RomanoRnr

RomanoRnr

Semiconductor ETF breaking out of the triangle, also bounced of the 200-day moving average

RomanoRnr

The Australian Dollar seems to be edging higher over the next few quarters. By the end of 2024, we could see AUD/USD hovering around 0.69 and perhaps 0.72 somewhere, most likely late in 2025. But it will be a long road that takes time. One of the biggest problems is the lack of demand for Australia's iron ore, driven by weak global markets that continue to weigh...

RomanoRnr

Word of caution: In all fairness, I did get stopped last night So perhaps I am wrong again, as I may underestimate a potential year-to-end rally (elections, they probably don't want to rock the boat) JPMorgan turned bullish after yesterday's FOMC. Goldman Sachs & Bank of America are also calling for a year-to-end rally. So, take this trade with a grain of salt.

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Short Nasdaq It's still in a downtrend but the moves are erratic both ways due to negative gamma regime

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Only bear meme I get left for technicals I don't know if "the top" is in yet Or it just tops out on Friday the 13th or Friday, October 20th (Option Expiration)

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This summer, quiet markets favored the carry trade. Popular funding currencies here are still the JPY and the CNY. The carry trade involves borrowing low-interest currency and investing in high-interest currency to profit from interest rate differential and exchange rate movements. Traders often use JPY and CNY as funding currencies due to their low-interest...

RomanoRnr

Brent crude oil had quite the month in July, climbing from $74 per barrel all the way up to $85. This price jump came from Russia cutting back on exports to Saudi Arabia, trimming all their oil production. Still, I don't think the price is going to burst out of its range of $72 - $88 per barrel yet. What's interesting is the strengthening of "crack spreads"...

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The minutes from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) showed the Board was leaning towards a rate hike of 50bps and dismissing the idea of a pause in rate hikes. Markets expect the bank to raise rates by 24bps at their next meeting and reach a terminal rate of 4.28%. The RBA's recent decision and data regarding the Wage Price Index will likely affect the...

RomanoRnr

Optimism as a "Soft Landing" achievable? Now the first month of 2023 is almost over, and we had a great start in the financial markets, actually, a fantastic start, as Goldman Sachs stated a couple of days ago. This month's straightforward story of the macro environment has been reassuring for bulls across the markets. Both in the legacy markets and the crypto...

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What if the current price action is comparable to that of 2008? Recession with a capital "R" I am not suggesting that one should net short in this instance. However, some defensive "put" options, VIX call options, or VIXY buying Might be a good idea When possible, purchase insurance. Not when the building is engulfed in flames

RomanoRnr

Consolidation, waiting for a new Option Expiration date for equities and VIX expiration July 15th & 20th VIX - OPEX July 27th FOMC Assuming after all liquidations & unwinds that it could be a local bottom or the bottom. Decent risk/reward for holding spot BTC.

RomanoRnr

Flip to bullish above 4500 Remain neutral/sceptical outlook if we don't break above 4500

RomanoRnr

prices are reaching all-time highs and have been doing so for a while. One characteristic of gold that people have been overlooking is that it has a positive skew. This means that when gold prices make significant gains, the volatility index (GVZ) for gold also rises. We are at a resistance level. Could be a time to rebalance your portfolio, It might be...

RomanoRnr

Expecting Luna's price to increase longterm The trend is up on the weekly and 3D time interval RIsk benchmarks look decent too

RomanoRnr

There's no direct link between btc and spx500 after previous larger drawdowns in btc, the spx500 responded negatively.

RomanoRnr

Just posting this for myself to look back later and see how it plays out. Expecting a green flip but will see of my logic will work out

RomanoRnr

Will the up only algo's reactivate or hibernate?

RomanoRnr

aaaaaah