NZ_Shareman

NZ_Shareman Updated 

Worse than Expected ADP A loss of 33,000 jobs in June, far below expectations. Bullish for Gold Immediate Target : $3,385 The shockingly weak ADP jobs number is bullish for gold. Such a negative surprise amplifies fears about the U.S. labor market and boosts expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts. As a result, the U.S. dollar is still under pressure, and...

NZ_Shareman

US ADP Numbers came in worse than expected means economy contraction the real numbers look like they are flowing through now they can only fudge the numbers for so long My opinion Trump has told them make sure the numbers look good Revisions on Job openings have all been revised down over the last 4 months they lie through their teeth until the facts are so...

NZ_Shareman

After a reasonable big run up like this they will take profits Looks like it's roiling over watching Super Trend and break of Buffer Zone with Bearish Continuation Candle can easily Shoot back up if Wicks but should be plenty of room to make money on this one. Hardest part is being patient Selling seems to capitulate everyone wants to capture as much profit...

NZ_Shareman

1. Market Structure & Trend Recent Downtrend: The left side of the chart shows a sharp, persistent decline, with price breaking through multiple support levels. Base Formation: After the selloff, gold found support (marked “Spring” and “SC”—Selling Climax) and began consolidating, forming a base. Reversal Signs: The chart shows classic Wyckoff accumulation...

NZ_Shareman

Return to Previous Level play Nice Sweep Higher Lows Break of Trigger line Bullish candles Gold still only real money in town Banks buying tones every month Run down all week Time to head back up I'd say USD is currently weak across all other 7 major pairs Lets see : )

NZ_Shareman

Typical Wycoff Break Re-Test Slight Tap of FV Gap Bullish Engulfing Candle Usually signifies "In a Hurry". Best Analysis i think was Perplexity Ai Bullish Case for Oil US Jobs Data: Stronger-than-expected US jobs numbers have pushed prices higher, with algos covering short bets Geopolitical Risks: Ongoing tensions in Ukraine and Iran, plus...

NZ_Shareman Updated 

A Shape Recovery Return to Previous Level imminent Profit taking at NZ open from the massive run-up yesterday. COT data didn’t show any buying of longs on Monday It could have driven down lower, but instead, they drove it up. First, it should fill the gap, then continue on to 4,000… then 7,000 over time, of course. The USA is still in hot water —...

NZ_Shareman

Looks like a Wyckoff to me 📈 A Wyckoff within a bigger Wyckoff 🔄 Did I mention Wyckoff? 😅 Anyway, listening to all the guff on YouTube about this tariff palaver, things don't look good-not at all. 😬 Shipping is reduced 🚢, ports are starting to feel it ⚓, and there's talk of layoffs, so there will be a knock-on effect-more job losses. 📉 I asked GPT what it...

NZ_Shareman

🔻 Big Drive Down – After tapping -$3,500 Price tapped $3,500, triggering major profit-taking across Dubai - London and New York Dubai started the sell-off London piled in — aggressive push New York confirmed the move — final slam down to fill the gap below. 📈 Now Price appears to be Pushing Back Up as it should to fill this mornings massive gap above from...

NZ_Shareman

Something to consider A return to previous levels Gap to be filled at $69.965 on MT4 Elliot Wave Projections 64.142 68.302 News 🛢️ Oil Situation Right Now Oil prices are rising for the week. Main reasons: U.S. added fresh sanctions on Iran → tighter oil supply fears. OPEC members are cutting production → reduces global supply. ⚡ Bottom...

NZ_Shareman Updated 

Big push down London NY Aiming for more stops fuel to help them go higher Nothing has changed Tariffs still a nightmare could go on for 2 - 3 years Good reason to cost average in like now on dips Trying to guess exact time highs and lows as we know is pretty tricky. Last post all morning Dips where getting brought up and then as soon as i post an idea it...

NZ_Shareman

Forgot we use non commercial for gold re assess pls. GTP Gold (XAU/USD) - Noncommercial COT Analysis & Probability Assessment Key Observations: Long Positions: Significant decline in longs over the last two weeks Gold (XAU/USD) - Updated Noncommercial COT Summary 📉 Bearish shift increasing – Longs are dropping fast (-9,723 this week). 📊 Net positions falling...

NZ_Shareman

Gap MT4 Wycoff Break Down Been waiting for it to happen Gaps Get Filled 80% - 90% of the time I believe from my own Trading observations. Chat GTP Analysis BTC/USD Gap Fill Probability Analysis Observations: Current Price: ~$87,699 Support Broken: Price has decisively broken below $91,586. Gap Zones: Top Gap: ~$79,988 Bottom Gap:...

NZ_Shareman

Big run up today London Session topped it off then run it down after hitting ATH. Bovespa Exchange (Brazil) and NY took it down further taking out order blocks for fuel back up and taking profit, they can't lose. Anyway nothings changed everybody still wants Gold and it's going to 3k so a bit to go yet which is good. Bias is Strong Up Up Up nothing surer in the...

NZ_Shareman

Probability Estimate for USD/JPY to Move Lower Given the current strong bearish sentiment on USD and JPY USD/JPY lower: 70% Factors Supporting the 70% Probability of a Drop COT Commercials Traders are what drives the market to a large degree and are usually correct in the Medium to long term. They are heavily short USD and Closing shorts in JPY. Reversal...

NZ_Shareman

NZ has dropped rates as expected. Great British Pound has been strong last couple of weeks against the NZD so would expect it to continue to be, even more so. GBP has Fundamental score of 5 NZ has score of -1 GBP has just had Inflation data yesterday pointing higher so BOE less likely to cut rates so investors park their their money there. GBP Core Inflation...

NZ_Shareman

Story is Strong for Gold Brics Nationals all Buying Banks all Buying Hedge Funds all Buying Everybody Buying Transactions may have to be completed in Dollars at the moment but that will end eventually as using ones own currency in transactions between countries is seen as normal. US obviously is a bit of a concern with their humungus Debt spending money...

NZ_Shareman

Probability for MSTR Returning to $453: in the current environment, MSTR can return to its previous highs if Bitcoin continues its upward trajectory and macro conditions remain favorable. However, the stock remains highly speculative, and traders should watch Bitcoin closely as the primary driver. 1-2 Weeks: ~50% — Needs Bitcoin above $40k. Resistance...