Ronin_trader

Ronin_trader Updated 

Whats The Plan/Trade/Thought CWH is part of the Recreational Vehicles sector, that came out of my shortlist of companies with medium level volatility in the past month Across the sector there is a bearish alignment which is important I do expect some volatility with an upwards movement as price across the markets might stabilise from the past 5 weeks of...

Ronin_trader Updated 

Whats The Plan/Trade/Thought I had filled my Macy’s trade first but as I was looking at the charts I realised that it was possible for me to create some sort of a hedge with JWN and M (one being Puts, the other Calls). JWN similar to Macy’s has strong S&R lines at 30, 26 and 24.19 As I believe we are in the ranging situation. I expect the price to drop or go...

Ronin_trader Updated 

Whats The Plan/Trade/Thought The Departmental Store sector was not one of my original shortlist. But I also do think my current method of shortlisting from the median of the monthly performance (both negative and positive), might not be the best. Even if the price performance meets my expectations on what I should be trading in a volatile ranging market. ...

Ronin_trader Updated 

Whats The Plan/Trade/Thought My original intention was to leverage the volatility from the rate increases to enter VXX. However the BP (Buying Power) requirements were pretty high. Making IT less attractive in risk and reward The airlines sector are seeing signs or recovery with surges over pre-pandemic level in March. United Airlines (21 April) have...

Ronin_trader Updated 

Whats The Plan/Trade/Thought I purposely ended my March trades last week because I felt this week would be super volatile given the Fed announcements on interest rates. This play turned out well as I got to write VXX calls that end 1 Apr at an amazing price On the 15 March, I noticed that the VXX had stopped correlating with the market and I believe this...

Ronin_trader Updated 

Whats The Plan/Trade/Thought I entered this position as I believe that we are currently in a sideways bearish situation. The markets took huge dips since late Nov to Jan and while it has recovered some of that loss. The S&P and especially the NASDAQ show that at least for now, the constant bold bullish days are narrowing Even though I am taking a sideways...

Ronin_trader Updated 

Whats The Plan/Trade/Thought I identified this trade by looking at Finviz Groups and shortlisted the mid volatility Industry players (1 Month bull, 2 - 1 Week bearish). This was because I wanted to be trading in industries with less volatile price movements. Previously for the past 4 months I have been trading in industries at the forefront of any movement....

Ronin_trader Updated 

Whats The Plan/Trade/Thought Bullish Stance XRT are retail discretionary companies and right now there seems to be alot of optimism. Consumers seem to be find paying for the current rising prices of products. I think will continue with the festive period Sep Consumer Spending has lost momentum but still grew at 1.4% Sep Personal income was up 0.9% Current...

Ronin_trader Updated 

Whats The Plan/Trade/Thought Market seems to be ranging with deeper drops. This VXX trade is positioned as a hedge as it takes a bullish market stance. I like this structure of having a broad market hedge and especially a position that expires early in the month. As I would still have a solid feel of the previous month’s sentiment. VXX seems like a good...

Ronin_trader Updated 

On TD the contract price was 0.45 and so I decided to just enter 0.6 and to my surprise the order got filled immediately. I think next time I will start with a high Ask price and slowly bring it closer to the Bid Whats The Plan/Trade/Thought This position is a play on the micro economics and less on the health of the company There will be an interest rate...

Ronin_trader Updated 

Whats The Plan/Trade/Thought AAL was one of the shortlisted companies from the shortlisted sectors that did not recover after the Omicron news and the Feb Interest Rate decisions. Their prices stayed below the Omicron gap. Further more with the increasing infections rates countries are getting more cautious and this will impact the sentiment of travel I Feel...

Ronin_trader Updated 

Whats The Plan/Trade/Thought I entered the trade because the volatility was high and the premium was good. But because of this I did not do the Mindfulness exercise before entering and broke my rule. This being a Call was a more bullish take on a market that at the moment felt like it was bearish ranging. However I entered because the Strike was 60.34% away...

Ronin_trader Updated 

Whats The Plan/Trade/Thought Feels like a safe position given that the market is seeming very bullish at the moment XRT has also broken a key resistance line and that transforms it into a solid support line XRT are retail discretionary companies and right now there seems to be alot of optimism. Consumers seem to be find paying for the current rising prices...

Ronin_trader Updated 

Whats The Plan/Trade/Thought Market Bullish Stance The overall market seems to be back on it's bull run. This is reflected on the SPY and NDX who have both made new highs Sep Consumer Spending has lost momentum but still grew at 1.4% Sep Personal income was up 0.9% These factors, including the upcoming festive year end period. With less COVID19...

Ronin_trader

Whats The Plan/Trade/Thought US Bancorp is an American bank holding company. With the Fed intending to increasing interest rates to combat the high inflation numbers. I expect banks to see an increase in their earnings from this especially near term where consumer sentiment is still bullish. Already the Nasdaq bank index is up around 32% for the year I...

Ronin_trader Updated 

Whats The Plan/Trade/Thought This trade is slightly risky as it is not an ETF. But it's current price movement mirrors JETS etf and this will allow me to get a decent price based on my outlook on travel as a sector Overall we are seeing Leisure and Hospitality with the largest job gains (Oct data). However in terms of Job postings, while all sectors are...

Ronin_trader Updated 

Whats The Plan/Trade/Thought Market is returning to a Bullish / Ranging state With the Evergrande dip it seems we now have room for another bullish retracement XRT had no major reaction to Evergrade dip and is rising with the market and is now about Evergrande. Pricing at 0.50 seems decent (11% from strike) -80, 60, strike 85 XRT has the best contract...

Ronin_trader Updated 

I just realised I forgot to enter this trade. My thoughts below was written 28 Sep Whats The Plan/Trade/Thought Forced, Because I need to hit the 5% target I don't have much options, this feels risky. I need to spend time coming up with proper ideas. I feel lazy and that I need to be serious since I am doing this full time ATVI looking at it as it is...