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E-mini Dow ($5) Futures (Sep 2023)E-mini Dow ($5) Futures (Sep 2023)E-mini Dow ($5) Futures (Sep 2023)

E-mini Dow ($5) Futures (Sep 2023)

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YMU2023 trade ideas

Market Maker Bull Hammer Weekly TemplateThe following template for a bull hammer weekly candle is as follows. Monday goes sideways. Mark off the high and low of Monday Tuesday is a complete down day Wednesday and Thursday form the mid week reversal Thursday and Friday close out the week at the highs Another thing I have noticed is that this type of weekly candle happened only 16 times since 2020 and 9/10 they occurred around a news event like FOMC,NFP, and CPI and/or a holiday. 4th of July happened 2 times in a row, New Years, and Easter. I will need to back test more on the bearish side of the coin to test more data
CBOT_MINI:YM1!Long
by travis18haney
5
Dow Jones Weekly Template of May 27th BullishMonday has just shown its hand to me on what the week will bring. This week will be a bullish expansion candle. Whether or not it will be a small, medium or large is still up in the air. The average weekly candle's range is 900 ticks. I believe that Monday is the low and will be bullish all week. This pattern right here on a Monday is the textbook play of a bullish week. Price bounces around under the weekly open price and towards the end of the day blasts higher. Tuesday will then continue higher Here is a weekly template with the Monday pattern
CBOT_MINI:YM1!Long
by travis18haney
1
Dow Jones Weekly Bull Flag PatternThere is a lot to take in on this chart. How do I start to explain what it is that I am seeing? The dark green line is the monthly major movement and the black path line is the 4 hour movement in between that major movements. Price is being contained inside of a MAJOR bull flag pattern that will take MONTHS to resolve itself. Using the concept of thirds of that major move from November 2023, I firmly believe price will return to the halfway point, which is also the top of the peak of that July-October pullback from 2023. The ramped volume that is sitting just above the 0.66 or bottom 1/3 is a dead giveaway that price will return and take that out. The small range created just slightly above the 0.50 mark is also a dead giveaway that that price will be taken, along with the fact that the purple box Low that broke structure is suspended above the 0.50 line as well. These are all clues that price WILL be returning to these locations. Finally, the space between those recent double top highs and the 1 full range expansion of the July-October pullback is a dead giveaway that price will return to those highs and take them. This will mean that the high will break and more All-time highs will be made to continue the bullish trend up until 2033. On a zoomed-out view of the bull flag, a measured move of the November run will take price up to the 44,000 area Of course I am not a genie that can predict prices, I am merely trying to follow the bull trend higher and to me, this is what I am seeing. Please comment below on your thoughts as I am highly interested in sharing feedback. I have no problem putting my ego aside and admitting I am wrong. This is one trait I do not have issues with as I am wrong quite often with a 40% win rate.
CBOT_MINI:YM1!Long
by travis18haney
Market Maker Weekly Doji Templates (Outstanding 33% Chance)Going through this set of data since late 2021 or 140 weekly candles, I have discovered that an astounding number of weeks are of the Doji type ( 1 Out of 3 ) My previous post was about pin hammer bars and they represent 17% of all weekly candles. Between dojis and pin hammers, that is equal to 50% of all weekly candles. The other 50% of candles represent expansion bars (small, medium, and large) In most cases on a doji week, what ever price the week opens with, price will tend to go back and forth around that price for either a high of week sell or low of week buy. If this short week is indeed a doji, then it should rotate around the week's opening price of 39,160 And, since most weekly doji candles are roughly 350-600 ticks from the high to low, then that will be a good spot to look for reversals. I won't know how this week unfolds until it unfolds, I can only watch and react accordingly.
CBOT_MINI:MYM1!
by travis18haney
High of the week sell off of Weekly Open and Golden PocketWith Monday and Tuesday off the books, we have the last three days left in this weekly template. I see an obvious peak formation high printed on Monday and to me, this looks like Monday will set the high of the week. The opening price of the week is at the neckline of that peak formation high. It also coincides inside the golden pocket of Mondays range as well. To me, this looks like a down/doji weekly candle that will be printed. Small doji weekly candles have a range of about 350-500 ticks from high to low. If Monday is indeed the high of the week, then 500 ticks down will be at 39,700 and at around 1.5 times the range expansion of Mondays high to low range. I will place a sell limit at 40,150 on the hourly chart I will place a stop loss of 75 ticks above the "high of the week" if it holds. I will place my target at 1X range expansion at 296 ticks
CBOT_MINI:YM1!Short
by travis18haney
Dow Jones Looking For Next Higher Low Sell OffI had anticipated that Monday was going to be the high in my previous post. I initially thought it was going to pullback a little bit higher before a sell off but today it based lower and then sold off. I am still bearish short term and will be looking for the next higher low to position myself short at least down to 39,650 to take out that small range back on May 14th Funny how price is floating above that low just waiting for it to be taken out. The average weekly candle on the Dow is 937 ticks. That will place the low somewhere at 39,250 area, roughly.
CBOT_MINI:YM1!Short
by travis18haney
1
Dow Jones Weekly ATR EstimationsGoing through the weekly chart for the averages of how far Dow Jones can move in a week. The last 84 weeks averaged out to 937 ticks. This lines up with the medium sized candles. There are three types of weekly candles 1. Small Doji candle (28 occurrences) 2. Medium sized candle (47 occurrences) 3. Large expansion candle (9 occurrences) This small set of data sampled tells me that the vast majority of weekly candles have a medium sized move between 700-1200 ticks with the average of all 84 weeks being 937 ticks. Large sized expansion candles are rare with only 9 weekly candles exceeding 1400+ ticks Small doji style candles are also fairly common with 28 weeks being between 350-550 ticks Now that I know this information, the question is how to use it effectively in Live Time.
CBOT_MINI:YM1!
by travis18haney
Elliott Wave Analysis Expects Dow Futures (YM) to Pullback in WaShort Term Elliott Wave in Dow Futures (YM) suggests rally from 4.19.2024 low is unfolding as a 5 waves impulse Elliott Wave structure. Up from 4.19.2024 low, wave ((i)) ended at 38801 and pullback in wave ((ii)) ended at 37866. Index extends higher again in wave ((iii)) with internal subdivision as an impulse in lesser degree. The 1 hour chart below shows the subdivision of wave ((iii)). Up from wave ((ii)), wave i ended at 38527 and dips in wave ii ended at 38037. Index then extended higher in wave iii towards 39127 and pullback in wave iv ended at 38936. Final leg wave v ended at 39781 which completed wave (i). Index then pullback in wave (ii) towards 39405 and extended higher in wave (iii) towards 40191. Wave (iv) pullback ended at 39955. Final leg wave (v) ended at 40213 which completed wave ((iii)) in higher degree. Expect wave ((iv)) pullback to unfold in 3 swing before Index resumes higher in wave ((v)). Near term, as far as pivot at 37847 low stays intact, expect dips to find support in 3, 7, 11 swing for further upside.
CBOT_MINI:YM1!
by Elliottwave-Forecast
Dow Jones (US30):🔴Is it bearish..?!🔴Hello trader By examining Dow Jones on the weekly and 4-hour chart we can figure out the chart is bearish and there is sell-side liquidity that can be defined as targets for smart money. In this chart, the price failed to create an all-time high and dropped, the price made the bearish breaker and respected it and shifted the market structure. Now we can see the bearish order block with bearish FVG that makes an important resistance, If the price reaches this zone we can look for a sell position in a lower time frame. 💡Wait for the update! 🗓️27/05/2024 🔎 DYOR 💌It is my honor to share your comments with me💌
CBOT_MINI:YM1!Short
by VahidTradingCR
1