, the bull market stands strong. Next upside projections: First target: $126K – $165K Extension target: $200K+ Only a confirmed monthly close below $103K would invalidate the bullish structure. Until then, this phase remains a buyers’ market, not a sellers’. Share your thoughts below do you believe this trendline can carry BTC to new highs? Like & share if you agree.
Long
by weslad
106
BTC to Retrace to Key Fibonacci level after Heavy SelloffPrice experienced a sharp and aggressive selloff and now, after a strong rejection from key level, the market is consolidating, showing early signs of stabilization as sellers begin to lose momentum. If buyers can defend this area and push price higher, the next logical target lies around the Fibonacci 0.5–0.618 retracement zone, aligning with the 117,000 - 119,000 level, a key area where sellers may step back in.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by TrendDiva
52
GOLD → Correction to 4090. What could this mean?FX:XAUUSD , after updating its high to 4180, formed a correction and descended to the support zone of 4090, forming an intermediate bottom. We have a trading range... Key drivers: China has introduced controls on rare earth metal exports, and the parties are holding consultations. A meeting between Trump and Xi Jinping is scheduled for the end of October. Expectations of two rate cuts before the end of the year are strengthening gold's position. The ongoing government shutdown is fueling demand for safe-haven assets. Today, attention is focused on Powell's speech, which could set the tone for the market. The bullish trend for gold continues. The absence of bearish factors and ongoing macro risks continue to push the price up. Corrections are seen as an opportunity to buy. Resistance levels: 4150, 4180 Support levels: 4117, 4090, 4059 The price is testing the 4150 liquidity zone, which could trigger a pullback within the range. A retest of support at 4117-4090 could support the market, and a change in imbalance could lead to another rally to 4180 - 4200 Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
27
Gold Eyes 4,200 as Pullback Near 4,070 Sets Stage for Next BreakHey Traders, In today’s session, we’re monitoring XAUUSD for a buying opportunity around the 4,070 zone. Gold remains in a strong uptrend, and after setting a fresh all-time high, price is now pulling back toward key trend support. This area has been acting as a critical demand zone, and a bullish reaction here could trigger the next leg higher — potentially toward the 4,200 mark. With safe-haven demand still elevated and DXY under pressure, the broader context continues to favor further upside in Gold. Trade safe, Joe.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by JoeChampion
19
Bitcoin - First Signs of the Bear AwakeningBitcoin recently swept the previous all-time high, taking liquidity from the major external range. After that sweep, price reacted sharply downward, leaving behind a significant daily imbalance. This gap is now acting as resistance, with clear rejection seen on the daily timeframe. The move signals exhaustion from buyers and an early sign that the market could be preparing for a deeper retracement phase. Consolidation Structure Following the rejection, Bitcoin is moving within a short-term consolidation range, sitting between the daily imbalance above and a major demand zone below. This structure represents indecision as the market transitions from expansion to a potential reaccumulation or redistribution phase. The large wick left behind during the last drop suggests that liquidity was collected below the previous range, but it remains unfilled, hinting at unfinished business in that area. Bullish Scenario In the short term, a bounce from the lower zone could play out as the market attempts to correct the imbalance. This would align with a 50% fill of the previous large wick, providing the liquidity needed before resuming any sustained downside movement. If buyers manage to reclaim control temporarily, the move would likely target the unfilled 4-hour gaps sitting above current price. Bearish Scenario However, any upside reaction is expected to face resistance at the daily imbalance. Once those 4-hour gaps are filled, the likelihood of another rejection increases. If that rejection confirms, it could trigger a larger selloff targeting the strong support area below, where the next round of liquidity rests. The reaction from that zone will determine whether the market continues lower or begins forming a new base for accumulation. Price Target and Expectations The ideal flow would see Bitcoin dip to fill 50% of the large wick, find temporary support, then stage one final bounce into the 4-hour imbalance zone before resuming its bearish leg. This structure keeps the overall narrative intact, combining liquidity behavior with efficient price delivery. Conclusion Bitcoin’s current setup remains technically balanced between two key inefficiencies. A short-term bounce is likely before continuation lower, with the daily gap rejection acting as the main pivot point in this structure. Until the wick fill and 4-hour gaps are resolved, the path of least resistance remains to the downside. ___________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
Short
by TehThomas
33
GOLD → Ready for continued growth. Target 4100 - 4125FX:XAUUSD remains above $4,000, starting the week with a record high amid the escalating trade war between the US and China. Traders bought up all of last week's decline. Key drivers: Trump's new tariffs: Introduction of 100% tariffs on all Chinese goods and export controls on software from November 1. China is not sitting idly by: Restrictions on exports of rare earth metals and technologies. The ongoing shutdown and trade uncertainty are weakening the dollar. US inflation data (CPI on October 24) will be the first key release after the shutdown. Speeches by Fed officials may adjust rate expectations. Gold remains in an uptrend, but momentum will depend on the progress of trade negotiations. A breakout to new highs is likely if tensions remain high. Resistance levels: 4078, 4100, 4110 Support levels: 4059 A breakout of 4078 and a close above the key level could trigger a continuation of the growth to 4100. An additional scenario could be a correction to 4059 before further growth to 4100-4125. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
34
ETHUSDTHello Traders! 👋 What are your thoughts on Ethereum? Ethereum is currently trading between two major zones of support and resistance. In this range, we expect a short-term correction toward the ascending trendline, followed by some consolidation before a potential breakout above the resistance zone. If the support holds, followed by a positive reaction from the trendline and a breakout above the resistance level, Ethereum is expected to begin a new bullish wave and move higher toward the identified target levels. If a daily candle closes below $3,500, this bullish scenario will be invalidated and a deeper correction could follow. Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Long
by HAMED_AZ
21
Lingrid | GOLD Retracement Entry Trend Continuation SetupThe price perfectly fulfilled my previous idea . OANDA:XAUUSD remains within its strong upward channel, rebounding each time from its dynamic trendline to form higher lows. The structure displays clear bullish momentum supported by consecutive range breakouts and sustained trend continuation. A stable hold above 4,050 could trigger a renewed rally toward 4,200 and possibly 4,250 resistance. The broader market structure confirms steady accumulation, keeping buyers in control of the short-term trend. ⚠️ Risks: A break below 4,060 could weaken bullish pressure and lead to a deeper correction. Rising U.S. yields or hawkish Fed Chair Powell commentary may limit upside momentum. Unexpected macro data or geopolitical developments could cause short-term volatility. If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lingrid
11
BTC/USD (Bitcoin) chart pattern..BTC/USD (Bitcoin) 1D (Daily) chart 👇 ✅ Current Price: around $110,685 ✅ Trend: Bearish breakdown — price has clearly broken below the long-term ascending trendline. ✅ Market structure: After rejecting near $117,000, BTC dropped below both the Ichimoku cloud and the trendline — confirming downside pressure. --- 🎯 Target Levels (Downside) 1. Primary Target: $100,000 – $98,000 2. Extended / Final Target: $94,000 – $92,000 This is the second target point shown on my chart. It would be the next major support if BTC continues falling after $98,000 breaks. --- 🛡 Resistance / Stop-Loss Immediate resistance: $113,000 – $114,000 (broken trendline retest zone). Stop-loss for short trades: above $115,000 – $116,000 (invalidates bearish setup). --- 🔍 Summary Trend bias: Bearish (break of trendline + below cloud) Sell zone: $111,000 – $113,000 Target 1: $100,000 – $98,000 Target 2: $94,000 – $93,000 Stop-loss: above $115,000
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by HussaiN_JaNi
16
XAU/USD | Gold Rockets Past $4090 – Over 1000 Pips Gained!By analyzing the Gold (XAU/USD) chart on the 30-minute timeframe, we can see that Gold continued its strong bullish momentum, exactly as expected, and successfully hit all our targets at $4006, $4016, and $4028, fully filling the FVG. However, Gold didn’t stop there — it kept pushing higher and has just printed a new all-time high (ATH) at $4090! This move has already delivered over 1000 pips of profit. Key demand zones are now located at $4051–$4060 and $4020–$4024. Given the current momentum, I expect Gold to continue rising toward targets above $4100 in the short term. THE Previous TA : Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
FX_IDC:XAUUSDLong
by ArmanShabanTrading
35
Gold Extends Rally to New All-Time HighsGold Extends Rally to New All-Time Highs From our previous outlook, gold has followed the optimistic scenario as expected. It reached the $4,000 and $4,050 targets and is likely to continue rising. After the market turmoil caused by Trump’s comments on Friday about increasing tariffs on China, gold has strengthened again. Trading volume remains high and positive. Gold is now hitting new all-time highs. If this uptrend continues and holds above 4060, the next possible targets are $4,100, $4,150, and $4,200. However, since the U.S. market is closed today for Columbus Day, trading volume might be lower. If momentum slows down and gold drops below 4060 again, then it could briefly pull back to around $4,000 before continuing upward. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by KlejdiCuni
25
CFX Setting Up for a Head and Shoulders BreakdownHi guys! just a quick analysis CFX is printing a clean head and shoulders setup on the 15-minute chart. The neckline sits around the 0.1100 zone, which is acting as short-term support right now. If the price breaks below that neckline with a solid candle close, it could confirm a bearish reversal. The plan would be to wait for a retest of the neckline as resistance and then look for a short entry. Trade idea: Entry: On a confirmed break and retest below 0.1100 Target: 0.1020 area (previous support) Stop: Above the right shoulder, around 0.1140 If the neckline gives way, momentum could accelerate quickly to the downside. Just make sure to wait for confirmation!
Short
by melikatrader94
11
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone, Please see our updated 4h chart levels and targets for the coming week. We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 4041 and a gap below at 3978. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range. We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges. BULLISH TARGET 4041 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 4041 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS 4099 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 4099 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 4154 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 4154 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 4212 BEARISH TARGETS 3978 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3978 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 3916 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3916 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE 3840 3767 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3767 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE 3689 3632 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
20
Gold Prices Overview of Primary Catalyst : October 2025📊 Catalyst Scorecard — Updated (10 = max bullish impulse) 1. Fed Path & Real Yields — 9.0/10 (Bullish) Markets lean toward additional Fed cuts into year-end as labor-market risks build; dovish signaling around/after Jackson Hole has coincided with record gold prints. Lower real yields remain the single strongest tailwind. 2. U.S. Dollar Trend — 8.0/10 (Bullish) DXY ~99 keeps FX headwind light for non-USD buyers; any further dollar slippage greases upside. 3. Central-Bank Buying / De-Dollarization — 8.5/10 (Bullish) Official-sector demand re-accelerated in August after a softer July; 2025 remains a strong year led by EM banks. This sticky, price-insensitive bid keeps floors firm. 4. Trade/Tariff Shock (Latest U.S.–China Escalation) — 8.5/10 (Bullish) Tariff brinkmanship has re-ignited, with scenarios floating sweeping new/raised U.S. tariffs on China up to triple-digits on some categories. Inflationary impulse + growth uncertainty = safe-haven and hedge demand for gold. 5. ETF & Institutional Flows — 7.5/10 (Bullish) Record-style inflows in Sept. (largest monthly on WGC data this year) and five straight months in Europe underline broadening participation. Flows amplify macro moves. 6. Systematic/CTA & Options Positioning — 6.5/10 (Mixed → Volatility) Trend-following and options gamma around big figures ($4,100 / $4,200) are magnifying intraday whipsaws. Inference from price behavior vs. round-number pivots and fresh highs. 7. China Growth/Property Stress — 6.0/10 (Bullish) Macro fragility + trade tensions keep risk appetite cautious and investment demand for hedges elevated. Macro inference aligned with tariff news and sustained safe-haven bids. 8. U.S. Fiscal & Credit Risk — 6.0/10 (Bullish) Deficits and periodic funding drama incl. shutdown headlines sustain a background bid for duration-agnostic hedges like gold. 9. Jewelry & Tech Demand — 4.5/10 (Slightly Bearish near records) At all-time highs, price-sensitive jewelry demand lags (India still seasonally active, but at higher rupee prices); investment demand dominates. 10. Geopolitics (Ukraine/Mideast/Taiwan) — 5.5/10 (Event-Bullish) Event spikes persist but remain secondary to the rate/FX driver set. 🗂️ Quick Table Rank Catalyst Score/10 Impact Direction Notes 1 Fed path & real yields 9.0 Very High Bullish Cuts priced; new highs on rate-cut bets. 2 Central-bank buying 8.5 High Bullish Aug net adds; robust 2025. 3 U.S.–China tariff risk 8.5 High Bullish Escalation chatter/looming hikes. 4 U.S. dollar trend 8.0 High Bullish DXY ~99 keeps winds favorable. 5 ETF/institutional flows 7.5 High Bullish Sept set records; 5-mo EU streak. 6 Systematic/CTA flows 6.5 Mod Mixed Round-number gamma, whipsaws. 7 China growth stress 6.0 Mod Bullish Macro fragility + tariffs. 8 U.S. fiscal risk 6.0 Mod Bullish Funding theatrics support hedges. 9 Jewelry/tech demand 4.5 Low Slightly Bearish Price-sensitive demand lags at highs. 10 Geopolitics (broad) 5.5 Low-Mod Event-Bullish Episodic spikes; not primary. ________________________________________ 🚀 Street Outlook — Bullish 2026 Calls ≥ $5,000 • Bank of America: lifts 2026 target to $5,000/oz (avg $4,400), citing sustained investment demand and macro hedging. • Société Générale: referenced alongside BofA in calling potential $5,000 by 2026 amid rate-cut cycle & trade tensions. Bottom line: High-conviction houses are explicitly flagging $5k scenarios into 2026 on the combo of easier policy, FX tailwinds, and structural buying. ________________________________________ 🧨 Spotlight: Latest U.S.–China Tariff Escalation Tariff rhetoric and policy paths have re-intensified into mid-October, with reports of much higher U.S. tariffs on Chinese imports incl. 100% in some proposals “looming”. The renewed brinkmanship is elevating inflation and growth uncertainty, a classic support for gold. ________________________________________ 🧩 Key Supports & Resistances Reference: Spot ~$4,123/oz; day’s high ~ $4,179, low ~ $4,091 (Oct 14, 2025). 🔼 Resistances • $4,180–$4,200: Record high / round-number supply (fresh sellers + optionality). • $4,250: Next psychological magnet; common options strike/target zone (technical inference). • $4,300: Major psychological figure; likely heavier gamma/stop clusters (inference). 🔽 Supports • $4,100: First intraday pivot (today’s congestion). • $4,000: Major psych level / prior breakout; expect dip-buying and CTA reloads. (Inference supported by recent breakout behavior.) • $3,900–$3,850: Pullback buffer from prior impulse leg (tech inference). • $3,750 / $3,700: Deeper mean-reversion shelf if macro data surprises hawkish. • $3,500: Cycle baseline—would imply a regime shift (low probability barring macro shock). 🧠 Trading implications: Expect chop around $4,100–$4,200 as options/CTA flows battle; decisive acceptance above $4,200 opens a momentum run toward $4,250 → $4,300. Failure to hold $4,100 puts $4,000 in play where physical + ETF dip-buyers likely re-engage. ________________________________________ 🌐 Flow & Positioning Notes • ETFs: September marked the largest monthly inflow of 2025, led by Europe (UK/CH/DE), extending a five-month streak—a textbook confirmation of bull-trend participation. • Official sector: Net buyers in August; EM central banks remain the anchor bid. • FX: DXY drift lower = mechanical tailwind; watch for USD squeezes around U.S. data prints. ________________________________________ 🧭 Risk Map What Can Derail $5k? • Hawkish upside surprises in U.S. inflation/growth pushing real yields higher (cuts repriced later/weaker). • Swift tariff de-escalation dampening inflation hedging bid. • Positioning washouts near round numbers if CTA trend signals flip (volatility risk). ________________________________________ ✅ Bottom Line Momentum, macro, and flows argue buy-the-dip into $4,000–$4,100 while the $5k-by-2026 narrative strengthens on the Street. Break and hold above $4,200 likely extends the up-leg toward $4,250–$4,300 near term; BofA’s $5,000 2026 call underscores the cycle’s runway.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ProjectSyndicate
45
Is This the End of the Insane Rally? (read before comment!)In my Sunday video, I argued that after Friday’s close it seemed likely that 4100 could be next for Gold — and indeed, Gold didn’t just stop there, it printed a new all-time high at 4180. Yesterday, as usual, when I woke up Asia had already done its job — we’re used to that by now — and I found the price 400 pips higher. So, I simply watched. However, last night, considering that after a 1500+ pip rally at least a correction could follow, I decided to take a short position — a very risky one, to be fair. Luck (and timing) were on my side, and by the time of writing this post, the price already dipped under 4100, and my trade was closed with a +600 pip take profit. ________________________________________ The Big Question: Is Gold done with this insane rise? In my opinion — yes, at least temporarily. There’s no secret that the price is overstretched, and if we look carefully at the chart, the recent 4,000-pip rise is contained within an expanding triangle. We saw a short-lived spike above the resistance of that triangle — and also above the ascending channel — followed by a strong 1,000-pip reversal in just two hours, clearly signaling heavy profit-taking. At this moment, the price has stopped its descent around the horizontal level below 4100, and we’re seeing a technical rebound. I plan to use this rebound as a new selling opportunity. While my first short targeted the 4100 area, my second trade will aim for the 4050 zone, which coincides with last week’s all-time high and now acts as a key confluence support. ________________________________________ Final Thoughts Markets often humble us — and they do it with irony. Although I'm very bullish on Gold overall, my last five trades have all been shorts. And the irony? The results are more than satisfying: ✅ +550 pips ❌ -200 pips ➖ Break-even ✅ +350 pips ✅ +600 pips That’s +1,300 pips profit from trading drops in a bullish market. The market truly has a sense of humor. 😄
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
27
Gold can be Rejected from Channel ResistanceHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. The market context for Gold has been strongly bullish since the price action broke out of a prolonged consolidation range that was based in the 3325 buyer zone. This structural shift initiated a new uptrend, with the price action for XAU having been guided higher within a well-defined upward channel. The asset has shown significant strength, breaking through multiple levels, including the current support level at 3845. Currently, after completing a strong impulsive wave, the price is trading very close to the resistance line of this upward channel, consolidating near the highs. In my mind, this is a logical area for the bullish momentum to pause and for a correction to begin. I expect the price to soon be rejected from this channel's upper boundary and initiate a new corrective swing to the downside. I think a confirmed reversal from this area would validate the short scenario. Therefore, I have placed my TP at the 3845 level, targeting the recent breakout area, which should now act as the first major support. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀 Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
THINKMARKETS:XAUUSDShort
by LegionQ8
14
Bitcoin - What to expect from this week?Introduction This analysis examines the recent price behavior of Bitcoin against USDT on the daily timeframe. The chart highlights several key technical concepts, including a liquidity sweep at the highs, a daily Fair Value Gap (FVG) acting as resistance, and the likelihood of a wick fill within a major imbalance zone. Together, these elements provide valuable insight into how institutional traders may be engineering liquidity and preparing for the next significant move. Understanding these areas can help traders anticipate high-probability reaction zones and better align with the market’s underlying structure. Liquidity sweep The market recently executed a liquidity sweep above previous swing highs, triggering buy stops and attracting breakout traders into the move. This sudden push to the upside was quickly rejected, signaling that smart money likely used this moment to gather liquidity and distribute positions. Liquidity sweeps often serve as the market’s way of collecting orders before a reversal or retracement, indicating that the bullish momentum may be temporarily exhausted. This event sets the stage for price to rebalance inefficiencies left behind during the rapid move. Daily FVG resistance Following the liquidity sweep, price left behind a clear daily Fair Value Gap, which represents an area of imbalance caused by strong displacement. This gap often acts as resistance, where price is expected to return and mitigate before potentially continuing lower. The FVG provides an ideal area for institutional traders to reposition, as it offers a point of confluence between inefficiency and structure. If price reacts bearishly within this zone, it would strengthen the bearish outlook and suggest a continuation toward lower levels. Wick fill The large wick seen during the recent sell-off is an important feature of this chart. Historically, big wicks tend to get filled by 50% to 65%, reflecting the market’s tendency to rebalance inefficiencies over time. The marked blue zone below shows where this fill is most likely to occur. This zone aligns closely with previous support levels and Fibonacci retracement levels, further reinforcing it as a potential area of interest. A wick fill into this region could provide liquidity for future bullish movement, allowing the market to establish a more solid foundation for the next impulsive leg upward. Conclusion In summary, the current daily structure of Bitcoin suggests that price has completed a liquidity sweep at the highs and is now in the process of rebalancing inefficiencies through a possible retracement. The daily Fair Value Gap above serves as a critical resistance zone where sellers may re-enter, while the wick fill area below marks a high-probability target for price to revisit before establishing new direction. Traders should monitor how price reacts to these two regions, a rejection from the FVG coupled with a move toward the wick fill zone could signal the next significant swing opportunity. In this environment, patience and precision are key, as the market seeks equilibrium before its next major directional move. ------------------------- Thanks for your support. If you enjoyed this analysis, make sure to follow me so you don't miss the next one. And if you found it helpful, feel free to drop a like 👍 and leave a comment 💬, I’d love to hear your thoughts!
by Youriverse
41
BITCOIN – WAIT FOR ARBITRAGE TO BALANCE SPOT MARKETSTraders, What a week it’s been. A lot of people got rekt, and I hope you were on the right side of the move. If not, it’s fine: this is how markets reset. I’ve been getting a lot of questions about what comes next, so here’s my current view. The Situation Binance/USDT wicked down to 102,000 Binance/USD wicked to 107,485.59 Coinbase/USD wicked to 107,000 That’s roughly a $5,000 difference, or about 5%, which is huge for major spot markets. Under normal conditions, spreads between top venues like Coinbase and Binance are usually below 1% (Bitwise, 2019 SEC Study on Real Bitcoin Trading Volume - for the nerds interested ;)). Why It Matters Both Binance and Coinbase printed round-number lows (102k and 107k). Round-number lows are considered “bad lows” because they attract clustered stop-loss orders and create obvious liquidity pools underneath. Studies on market microstructure (e.g., Osler 2003; Kamps & Klein 2018) confirm that price clustering at round numbers is a real behavioral bias in FX and crypto markets. Real market bottoms are messy, chaotic, and rarely form at clean, even levels. These “perfect” lows often get revisited or swept later as the market clears liquidity and finds true balance. How the Flush Works in Spot Markets Even though spot markets don’t have leverage liquidations, they still experience stop cascades and panic selling. When price breaks below a clean low, it triggers stops, sending a surge of sell orders into thin liquidity. Market makers step in to absorb those orders and rebuild liquidity from a more stable base. This is what traders call a spot flush — the market removing weak hands and resetting liquidity. Conceptually, it’s the same as a liquidation flush in futures, just without forced margin calls. What Arbitrage Does Arbitrage keeps prices between exchanges in check. When Bitcoin trades cheaper on Binance than on Coinbase, arbitrage traders buy on Binance and sell on Coinbase. This pushes the cheap venue’s price up and the expensive one down until they align. Makarov & Schoar (2020, NBER) showed that cross-exchange price deviations in Bitcoin are temporary and mean-reverting, driven by arbitrage capital restoring equilibrium. Kaiko research (2021–2023) also found that USD and USDT pairs often decouple during stress events, especially when stablecoin liquidity or banking rails get disrupted, and later realign once volatility settles. That’s exactly what we’re seeing now: a temporary dislocation that arbitrage will eventually close. What I Expect Binance already swept liquidity down to 102k. Coinbase still has a clean 107k low that hasn’t been tested. To rebalance both exchanges, I expect Coinbase to trade within 1% of the Binance 102k low, meaning roughly 103k–104k. That would bring both markets back into alignment and complete a proper spot flush. This isn’t a guaranteed move, but it’s a logical rebalancing target supported by historical arbitrage behavior. What Could Happen Before That We could still see Bitcoin move back toward 118k–120k before a potential drop. After major liquidation events, markets often retrace sharply as liquidity rebuilds and shorts get squeezed. A move higher doesn’t invalidate the idea of a later sweep; it could just be part of the natural reset phase before the market finds true equilibrium. What I’m Watching The spread between Coinbase/USD and Binance/USDT narrowing from around 5% to about 1%. Coinbase breaking below 107k and testing the 104–102k zone. A liquidity sweep followed by a strong reclaim and visible buy volume. If we move up first, I’ll watch price behavior around 118k–120k for signs of exhaustion. My Plan (Not Financial Advice) I’m staying patient and letting the market mechanics reset. If Coinbase trades into the 103k–102k zone, that’s my “let’s see what’s going on now” trigger. That doesn’t mean I’ll instantly go long — it means I’ll start watching the data: Volume and delta (are buyers stepping in?) Strength of reclaim (is the recovery fast and decisive?) Order book depth (is liquidity returning?) What is Open Interest doing? Do we see absorption? Or maybe a continuation pattern even? Only if those metrics confirm strength will I consider entering.If not, I’ll stay flat and wait for the next confirmation. So, TLDR; Both Binance and Coinbase printed clean, round-number lows that are likely to be swept again. Arbitrage will eventually bring the spot markets back into balance, which should pull Coinbase closer to Binance’s 102k low. We might even see a push toward 120k first as liquidity resets. Either way, patience is key: let arbitrage, liquidity, and order flow do their job before taking any position. And remember: Patience in trading isn’t about doing nothing, it’s about waiting for the odds to align in your favor. Chasing every move might feed the ego, but patience compounds the account. The market always rewards the trader who can sit still when everyone else is reacting. Trade safe!
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by ThetaNomad
14
GBP/USD - Breakout Pattern (14.10.2025)The GBP/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours. Possible Long Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Resistance – 1.3434 2nd Resistance – 1.3484 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. #GBPUSD #Forex #Trading #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #ForexSignals #BreakoutTrading #Ichimoku #FXTrading #BullishSetup #TradingView ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always use proper risk management and conduct your own research before trading. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
14
GBP/USD (1H chart) ...GBP/USD (1H chart) Current price: around 1.3274 Breakout trendline: downward sloping, recently broken Support zone: near 1.3200 – 1.3220 (highlighted green area) Resistance/Target zones: marked as “Target Point” on my chart From the chart structure and Ichimoku breakout: 🎯 Target Levels 1. First target (near-term): 1.3370 – 1.3380 → This aligns with the first “Target Point” on my chart (post-breakout resistance area). 2. Second target (major target): 1.3470 – 1.3490 → This matches my higher “Target Point” level and previous supply zone/resistance. 🔄 Summary Target Type Price Zone Comment TP1 1.3370 – 1.3380 Short-term breakout target TP2 1.3470 – 1.3490 Extended bullish target if momentum continues SL (Suggested) Below 1.3220 To protect against false breakout
Long
by HussaiN_JaNi
9
Gold Outlook: Analysts Eye $5,000 as Tensions RiseHello everyone, Gold continues to capture market attention as a new wave of geopolitical and trade tensions fuels safe-haven demand. The US–China dispute reignited after President Donald Trump announced a 100% tariff on Chinese imports and imposed export restrictions on key software technologies. Beijing responded by tightening rare earth exports, raising fears of a supply shock for the tech industry. This chain of events pushed investors back toward gold, seeking shelter from global uncertainty. On the macro front, Bank of America has revised its 2026 gold forecast upward to $5,000 per ounce, citing sustained central bank purchases and the likelihood of renewed ETF inflows once the Fed begins rate cuts. These expectations underline gold’s enduring role as the ultimate safe-haven asset. Technically, gold has broken above the 4,100 USD resistance zone, currently trading near 4,130 USD, signalling that buyers remain in firm control. The 4,100–4,120 USD Fair Value Gap now acts as short-term support, while Ichimoku dynamics reinforce the bullish bias. Should this momentum persist, a move toward 4,200 USD seems plausible in the near term. Still, some profit-taking could emerge around that level, possibly triggering a pullback toward 4,100 USD before the next leg higher. For patient traders, such retracements might offer ideal “buy-the-dip” opportunities. What about you — do you see gold pushing through 4,200 soon, or taking a breather first?
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by EmmaChartist
15
NZD/USD 30-minute chart Pattern...NZD/USD 30-minute chart, here’s a breakdown of what the setup shows: The chart depicts a downtrend, but price is currently forming a potential reversal from a support zone (the rectangular box at the bottom). A downtrend line has been broken or is about to be broken to the upside. The Ichimoku cloud (yellow area) is overhead — suggesting resistance near that zone, but also my target point is drawn above the cloud. Current price is around 0.5709. ✅ My target (as shown on the chart): The “Target Point” is drawn near 0.5750–0.5760. So the likely target zone for this bullish move is: 👉 0.5750 – 0.5760 ⚠ Trading notes: A clear break and close above 0.5715–0.5720 would confirm bullish momentum. First resistance: 0.5730 Final target: 0.5750–0.5760 A logical stop-loss could be below 0.5690, beneath the recent support zone.
Long
by RSI_Trading_point
11