ASTS trade ideas
$ASTS bouncing off April low AVWAPAfter testing the AVWAP from the april low, ASTS is seeing a strong bid and holding the AVWAP. I think NASDAQ:ASTS will test the AVWAP from the July high soon at 48-50 level, where I'd take some off. Stock might bounc around between this "AVWAP pinch" after that but I think will eventually break out of the pinch back towards all time highs and squeeze past that level. Multiple oscillators also suggest that momentum is picking back up and the low is in. New flow is positive. I am long. not financial advice.
Space CommunicationsA leading company in satellite communications is experiencing an unstoppable uptrend โ in line with the broader space economy sector.
Yesterday marked a breakout above the blue trendline, and today confirmed the bullish move with a close above $53.3.
Next target is $56.3, where a brief pullback to support is likely before the next upward leg, as indicated by the black arrow.
ASTS - Daily - Likely $47 Range RetestCurrently, a head and shoulders pattern has formed around the recent price action, signaling a potential price reversal. However, the price will likely retest the $47 level if the 200-day moving average (MA) continues to hold, as it has during retests in February, April, and June of 2025. Furthermore, accumulation is flat, but a suspected manipulation on August 19, 2025, which saw the price drop from the $47 range to the $36 range, further supports the idea of a retest at the $47 level. The bears have another 14 days in this daily timeframe cycle to take advantage of the price. Since 2021, the company has seen consistent declines in net income and revenue growth, which could indicate trouble gaining traction in its sector. Despite this, it has a healthy amount of debt and a stable free cash flow. The company appears to be stockpiling cash and cash equivalents, which could sustain it for a few years, especially with its small employee base and low overhead.
Not financial advice, always do your due diligence
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- RoninAITrader
ASTS Earnings & Options Breakdown (2025-08-11) ๐ ASTS Earnings & Options Breakdown (2025-08-11) ๐
### AST SpaceMobile \ NASDAQ:ASTS โ **Moderate Bearish Bias Ahead**
---
### ๐ฅ Quick Take:
* **Revenue:** +43.6% TTM growth but insanely high P/S ratio (\~3445) signals overvaluation.
* **Margins:** Operating margin -8769% โ huge cash burn. Free cash flow negative \$268M+.
* **Guidance:** Historical misses with -87.5% surprise avg, only 14% beat rate last 7 quarters!
* **Analyst Targets:** Wide \$30โ64 range, average \$48.56 โ optimism vs risk mismatch.
### ๐ก Options Flow Insights:
* Heavy **put open interest** at \$43 & \$45 strikes (36K+ contracts)
* Bearish skew with minimal call interest โ institutional caution
* Potential for fast downside if key supports break
### ๐ Technicals:
* Price trading at **\$46.63**, below 20-day MA (\$53.47)
* RSI oversold at 24.5 โ weak momentum
* Volume down vs 10-day average โ distribution alert
* Support at \$45, resistance at \$50
### ๐ Macro Context:
* Satellite tech growth potential but cash flow & regulatory hurdles
* Low-volatility market environment means amplified beta risk (ASTS beta 2.33)
---
### ๐ฏ Trade Setup:
**Buy \$43 Put โ Exp 08/15**
* Entry: \$1.80
* Stop Loss: \$0.90 (50%)
* Profit Target: \$3.60 (200%)
* Position Size: Max 2% portfolio
* Timing: Enter pre-earnings close, exit 2 hours post-earnings if no target hit
---
### ๐ฅ Why This Trade?
* History of big earnings misses + bearish options flow
* Technical weakness & low volume pre-earnings
* High risk of downside volatility post-report
---
### โ ๏ธ Risk/Reward Summary:
| Metric | Value |
| ------------- | -------------- |
| Entry Price | \$1.80 |
| Profit Target | \$3.60 (+100%) |
| Stop Loss | \$0.90 (-50%) |
| Confidence | 75% |
---
### ๐ JSON Trade Signal for API / Bots:
```json
{
"instrument": "ASTS",
"direction": "put",
"strike": 43.00,
"expiry": "2025-08-15",
"confidence": 75,
"profit_target": 3.60,
"stop_loss": 0.90,
"size": 1,
"entry_price": 1.80,
"entry_timing": "pre_earnings_close",
"earnings_time": "AMC",
"expected_move": 12.0,
"iv_rank": 0.85,
"signal_publish_time": "2025-08-11T14:19:32-04:00"
}
```
---
# ๐จ **ASTS ALERT: BEARISH EARNINGS PLAY IN MOTION โ POSITION ACCORDINGLY!** ๐จ
Buying opportunity, if breakoutUptrend
As the chart indicates, the correction wave has been finished in PRZ between 50-61.8 Fib Ret. Also, it's located at the bottom of a channel.
You need a breakout from the descending trend line and confirming above 54 to get a buying position. Next targets could be about 60 and 74 .
Set up a good stop loss based on your strategy.
Good luck
ASTS | Starlink ain't the only game in space no mo!This stock NASDAQ:ASTS is only up like 2600% in a year. That's like nothing. Might as well be losing that paypah.
Yes, it will swing more wildly than a chimpanzee from a vine. And yes my chart is probably effed as heck, but I'm looking for beyondosphere type of returns.
Is there room for more than one big f***y boom batty space phone company? Elon, scoot your bumbie over and let ASTS get in on that space rocket seat.
Play here is direct-to-cell calls between satellites and cell phones. Starlink probably has the advantage like the tide rolling over middle state a&m community college, but just like there was room for many phone companies in the last decades, there will be room for multiple space junkie phone companies.
You will not get rich because you will not HODL!
Live long and prosper. This is not financial advice. I JUST LIKE THE STOCK.
THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION ON THIS MATTER
In spaceA space economy company providing communication services through satellite networks.
The space economy is set to explode over the coming yearsโitโs a good time to start following a few stocks.
The entire space sector is already experiencing strong growth; companies like Rocket Lab have quadrupled in value in just one year!
This stock made a new breakout this week and might be a good opportunity to start accumulating
To those who appreciate my ideas, please give a boost to help improve my reputation and visibility
ASTS massive daily bull flagWith the cult like following on this ticker, a 4H break out and hold of this bull flag to the upside could see massive retail money piling in to send the price back to $54 ATH. RSI is also showing potential bullish confluence. The 4H chart has daily EMAs overlayed. The price is currently sitting above the daily 7EMA. Breakout above ATH and it's clear blue skies with no resistance. Huge potential.
$ASTS Buying the dip. [Long]
Previous bull runs with 50.0% - 61.8% retracements each time.
Stock is still overvalued.
RSI on weekly and monthly confirm this.
50 SMA is still above 200 SMA, and better retracement will be healthy for a stronger bull run continuation.
Buying Zone: $35.50 - $40.65.
Key Levels and points of interest.
Wave 2 completion at 50%-61.8% retracement. This would place Wave 3 around a target range of $85 or higher.
$55-$57 range is around 45% increase from Wave 2 retracement. This happened during the second run and form a H&S pattern. We want our next run up to pass this $55-57 level.
This isn't intended for financial advice, merely personal analysis.
ASTS - Buying Opportunity on ConsolidationASTS set an ATH yesterday (6/25/25) and has consolidated in the pre-market, allowing for anyone who may have missed the stock's run off of those $48.92 Resistance Levels, which have also reversed and turned in support in today's pre-market sessions.
The dip in the stock in this morning's pre-market comes from the company announcing that they will be repurchasing $225M in Debt by selling 9.45M Shares to Participating Note Holders, removing 8.3 Million Underlying Shares in the process.
Looking for another potential re-entry in the stock around the $50.20's-$50.25 price levels with a stop at that previous level of resistance which should act as support if the stock goes any lower first, before heading northward.
$ASTS Short PositionOvervaluation confirmed by RSI indicator.
Massive Doji, signaling pressure and resistance from sellers.
Entry Point: $45.94 (Last daily candle close price)
Stop/Loss: $52.25
Target Profit Price: $35.50
Disclaimer: Charting is strictly for personal analysis, and should not be used for financial advice.
6/24/25 - $asts - Sign of the times... 6/24/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:ASTS
Sign of the times...
"V, why do you look at so much stuff"
- mainly so i can discern the fear and greed in the market
- while NASDAQ:ASTS is a good product, there's now a lot of "trust me bro" in the >$50 px, even low $20s was a tough punt (and subsequently exited not even in the $30s - just too rich for my criteria)
- but at this pt, while i can't say "it's a short" b/c there's nothing objectively wrong w/ the underlying here per se... the stock is vastly overvalued and a product of the "catch-up" crowd buying 0dte's.
- if you own it today or are considering to own it... careful.
- nobody knows how much the underlying liquidity can run for now... but this thing... is probably not the best use of funds
V
ASTS updateThe price for ASTS has reached $41, hitting a new all-time high for the time being. It may see a near-term pullback to the $35-$36 range. After this potential dip, ASTS could attempt to move upward again, testing the $41 level. This information is for observation only and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
ASTS โ 29% Breakout Setup | Ichimoku + R1 Target๐ Trade Idea: Long AST SpaceMobile ( NASDAQ:ASTS ) with a strong breakout setup forming just above the Ichimoku cloud on the daily chart.
๐ Technical Breakdown:
Ichimoku Cloud: Price has cleared the cloud, signaling a bullish trend shift. The Tenkan-sen (conversion line) is trending upward, supporting momentum.
Breakout Level: Clean break over horizontal resistance near $25, with a bullish daily close confirming strength.
Volume & Price Action: Bullish candles building above consolidation zone. No upper wicks = buying pressure.
Pivot Points: Next major resistance sits at R1 = $32.99, aligning perfectly with our +29% target.
๐ Trade Details:
Entry: $25.33
Target: $32.99 (+29.35%)
Stop-Loss: $23.75 (-6.23%)
Risk/Reward: 4.71 : 1
๐ก Fundamental Angle:
ASTS is building the first space-based cellular broadband network. Any positive news or partnership update could catalyze a sharp move. With shorts potentially caught flat-footed, the setup offers both technical strength and narrative tailwinds.
Watching for:
Sustained volume above $25
Close above $27 to unlock momentum toward $33+
๐ Not Financial Advice. Trade your plan and manage your risk.
#ASTS #Breakout #Ichimoku #SwingTrade #TechnicalAnalysis #SpaceTech #Stocks #TradingView
Buying ASTS โ Waiting for BreakoutASTS has broken out of a long-term downtrend and is now consolidating in a tight range, forming a base after a strong impulse move. This kind of price action often leads to another breakout, especially when supported by rising volume and EMAs lining up underneath.
Iโm buying in this current zone, expecting a breakout from the range and continuation to the upside. Iโll be watching for confirmation through volume spikes and a clean move above resistance. The chart structure looks strong, and the upside potential remains high.
Monster Breakout brewing for ASTS๐ NASDAQ:ASTS Weekly Chart Analysis (Accurate)
Pattern: Massive bull flag / consolidation wedge after a parabolic run.
Current Price: ~$31.20, sitting near the midpoint of the descending channel.
Structure:
Price is compressing between lower highs and higher lows.
Volume spikes on up moves, low volume on pullbacks = bullish accumulation.
Testing upper trendline of the flag โ breakout could trigger a new wave.
โ
Favorable Path:
Break and weekly close above ~$34.00 (channel resistance) confirms breakout. That opens up a measured move targeting $50โ55 short-term, and possibly $70+ if momentum accelerates.
๐ฏ Measured Move Target:
Pole base ~$6 โ Flag peak ~$36 = ~$30 range
Breakout above $34 โ Target = $34 + 30 = $64
โ ๏ธ Invalidation:
A breakdown below $24โ25 zone would invalidate the flag and suggest distribution instead of continuation.
๐ Summary:
Setup: Weekly bull flag after a parabolic leg
Bias: Strongly bullish with breakout potential
Trigger: Weekly close above $34.00
Short-term target: $50โ55
Full measured move target: ~$64
Invalidation zone: Below $24
Smart money appears to be loading the dips. Breakout traders should watch $34 like a hawk.