All sectors were hammered, basically there was no safe heaven , except for shorts, puts, vix, bonds. Gold and Bitcoin were still in the green, but they were hit too. It is interesting to see the support there, both in the real gold and e-Gold.
Bitcoin has been consolidating inside a triangle HL-LH. The indicators say bullish, so the recent drop means it is just a corrective move. There is not enough momentum in the weekly to commit a line here. When it won't be a correction any longer and could be called bearish? It will be when there will be closing values below the 6,000 - 7,000. If 7,000 holds then...
Volatility is back and it's pretty strong. We can see the most hammered sectors have been Energy, Oil, Natural Gas, Pot Stocks. All other sectors have been hammered as part of the market sell off. Utilities, Bonds, Gold, Silver, Real Estate, Cryptos have been the ones where we have a positive trend. The others, both national and international stock markets have...
Sector and industry performance relative to SPY on a year to date basis.
This heat map shows the overall markets at a glance, the sectors, some industries, bonds, currencies, world markets. The color coding is simple: LIme : Bullish + Green: Bullish Maroon: Bearish Red : Bearish +
The story with $AAPL has been about adding improvements to the already known devices. Some of them like adding the pencil back when back in the day the idea was to get rid of it don't make too much sense. As an Apple user I am not too happy with the ear buds and the fact that the traditional earphone plug was removed. There are features that instead of being...
Bitcoin made an impressive come back from the Valley of Death. It is an interesting speculative instrument that keeps the market amazed. It ran from the 3K's level to 13K's then went to take a break above the 9K's where an important Support/Resistance line is located. It is still above the weekly moving average, which works as a support and after the...
$SPY $DIA $UVXY $QQQ $IWM Hope for the best, but wait for the worst. When the music stops the party is over. This market has been the greatest Bull market in the history of Wall Street. But what will it happen if the previous All Time Highs we saw were the last ones? Considering that usually the market rises 70% and falls 30% of the time, which is a trend...
$SPY $DIA $UVXY The Roaring 20's, at first glance you can see why. The Bull market had an unprecedented run. You only needed money to put it in the market, Wall St was a money making machine. If you didn't have money, just ask for a loan, the profits could pay off the loan+interest and still have a juicy yield. Evidently this created a bubble, the biggest one...
$SPY $DIA $IWM $UVXY, $GLD, $TLT, $USO This market has reached the Secular 1.618 Fibonacci Resistance level. This is taking the high/low levels from the previous bull/bear market in 2007/2008 (0.618 Fib). We see the market reached the 1.0 Fib level in 2015, when we saw major volatility peaks and a market that was topping. In my opinion that should have been the...
@realDonaldTrump $X $AA Since the trade wars started the markets that were supposed to be benefited by this policies happened to have the complete opposite effect. $AA had a loss of $7.6 B in market cap going from the 60's to the 20's level, 65% loss from the top to date. $X took a hit of $5.5 B in market cap, going from the 45's to the 15's levels and a 75%...
$UVXY This market is shaky. I am taking profits here since I expected just a small corrective leg (warning shot). The market overall looks like an exhausted bull, yes it does. And I will wait for this Monday to see if the overall market rethinks the position during the weekend and tries to take it slow or if an overreaction drags it down, in which case the...
$MU target hit. Taking profits and waiting for the market opening this Monday.
$FB The short leg worked so I am taking profits and moving to a wait pattern. This market looks shaky so be careful out there.
$AMZN The leg worked as expected. I'm Taking profits and now I am expecting a proportional short squeeze. Let's see how it behaves next week.
$AMD The leg worked as expected. I'm Taking profits and now I am expecting a proportional short squeeze. Let's see how it behaves next week.
$APPL remained in track with the original short forecast. The indicators were already showing a weakening momentum and a strong resistance. The conditions in the overall market signal a profit taking, that could end up in a correction. This ER seems to have the intention to create not new stock holders, but bag holders. Good luck and trade safely.
$SPY $SPX $DIA $UVXY Two factors influenced the market this week, the fed interest rate cut, and the new "Global factor" criteria used that makes me question if the inflation, jobs and other economy bounded related parameters used by Janet Yellen aren't supposed to be the metrics that the Fed uses to determine the interest rates, and not the pressures of the...