SemperTrader

12:31

SemperTrader

So again, I cashed out my trade just above 5000 as we fell last night following the Israel drone strike against Iran. Most of that dip appears to have resolved itself, at least for the moment, but those geopolitical issues will likely be crucial to the potential of a market fall in the coming days. I go into it in the video, but major Earnings are next week, and...

12:17

SemperTrader Updated 

Trends into today are; Last Macro Trend Signal Spots (ES Contract) 30m - 5111 Uptrend (4/17/2024) Lower High 1Hr - 5220 Downtrend (4/12/2024) Lower Low 2Hr - 5203 Downtrend (4/12/2024) Lower Low 3Hr - 5197 Downtrend (4/4/2024) Lower Low 4Hr - 5197 Downtrend (4/4/2024) Lower Low 6Hr - 5250 Downtrend (4/2/2024) Higher Low 12Hr - 5204 Downtrend (4/4/2024) Higher...

03:57

SemperTrader Updated 

Job data this morning caused a movement exactly as I anticipated and discussed yesterday. The move lower I suspected came yesterday as I anticipated, so now I'm just looking to see if we can move below this 5204 12hr support line. To date, the 12hr has been the major support level to stop any movement down since November which is why we have not seen a Daily trend...

14:21

SemperTrader Updated 

Longer video but hopefully it clarifies my position in the market. I do NOT have a short position yet, but I am looking for one at this point. I might wait until either the close of the day depending on where we are OR take a short position if the overall day goes negative. Trends into today; Last Macro Trend Signal Spots (ES Contract) 30m - 5724 Uptrend...

09:06

SemperTrader Updated 

So, just thought I would check in overall after I had several messages asking me what I was up to recently since I have not posted. Just to note, all trends are basically in an uptrend of higher highs and higher lows. Some of the longer term trends haven't struck in some time. Heck we haven't had a Daily downtrend in months and are still operating off the Daily...

04:30

SemperTrader Updated 

Overheated market trends showing a bull market is basically my findings. I have not held into positions, long or short, going into this last surge. I had a relatively promising month in January and decided I would just end it on that note. Trends into today are; Last Macro Trend Signal Spots (ES Contract) 30m - 4925 Downtrend (1/31/2024) Lower Low 1Hr - 4933...

07:16

SemperTrader Updated 

So I chose to cash out my trade at 4760 for about $2250. Trends have a huge case to send us lower, especially if the 6hour keeps signaling lower. All the trends between 30m and 4hr are ALL in a lower low downtrend at the moment. The trends are as follows; Last Macro Trend Signal Spots (ES Contract) 30m - 4778 Downtrend (1/17/2024) Lower Low 1Hr - 4761 Downtrend...

09:42

SemperTrader Updated 

Still sitting short at 4805, at the time of recording I was slightly in the negative, but since we have pulled back down as expected and I'm in a profit zone. The trends are well explained in the video, but most important takeaway is that a new 4hr downtrend coming in below 4808 will signal a lower low, as will a 6hr downtrend coming in below 4759. These two...

06:16

SemperTrader Updated 

So, we did hit that 4750 range, and ended up hitting it within just a few hours of my assessment that was the next area for us to head. That opens up a few trends to take us lower, specifically the 1hr and 2hr, as seen below in the trends; Last Macro Trend Signal Spots (ES Contract) 30m - 4722 Downtrend (1/8/2024) Lower Low 1Hr - 4757 Uptrend (1/5/2024) Lower...

06:27

SemperTrader

So I cashed out my position for a net of $8000. Trends call for a bounce back upwards to acquire some new trend action to take us lower, especially as we violated just about everything on the way down here. I am not ready to go into a Long position for that upward movement at this time however, because there was just too much downward pressure to bring us down...

08:53

SemperTrader Updated 

Welcome back to my study. In the video I will wrap up how the oil contracts went (mediocre but made money), where trends are, and my two current positions in the ES and the 6A contracts. Trends into today are; Last Macro Trend Signal Spots (ES Contract) 30m - 4833 Downtrend (12/29/2023) Higher Low 1Hr - 4806 Downtrend (12/29/2023) Higher Low 2Hr - 4818 Downtrend...

08:53

SemperTrader Updated 

Hey everyone! Sorry for being away for a bit, while we did follow my red graph down and I had shorted into some of that, I did not feel comfortable following it back up and went over to trade several 6E contracts instead. Not sure the income difference was much, but it felt like a safer trade following long term valuation of the Euro than hoping stocks regain...

06:21

SemperTrader Updated 

So, as I explain, all the trends currently are in lower modes, except the Daily. I don't see the Daily beating out every other trend at this time, though I would like to see a Daily Uptrend, be it if we are going to head higher or lower, just so that it is on board and updated. Currently I'm Long at 4468 because trends maxed themselves out yesterday to the down....

09:12

SemperTrader

So we struck that 4350 recently and I got back into trading then. I didn't make a video at the time as I was still getting back into things. After taking to Long positions, one at 4350 and another at 4370ish, I was able to capitalize on them both. My issue now is lower timeframe trends call for lower movement, medium timeframe trends call for at least a brief...

06:22

SemperTrader

Hey all! Made a quick video to look at the market and just check in. I'm still enjoying my self made vacation and taking time away from the market while I think it is overinflated, as I want to see some normality come back in before I feel comfortable trading again. However, just wanted to say hello, explain what I'm waiting for, and wish everyone else best of...

09:33

SemperTrader

So while I've had some gains on this market, especially below the 4300 range, at this point I cannot explain where this extreme level of optimism and risk taking behavior is coming from and I think it is time for me to walk away. While I can agree we are in a Bull Market, and I do not think at this point that we will be visiting the lows of 2022 without some...

08:07

SemperTrader Updated 

So we ran along the 30m uptrending line yesterday, and keep nearing striking the 6hr insanely steep ascending trendline I didn't think we could maintain. Much to my dismay, I am sitting in my negative trade. I may soon just eat a loss, which will cause me to take a day off as per my risk management plan. Luckily at the moment I did go Long yesterday in a couple...

07:56

SemperTrader Updated 

So I have some other catching up to do, but currently it appears the ESU contract is now here, and as I've said over the last few weeks, I felt that the ESM contract was clearly going to be an upward moving contract, and that any leg down would be over the next contract. I continue to comment that with the major price gains on major tech stocks, if investors don't...