Confirming Chart Patterns With VolumeIn the chart above, one can clearly recognize the Wyckoff Market Cycle pattern. The pattern's legitimacy can be confirmed by volume. The volume is represented in the lower portion of the chart.
Low to average volume candles are blue. Average volume is indicated by light blue candles. Yellow candles represent higher than average volume. Orange is high volume. And red represents extremely high volume.
You will see each phase of the Wyckoff Market Cycle pattern confirmed by this volume on our current Bitcoin chart.
First, the market enters the accumulation phase. Market volume is fairly high, as seen in the accumulation quadrant in the lower left on the chart. However, it is important to note that there is an equal distribution of high-volume selling days as there are high-volume buying days. Thus, price tends to trend sideways within the channel until the true buying power comes into action.
Next, the buyers step in and take the price higher. This is generally indicated by a high-volume day when the price breaks above the accumulation channel. When buyers step in, most of the yellow and orange volume candles are, in fact, buyers in the markup phase. You can verify this is true by lining these higher-than-average volume candles up with the green price candles on the Bitcoin chart. This indicates the markup phase has begun and is underway.
Then, we come to the distribution phase on our chart. Notice the volume in that 3rd quadrant, the distribution quadrant. It is mostly average volume. Institutional sellers are attempting to carefully exit quietly. But you can also see that near the end of the distribution phase, sellers are starting to step in, tipping their hats and indicating that the distribution phase is about to end.
Finally, sellers take back full control, dropping us from the distribution channel altogether. High volume selling confirms this move and the pattern. The final quadrant in the bottom right proves that mostly sellers have control, as the majority of higher volume candles (yellow, orange, and red) are credited to the sellers.
Our Wyckoff Market Cycle pattern is now confirmed, and further selling can be expected until volume is once again taken back by the buyers. One will need to see clearly that high-volume candles are in line with green price candles. In this chart, that is not yet the case. Thus, more selling should be expected until it is clearly evident that buyer command control once again.
Hope you found this brief educational write-up informative and helpful, as volume can often be utilized in many uncertain pattern formations to find pattern legitimacy and confirmation.
✌️Stew
Wyckoffmethod
MRK 1H Conservative Short SwingTradeConservative Trade
+ short impulse
+ 1/2 correction
+ BUI test level (exhaustion volume?)
+ weak approach
+ biggest volume Ut?
+ weak test
+ first bearish bar close entry
Calculated affordable virtual stop
(bought puts)
1 to 2 R/R take profit
1D Trend
"+ short impulse
+ short volume distribution
+ neutral zone 2"
1M Trend
"+ short impulse
+ 1/2 correction
+ resisting bar level
+ resistance level
- strong approach from far
+ volumed manipulation bar"
1Y CounterTrend
"+ long impulse
+ 1/2 correction"
Long Term Wyckoff Distribution In-PlayAs the title states, we have a Wyckoff distribution method/pattern in play here on the chart.
So far the set up and pattern has been pretty on-point if you take a look and analyze Wyckoff Methods from www.wyckoffanalytics.com .
I don't have a ton of additional analysis to add here. I am only analyzing the chart and indicators I have. However, I'd love to hear some additional feedback for contrasting opinions or agreeing opinions for some confluence.
Have a great day TV gang and I hope you have a great December.
KLCI CONTINUE TO SELLThis is an update from my previous post
-Kindly refer to the link attached
Persistent weakening, Dominating tape of Weakness from Leaders.
I view all rallies as nothing more than a 'counter-trend' rally, in which ,
spots for the institutions to sell their positions
Bar @ 28/11/25 (red arrow), formed A spring-type action [/b ].
Penetrated the Ice-Line (bold black line)
- given today's incomplete bar (1/12/25), im still humbly bearish on market.
no position at the moment, 100% cash sitting.
Until condition improve, im sitting tight awaiting next opportunity.
In a Bear market, weakness beget more weakness
i always reminding myself : do not be confuse . As strength in weakness, during bear market, is different as compared to, strenght in weakness, during bull market.
**TradingView doesnt provide vol data for KLCI. Need to refer other source.
AMC Accumulation I believe NYSE:AMC has been in a large accumulation starting around April 24'. The most recent break below the range on decreasing volume leads me to believe we are in Phase C. In order for this to be a Spring, we need to see strong volume come into the upside to break back into the range and a test of Supply. A break above Supply would be a Sign of Strength. (SOS) While many scream fundamentals, I choose to trade the chart. With that said, a strong Q4 could flip net profit positive. (HUGE) I see deep value in AMC if they can pull off profitability in Q4. This is just my opinion and what I see on the chart. I am focused on the Wyckoff events and phases. As far as timing, I wish I could remove the dates below the chart. This is my thesis.
Originally posted on Nov. 19th. Had to remove due to educational link to external source explaining what accumulations and distributions are.
KLCI CONTINUE SELLThis is continuation from my previous thesis :
-Kindly refer to the link attached
As been mentioned, i look the level of 1640-1676 as probably be the end for 2025
Given the pathological and continuous soaring 'sepsis' of market leaders, i dont see any reason to get in :
-volatily around springboard too wide
-paroxysmall huge supply at any given time
-failure of 'Stage-Reversal'
-surge of laggards
I was forced to be cash since late October-Early Nov
In the mean time, my few last dipping toes didnt make any dime
I learned earlier that, during hard-ringgit times, i will just let others fighting for it.
meanwhile, i am sitting, disclipne, waiting for the easy-ringgit moment.
Quiet Strength Beneath the NoiseWhile the broader crypto sentiment leans bearish, TRB/BTC is quietly carving a bullish structure that deserves attention. The October flash dump printed a textbook Spring extreme volatility, yes, but the wick down only saw 32k in volume compared to the 549k on the Selling Climax. That’s a low-volume Spring, which typically signals strength. Don’t expect price to revisit that wick in any meaningful way.
Phase B is showing classic reaccumulation traits: price pulling back on declining volume, small overlapping candles, and no real selling pressure from smart money. It’s quiet, but it’s telling.
Trade Scenario
Note, this isn’t about USD strength it’s about TRB outperforming BTC. That distinction matters. You’re not chasing a pump, you’re positioning for relative strength.
Stop Loss
• Clean invalidation sits below the Spring. Yes, it’s a deep wick, but if we print a monthly higher swing low, SL can be tightened or adjusted to the weekly TF.
Take Profit
• TP1: Just below the EQ of the range.
• TP2: Near range highs.
• TP3 (trail): Use monthly higher swing lows to trail toward the minimal range high. It’s a stretch target, but the chart shows it. No bias, just structure.
EUR/USD Perspective for the 2nd week of NovEU Weekly Outlook
This week, EU isn’t moving exactly in sync with GU, which is unusual — so we’ll treat it as its own setup and focus purely on what the chart is showing us right now.
- Scenario (A):
I’ll be waiting for a deeper retracement to capitalise on the bullish move and see if a rally can form from the 5hr demand zone below.
- Scenario (B):
Alternatively, if price continues climbing, I’ll be looking for buy setups up towards the 5hr supply zone. From there, I’ll wait to see how price reacts — ideally slowing down before reaching supply, especially with an Asia high sitting just above.
P.S. We’ll see what price does once the market opens Monday morning, but either POI marked could provide a solid setup this week. Stay patient and adaptable! 💪
RAMSSOL MARKING UP
This is an Atypical Type of Re-Accmulation Trading Range
- Rising Bottom, #2 Schematic
Influx of demand for the past few days,
Along with formation of feather's weight (Black color line),
And the formation of SpringBoard (Red Color).
With Trigger Bar today,
Position initiated as attached.
PureWyckoff
MNHLDG (BULL) LATE STAGE CYCLE This is a continuation from my previous entry
-Kindly refer to the link attached
Entry based on assumption, that probably, trading range would unfolding from here on.
Bar @ 22nd & 23rd October would be considered as SpringBoard
-Hence, with Trigger Bar yesterday (24th October), position initiated with tight risk
It is either im getting stop from here onward, bcoz of Distribution or Possiblity of formation Trading Range #1 (Spring ) ***Purple Color Line
**Red Color line indicate Schematic #2 Trading Range
This is one of the leaders that i bought recently, since KLCI has been worsening past few weeks.
Usually , whenever a Leader Stock , has been undergoing 4th/5th Stepping Stone (aka Trading Range, or 'Base' for the Non-Wyckoffian) , it is a sign that probably the stock has reaching its late stage.
Some Stock Investors, would like to hold n enjoy the ride along the BuLL Run for The Leaders.
But i learnt that, with some 15-20% profit, compounding, will give me a much better return.
I simply cannot stomach for loss >6%. And i want to have good sleep.
Investing is a marathon, and it is demanding a lot from you, mentally.
Stress management is very important to stay long in this business.
JATI TINGGI GROUP GOING MARK-UP
Based on current trading range in the making,
this might be forming an atypical Re-accumulation #Schematic 2
I initiated my 1st position, on 30/10/25 in view of :
1/ Spring (specifically, Spring-Type Action) that preceded it
2/ SpringBoard Schematic #2 (Breakout of the downslope dotted line)
Added new position today,
with possiblity of another trigger bar in the background of SpringBoard Schmatic #1
**Red line
PureWyckoff
Wyckoff Distribution - Cycle Top Is In?This idea is sharing the potential for the top being in for ETH and lower timeframe starting the final phase of Wyckoff Distribution.
🔍 Pattern Identification
Phase A–E of a Wyckoff distribution.
Buying Climax (BC) → Automatic Reaction (AR) → Upthrust (UT/UTAD) → Sign of Weakness (SOW).
The “5a / 5b” double top corresponds to the Upthrust After Distribution (UTAD).
The price currently sits near the midpoint of the channel, testing resistance around the 50-day SMA (yellow) and prior support-turned-resistance zones.
📉 Statistical Likelihood of Breakdown
Historically, when this distribution schematic appears in crypto or equities, it resolves to the downside roughly 65–75% of the time — provided:
Volume confirms weakness (volume declining on rallies and expanding on downswings).
Lower highs and lower lows continue forming after the UTAD.
Momentum (RSI) fails to confirm new highs (bearish divergence).
RSI is below 50 and rolling over → neutral-to-bearish momentum.
The price rejected near the 50-day SMA and upper channel resistance.
Structure shows multiple failed breakout attempts above $4,200–$4,400, aligning with a classic distribution top.
📊 Based on backtests of Wyckoff distribution-type structures (in both traditional and crypto markets):
Downside resolution probability: 70% ±10%.
Neutral consolidation (sideways): 20%.
Bullish continuation / spring scenario: 10%.
🧠 Validity of the Pattern on the Weekly
✅ Higher timeframe = stronger implication.
On the weekly chart:
The structure has clear symmetry to Wyckoff’s Distribution Schematic.
There is a confirmed lower high (5b) near prior ATH.
Volume contraction aligns with a mature distribution.
RSI failing to reclaim 70 and diverging from price adds to bearish confluence.
In Wyckoff methodology, patterns across multiple timeframes that confirm each other (daily + weekly) dramatically increase probability of follow-through.
🧩 Multi-Timeframe Synthesis
Daily: short-term distribution (local microstructure)
Weekly: intermediate distribution (macro confirmation)
Monthly: major cycle-top distribution (potential cycle exhaustion)
These three are nested fractals — the monthly chart is the “parent” structure of the same Wyckoff behavior visible on lower frames.
That multi-timeframe confluence adds tremendous weight:
In Wyckoff terms, a valid distribution on monthly + weekly + daily timeframes is statistically one of the highest-probability setups for a major markdown (≈ 80–85% historical probability once confirmed).
🧩 Fractal Nature of Wyckoff Structures
Markets are fractal: smaller patterns nest inside larger ones.
The daily distribution identified is the micro-mechanics — the short-term redistribution of supply near resistance.
The weekly structure is the intermediate framework confirming that supply dominance isn’t just a blip but a developing trend.
The monthly is the macro cycle top — the large-scale distribution that governs the whole market phase (multi-year).
📉 Typical Retrace Targets in Multi-Timeframe Distributions
When a smaller-scale breakdown completes the macro distribution:
Retrace depth: often 50–65 % of the total distribution height.
For ETH, measured from the $4,800 top to the $1,400 macro base → retracement targets of $2,500–$3,000 are classic.
In extreme cases (full Phase E markdown), price can revisit or slightly undercut the long-term demand line (~$1,800–$2,000) before new accumulation begins.
ITMAX TO CONT MARK UPThis is a Re-Accmulation of Schematic #2, Rising Bottom
From the pov of BUEC , my hypothesis for now, probably price would be making upward trajectory (Phase E)
Taking 23/9 as landmark for the Trigger Bar :
-This entry is an atypical type approach as compare to my original tactic
-Bar (or Candlestick) @ 24th + 25th + 26th + 29th + 30th September, would be considered as the
'Stage Reversal'
-This stage reversal , is also a type of SpringBoard
-To be more specific, SpringBoard Schematic #2
Tight risk here.
Pure Wyckoff
KLCI SELLThis is a continuation from my previous post
-Kindly refer to the link attached
Yesterday, leaders has been acting weird, consisting of pathological behaviours.
With lots of volatility and failed breakouts.
These kind of environment and background are the kind that i want to avoid the most.
As such, i was forced into cash and managed to book all profits.
Being a Stock Investor, i am fully devoted to the action of individual stocks, dictating my plan in the market.
-Probably @ level of 1640-1676 would be the end for this 2025
In the meantime, i am dipping toes incrementally if possbile.
Balancing between risk n the upside.
Staying cash is the prudent thing to do for me at the moment.
SCGBHD CONT ITS MARKING UPThis is a continuation trade from my previous entry
-Kindly refer to previous post (Link as attached)
SCGBHD is one of the Leader in this current Bull Market.
-Kindly refer to my post about KLCI Index
In a bigger context, for now, i see SCGBHD is currently in Mark-Up Phase.
I Re-Initiated position @ 2.35 today with an assumption that price is undergoing for Phase A :
1/ Purple Color line : Would be an imagination of a probable, Schematic #2 Of Re-Accumulation Trading Range
2/ Black Color line : Would be an imagination of a probable, Schematic #1 Of Re-Accumulation Trading Range
PureWyckoff
KLCI TO CONTINUE BULLISHThis is a continuation from my previous post
-Kindly refer to the link attached
Since 3/10/2025, KLCI has been dropping for about 3.3% from the peak.
Judging from the behaviour of current market leaders, i think KLCI most probably going to resume its uptrend from here (Black Box)
-or it could further, plummet, slightly below the Black box (lingering around EMA 50)
Im not sure, i have my own prediction but dont stick with it.
At this moment October 2025, i managed to pull up around 140% total ROI of my account
*(Heavy use of Margin )
For the Leadership stocks, they are acting very well at the moment
And based on Wyckoff Projection , looks like KLCI able to reach 1700-1750 at the end of 2025? Or early 2026?
Leaders mid bullrun October 2025 :
SCGBHD, PEKAT, MNHDLG
ITMAX (lead n rest)
KGB
FFB / KOPI (Cookie cutter)
Spritzer (Category Killer)
---> These are my top Leaders
BTC — Targets for the Current CycleIt looks like BTC is completing its growth phase. The current structure points to a distribution stage and a gradual rotation of liquidity into ETH and altcoins.
Still, our key levels for this move remain:
🎯 Target 1: $102,000 — key support and possible first reaction zone.
🎯 Target 2: $87,000 — deeper retracement
🎯 Target 3: $64,000
Fartcoin Wyckoff ReaccumulationCRYPTO:FARTCOINUSD looks to be in Wyckoff reaccumulation. Honestly, there’s nothing more to say, the chart speaks for itself.
We’re currently sitting in the spring zone, waiting for a bounce, retest, and move up. In my opinion, that should unfold over the coming months.
The risk here is that the spring I’m seeing might not actually be the spring, in that case, price could go lower. Still, I doubt it breaks below the current low; if it does, I’d say the downside risk sits around $0.5.
The trend is slowly curling upward, and I’m looking at potential targets of:
- Bear case: $2
- Base case: $3
- Bull case: $4
SKBSHUT ON MARKING UPThis would probably a Type 2 # Schematic of Re-Accmulation
with on going phase D completion
My point of interest is inside the yellow box :
-Huge Bar (or candlestick) @ 28/8/25 with influx vol, signifying that underlying fundamentals might be changing as it attracted big demand
-Huge Bar, without subsequent feather's weight (or contraction), is a hazardous type of behaviour, that warrant me to monitor the subsequent event.
-This hazardous behaviour is what wyckoffian termed as 'Time-Compression'
Bar @ 19/9 & 22/9 formed a nice SpringBoard
-Hence position intiated today with the Trigger Bar on-board
PureWyckoff
GBPUSD Buy Trade before NFP release. October 1 2025The trade was activated 1 hour before NFP fundamental was released. I use the 5min chart for entries and 15-1H for HTF Structure. I noticed that yesterday the previous supply was taken away creating a demand that is much powerful. In confluence with the recent economic data, I got some risk off environment but JPY is winning against USD. I followed that weakness to be able to validate this GBPUSD trade. Attached here is the chart showing simple bullish move that can be validated by adding your technicals (knowledge about supply and demand) plus fundamental analysis.
RR: 3:1
Entry Model---> 5min BOS then retracement.
Point of Entry :OB with Imbalance.
$BTC Wyckoff DistributionPreliminary supply, or PSY:
Occurs when significant interests start to sell lots of shares following a sharp upward trend. Volume increases and the price spread widens, indicating the possibility of a trend change.
BC:
buying climax, characterized by frequently significant rises in volume and price spread. The intensity of purchasing peaks, with professional interests filling heavy or urgent public demand at prices close to their peak. Since large operators require enormous public demand to sell their shares without reducing the stock price, a BC frequently occurs in conjunction with excellent earnings reports or other positive news.
AR:
Automatic reaction. After the BC, the strong buying significantly decreased, but the heavy supply persisted, and an AR occurred. The lower border of the distribution TR is defined in part by the selloff's low.
ST:
Stands for the secondary test, in which the price returns to the BC region to evaluate the demand/supply situation at the current price levels. Supply must exceed demand for a top to be confirmed, so volume and spread should decline as the price moves closer to BC's resistance zone. An ST could appear as an upthrust (UT), in which case the price goes above the resistance indicated by the BC and perhaps other STs before abruptly reversing to close below resistance. Price frequently tests the TR's lower boundary after a UT.
SOW—sign of weakness:
A downtrend to (or just barely past) the TR's lower border, typically accompanied by an increase in spread and volume, is an indication of weakness (SOW). The AR and the initial SOW(s) point to a shift in the stock's price movement, with supply now in control.
Last point of supply, or LPSY:
A weak rally on a tight spread following a test of support on a SOW indicates that the market is having significant difficulties advancing. Strong supply, low demand, or both may be to blame for this market's inability to recover. Before markdowns start in earnest, LPSYs signify the end of the demand cycle and the final distribution waves from large operators.






















