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Bull Trap: Stocks Fall Back on Concern Interest Rates to Stay Higher for Longer A bull trap occurs when a stock shows a false signal of reversal during a downtrend, luring investors into thinking the price will continue to rise, only for it to resume its decline. Recently, many investors have experienced bull traps, driven by the ongoing concern that interest...

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1. **Supply shocks**: Sudden increase in the cost of essential raw materials, such as oil or metals. 2. **Restrictive economic policies**: Excessive regulations or policies that distort the labor and goods markets. 3. **Engrained inflationary expectations**: Upward wage and price adjustments in anticipation of future inflation. 4. **Structural unemployment caused...

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The analysis suggests that if SPY reaches a price level of around $488.20, it might not sustain this upward movement and could fall back to around $465. This kind of scenario is known as a "bull trap" because it traps buyers into thinking the market is in an uptrend, prompting them to buy, only for the price to fall subsequently, resulting in losses for those...

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"Current technicals on the Bitcoin (BTC) chart suggest a pivotal moment is approaching. The $32,920 level is highlighted as a critical support. Should this floor give way, there's a consensus among traders that we could see a slide down to $25,200. This potential drop signifies a significant retracement from current levels and implies a cautious market...

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"The chart before us details a 4-hour time frame for Apple Inc. (AAPL) stock on the NASDAQ. What we're observing is a downtrend indicated by a descending red trendline, connecting progressively lower highs, signaling bearish momentum. Recently, Apple's stock broke through this trendline, which is typically considered a bullish signal in technical...

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"Take a look at the daily candlestick chart of the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY), which tracks the performance of the S&P 500 Index. We're currently observing a bullish trend within an ascending channel highlighted by two parallel lines. The candlesticks depict the day-to-day price changes of the ETF. The chart suggests a potential pullback towards the lower...

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"Take a look at the daily candlestick chart of the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY), which tracks the performance of the S&P 500 Index. We're currently observing a bullish trend within an ascending channel highlighted by two parallel lines. The candlesticks depict the day-to-day price changes of the ETF. The chart suggests a potential pullback towards the lower...

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PROYECTION -1.7 % FED HISTORICAL 1997 TO 2000 The projection specifically mentions the year 2024 and includes the notation "1.75 rates -4.25%." This suggests an expectation that the Federal Reserve (the Fed) will cut interest rates by 1.75 percentage points, leading to a total interest rate of -4.25%. Such a cut would be unconventional, as it implies negative...

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historical chart fed rate -1.75 follow 1999 and 2000

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While a rising VIX might suggest a short-term boost for bonds due to the flight to safety, other overriding factors can influence the bond market. It's always essential to view these dynamics in the broader context of global economic and geopolitical events.

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"Clearer that the water always makes this correction more than 200% of its rise. This time was 75%. Will it lower from 140 to 160%?"