Exploring the "Condor" : A Look at the Chinese Yuan Futures In the realm of option trading, the term "Condor" refers not to a bird of prey, but to an intricate options strategy known for its non-directional nature. This strategy, aptly named after the wide-winged condor, involves positioning four options at once, aiming to profit from low volatility in the...
Note: the technical indicators show a TTM squeeze ready on EVERY TF except Monthly, which is about to happen shortly by this summer - which means a massive move will happen. BOJ will blow up this summer and will devalue against the dollar forcing China to devalue to stay export competitive. I see a 50% devaluation - which will have the opposite effect on everyone...
A downtrend has formed on USD/CNH since it failed to retest the 2022 high in September. Since then, a lower high, aggressive selloff and a bearish continuation pattern (rising wedge) has formed on the daily chart. The rising wedge projects a downside target towards the cycle lows ~7.1. If the yuan continues to depreciated (lower USD/CNH), it could prompt other...
PEPPERSTONE:USDCNH Oh, I cannot contain my excitement for this year's Chinese New Year of "Dragon"! 🐉 I mean, who wouldn't be absolutely thrilled to experience the exact same joyous celebrations as last year? And guess what? The depreciation trend of CNY? Oh, it's not going to miraculously reverse itself, not a chance! It's almost as if the Chinese...
Good morning. We have reached the entry point for USDCHN. We invested LONG, as in the graph.
USDCNH continues on its downtrend after being rejected off previous dynamic support level around 7.16 zone that now serves as resistance. Potential short term rebound to 7.125 (R1) that would be a good entry for short position with a downside target level around 7.062 (S1).
The US dollar index hit its highest level since early March this week, but the yuan is one of the few currencies to rise against the USD over the period. This was facilitated, among other things, by strong economic data published today: → Industrial production growth in August amounted to +4.5% in annual terms (expected +3.9). This is the strongest progress in 1...
USD/CNH remains in a soliud uptrend on the daily chart and, after consolidating around the June highs and forming a bullish hammer at 7.25, the swing low appears to be in. A bullish range expansion day broke the bearish resistance line, and bulls could seek to enter upon any pullbacks towards yesterday’s low for a tigher long entry. The bias remians bullish above...
USD/CNH Extends Gains Amid Firmer US Dollar and Geopolitical Tensions The USD/CNH currency pair has been making significant strides, extending its gains for the fifth consecutive day during the Asian session on Friday. Trading around 7.3530, the pair is now approaching the resistance confluence at 7.3590. Simultaneously, the onshore Yuan (CNY) has reached a...
Why is the yuan falling? → Strong US dollar. Yesterday it became known that the number of applications for unemployment benefits in the US amounted to 216k for the week — below the forecast of 232k applications. This is the lowest level since February. → Worsening problems in the Chinese economy. Yesterday's data from the General Administration of Customs of...
We saw a lot of confusion in the headlines as to the weakness in AUDUSD yesterday. The RBA meeting had very little to do with it, and the AUD has just been a proxy of Chinese markets. A higher USDCNH and weaker HK50 saw AUD lower, and a simple overlap will highlight this. Weaker China Caixin services PMI data was behind this, so as we look ahead at China trade...
Since January, the Chinese yuan has weakened more than 9% against the US dollar due to problems in the Chinese economy, as evidenced by statistics, as well as the bankruptcy of the developer Evergrande. And today, the People's Bank of China announced that it will reduce the required foreign exchange reserve ratio to 4% from 6%, starting September 15. The move is...
USD/CNH remains within an established uptrend on the daily chart, and the US02Y-CN02Y spread has reached a new cycle high to suggest upside pressure could be building on USD/CNH. Prices have retraced and are now trying to build a base around the June highs. Bulls could seek dips around the cycle lows with a stop below 7.25 in anticipation of a move to 7.35, the...
Hi Traders, Investors and Speculators of Charts 📈💰 The 15th BRICS summit was held in South Africa from August 22-24, 2023. There have been some important updates that concluded from this summit and if you're an active trader / speculator in the Forex, stocks or commodities market, you NEED to know about this. The BRICS countries (Brazil, Russia, India, China,...
Hi Traders, Investors and Speculators of Charts 📈💰 The 15th BRICS summit is being held in South Africa from August 22-24, 2023 and will undoubtedly affect the Forex market. The main reason for this, is the commonly know agenda of BRICS to implement a new reserve currency instead of the USD. More details on that topic here: The 5 Forex markets we'll consider...
The trajectory of the USDCNH is a burning question as it approaches the highs witnessed in November 2022. Recent weeks have seen China's economic robustness wane, and as a result, attempts by its central bank to ease the situation have led to a weakening of the CNH. This dynamic becomes clearer when considering the interest rate differential between China and...
... and it is about to roll over. E.g. Sell it ALL!! This is the year (2023) to start the Long March (a familiar theme in Chinese history), to gain full stride, right into oblivion. Namely, the Chinese demographic implosion which has been gathering speed for quite a while now, will hit that country with undeniable force, essentially halving the population in...
Now, we are eyeing at USDCNH pair. The Economic Data from China is as disappointing as it gets. As if deflation is not enough, bank credits just hit 2008 lows! We are long USDCNH with above 7.50 target! -Signalwyse Team